Houston Roughnecks betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The final game of the UFL regular season has the Houston Roughnecks (1-8) on the road to take on the Memphis Showboats (1-8) on Sunday. Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks have lost their last 5 games. They lost last week 26-22 at home against the Michigan Panthers, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (40) cashed in.

The Showboats have lost 8 straight games after a season-opening 18-12 road win over Houston. Last week they lost 36-21 to the D.C. Defenders, failing to cover the 5.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (45.5) cashed in.

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Roughnecks at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Showboats +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnkecks -1.5 (-115) | Showboats +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Showboats key injuries

Roughnecks

OL Isaiah Battle (knee) out
OL Cam Carter (abdomen) probable
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) probable
CB Jai Nunn-Liddell (chest, concussion, elbow, wrist) out
RB T.J. Pledger IV (ankle) out
CB Kiondre Thomas (ankle, foot) questionable

Showboats

WR Jonathan Adams (ankle) probable
LV Vontae Diggs (hamstring) probable
S Jarey Elder (hamstring) probable
CB T.J. Green (chest) probable
WR Lee Morris (shoulder) probable
QB Troy Williams (finger) probable

Roughnecks at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 27, Showboats 20

Moneyline

The last game of the regular season is between the 2 worst teams. Memphis’ only win game against Houston on the road in Week 1. But the Showboats have the league’s worst defense, allowing 30.9 points per game (PPG), more than 6 points more than the next-worst team. They have given up 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. That is combined with the 2nd-worst scoring offense, averaging 18.8 PPG.

The Roughnecks have the worst scoring offense at 16.2 PPG. They went through a 4-game stretch in which they did not score more than 12 points in a game, but have since improved. They have scored 28 and 22 in their last 2 games.

With that offensive bounce-back and Memphis’ porous defense, expect Houston to win.

Betting the the Roughnecks at -135 isn’t a bad play at all, but because there is only a 1.5-point spread, you get a little better value on that bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

The only time the Roughnecks have covered the spread this season is in their lone victory. This is only the 2nd time they are favored (the 1st time being in Week 1 against Memphis in their 18-12 season-opening loss).

The Showboats have covered the spread once in their last 7 losses. They had a 1-point loss, but their last 7 losses have been by at least 6 points.

BET ROUGHNECKS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Over has hit in 6 of the Showboats’ last 7 games. It has hit in the Roughnecks last 2.

The Showboats have allowed 24 or more in their last 7 and 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Houston has allowed 22 or more points in 4 of their last 5

BET OVER 45.5 (-110).

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Michigan Panthers at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Michigan Panthers at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Michigan Panthers (6-2) travel to meet the Houston Roughnecks (1-7) Sunday at Rice Stadium in Week 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Panthers are the hottest team in the UFL after the Birmingham Stallions had their 8-game winning streak snapped Saturday, Michigan has won 4 in a row, while splitting against the spread (ATS) in the span.

Defense has been a major reason for success this season, as the Panthers have allowed just 27 total points in the past 2 games, and Michigan has allowed 20 or fewer points in 7 of 8 games to date.

The offense for Michigan has been much better lately, too. The Panthers averaged just 18.5 points per game (PPG) in the first 4 outings, scoring 18 or fewer points in 3 of those games. In the 4-game win streak, Michigan is averaging 27.3 PPG.

The Roughnecks have been eliminated from the postseason chase, but they looked interested in playing last week at Birmingham. Houston fell just 35-28 on the road as 16.5-point underdogs as the Over cashed, and the 28 points marked a season high. The Over cashed, snapping a 4-0 run to the Under.

These teams played back in Week 3 at Ford Field, with the Panthers posting a 34-20 win as a 2-point favorite as the Over (38.5) easily connected.

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Panthers at Roughnecks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:24 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Panthers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Roughnecks +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread: Panthers -3.5 (-120) | Roughnecks +3.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Panthers at Roughnecks key injuries

Panthers

RB Larry Rountree (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks

TE Woody Brandom (leg) injured reserve
RB Ezra Gray (undisclosed) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (wrist) out
WR Brian Hightower (undisclosed) out
TE A.J. Lewis (undisclosed) out
RB Ezra Lewis (undisclosed) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve

Panthers at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 24, Roughnecks 15

Moneyline

The Panthers (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite risky.

The Stallions game against the Brahmas should serve as a cautionary tale why you should never bet heavy favorites straight up, especially on the road.

PASS.

Against the spread

The PANTHERS -3.5 (-120) are a strong play on the road at Rice Stadium. Michigan has clinched a playoff spot, while the Roughnecks +3.5 (+100) have long since been eliminated from the postseason.

Houston scored a season-high 28 points last week in Birmingham, as it hasn’t waved the white flag despite the fact it no longer can qualify for the postseason. The Roughnecks offense moved the ball well on the Stallions last week, but it won’t have that kind of success against the Panthers, though.

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Over/Under

UNDER 40 (-110) is the lean in Week 9, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has gone low in each of the past 2 games for Michigan, with the D allowing just 13.5 PPG. For Houston, it has managed 12 or fewer points on offense in 3 of the past 4 games, and the Under is 4-1 in the previous 5 outings.

While the Over cashed in the first meeting between these teams in Week 3, that’s when Houston still had hope, and wasn’t yet eliminated.

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Houston Roughnecks at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Roughnecks at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (1-6) travel to meet the Birmingham Stallions (7-0) Saturday at Protective Stadium for a Week 8 battle. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks are tied with the Memphis Showboats for last place in the USFL Conference, and Houston has already been eliminated from the postseason chase. Houston has a league-low 96 points, and it’s a dismal 1-3 straight-up (SU) in 4 road games.

The Roughnecks enter just 1-4-2 against the spread (ATS) this season, while going 0-2-1 ATS in the past 3 outings. The Under is on a 4-game run, too.

These teams already met at Rice Stadium in Houston back in Week 5, with the Stallions coming away with a 32-9 win as 8.5-point favorites as the Under (41.5) came in at most shops.

Birmingham is a perfect 7-for-7 straight up, while going a healthy 5-2 ATS. The Over has cashed in back-to-back games for the first time this season, and the offense has scored 30 or more points in each of the past 3 contests. The defense has allowed 23.5 PPG in the past 2 games, too.

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Roughnecks at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Stallions -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread: Roughnecks +16.5 (-110) | Stallions -16.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Roughnecks at Stallions key injuries

Roughnecks

RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
LB Reuben Foster (ankle, elbow) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (wrist) probable
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve
OT Na’Ty Rodgers (knee) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (ankle) probable
CB Kiondre Thomas (ankle, foot) out

Stallions

CB CJ Marable (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 36, Roughnecks 15

Moneyline

The Stallions (-2000) will set you back 20 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not nearly enough reward. You would have to risk $100 for every $5 won. There’s no value in that, no matter how much of a sure thing it likely is that Birmingham gets the W.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -16.5 (-110) are laying a giant number at home, but Birmingham is worth playing.

Birmingham worked over the Roughnecks +16.5 (-110) by 23 points at Rice Stadium just 3 weeks ago, and there is no reason to believe the results will be any different with the Stallions playing on their home field.

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Over/Under

OVER 42.5 (-115) is worth a look in this Week 8 rematch.

The Stallions dropped 32 points on the Roughnecks in the first meeting, and Birmingham’s offense has piled up 30 or more points in 3 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 outings.

The B-Ham defense has displayed some holes in the past 2 games, too. While allowing 26 to the Battlehawks last week is excusable, this team also let a poor Memphis team hang 21 points on them in Week 6.

Houston has really scuffled on offense, and it is the biggest reason there is any concern about playing the Over. The Roughnecks have cobbled together just 29 points of offense, or 9.7 PPG, in the past 3 games. But the defense has allowed 22 or more points in 4 of the past 6 contests, including 32 points allowed to Birmingham.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The San Antonio Brahmas (4-2) take on the Houston Roughnecks (1-5) Sunday at TDECU Stadium at 3 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brahmas vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert UFL football picks and predictions.

The Brahmas dropped a close one 18-12 against the D.C. Defenders last week as 1.5-point favorites. We had a better day than they did as we cashed the Defenders +105 and the Under 42.5. QB Quinten Dormady was 16-for-26 for a paltry 79 yards, 1 score and 1 pick. RB John Lovett was productive with 23 rushes for 153 yards on the ground, and he caught a 1-yard reception for pay dirt as well.

The Roughnecks were roughed up by the St. Louis Battlehawks 22-8 last week to fall to 1-5. They’ve been outscored 54-17 by the 2 top teams in St. Louis and the Birmingham Stallions the last 2 weeks. QB Reid Sinnett was 19-for-34 for 134 yards as Houston really struggled to get much traction on offense. RB Mark Thompson rushed 13 times for 46 yards and the lone score.

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Brahmas at Roughnecks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brahmas -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Roughnecks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Brahmas -3.5 (-110) | Roughnecks +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brahmas at Roughnecks key injuries

Brahmas

WR K.D. Cannon (hand) probable
RB Morgan Ellison (shoulder) probable
QB Chase Garbers (wrist) out
RB Anthony McFarland Jr. (shoulder) out
CB Darius Phillips (groin) out
LB Tim Ward (knee) probable

Roughnecks

WR Emmanuel Butler (hamstring) questionable
RB Tiyon Evans (knee) probable
DT Toby Johnson (knee) out

Brahmas at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 21, Brahmas 19

Moneyline

The Brahmas aren’t as good as their record indicates and have really struggled on offense since losing their top QB Garbers for the season. Stinnett is 5th in the league with 945 passing yards, and he’ll need to throw for over 200 yards to get this done. This is a pride game because they don’t want to fall 1-6 at home before another likely loss to the undefeated Stallions next week. Look for Houston to come out guns ablazin’.

It’s worth a HALF-UNIT on the upset here with ROUGHNECKS +140.

Against the spread

This is a spread I’d consider thanks to the extra hook we’re getting. This is the 3rd consecutive road game for the Brahmas. The Roughnecks’ only win of the season was against in-state rivals, the Arlington Renegades. So they get up for this matchup and at least cover.

Take the ROUGHNECKS +3.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Roughnecks are 1-4-1 O/U this year, and the Brahmas are 4-2. Houston is going to have to dial it up a notch to stay in it, and I’m most comfortable with the OVER 38.5 (-110).

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Houston Roughnecks at St. Louis Battlehawks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Roughnecks at St. Louis Battlehawks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (1-4) travel to meet the St. Louis Battlehawks (4-1) Saturday at the Dome at America’s Center. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Battlehawks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks have had a rough season, winning just a single game in 5 tries, and that came against a winless Arlington team in Week 4 at Rice Stadium. Houston was pounded 32-9 against Birmingham last week, failing to cover as an 8.5-point underdog at home.

The Roughnecks are just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) through 5 games, while the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge.

St. Louis picked up a 4th straight win in Week 5, routing the D.C. Defenders on the road at Audi Field, 45-12. The Battlehawks easily cashed as 3-point favorites, and they’re now 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games since losing as a favorite in Week 1 at Michigan. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row, too, with St. Louis going for 31 or more points in 3 straight games.

These teams met in Houston in Week 7 of the XFL season in 2023, with the Battlehawks coming away with a 24-15 win as a 3-point underdog as the Under (44.5) connected.

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Roughnecks at Battlehawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Battlehawks -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +11.5 (-110) | Battlehawks -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Battlehawks key injuries

Roughnecks

QB Kenji Behar (undisclosed) out
TE Woody Brandom (leg) injured reserve
RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
QB Nolan Henderson (undisclosed) out
WR Isiah Hennie (undisclosed) out
TE A.J. Lewis (undisclosed) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve

Battlehawks

WR Ja’Marcus Bradley (undisclosed) out
RB Mataeo Durant (toe) out
WR Kevon Latulas (undisclosed) out
QB Brandon Silvers (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Battlehawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Battlehawks 33, Roughnecks 16

Moneyline

The Battlehawks (-750) will set you back 7½ times your potential return, which is crazy risk for not nearly enough reward.

While it’s unlikely the Roughnecks (+525) will be able to pull off the road upset, St. Louis just doesn’t provide enough of a return.

PASS.

Against the spread

The BATTLEHAWKS -11.5 (-110) are just the 2nd double-digit favorite this season, with Birmingham also favored by double digits in its game in Memphis in Week 6.

The Battlehawks are on a roll with QB A.J. McCarron completing 68.5% of his pass attempts for 1,051 yards, a league-high 10 TD and just 1 INT. St. Louis would be even more effective if it could protect the signal caller, as the Battlehawks have allowed 11 sacks, 1 of just 3 UFL teams to allow double-digit sacks to the QB. As long as St. Louis can contain Ethan Westbrooks, who has racked up 3.5 sacks for Houston, the Battlehawks pass attack should roll.

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Over/Under

OVER 47.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Battlehawks rolled up 45 points at D.C. last weekend, and the offense is averaging 33.8 points per game (PPG) in the current 4-0 run to the Over. The defense has allowed 17 or more points in 4 of 5 games, so the Roughnecks should be able to help Over bettors somewhat.

Houston has scored 17 or more points in 3 of the past 4 games, although Birmingham stymied the Roughnecks offense last weekend, holding them to just 9 points.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (4-0) travel to meet the Houston Roughnecks (1-3) Saturday at Rice Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions held on for a 20-18 win over the D.C. Defenders last weekend, but they came nowhere near covering as 9-point favorites. The Under (46.5) cashed, and the total has now gone low in 3 of 4 games to date.

Birmingham has averaged 23.5 points per game (PPG) in 2 road outings while allowing just 13.5 PPG. The Stallions are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) away from home while cashing the Under in both instances.

The Roughnecks got off the schneid last week with a 17-9 win over the Arlington Renegades at Rice Stadium. The defensive effort was easily the best of the season for Houston, as it had allowed 25.0 PPG in the first 3 outings, cashing the Over twice.

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Stallions at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Roughnecks +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -8.5 (-110) | Roughnecks +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Roughnecks key injuries

Stallions

RB CJ Marable (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks

QB Kenji Behar (undisclosed) out
RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (ribs) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve
WR Reggie Roberson (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 25, Roughnecks 13

Moneyline

The Stallions (-400) are easily the best team in the UFL, boasting the best record at 4-0. The Roughnecks (+310) are no longer winless after last weekend, but they topped the winless Renegades. Houston is simply a step above the worst team in the league.

Birmingham is all but likely going to win this game, but you can’t risk 4 times your potential return, especially on a road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -8.5 (-110) are a much better play on the road laying the points.

Birmingham has managed at least 20 points in each of its 4 games, but defense is what really sets the Stallions apart. The defending USFL champs have allowed 14 or fewer points in 3 of the first 4 games and 18 or fewer points in each outing.

The Roughnecks +8.5 (+110) are going to find the sledding difficult against the Stallions D. Houston has scored 20 or fewer points in every game this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under is 3-1 in 4 games for Birmingham this season, and the only reason the Week 3 meeting with Memphis went Over was the poor D of the Showboats — Birmingham won 33-14.

Houston’s offense is subpar. The defense has performed well at home, allowing just 13.5 PPG, and that’s all the Roughnecks have to hang their hat on right now.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (0-1) and D.C. Defenders (0-1) meet Saturday at Audi Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Defenders odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks suffered an 18-12 loss last Sunday against the visiting Memphis Showboats, who won as 1.5-point underdogs as the Under (39.5) connected.

Memphis dominated time of possession at 39:32, to just 20:28 for Houston, while running 62 total plays, to just 37 for the Roughnecks. Houston did manage 4.7 yards per play, to just 3.7 for Memphis. The Roughnecks did a good job in rushing defense, too, holding the Showboats to just 1.8 yards per rush. Unfortunately, Houston lost 3 fumbles, and it was a minus-1 in turnover differential.

The Defenders went on the road and suffered a 27-12 loss to the San Antonio Brahmas last Sunday. Washington was actually favored by 6, but it came nowhere near threatening to cover as the Under (43.5) connected.

Washington held its own in total yards, posting 253 yards on 62 total plays, but it struggled in red-zone offense, going without a touchdown in 3 trips inside the opponents’ 20-yard line. The Defenders allowed 75 rushing yards and a rushing score while managing just 44 rushing yards on their own.

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Roughnecks at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Defenders -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +5 (-110) | Defenders -5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Defenders key injuries

Roughnecks

WR Steven Dunbar Jr. (groin) out
QB Nolan Henderson (undisclosed) out
WR Isiah Hennie (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out
RB Mark Thompson (knee) out

Defenders

QB Jalan McClendon (undisclosed) out
RB Abram Smith (knee) out
WR Vyncint Smith (elbow) out
RB Pooka Williams (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 25, Roughnecks 19

Moneyline

The Defenders (-230) will cost you almost 2 1/2 times your potential return as D.C. looks to bounce back after a disappointing opening weekend. Still, that’s way too much risk for not enough reward after losing last time out by a sizable margin.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DEFENDERS -5 (-110) are worth playing lightly. Neither team really did anything to instill confidence for bettors, as both sides lost outright as a favorite.

Still, D.C. did some good things last week, while the Roughnecks +5 (-110) were just too turnover prone. If the Defenders get on the ball in red-zone offense, they will be able to grab the win and cover in front of their home fans and beer snakes.

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Over/Under

OVER 40.5 (-110) is the lean, but again, go very lightly with a half-unit at most.

D.C. racked up 253 total yards of offense, and it could be even better on its home field, spurred on by its raucous crowd.

Houston did a decent job in rushing defense last week, so that is the concern with not going more aggressively on the Over.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Memphis Showboats at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Showboats at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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Week 1 of the first season of the new UFL wraps up on Sunday as the Memphis Showboats face the Houston Roughnecks. Kickoff is at 3 p.m. ET at Rice Stadium (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Showboats vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Showboats come from the USFL and finished 5-5 last season. But coach Todd Haley was replaced by John DeFilippo, who coached the USFL New Orleans Breakers last season. Their starting QB is Case Cookus, who led the Philadelphia Stars to the USFL championship game two seasons ago.

The Roughnecks went 7-3 in the USFL last season but lost to Arlington in the division championship. QB Jarrett Guarantano, who started 4 college seasons at Tennessee and spent a preseason with the Arizona Cardinals in 2022, is their starter this season.

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Showboats at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Showboats +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Roughnecks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Showboats +1.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Showboats at Roughnecks key injuries

Showboats (link)

DL Conner Christian (calf) out
CB Jeff McCulloch (shoulder) probable
TE Sage Surratt (hamstring) probable
RB Trey Williams (calf) probable

Roughnecks

TE Woody Brandom (calf) out
S Jamari Brown (abdomen) out
DE Chris Odom (calf, hamstring) out
RB Mark Thompson (knee) out

Showboats at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Showboats 21, Roughnecks 17

Moneyline

Houston is missing several key players to injury, including Thompson, who was the No. 2 rusher in the USFL last season.

DeFelippo was once on the verge of getting an NFL head-coaching job and has the more experienced quarterback.

With little else to go on in a league with no preseason, that is where the edge goes this week.

BET SHOWBOATS (+100).

Against the spread

Expecting the underdog Showboats to be victorious at even-money odds, that is the better bet than taking them +1.5 at -110.

Both of Saturday’s games were decided by 2 or more points.

In the Saturday game in which the underdog covered the spread, it was an outright 18-16 win by Michigan (+6.5) over St. Louis.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both of Saturday’s games stayed Under the projected total. With no preseason to get an offensive rhythm, especially where there are new coaches and quarterbacks, don’t expect a lot of points.

BET UNDER 39.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arlington Renegades (4-6) and the Houston Roughnecks (7-3) meet Saturday in the XFL South Division Championship. Kickoff from TDECU Stadium in Houston is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades backed into the playoffs after San Antonio lost a heartbreaker at home against DC in Week 10. Arlington lost 4 of its final 5 games, including a 25-9 setback as a 1-point favorite last week against Houston at home. The Under cashed in both meetings against Houston this season.

The Roughnecks won the final 3 games of the regular season while covering the spread in their past 2 outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games overall. Houston went 2-0 straight up and against the spread against Arlington this season, winning the first meeting 23-14 as a 4.5-point favorite as the Under (39.5) connected in Week 2.

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Renegades at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Roughnecks -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Roughnecks key injuries

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder, groin) out
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
LB Isaiah Graham-Mobley (shoulder) out

Roughnecks

WR Michael Bandy (hip) questionable
RB Dejoun Lee (shoulder) questionable

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Renegades at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 24, Arlington 12

Moneyline

The Roughnecks (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite risky despite that they have beaten the Renegades in both regular-season meetings.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The ROUGHNECKS -6.5 (-110) are a solid play worth pursuing rather aggressively, as long as the line doesn’t move to a flat 7 or 7.5.

Houston has won and covered both of its regular-season games against the Renegades, and it went 4-1 ATS in 5 home outings this season.

Arlington was a respectable 3-2 ATS in 5 games on the road, but it did fail to cover in its trip to Houston back in Week 2.

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-110) is worth playing in this trilogy matchup.

The Under cashed in each of the regular season meetings, with Arlington managing just 11.5 points per game. The Under went 8-2 overall for the Renegades, while the Under was 3-1 in the past 4 home games for the Roughnecks.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades Week 10 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The final day of the XFL regular season starts with the Houston Roughnecks (6-3) on the road against the Arlington Renegades (4-5). Kickoff is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at Choctaw Stadium (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Renegades odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The two teams met in Week 2 with the Roughnecks winning 23-14 as 4.5-point home favorites.

The Roughnecks have won 2 straight games and are coming off a 28-21 home win over the Vegas Vipers, covering the 6.5-point spread as favorites. They started the season 4-0, lost 3 straight and since bounced back with 2 consecutive wins. They have locked up the South Division title and will host the Renegades again next week in an XFL semifinal.

The Renegades have lost 3 of their last 4 but clinched 2nd place in the division. They are coming off a 28-26 road loss in overtime to the D.C. Defenders, but they covered as 8.5-point underdogs.

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Roughnecks at Renegades odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Renegades -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +1 (-110) | Renegades -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Renegades key injuries

Roughnecks

None

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder) questionable
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
RB De’Veon Smith (ankle) questionable

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Roughnecks at Renegades picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 20, Renegades 18

Moneyline

The Renegades are 2-2 at home this season, while the Roughnecks are 2-2 on the road.

The Renegades scored a season-high 26 points last week in their loss to the Defenders.

Even with the 26-point outburst, the Renegades still have scored the fewest points in the league with 137.

The Roughnecks have allowed an average of 15.2 points per game in their 6 wins.

Here it almost doesn’t matter whether you bet the money line or the spread. the price is almost the same.

Expecting a Houston win, it is a slightly better price here, so BET ROUGHNECKS (-105).

Against the spread

This game is essentially a pick-em.

With only a 1-point spread, the worst outcome is a push if you bet the Renegades and they only win by one.

But the price is -110 to bet the Roughnecks to cover (not lose by more than 1) and the price to bet them to win outright is -105. Save the $5 and bet the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

Only 2 of the Renegades’ games this season combined for more than 40 points, Week 1 and last week.

Only 4 of 9 games for Houston have had totals higher than this games’ projection and when the two teams met in Week 2, they had 37 points.

BET UNDER 41.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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