2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: Conquer Deebo Samuel receiving props

Looking at prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards in the 2020 Super Bowl.

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There is no juicier sporting event to bet on than the 2020 Super Bowl. Aside from picking the San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs to win, a sharp can win money via player prop betting. Let’s analyze, and pick, BetMGM‘s Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards projections.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:45 p.m. ET.

Deebo Samuel’s 2020 Super Bowl receptions: 4.5

Don’t sleep on the Chiefs pass defense. They have given up the fewest catches and receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Kansas City has allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards and, according to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs have the sixth-best pass defense by their DVOA metric.

The biggest thing keeping Samuel away from going Over on his receptions props could be the 49ers themselves. Positive game script for San Francisco is them bludgeoning the Chiefs defense with the run. Plus, the 49ers’ most dynamic pass-catcher is TE George Kittle. Acquiring WR Emmanuel Sanders at the trade deadline before Week 8 added yet another option for QB Jimmy Garoppolo. In the 15 games in which Samuel has played this season, he has caught five or more balls in only five games. His 68.9% catch rate ranks 68th in the NFL but Samuel’s 5.29 targets per game ranks 85th.

BetMGM has factored in these things before making their line, hence the Under 4.5 catches is juiced to -143. The math says this prop goes Under so swallow the vig and BET DEEBO SAMUEL UNDER 4.5 CATCHES (-143).


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Deebo Samuel’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 56.5

(Photo credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

It’s almost guaranteed head coaches Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid will dial-up exquisite shot plays. They’ve been doing it all year. Both have the play design and personnel to throw the kitchen sink at each other.

The Chiefs’ secondary has played well all season long but their best player is All-Pro safety Tyrann Mathieu, and it makes sense if his main assignments are Kittle and the 49ers’ vaunted ground game. San Francisco is tied with the New England Patriots for the fourth-most pass plays of 20-plus yards, and Samuel had 18 of those in his 15 regular season and postseason games played. So, between the 49ers’ powerful rushing attack and the explosive Kittle, expect Garoppolo to take some shots downfield against one-on-one coverage to his wideouts. BET DEEBO SAMUEL OVER 56.5 RECEIVING YARDS (+100).

Also see:

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Reflecting on the 10 previous Super Bowls played in Miami

Joe Namath, Jim O’Brien, Steve Young and John Elways were some of the stars in Super Bowls played in Miami.

Super Bowl LIV will be the 11th to be played in the Miami metropolitan area. Some of the games have been historic, such as the Jets’ win over the Colts in Super Bowl III, at the Orange Bowl. What do the Chiefs and Niners have in store when they meet Feb. 2 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens?

II: Packers 33, Raiders 14

Hulton Archive/Getty Images

Vince Lombardi’s Packers won their second straight Super Bowl. Bart Starr was the MVP for the second straight season. Don Chandler kicked four field goals and Herb Adderley returned an interception 60 yards for a TD in the Orange Bowl.

Super Bowl 54 schedule: Game time, location, broadcast info and more

All the information you need to know about Super Bowl LIV between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers are set for what appears to be an exciting battle in Super Bowl LIV on Feb. 2. The Chiefs advanced to their first Super Bowl since 1970 with a thrashing of the Tennessee Titans behind star quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The 49ers, meanwhile, manhandled the Green Bay Packers for the second time this season.

Here’s the information you need to know about Super Bowl LIV:

Date: Feb. 2, 2020

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens (FL) This will be the 11th time the Miami metropolitan area will play host to a Super Bowl.

Home team: AFC is home on even years, NFC on odd. That means the Chiefs will be the home team.

How much are tickets? The least expensive tickets on Stubhub.com are $4,464. The priciest are more than $45,000. The secondary market for this game figures to be a hot one.

Television broadcast: FOX (Joe Buck and Troy Aikman)

Radio broadcast: Westwood One Network

Stream: fuboTV (try for free)

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

National anthem: Demi Lovato. Christine Sun Kim, internationally renowned sound artist and performer, will sign the National Anthem in American Sign Language.

Halftime: Jennifer Lopez and Shakira

 

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins NFL Week 16 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

The Cincinnati Bengals (1-13) face the Miami Dolphins (3-11) in a game someone has to win but likely few will watch when they meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

Cincinnati at Miami: Week 16 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Miami has had a ratty record, but the Dolphins are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games after starting off the season 0-4.
  • Miami is 7-1 against the moneyline in its last eight games as a home favorite.
  • Nobody has scored fewer points this season than Bengals’ 211 points – an average of just 15 a game.
  • Miami has hit the over in four of its last five games.
  • Cincinnati is 0-7 against the moneyline on the road this season, but 4-3 ATS.
  • Last week, the two teams allowed a combined 70 points in losses – 34 by the Bengals and 36 by the Dolphins.

Cincinnati at Miami: Key injuries

Three Bengals haven’t practiced yet this week – the usual suspect A.J. Green (ankle), who has been on the active roster for all 15 games; G John Miller (concussion); and CB Darius Phillips (illness). RB Joe Mixon was added to the injury report Thursday with a calf injury, but did practice. No Dolphins missed practice Thursday and only three – WR Allen Hurns (ankle/knee), DT Zach Sieler (ankle) and K Jason Sanders (illness) – were limited.

Cincinnati at Miami: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines as of Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Miami 31, Cincinnati 24

Moneyline (?)

This is a bet correction for action coming in to force a pick-’em scenario. You almost never see an NFL moneyline at -110 for both teams. Nobody who thinks Miami will win will take that bet when they can get even money on the point line. If you think the Bengals are going to win, the price of getting 1.5 isn’t worth it – unless you somehow think the game could go to overtime and end in a tie.

Against the Spread (?)

The same rule of thumb applies. If you’re going to give away 1.5 points (Miami), you’re at even money (100). Get 1.5 (Cincy) and your price goes to -121 from -110. The only people who should be on this are those backing Miami.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Dolphins to win outright would return a profit of $9.09, while the same wager on the Dolphins to win by more than 1 point would return $10. A $10 wager on the Bengals to win outright would return $9.09, while the same wager on them to win or lose by 1 point would return $8.26.

Over/Under (?)

This is the most intriguing bet of them all. These teams have won four games out of 28 played because they both have iffy offenses and bad defenses. But when a veteran QB gets up against a bad defense, shootouts can take place. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Andy Dalton have nothing left to lose. Let the ball fly! The bet is the under (-121), but we’re taking OVER 46.5 (100) and running with it.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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PODCAST: Has the Bills offense made a turnaround?

Bills Wire Buffalo Bills podcast recap of the team’s Week 11 win over the Miami Dolphins.

The Buffalo Bills went down to Miami and took care of the business, squishing the “fish”(mammals) in their second encounter of the season with a score of 37-20. It was the most points accrued by this Bills offense all season, and they shined in all aspects. Mustached Buffalo offense coordinator Brian Daboll got it done.

Despite what their record may say, Mimai was a valiant team, and had been riding high on a two-game win streak, but the Bills slowed them down. There were a few moments where the Dolphins had opportunities to take over the game, but they could not capitalize.

Miami only attempted to rush a mere 13 attempts for 23 yards, a questionable decision since rushing up the middle worked to their advantage in the first encounter.

The offense for Buffalo was essentially fan service against Miami, and the Bills social media crowd got their way. Devin Singletary was the primary running back, getting key downs and leading the rushing yardage. Quarterback Josh Allen heaved the ball around, hitting wideout John Brown for two touchdown passes, further cementing Brown’s roster spot for years to come. Brown, who many have only viewed as “just a deep ball guy” has shown that he can be the No. 1 receiver that the team has desperately needed for a long time.

Billswire Podcast Hosts Matt Johnson and Jeremy Juhasz explore the big win in Miami, and look ahead ahead toward Denver next week:

 

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Bills-Dolphins odds: Buffalo enters as huge road favorite

Previewing Sunday’s Bills at Dolphins NFL matchup with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The Buffalo Bills (6-3) travel to Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., for an AFC East tilt with the Miami Dolphins (2-7). Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. We analyze the Bills-Dolphins sports betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks and tips for the Week 11 matchup.

Bills-Dolphins: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


  • The Bills are coming off a loss in Cleveland in Week 10, while the Dolphins surprised the Colts in Indianapolis last week.
  • Buffalo topped Miami 31-21 on Oct. 20 in Western New York, although the Dolphins did cover.
  • The Bills are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight against AFC foes, while the Dolphins are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their past four vs. AFC.
  • Buffalo has posted a 4-0-1 ATS in the past five road games, but is 1-6-1 ATS in its past eight on the road against teams with a losing home mark.
  • The Buffalo defense ranks third in total yards allowed (304.2), passing yards allowed (188.7) and points allowed (16.7) per game.
  • The Dolphins rank 31st in scoring (13.2 points per game), but they are averaging 18.7 PPG across the past four.
  • Miami enters on a 5-0 ATS streak, too.

Bills at Dolphins: Key injuries

Bills: DE Jerry Hughes (groin) did not practice Friday and is considered questionable, while TE Dawson Knox (knee) practiced in full Friday and is off the injury report.

Dolphins: DE Taco Charlton (elbow), S Reshad Jones (chest), LB Raekwon McMillan (knee) and DE Avery Moss (ankle) are questionable, while CB Ken Webster (ankle) is out.

Bills at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Bills 21, Dolphins 17

Moneyline (?)

The Bills (-295) should be able to ease by the Dolphins in South Florida, but a few things concern me about this game. One, the Bills will be playing in the heat and humidity of Miami, although it won’t be blazing hot. And, the Dolphins (+240) suddenly have a belief in themselves after two straight wins against the Jets and Colts.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Bills to win outright returns a $3.40 profit.

Against the Spread (?)

The DOLPHINS (+6.5, -110) were the laughingstock of the league earlier this season, getting their doors blown off in two straight games to open the season. However, they’re 5-0 ATS across the past five and look like an NFL-caliber team again with QB Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. The Bills (-6.5, -110) are a risky play on the road against a team which covered against them in Buffalo in October.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 40.5 (-106) is the way to go, although I’d go super light on this one. Miami’s defense is still not a juggernaut, and the Bills are much stronger running the football than slinging it around. As such, running teams equal under results.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. Looking for more sports betting picks and tips? Visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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