It was a very nice Week 6 with the MAC plays, going a perfect 4-for-4 for the first time this season. After a dismal 0-4 start in Week 1, that’s actually 18-6 (75.0%) across the last 5 weekends of MAC play. Let’s keep it rolling in lucky Week 7.
Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the MAC’s Week 7 slate, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
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MAC best bets for Week 7
– All games listed are Saturday and ET unless noted
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:08 a.m. ET.
Miami (Ohio) -6.5 (-122) at Bowling Green – Noon (ESPN+)
The RedHawks swoop into Doyt Perry Stadium looking to stay hot in a bird battle against the Falcons.
Miami posted a huge 27-24 win against Kent State last weekend, bouncing back from a 24-20 loss at Buffalo in the previous weekend. The RedHawks have cashed in 3 of the last 4 games overall, while alternating losses and wins in 6 outings this season.
Bowling Green was roughed up 38-7 against Buffalo last weekend at this very same venue, and it is now just 1-4-1 ATS overall on the season.
Miami has owned this series lately, winning 3 straight meetings, including a 38-23 win in the most recent meeting at Bowling Green on Sept. 22, 2018. The RedHawks are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings, and 4-1 ATS in the previous 5 in the series.
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Connecticut +9.5 (-110) at Ball State – 2 p.m. (ESPN3)
The Cardinals have been a favorite of mine in this space, as Ball State has really come on lately after a slow start.
Ball State has won consecutive games, while going 3-1 SU/ATS in the last 4 games. It’s the 1st time the Cardinals have been favored since Sept. 17, a 31-0 win against Murray State of the FCS as a 21-point favorite.
UConn rolled up a 33-12 win at FIU, and it has managed back-to-back wins to get within a game of .500 at 3-4 SU while posting an impressive 5-2 ATS mark.
I think the Cardinals are able to get it done at Scheumann Stadium, but a win by double digits is, pardon the pun, not in the Cards. The Huskies are playing with a lot of confidence lately, and should be able to keep it within 1 score.
Ohio at Western Michigan OVER 58.5 (-120) – 3:30 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)
It’s been all about the Over for Ohio this season. The Bobcats rank 8th in the nation with 334.0 passing yards per game, and they have racked up 33.2 PPG to rank 43rd in the country.
Defensively, the Bobcats are a train wreck, and that’s a recipe for Over results on a regular basis. Ohio has allowed 40.7 PPG, and it is last in FBS in both total yards per game (561.2) and passing yards per game (386.8).
Ohio won last week at Peden Stadium against Akron, outlasting the Zips 55-34. It plays a lot of high-scoring games, allowing 31 or more points in all 3 games on the road this season.
Western Michigan isn’t nearly as prolific offensively, but that should change against the defensively-challenged Bobcats. And the Broncos are coming off a 45-23 loss, posting the Over last week in Kalamazoo. Look for plenty of points here.
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Toledo -7.5 (-107) vs. Kent State – 3:30 p.m. (ESPN+)
The Golden Flashes lost last 27-24 weekend, a costly setback against Miami-Ohio. Now, they must turn things around in a hostile environment in Toledo, or risk a 5th loss in 7 games. My how things have changed since lighting up the scoreboard last season?
Toledo had 77 dropped on them at Ohio State, showing it wasn’t quite ready for prime time, or anything close to it. But it is the cock of the walk in the MAC, going 4-2 overall and 2-0 inside the conference. It is also 3-0 SU at home, covering both games against FBS foes.
The Rockets have caught fire offensively, too, totaling 90 points in the last 2 wins and covers.
Kent State is 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games on the road, while going 5-16 ATS in the last 21 on the road against teams with a winning home record.
Toledo, on the other hand, is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 MAC games, and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 against teams with a losing overall record.
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