Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Green Bay Packers and Cincinnati Bengals kick off their 2023 preseason schedules Friday. Kickoff from Paycor Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Packers vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Green Bay had a busy offseason as they let go of future Hall-of-Fame QB Aaron Rodgers to allow QB Jordan Love an opportunity to start. After missing the playoffs last year, the Packers are heading in a new direction in the hopes that Love will be able to keep the team afloat as contenders in the NFC North.

After having a mediocre defense last year the Packers are looking to be more aggressive on that side of the ball this year, according to a report written by ESPN.com’s Rob Demovsky, and this will be the first display of that shift in the defensive identity for Green Bay.

After last year’s AFC Championship game loss to Kansas City the Bengals are coming into this season looking to find their way back into the Super Bowl. Unfortunately for Cincinnati fans, star QB Joe Burrow is out with a calf injury heading into the preseason. HC Zac Taylor is planning to play both veteran QB Trevor Siemian and 27-year-old journeyman QB Jake Browning.

The Bengals had a very solid offseason despite Burrow’s injury. Cincinnati was able to re-sign some key defensive players to contract extensions and made some good signings through free agency. Their biggest free-agent signing was OT Orlando Brown Jr., from the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Packers at Bengals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:30 a.m. ET

  • Moneyline (ML): Packers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Bengals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -4.5 (-110) | Bengals +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 35.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Packers at Bengals picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 24, Bengals 21

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Packers for this play, but at -200, the line is simply not worth the juice. Bet on the spread and/or the O/U instead.

Against the spread

BET BENGALS +4.5 (-110). 

While I do believe the Packers and Love will come away with the win, I expect Cincinnati to put up a fight. Bengals fans have a lot to look forward to with this game as both Cincinnati’s new free-agent class and draft class will be looking to impress. Look for this game to come down to a field goal finish.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 35.5 (-105).

Both teams have a lot of offensive weapons, but neither team has the stability under center they are used to.  So I don’t see this being a very high-scoring affair, but it should still eclipse 36 total points. Both defenses should be very solid this year, but with this being preseason Week 1, I do expect to see some chemistry issues and sloppy football that will lead to this game hitting on the Over.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers Week 5 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Green Bay Packers (3-1) stop by Paul Brown Stadium Sunday to play the Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Packers vs. Bengals odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Green Bay cruised past the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-17 as a 6.5-point home favorite in Week 4. The Packers have won covered the last three games after their weird 38-3 Week 1 loss to the New Orleans Saints.

Cincy rallied back from a 14-point, first-half deficit to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-21 on Thursday Night Football. The Bengals are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), which includes a 24-10 win at the Steelers in Week 3.

Packers at Bengals odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:39 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Bengals +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -2.5 (-1325) | Bengals +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Packers at Bengals key injuries

Packers

  • RB Aaron Jones (ankle) questionable
  • LT Elgton Jenkins (toe) questionable
  • Josh Myers (finger) questionable
  • CB Kevin King (concussion) questionable
  • CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder) questionable
  • LB Za’Darius Smith (back) IR-out

Bengals

  • RB Joe Mixon (ankle) questionable
  • WR Tee Higgins (shoulder) questionable
  • Trey Hopkins (knee) questionable
  • RG Xavier Su’a-Filo (knee) questionable
  • DT Larry Ogunjobi (knee) questionable
  • CB Trae Waynes (knee) questionable
  • CB Chidobe Awuzie (groin) questionable

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Packers at Bengals odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bengals 30, Packers 24

Money line

PASS because the Cincinnati (+122) doesn’t make much sense when Cincy plus the points is still even-money (+100).

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the BENGALS +2.5 (+100) because there’s “reverse line movement” in Cincy’s direction and the Bengals have been a lot more efficient thus far.

A vast majority of the action is on Green Bay to cover but Cincy has gone from a 3.5-point underdog down to the current price. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

The Bengals have a higher net points per play, yards per play and red zone-scoring differentials. On top of that, Green Bay has a negative expected points added (EPA) differential. And each team has played a similar strength of schedule.

There’s an old-school handicapping angle where you flip the 3-point home field advantage and analyze the game. So, in this case, we’d make the Packers home and add six points to their spread. It would be hard to argue Green Bay laying 8.5 points is a good bet.

I know it seems like the Packers -2.5 (-125) is cheap but the bottom line is Green Bay is overpriced in this spot. TAKE the BENGALS +2.5 (+100).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 50.5 (-115) for a small wager, if at all, because I much prefer Cincy’s spread and we are getting to the party late.

According to Pregame.com, more than 90% of the action is on the Over, which has caused oddsmakers to move the Packers-Bengals total up from the 48.5-point opener. Perhaps Over 50.5 (-115) is still a winner, but I liked this total a lot more when it was 48.5.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Underdog corner: 3 best NFL ATS picks and predictions for Week 5

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 5, with three predictions and picks for the best ATS underdog bets to make.

After a hot start, we cooled off here in Week 4, cashing in on only one of our three weekly selections. But, hey, 9-3 after four weeks? Certainly no hanging heads here. Below, we look at the top NFL underdog ATS picks and predictions of Week 5.

Also see: All Week 5 odds and lines

NFL underdog predictions: Week 5

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-125) vs. Green Bay Packers

QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have bounced back nicely from their season-opening debacle against the New Orleans Saints, by reeling off three straight wins.

The Bengals are also 3-1 and have won with a promising mix of young offensive talent, led by second-year QB Joe Burrow and rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase, along with an improved and underrated defense.

That should be more than enough to at least keep it close — and possibly even win outright — at home against a banged-up Green Bay squad which likely will be without some key offensive linemen, its best pass rusher and top cornerback.

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San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-112) at Arizona Cardinals

QB Kyler Murray and the Cards are the league’s final unbeaten team and are coming off a huge 37-20 win over the previously undefeated Los Angeles Rams as 3.5-point road underdogs.

That, however, makes this a prime letdown spot for Arizona as it hosts an angry 49ers squad hitting the road off two straight stinging home setbacks.

Even though it likely will be rookie Trey Lance starting at QB for the Niners, they have had recent success in this NFC West series, winning three of the last four meetings.

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Buffalo Bills +2.5 (-102) at Kansas City Chiefs

K.C. is favored by less than a field goal at home Sunday night for the first time ever in a game QB Patrick Mahomes is slated to start.

That’s a giveaway right there that the wrong team might be favored in this rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game won 38-24 by the Chiefs.

Both squads once again have top-three scoring offenses with top-level QBs, but the huge difference is defense as the Bills have surrendered the fewest points (44) and total yards (867) in the league while the Chiefs rank 31st in both categories, giving up 125 points and 1,751 yards.

With the spread under 3 points, take the Bills on the money line at +120 to earn a measure of revenge.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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