The New York Mets (93-55) and Milwaukee Brewers (76-68) continue a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 3-1
The Mets hoisted crooked numbers in 3 innings en route to taking Monday’s opener 7-2. New York has won 5 consecutive games and has outscored foes 30-10 in that stretch.
The Brewers had been hitting the ball well at home before running into a strong Max Scherzer effort Monday. Milwaukee had logged a fine .801 OPS while going 10-3 over its previous 13 games at home.
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Mets at Brewers projected starters
RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Aaron Ashby
Carrasco (15-6, 3.70 ERA) has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 141 IP in 26 starts.
- Has a 2.68 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Owns a 1.66 ERA, 1.02 WHIP over his last 4 road outings
- Struck out a season-high 11 batters in his last start
Ashby (2-10, 4.58 ERA) has appeared in 23 games, making 17 starts. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 96 1/3 IP.
- Returning from the IL (shoulder) to serve as an opener in a bullpen game for Milwaukee
- Expected to be followed by LHP Brent Suter (3.92 ERA, 1.26 WHIP)
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Mets 3
Money line
Milwaukee has played well at home. A bullpen game provides some hidden leverage for bettors, because the Brewers relief corps figures as one undervalued by its surface numbers. It’s a pen that does well to get a decent number of ground balls, yet its been tagged by a relatively high number of home runs on fly balls.
Carrasco is coming off a 105-pitch outing and his making his 2nd start off a stay on the IL. The veteran righty has gone past 95 pitches 4 times this season. The next-time-outs have resulted in a 6.52 ERA.
New York is coming off a game that saw it clinch a playoff berth for the 1st time since 2016. White the Mets still have a division flag to fight for, they may be in all-ahead-two-thirds mode in this one.
BACK THE BREWERS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID. Milwaukee is the lean in principle, but the juice wipes out any value potential.
Over/Under
Can’t parse any expected-vs.-actual results value here: PASS.
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