Tag: Miami Marlins betting odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Miami Marlins (48-36) and Atlanta Braves (55-27) complete their 3-game series in Atlanta on Sunday. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 8-1

The Marlins are 3-2 on their current 6-game road trip after their 7-0 loss to Atlanta on Saturday. Miami has been outscored 23-4 in this series against their division rivals and 77-26 in the 9 meetings. They are 11-14 against the NL East this season and trail the 1st-place Braves by 8 games.

Atlanta won its 7th straight game over the Marlins on Saturday and it was the Braves’ 15th win in their last 16 games. Atlanta has outscored its opponents 125-60 over that stretch. They look to complete their homestand a perfect 6-0 on Sunday.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Alcantara (3-6, 4.82 ERA) will make his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 102 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 10-1 road victory vs. the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
• Last start vs Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-0 home loss on May 2
• 2023 away splits: 2-2, 4.78 ERA (49 IP, 26 ER), .270 OBA in 8 starts

Strider (9-2, 3.73 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 14.3 K/9 in 91 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 10 K in a 4-1 home victory vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday
• Only start vs Marlins: Win, 8 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 13 K in a 11-0 home win on April 24
• 2023 home splits: 3-1, 4.11 ERA (46 IP, 21 ER), .186 OBA in 8 starts

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Marlins +166 (bet $100 to win $166) | Braves -198 (bet $198 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-114) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Marlins 1

Moneyline

AVOID

There is no value in this bet. While the Braves will likely win the game, I’m not putting up nearly 2 units to win one. I’ll look to the run line for this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (+105)

While I would have loved to have seen more juice for this bet, I’ll still take it. Anytime you can get plus odds on the Braves right now, it’s a good deal. They have won 5 straight games by 2 or more runs.

Strider has not lost a game since May 23. He shut down this Marlins lineup for 8 innings back in April allowing just 2 hits and striking out 13.

Alcantara, who has not earned a win against the Braves in over a year, has allowed at least 5 ER in 2 of his last 3 starts.

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Over/Under

I love the UNDER 8.5 (-110).

You’ve got two really good pitchers dueling on Sunday afternoon. I’ve spoken about Strider’s dominance. In his last two starts, he has allowed just 2 ER with 19 K’s in 13 IP.

The Braves have been under this run total in 4 of their last 5 games while the Marlins have been under in 6 of their last 8 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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