Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves team odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (48-36) and Atlanta Braves (55-27) complete their 3-game series in Atlanta on Sunday. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 8-1

The Marlins are 3-2 on their current 6-game road trip after their 7-0 loss to Atlanta on Saturday. Miami has been outscored 23-4 in this series against their division rivals and 77-26 in the 9 meetings. They are 11-14 against the NL East this season and trail the 1st-place Braves by 8 games.

Atlanta won its 7th straight game over the Marlins on Saturday and it was the Braves’ 15th win in their last 16 games. Atlanta has outscored its opponents 125-60 over that stretch. They look to complete their homestand a perfect 6-0 on Sunday.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Alcantara (3-6, 4.82 ERA) will make his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 102 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 10-1 road victory vs. the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
  • Last start vs Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-0 home loss on May 2
  • 2023 away splits: 2-2, 4.78 ERA (49 IP, 26 ER), .270 OBA in 8 starts

Strider (9-2, 3.73 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 14.3 K/9 in 91 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 10 K in a 4-1 home victory vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday
  • Only start vs Marlins: Win, 8 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 13 K in a 11-0 home win on April 24
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 4.11 ERA (46 IP, 21 ER), .186 OBA in 8 starts

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +166 (bet $100 to win $166) | Braves -198 (bet $198 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-114) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Marlins 1

Moneyline

AVOID

There is no value in this bet. While the Braves will likely win the game, I’m not putting up nearly 2 units to win one. I’ll look to the run line for this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (+105)

While I would have loved to have seen more juice for this bet, I’ll still take it. Anytime you can get plus odds on the Braves right now, it’s a good deal. They have won 5 straight games by 2 or more runs.

Strider has not lost a game since May 23. He shut down this Marlins lineup for 8 innings back in April allowing just 2 hits and striking out 13.

Alcantara, who has not earned a win against the Braves in over a year, has allowed at least 5 ER in 2 of his last 3 starts.

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Over/Under

I love the UNDER 8.5 (-110).

You’ve got two really good pitchers dueling on Sunday afternoon. I’ve spoken about Strider’s dominance. In his last two starts, he has allowed just 2 ER with 19 K’s in 13 IP.

The Braves have been under this run total in 4 of their last 5 games while the Marlins have been under in 6 of their last 8 games.

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