Tag: Mets Giants odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (12-11) and San Francisco Giants (12-13) wrap up a 3-game series at Oracle Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-0

The Mets have lost 3 games in a row after falling 5-1 against the Giants Tuesday and failing to cash as +117 road underdogs. New York avoided the shutout with a 9th-inning RBI from DH DJ Stewart. RHP Luis Severino picked up the loss after allowing 3 earned runs in 6 innings.

San Francisco has won back-to-back games after Tuesday’s victory as a -127 home favorite. RF Mike Yastrzemski led the way with 3 RBIs while the Giants had 9 hits. RHP Logan Webb pitched 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Mets at Giants projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. LHP Blake Snell

Manaea (1-1, 4.12 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 19 2/3 innings.

  • Mets are 2-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 3 of his 4 starts
  • Has given up just 1 HR this season while striking out 21 and walking 10

Snell (0-3, 11.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.97 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

  • Giants are 0-3 in his starts
  • Has allowed 5 or more ER in 2 of his 3 starts
  • Has pitched 4 2/3 innings or fewer in each start
  • Has allowed 15 ER and 2 HR this season while striking out 12 and and walking 5

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Mets at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Giants -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Giants 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+110).

While New York has lost 3 games in a row, it has won 6 of its last 9. The Mets have struggled offensively in their last 3 games, but this time around they face Snell, who has had a tough start to the season.

The Giants fell 17-1 in his last start, and the opposing team has scored 8 or more runs in each of Snell’s previous 3 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents more profit for the Mets.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

The Mets have hit the Over in 5 of their last 8 games and scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 10.

The Giants have scored 5 runs in each of the 1st 2 games this series and 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 6.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (12-9) and San Francisco Giants (10-13) open a 3-game series at Oracle Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 4-3 last season

The Mets are coming off a 10-0 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday with the Over (9) cashing in Southern California. New York, which was a +214 underdog, had won 6 straight and back-to-back games as an underdog of +151 or more.

The Giants, who were -131 home favorites, lost 5-3 against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday as the total (8) pushed. San Francisco has alternated wins and losses over its last 4 games and is 8-8 in its last 16.

Mets at Giants projected starters

LHP José Quintana vs. RHP Keaton Winn

Quintana (1-1, 3.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 20 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-0, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 1.46 WHIP in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-3, 4.30 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance — last faced San Francisco in 2022

Winn (1-3, 4.09 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 22 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-1 victory at Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 1 start, a 4-0 loss to San Diego Padres April 6
  • Has never faced Mets before

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Mets at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Giants +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

The METS (-105) have not lost back-to-back outings since they opened the season on a 5-game skid from March 29-April 4. Since then, they’re 12-4 overall and 5-3 as underdogs. Quintana has also been slightly better than expected, allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in 3 of his 4 starts.

BET METS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Taking New York as a slight underdog to win straight up is the safer play in this series opener. The Mets should bounce back after getting blown out at the Dodgers last time out, but it’s unlikely they win by 2 or more runs.

PASS. Bet Mets ML and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2 when the Mets are on the road this season, which is the highest clip in MLB for a team’s away games. The Mets are also 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games.

Winn’s worst outing of the season so far was his only home start April 6 when he gave up 4 earned runs to the Padres, who average 1.31 fewer runs per road game than the Mets.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (14-8) and San Francisco Giants (7-13) close out a 4-game set at Oracle Park on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

After taking the 1st 2 games of the series, the Mets fell 7-4 Saturday. The Giants jumped on Mets starter David Peterson for 7 runs and never looked back. The Mets have won 8 of 10 and are 10-6 on the road thus far. There is a big contrast between the teams offensively. The Mets are 8th with 5.04 runs/9 and the 2nd-toughest to strike out with 7.32 per game.

The Giants are 17th (4.51) in runs/9 despite being 3rd in baseball with 1.49 homers per game. The Giants are also striking out the most in baseball at 10.82 per game. They are just 3-7 over the last 10 and 3-6 at home overall.

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Mets at Giants projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Ross Stripling

Megill (3-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start this season. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 21 IP.

  • Last start April 18 at LAD: 5 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 4 BB and 4 K
  • 3 career GS vs. SF: 0-1, 6.89 ERA, 15 K in 15 2/3 IP

Stripling (0-1, 7.30 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.

  • Last start April 2 at NYY: 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
  • Threw 36 pitches in 2 1/3 IP in his last outing April 18; could be limited to 3-4 IP.

Mets at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 8, Giants 4

Moneyline

The Giants could essentially have a bullpen game, and that pen is ranked 27th with a 5.56 ERA. Megill has been giving the Mets innings, and even if he’s out in the 6th, the Mets have the 5th-best pen ERA at 3.14. The Mets have scored at least 4 runs in 8 of the last 10 games, and they take this game and the series at a solid price.

Take the METS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are 13-9 on the RL and 9-7 on the road. Their last 4 wins have been by multiple runs, and their last 5 wins against the Giants were by multiple runs.

I like the METS -1.5 (+140) Sunday night.

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the teams, and New York is 8-2 O/U overall in the last 10. We also have a couple of middling starters on the hill, and one may not be stretched out enough to go past the 4th. However, the main reason I’m feeling the Over is the wind is blowing out to center field at 16 mph.

Take the OVER 9 (+100).

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (13-7) and San Francisco Giants (6-12) continue a 4-game series at Oracle Park Friday. First pitch is at 10:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

New York won Thursday’s series opener 9-4. The Mets have gone 6-1 with an .827 OPS on their current road trip that included previous stops at the Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Dodgers.

San Francisco is back at home after a 1-4 road trip at the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins. The Giants are 3-9 with a .667 OPS over their last 12 outings.

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Mets at Giants projected starters

LHP Joey Lucchesi vs. RHP Anthony DeSclafani

Lucchesi is making his 1st MLB appearance since undergoing Tommy John surgery in June 2021.

  • Has a 4.24 ERA over 66 starts and 4 relief appearances in his career
  • Has made 3 starts at Triple-A this April: 15 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 11 H, 7 BB, 15K

DeSclafani (1-0, 1.42 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start this season. He has a 0.63 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 19 IP.

  • Owns a 2.95 ERA at Oracle Park over the last 3 seasons (2021-23)
  • Faces a left-leaning New York nine: career vs. left-handed batters .812 OPS allowed, vs. right-handed batters .651 OPSA

Mets at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Giants -118 (bet $100 to win $118)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+162) | Giants +1.5 (-196)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Mets 4

Moneyline

Analytics support numbers would say the Mets have been fortunate with their run-scoring and run-prevention numbers so far. Add in a weak New York schedule so far, and there is some lean on the Giants here. However, just go with a partial unit on SAN FRANCISCO (-118) due to Lucchesi being very much an unknown quantity.

Run line/Against the spread

Avoid the juice here: PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series. With a 10 mph wind helping the batters in this one and with some serious fade to New York’s pitching numbers, consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (12-7) and San Francisco Giants (6-11) start a 4-game series at Oracle Park with Thursday’s opener slated for a 9:40 p.m. ET 1st pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 4 of 7 from the Giants in 2022

New York closes out a very successful West Coast road trip with this series. The Mets have gone 5-1 with a .775 OPS in 3 games at the Oakland Athletics and 3 at the Los Angeles Dodgers.

San Francisco is back at home after a 1-4 road trip at the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins. The Giants are 3-8 with a .665 OPS over their last 11.

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Mets at Giants projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Senga (2-0, 3.38 ERA) is lined up for his 4th start. He owns a 1.44 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • Threw 96 pitches in 4 2/3 IP Friday at Oakland; allowed 4 runs on 11 base runners
  • Compiled a 2.59 ERA in 11 seasons in the Japanese NPB league

Manaea (0-0, 4.76 ERA) has registered a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP in 3 games (2 starts).

  • Has a career 3.65 ERA at home (4.50 ERA on the road)
  • Has a .579 career OPS in 24 career March-April starts

Mets at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Giants 3

Moneyline

Analytics support numbers would say the Mets have been fortunate in the numbers hung in both the runs and runs-allowed columns … and that the opposite holds true for the Giants. Add in a weak New York schedule so far, and there is some lean on the home side here.

Unless the Giants price gets to +105, though, the slightly better leverage can be found on the Run Line. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

To the point on the Mets’ strength of schedule, in his 3 starts so far Senga has seen the Miami Marlins twice the Oakland Athletics once. And his last start — against the A’s — was a clunker. In this turn, Senga is facing a San Francisco club batting .254/.347/.474 (.824 OPS) against right-handed pitching.

Manaea has thus far exhibited a jump in velocity, and he clocked a solid  outing against these Mets a year ago (7 IP, 1 ER, 3H, 3 BB, 3K).

TAKE THE GIANTS +1.5 (-165).

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Over/Under

Plenty of ammo on both sides of this number. A cease-fire, by way of a PASS, is suggested.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (29-15) continue their 3-game series with the San Francisco Giants (22-19) Tuesday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York hammered San Francisco in the series opener 13-3 Monday. The Mets had 8 extra-base hits including 3 HRs and 5 2Bs, while SP David Peterson allowed 2 runs on 3 hits (1 homer) and a walk with 6 strikeouts in 6 innings.

Season series: Mets lead 4-1 with a plus-14 run differential

Mets at Giants projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Logan Webb

Bassitt is 4-2 with a 2.77 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 7-6 home win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday with 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Giants: One start, a 5-2 home loss April 20 with 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 2.49 FIP with a .220/.267/.331 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 25.8 K% and 83.2 mph exit velocity (EV) in 62 plate appearances (PA).

Webb is 5-1 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 48 1/3 IP across 8 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 5-3 loss at the Colorado Rockies Wednesday with 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Mets: One start, a 3-1 road loss April 19 with 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 1 K.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 6.12 FIP with a .253/.321/.399 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 19.0 K% and 87.1 mph EV in 58 PA.

Mets at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-205) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 7, Mets 3

Money line

BET GIANTS (-130).

They have an edge in the starting pitching matchup, have won 17 straight games Webb has started at home since the beginning of last season and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Giants, whereas the public is betting the Mets.

Webb grades in the 83rd percentile of chase rate and none of his pitches have a plus-run value (RV), while 2 of his 4 pitches have a minus-RV, per Statcast. Bassitt grades in the 15th percentile of chase rate, none of his pitches have a minus-RV and 3 of his 6 pitches have a plus-RV.

Nearly three-fourths of the money is on the Giants (-130), but 55% of the bets placed are on the Mets, according to Pregame.com. When professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe, the cash column of the betting splits is seen as the sharper side.

BET GIANTS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Giants -1.5 (+165) since San Francisco has won by at least 6 runs in 4 of Webb’s past 5 starts.

However, the Giants are 6-15 RL as home favorites, the Mets are 5-0 RL as road underdogs and Bassitt has much better pitching peripherals vs. San Francisco than Webb does against New York.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-102) because the total has been steamed up by sharp-line movement from a 7-run opener, these teams have a combined 8-6 O/U when these starters get the nod, the Giants are 13-8 O/U as home favorites and the Mets are 3-1-1 O/U as road underdogs.

Also, Oracle Park is 10th in run factor aka very hitter-friendly and the weather forecast is predicting nearly 15 mph winds blowing out to right-center field.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (28-15) begin a 3-game series with the San Francisco Giants (22-18) Monday at Oracle Park with the first pitch scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y. won the rubber match of a 3-game set at the Colorado Rockies 2-0 Sunday and is 6-4 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games.

San Francisco has lost 4 consecutive games, which includes a 3-game sweep at home against the San Diego Padres this past weekend. The Giants are just 4-6 SU in their last 10.

Season Series: N.Y. leads 3-1 and the Mets have a plus-4 run differential in those meetings.

Mets at Giants projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Alex Cobb

Peterson is 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 1 HR, 8 BB and 16 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last start: Win, 5-4, May 3 at home vs. the Atlanta Braves with 5 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 6 K.

Cobb is 3-1 with a 5.61 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 25 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 10-7, Tuesday at the Colorado Rockies with 5 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Mets: No-decision in a 5-4 loss at New York April 19 with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 6 H, 0 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 1.94 FIP with a .221/.236/.326 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 30.6 K% and 82.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 49 plate appearances (PA).

Mets at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Mets at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Mets 2

Money line

BET the GIANTS (-145) because Cobb’s stuff has been elite this season and there’s reverse line movement (RLM) headed towards San Francisco in the betting market.

Cobb grades in the 92nd percentile or better in chase rate, barrel rate, xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, hard-hit rate and EV and he has the third-best barrel rate per PA in the MLB (minimum of 50 batted balls), per Statcast. His pitching peripherals against active Mets hitters are also stellar.

Tipico Sportsbook says that more than 85% of the cash is on the Mets but the Giants opened as -125 favorites (per Pregame.com). RLM is suspicious because conventional wisdom says the oddsmakers should be moving the price according to how the market is betting.

BET the GIANTS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a “lean” to the Giants -1.5 (+145) because this is a chunky payout.

However, San Francisco is just 6-14 RL as a home favorite and New York +1.5 (-180) are 4-0 RL as a road underdog so even the Giants -1.5 (+145) isn’t steep enough.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 7.5 (-120) for a bunch of trendy reasons.

Mets-Giants is 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10 meetings, N.Y. is 2-1-1 O/U as a road underdog, San Francisco is 12-8 O/U as a home favorite and these teams have a combined 7-2 O/U when these starters take the mound.

Oracle Park also has an above-average park factor and the weather forecast is predicting double-digit mph winds blowing out to right-centerfield.

San Francisco’s ML is my favorite wager in this game but there’s some value in the OVER 7.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-60) play the third and final game of their road series against the San Francisco Giants (78-42) Wednesday, hoping to avoid the sweep. First pitch in the finale is set for 3:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.42 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 50 IP.

  • The Mets lost each of his last three starts and he lost his last two decisions.
  • He didn’t pitch more than 5 innings in any of his last three starts and allowed at least 3 earned runs in all three. His ERA in his last three starts is 6.75.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani (11-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP.

  • He has an ERA of 6.00 over his last five starts.
  • The Giants are 16-7 when he starts and 7-2 when he starts at home.

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

The Mets have lost five games in a row and are 23-37 on the road this season. They have dropped their last six and eight of their last nine on the road.

The Giants won nine of their last 10 games and are 14-3 in their last 17 games. At 42-18, they have the best home record in baseball.

Take the GIANTS  (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets have the third-worst ATS record in baseball at 50-69 ATS. They are 26-34 ATS on the road and covered the spread in only four of their last 12 games.

The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball at 75-45 ATS. They are 35-25 ATS at home and 10 of their last 15 wins were by at least 2 runs.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of the games at Oracle Park have gone Over the projected total.

Five of the Mets’ last seven games had a total of 9 or more runs.

Six of the last 14 games for the Giants finished with 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-120).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (77-42) host the New York Mets (59-59) for the second of their three-game set at Oracle Park Tuesday with the first pitch scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco took the series opener Monday 7-5 vs. New York thanks to a 3-run 7th-inning rally that was the difference in the game.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0.

RHP Marcus Stroman is New York’s projected starter. Stroman is 8-11 with a 2.79 ERA (132 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday vs. the Washington Nationals.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-5 with a 2.64 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.02 WHIP and 4.2 K/BB rate in 12 starts.

RHP Logan Webb is on the rubber for the Giants. Webb is 6-3 with a 2.96 ERA (85 IP, 28 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 16 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-0, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday vs. the Colorado Rockies.
  • 2021 home splits: 4-0 with a 1.58 ERA (45 IP, 21 ER), 0.98 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB rate in seven starts and one bullpen outing.

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Giants -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

TAKE the GIANTS (-170) for 1 unit because San Francisco has an edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting pitching, bullpen and hitting).

For instance, Webb has been sensational at home this season and he grades out much better than Stroman in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA and expected slugging percentage.

On top of that, San Francisco is 35-12 overall as a home favorite while the Mets are 12-18 overall as a road dog.

Also, both bullpens have been mediocre this month, but the Giants relievers have a 0.57 home run per nine-inning rate while New York’s bullpen has a 1.43 home run per nine-inning rate in August.

Lastly, San Francisco’s lineup ranks in the top five against right-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA compared to the Mets hitters who rank 19th in wRC+ and 21st in wOBA vs. righties.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though my projected score has the Giants -1.5 (+125) covering because more money is on New York’s run line while more bets have been placed on San Francisco (according to Pregame.com).

Typically, the money column is a better indicator of who the sharps like, and the bets placed column suggests who the average Joe is backing.

Furthermore, I’m leaning to the Mets-Giants being a lower-scoring affair and San Francisco’s run line isn’t a fat enough payout considering New York is 18-12 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-125) for a one-third unit because both starters are “top of the rotation” guys who are having nice seasons, and these teams have a combined 12-25 O/U record when these starters are on the mound.

Not only that, but there are several Under-friendly trends such as the Under cashing in Webb’s last seven starts as a favorite, in Stroman’s last six starts and four days of rest.

I’m a little leery of backing the Under because the weather forecast predicts nearly 13 mph winds blowing out to left-center field, and New York’s bullpen has been awful in August. But Webb and Stroman’s fly-ball rates are below the MLB average.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-58) and San Francisco Giants (76-42) meet for the first time since 2019 when they open a three-game series Monday at Oracle Park. First pitch is slated for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Mets enter on a three-game skid after getting swept at home by the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants just took three of four from the visiting Colorado Rockies, only losing the Saturday game.

LHP Rich Hill is projected to start for the Mets. Hill, who was acquired July 23 from the Tampa Bay Rays, is 6-4 with a 4.05 ERA (113 1/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 through 22 starts and one relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP in relief, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 8-7 home win vs. Washington Nationals Wednesday– took over in second inning after Tuesday’s game was suspended by rain
  • 2021 with Mets: 0-0, 5.00 ERA (18 IP, 10 ER), 17 H, 7 BB, 12 K across three starts and one relief appearance
  • Career vs. Giants: 8-2, 2.23 ERA (92 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 through 17 starts

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 11-5 with a 2.29 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 R (1 earned), 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 7-2 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-3, 5.09 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 16 H, 6 BB, 15 K through three starts and one relief appearance

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-120) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (-220) is the play, but only BET a HALF UNIT because the juice is so high.

The Giants own the best record in baseball, are 7-1 in their last eight games, 9-2 in their last 11 and feature the best home record at 40-18.

The Mets, who are an ugly 23-35 on the road, had to travel cross country overnight after getting smoked by the Dodgers 14-4 on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball.

Plus, Gausman is just better than Hill.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Giants are the major’s best ATS team at 74-44 against the spread. The Mets’ 49-68 ATS record ranks last in the NL and 28th in MLB by cover percentage.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT wager as both clubs are Under teams.

The Mets’ last five road games finished with 8 or fewer total runs, and they cashed Under tickets in each of the last four. The Under is also 2-0-1 in Hill’s three starts for them.

As for the Giants, the Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

O/U records: Mets 50-59-5 | Giants 55-59-4

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 13-8 5-4 +3.555
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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