Tag: Marlins Braves odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (40-68) and Atlanta Braves (58-49) meet Thursday to open a 4-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 5-1

Miami beat the Tampa Bay Rays 6-2 Wednesday while covering as a +228 road underdog. The Marlins scored 5 unanswered runs after being down 2-1 to snap a streak of back-to-back losses.

Atlanta picked up a 6-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday while covering as a -112 road favorite. After being down 2-0, the Braves scored 6 unanswered runs. The Braves have won back-to-back games.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Max Meyer vs. RHP Charlie Morton 

Meyer (2-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 21 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 7-3 win at Milwaukee Saturday
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 1 start

Morton (5-6, 4.16 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 106 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in an 8-4 loss at the New York Mets Friday
  • Career vs. Miami: 13-6, 4.14 ERA (145 2/3 IP, 67 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 25 starts

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Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:02 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-132) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Braves to win here as -200 home favorites, but the line is not worth the risk. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+110). 

Atlanta has won each of its last 4 overall matchups vs. Miami, only allowing the Marlins to come within 1-run once in those 4 games. The Braves are also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with Miami in Atlanta.

This is a slightly risky bet as the Braves are the slightly colder team, entering at 4-6 in their last 10 while the Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122).

The Over has hit in 3 of Atlanta’s last 4 overall. For Miami, the Over is 4-1 in its last 5 home games and is a dominant 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. The Over is also 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.

Be aware the Under has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s last 3 home games and the Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Miami-Atlanta matchups in Atlanta.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (6-19) and Atlanta Braves (16-6) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 2-0

Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite. LHP Max Fried pitched a complete 9 innings, allowing 0 earned runs on 3 hits and 0 walks with 6 strikeouts. The Braves scored 2 runs in the 2nd inning and 3 runs in the 6th.

LHP Trevor Rogers was credited with the loss, pitching 5 2/3 innings while allowing 3 earned runs on 7 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s. Miami only had 3 total bases in the loss as 7 Marlins hitters went 0 for 3 or worse vs. Atlanta.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Sixto Sanchez vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Sanchez (0-1, 6.14 ERA) makes his 1st start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 in 7 1/3 innings.

  • 2024 road splits: 0-1, 11.57 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 3 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 6 BB, 9 K across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Lopez (2-0, 0.50 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-2 road win over Houston Astros April 16
  • Career vs. Miami: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 11 K across 1 start and 2 relief appearances

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Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I like Atlanta (-225) to pick up the win here, but the Braves are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-114).

Atlanta has won each of its last 3 matchups vs. the Marlins, and none of Atlanta’s last 6 wins vs. Miami came by a margin of fewer than 2 runs. The Braves have also been the much better team ATS this season at 12-10, while the Marlins are 8-17.

The Braves are also the much better team in this matchup, making this bet even more favorable.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-120).

The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 Miami-Atlanta matchups overall and is 3-2 in Atlanta’s last 5 wins vs. the Marlins. The Over has also been slightly safer for both teams this season at 13-12 for the Marlins on the year and 12-9-1 for the Braves.

This is only a lean because the Under is 3-1 in Miami’s last 4 and has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s last 3 games.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (6-17) and Atlanta Braves (14-6) open a 3-game series at Truist Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-1

Miami split its series with the Chicago Cubs 2-2 this past weekend after winning 6-3 Sunday and cashing as a +110 road underdog. Five different Marlins players scored a run, while RF Jesus Sanchez had 2 runs and 2 RBIs, including a solo shot in the 2nd inning. RHP Edward Cabrera allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the win.

The Braves failed to complete a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers after falling 6-4 Sunday as -150 home favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna had 3 RBIs and a home run, while RF Ronald Acuna Jr. scored 2 runs. RHP Darius Vines allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Weathers (2-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 20 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • Marlins are 2-2 in his 4 starts this season and 2-0 in his last 2
  • Has struck out 22 batters this season while walking 9

Elder (12-4, 3.81 ERA in 2023) makes his season debut. He had a 1.28 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 174 2/3 innings across 31 starts last season.

  • 2024 stats with Gwinnett (AAA): 2-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.16 WHIP in 3 starts
  • 2023 home stats: 7-1, 3.61 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.23 WHIP in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (40 IP, 15 ER), 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts

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Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Braves (-210), who are 14-6 this season and 7-3 in their last 10 games, to beat a Marlins squad that is 6-17 on the year.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-110).

The Marlins are averaging 3.7 runs per game, while the Braves are averaging 6.25. Miami has lost by 2 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 losses, while Atlanta has won by 2 or more in 6 of its last 7 victories. Expect Elder to make the most of this opportunity after being called up from the minors.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

While the Braves offense can carry this game to the Over, both Weathers and Elder are capable of keeping runs off the board. The Braves have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Marlins have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (48-34) and Atlanta Braves (53-27) open up a 3-game set Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-1

The Fish have won 5 outings in a row and continue to surge at 22-8 over the last 30 games. They’re still 6 games back of the Braves, who are also white hot. The Marlins would lead any other division in the National League and have a 2 1/2-game lead on the first Wild Card spot.

The Braves were idle Thursday as the off day was seemingly the only thing to cool them down. They are averaging 7 runs per game while going 9-1 over their last 10 games and have won 17 of their last 20. Atlanta is doing it on the road and at home and has really taken care of business at 19-6 in NL East play.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Bryan Hoeing vs. RHP Michael Soroka

Hoeing (1-1, 2.31 ERA) makes his 5th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and a 7.5 K/9 over 35 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 3 BB, 2 K vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • In his 4 starts this season: 17 2/3 IP, 3.06 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 13 K

Soroka (0-1, 8.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.86 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and a 4.7 K/9 over 9 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K June 4 against Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Made just 5 starts since 2019 due to injuries
  • Went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 starts for Triple-A Gwinnett in June.

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

Soroka was a 21-year-old All-Star in 2019, and he suffered two Achilles’ tears that wrecked the rest of his early 20’s. Now verging on 26, he’s just getting his game back, and it hasn’t been pretty against big-league hitters. The Marlins are legit, and I like them to take this one.

Roll with MARLINS (+155).

Run line/Against the spread

The Fish are strong on the road at 23-18, which is also their record on the RL. The Braves are just 18-24 on the RL at home. I know Atlanta has dominated the series thus far, but Miami is rolling and gaining confidence.

I’ll take the MARLINS +1.5 (-120) at a solid price.

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these teams. The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Miami is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and Atlanta is 5-5.

Go easy here, but LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (12-13) and Atlanta Braves (17-8) cap off a 4-game series on Thursday with 1st pitch at Truist Park slated for 12:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-0

The Marlins coughed up a late lead in Wednesday’s loss at Atlanta, Miami led 4-0 only to lose 6-4. The Fish tote a 4-game losing streak into Thursday’s game.

The streaky Braves beginning April 3: won 4, lost 3, won 8, lost 4, won 3. Atlanta has scored 24 runs over the 1st 3 games of this series.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Garrett (1-0, 2.84 ERA) is making his 4th start (5th appearance). He has a 1.42 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 19 IP.

  • Has allowed just 2 ER over his last 11 1/3 IP
  • Owns a 3.29 ERA across 3 career starts against Atlanta (2021-22)
  • Figures to see a right-heavy Braves lineup: has yielded a career .825 OPS against right-handed bats and a .636 OPS vs. lefties

Wright (0-1, 5.93 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 13 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 3.22 ERA at home the last 3 seasons (2021-23)
  • Has held current Miami bats to an aggregate .430 OPS
  • Has thrown 95 pitches in each of his last 2 starts and was solid in similar next-time-out situations last season

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

Atlanta has been bashing left-handers (.905 OPS) with a .368 batting average on balls in play.

Wright’s velocity is down a couple ticks, and he was roughed up during spring training,

The Braves figure as lucky so far on the runs allowed front, and the Marlins have underplayed their offensive analytics. Peg the Marlins as getting a lead in the series finale … and closing it out.

BACK MIAMI (+155).

Run line/Against the spread

The Fish do not have a 1-run loss this season. The leverage on the Moneyline makes that the better play. PASS.

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Over/Under

This series has had a general Over lean most of the way. But there is now a bit more play to the Miami offense, and Thursday’s contest has a forecast for a strong pitchers’ breeze. PASS.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlin at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (12-12) face the Atlanta Braves (16-8) in the 3rd game of their 4-game series on Wednesday. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

The Marlins have lost 3 straight outings after winning the first 2 games of a 7-game road trip.

The Braves won 7-4 Tuesday behind RHP Charlie Morton’s 7 innings of 1-run ball. Atlanta has won 2 contests in a row and has been playing streaky baseball. The Braves entered this series on a 4-game losing skid, and that stretch was on the heels of an 8-game win streak.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Alcaantara (1-2, 5.47 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 24 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 14 R (12 ER) in last 10 IP
  • Had a complete game shutout on April 4 vs. the Minnesota Twins

Elder (2-0, 1.14 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 or 0 runs in 3 of 4 starts
  • 0-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Miami

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-155) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

Elder has pitched excellently all season and the Braves are 3-1 when he starts.

Alcantara’s ERA outside of his one complete-game shutout is 8.61. The Marlins have lost 3 of his 4 starts.

While I like the Braves to win, I like the run line better — 6 of their last 7 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Braves’ last 7 wins have been by 2 or more runs, including the first 2 games of the series.

All 12 of the Marlins’ losses have been by 2 or more runs this season.

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+125).

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Over/Under

Three of Elder’s 4 starts have had 9 or more total runs.

Both games of the series so far had 11 total runs.

Four of the Braves’ last 5 outings have had 9 or more runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (12-11) and Atlanta Braves (15-8) continue a 3-game series on Tuesday with 1st pitch at Truist Park slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0; Atlanta took 13 of 19 from Miami in 2022

The Marlins were held to just 2 singles in Monday’s series opener. Over their last 3 games, they have gone 3-for-21 with runners in scoring position.

After winning 8 games in a row from April 10-18, the Braves then lost 4 straight, batting .173/.245/.291 (.536 OPS). Atlanta then downed Miami 11-0 Monday.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Bryan Hoeing vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Hoeing is making his 1st appearance of the season. He registered a 12.08 ERA in 12 2/3 IP in 8 games (1 start) last season.

  • Was removed from the 40-man roster in the offseason but has regained some organizational confidence after his 1st 17 1/3 IP at Triple-A Jacksonville this season (2.08 ERA, 20K against 2 BB)
  • Last pitched on Thursday, throwing 5 shutout innings — fanning 7 and walking 1 — in a Triple-A start

Morton (2-2, 3.22 ERA) makes his 5th start. He owns a 1.61 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.

  • Loves pitching at home: 3.35 ERA over last 3 seasons
  • Facing a Miami lineup that typically leans to the right; has held righty bats to a career .661 OPS (.763 vs. left-handers)

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Marlins +185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Braves -225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Braves -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

Miami might be a moderate lean with an undervalued starter on the mound. But Hoeing and the fish tank full of question marks around him tilt the scales out of profit’s reach. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No lean on a side, just on a couple or few extra runs being scored. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 series meetings in Atlanta.

Both clubs figure as being a couple games too far out over their skis, and unsustainable run prevention is close to the heart of each situation.

Hoeing likely cannot be counted on for much. Morton has run into a lot of contact so far and much of has been of the loud variety. The Atlanta bullpen also has cruised along with some generous rates around the margins.

On offense, the Braves have scored 5.29 runs per game, with an .818 OPS over their last 7 games at home.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (12-10) and Atlanta Braves (14-8) open up a 4-game set at Truist Park Monday. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won 13-6 in 2022

The Marlins are playing well and have won 5 of the 6 series they have played thus far. They’re winners of 7 of the last 10 and sit just 2 games behind the 1st-place Braves. They’ll have their work cut out for them Monday.

The Braves were swept by Houston and have lost 4 in a row after starting the season 14-4. They’re just 4-6 at home to this point. They have their stud,  Spencer Strider, on the hill Monday. The Braves are great defensively, ranking 5th in runs/9 (3.75), 2nd in HRs allowed (0.69) and 8th (.677) in OPS.

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Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Cabrera (1-1, 4.08 ERA) makes his 5th start this season. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 8.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.

  • Last start vs. Giants: 6 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 8 K
  • BB numbers are inflated from 13 walks in his first 2 GS.
  • 2 career starts vs. Atlanta: 0-0, 3.12 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 11 K in 8 2/3 IP

Strider (2-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and leads MLB with a 14.7 K/9 in 22 IP.

  • Last start vs. SD: 6 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 9 K
  • Has 9 K in each start this year
  • Has never faced Miami; is 7-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 14.3 K/9 in 20 career games (12 starts) at home

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

The Braves are huge favorites, and Strider has been great this season. But do not sell the Fish short and pay nearly 3 times your return for the Braves ML.

Instead, I’m going to take SPENCER STRIDER UNDER 18.5 OUTS (-160). He hasn’t gone past 6 innings in any of his 4 starts this season, and he has at least 2 BB to go with 9 K’s in each start.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves are a crazy 0-10 on the RL at home and 9-13 overall. Their bullpen is middle of the pack with a 3.61 ERA, and Miami is just 2 spots below them at 3.77.

Take the MARLINS +1.5 (+105) for a great value.

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Over/Under

The Marlins are just 1-9 O/U in the last 10 while the Braves are 6-4. It’s 64 degrees with a 9-mph wind blowing out to center field in a pitcher-friendly park. The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta, but this has the recipe for a tighter game.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-130).

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (21-24) host the Miami Marlins (18-24) Friday for the opener of a 3-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Miami has lost 4 of its last 5 games which includes a 2-1 series loss at home vs. the Braves last weekend. The Marlins are 4-6 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

Atlanta split a 4-game home series with the Philadelphia Phillies after losing 4-1 Thursday in the series finale and is 5-5 SU in its last 10 contests.

Season series: Tied 3-3 but the Braves have a plus-2 run differential in those meetings.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

LHP Tyler Rogers vs. RHP Ian Anderson

Rogers is 2-5 with a 5.20 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 36 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5-3, May 20 at home vs. the Braves with 4 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 3 HR, 2 BB and 5 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Braves: 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 4 BB and 9 K across 2 starts.

Anderson is 3-3 with a 4.07 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 42 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 4-3, Sunday at the Marlins with 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Marlins: 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA (11 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 5 BB and 10 K across 2 starts.

Marlins at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Braves 4

Money line

BET MARLINS (+115) because of the line freeze in the betting market in spite of the dip in Rogers’ numbers year over year and Atlanta’s 9-6 SU record vs. left-handed pitching.

Nearly two-thirds of the cash is on the Braves according to pregame.com but their number has barely budged off the opener. This tells us that the oddsmakers are comfortable with their price and welcome more pro-Atlanta action.

However, Rogers has electric stuff and has pitched much better on the road this season. Rogers hasn’t allowed a homer on the road and his 2.81 road FIP and 15.4% K-BB% on the road are much better than his home marks of a 7.38 FIP and 8.2% K-BB%. The opposite is true of Anderson’s home/road splits.

Miami’s lineup is in the top-10 of several advanced hitting metrics vs. right-handed pitching and Anderson has a career 1-3 record against the Marlins with a 4.50 ERA and 1.84 WHIP (both worse than his career marks).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because the Marlins +1.5 (-175) are out of my price range and Miami’s alternate RL is a no-go since the Marlins are just 6-14 RL as favorites.

Over/Under

PASS because we are late to the party since the market has steamed the juice up on the total.

I prefer the Over 8.5 (-130) because the Braves are 15-5-2 O/U as home favorites and Marlins-Braves are 3-1-1 O/U in their last 5 meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (5-8) meet the Atlanta Braves (7-8) Saturday for the second game of their  three-game series at Truist Park for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta beat Miami 3-0 in the series opener Friday thanks to a game by Braves RHP Kyle Wright who went 6-scoreless IP with 4 H, 1 BB and 11 K.

Season series: Atlanta leads 1-0.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

RHP Elieser Hernandez vs. RHP Ian Anderson

Hernandez (1-1, 4.22 ERA) got his first win Sunday versus the Philadelphia Phillies. He threw 6 IP with 1 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 5 K in the 11-3 victory.

  • 2021 vs. Braves: No-decision in Miami’s 6-4 victory in Atlanta with 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 4 K in 1 start.
  • vs. Braves on current roster: 1.77 FIP with a .239 batting average (BA), .276 wOBA, .226 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 28.0 K% and 86.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 50 plate appearances (PA).

Anderson (1-1, 6.48 ERA) won at the San Diego Padres last Saturday 5-2 going 5 2/3 IP, allowing 1 ER on 2 H and 1 BB with 7 K.

  • 2021 vs. Marlins: 1-1 with. 6.57 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 17 H, 11 BB and 19 K across 3 starts.
  • vs. Marlins on current roster: 3.55 FIP with a .312 BA, .366 wOBA, .373 xSLG, 25.6 K% and 85.2 mph EV in 86 PA.

Marlins at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 3, Braves 2

Money line

LEAN MARLINS (+130) because these teams are performing at a similar form entering Saturday so there’s value in betting the team with a plus-money payout.

There’s also a line freeze in the betting market because a vast majority of the action is on the Braves but the oddsmakers haven’t really moved the number. It appears that the sportsbooks are confident in their pricing and are inducing more pro-Atlanta action.

However, the Braves have a much higher ceiling since their lineup could start raking at any time and Miami’s First 5-inning RL is my favorite wager in this game hence the LEAN to the MARLINS (+130).

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Run line/Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the MARLINS +0.5 FIRST 5-INNING RL (-120) because Anderson has struggled versus Miami in his young career whereas Hernandez has very solid pitching peripherals against Atlanta.

Miami’s lineup also ranks 10th in both wRC+ and wOBA versus right-handed pitching (per FanGraphs), ahead of Atlanta’s lineup in both metrics.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107) because the weather forecast is predicting nearly double-digit mph winds blowing in from centerfield, the Marlins are 0-4 O/U in their last 4 games and the Braves are 0-3-1 O/U in Anderson’s last 4 starts as a favorite.

However, it’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-107) since roughly 90% of the cash is on the Under (according to Pregame.com) and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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