Tag: Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers odds predictions pick betting line spread

The Miami Marlins (58-54) and Texas Rangers (65-46) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 2-0

Texas won 9-8 Saturday as a -138 home favorite, overcoming a 5-0 deficit after 3½ innings. DH Robbie Grossman, SS Corey Seager and 3B Josh Jung sparked the rally with homers in the middle innings to catapult Texas to a 7-5 lead and the eventual win.

It was the Marlins’ 3rd consecutive loss. They’re 4-6 in their last 10 games and 24-30 on the road.

Meanwhile, the Rangers have won 5 in a row — they’re also 6-4 in their last 10. Plus, they own the best home record in baseball at 39-20.

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Marlins at Rangers projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Alcantara (4-9, 4.21 ERA) will his 23rd start of 2023. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 143 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 8 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-1 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• First career start vs. Texas

Heaney (8-6, 4.36 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 107 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Tuesday
• First career start vs. Miami

Marlins at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:38 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Marlins 5

Moneyline

LEAN RANGERS (-135).

As mentioned, the Rangers have the best home record in the majors. They’re 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the Marlins, taking 2 of 3 in South Florida last season.

Texas is the much hotter team and the Marlins have struggled on the road this season. Look for TEXAS (-135) to complete the sweep and extend their winning streak to 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I have faith in the Marlins to cover here, especially because they’ll be fighting to avoid a sweep, but at +1.5 (-175), the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Over is also 5-2 in the last 7 Miami-Texas matchups.

The Over is 2-1 in Alcantara’s last 3 starts for Miami. For Texas, the Over is 2-1 in Heaney’s last 3 starts. Sure, these don’t fit a big enough sample size, but call this one a “gut feeling.”

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Texas Rangers (64-46) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-53) to Globe Life Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Texas leads 1-0

The Marlins lost the series opener 6-2 Friday, marking their 4th loss in their last 5 games. Miami is 2-5 over its last 7 games and 24-29 on the road this season, sitting 3rd in the NL East — 14 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves.

The Rangers swept the Chicago White Sox in a 3-game series to start the week and enter on a 4-game win streak. They are 38-20 at home this season but just 5-5 over their last 10 games overall, although 6 of those outings were on the road. Texas leads the AL West, 1 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros.

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Marlins at Rangers projected starters

RHP George Soriano vs. RHP Jon Gray

Soriano (0-0, 1.98 ERA) makes his 1st career start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

• Last appearance: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in relief in 8-6 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
• 2023 away stats: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER) in 4 relief appearances

Gray (6-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 10-9 road loss at Houston Astros on July 24
• 2023 home stats: 2-3, 4.13 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 26 ER) in 10 starts
• Career vs. Marlins: 4-3, 52 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 55 H, 8 BB, 55 K in 9 starts

Marlins at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:39 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Rangers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Rangers -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Marlins at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Betting against the Rangers at home this season hasn’t been wise, and that trend should continue Saturday. They had a strong start to the series as OF Adolis Garcia got a hit in each at-bat and finished with 2 RBIs.

Texas has the 2nd-best home record in the majors, only behind the Tampa Bay Rays. That strength makes the Marlins a pass, but Texas (-190) is far too expensive as an outright play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+105).

The Marlins will be starting Soriano, who likely won’t go more than 3 innings. They don’t have a strong bullpen, sitting 17th in the league in reliever ERA (4.12).

Texas has been the best team in the MLB on the run line at home, posting a strong 37-21 record. It is also the best in the majors as a favorite (40-31). On the flip side, Miami is just 26-27 on the run line on the road (the 5th-worst covering rate in MLB).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-115).

The Under has been a strong play for the Rangers as of late. They have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games, having allowed just 6 runs throughout their last 4 games.

Miami is 51-56-4 O/U on the season and has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games as well. Its bats have been a problem as of late, scoring 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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