Tiger Woods is less than 100%, but that isn’t deterring bettors from putting money on the GOAT’s chances at The Open Championship this weekend.
Despite +7000 odds at Tipico Sportsbook to win the event — the 25th-shortest in the field — Woods represents 10% of the book’s bets on outright winners. If he were to pull it off, bettors would rake in a whole lot of dough. His +1500 odds to finish in the top five are tied for 28th, and his odds to finish in the top 20 can be had at +300. Those are the longest odds out of his group for the first two rounds, which includes Matt Fitzpatrick and Max Homa, who is a noted Woods fan.
At BetMGM, Woods is the single biggest liability, with 5.7% of tickets and 6.7% of handle on him.
Biggest outright liability for British Open @BetMGM is Tiger Woods, but they're cool:
“Judging from his last few tournaments, playing four days in a row seems to put incredible stress on Tiger’s body so we're comfortable with the huge liability," says Jason Scott, VP of trading. pic.twitter.com/l9LRvRanpl
As noted in the tweet from Cover reporter Geoff Zochodne, BetMGM is comfortable with the amount of money pouring in on Woods because of his condition. The last time we saw Woods in real competition was the PGA Championship in May, when he withdrew after the third round.
Woods skipped the U.S. Open last month to give his leg ample time to recover before this weekend, but he remains a longshot to come out on top. Rory McIlroy is the betting favorite to win, with +900 odds on Tipico, followed by Jordan Spieth, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele all at +1500.
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This week’s field of 156 players features 33 who made the cut the last time the Open was held at St. Andrews.
This week the home of golf is playing host to a milestone major.
The world’s best players are bound for the Old Course at St. Andrews for the 150th playing of the Open Championship, the final men’s major of the year. This year’s Open is the 30th to be played at the Old Course and the first time since 2015, when Zach Johnson won a four-hole playoff against Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman.
The field of 156 players features 33 who made the cut the last time the Open was held at St. Andrews. If you’re looking to place a wager or two this week, this might be a good place to start.
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ThePostGame runs down odds for former winners at the 2021 Open Championship.
The winner of the 2015 British Open, Zach Johnson, won’t be in the mix this year, as he had to withdraw after testing positive for COVID-19. But if you value championship experience, there are plenty of other former British Open winners to back this week.
Among the recent winners, Jordan Spieth (2017) has the most favorable prospects at +1800. Check out the prices on other former champs, including Phil Mickelson, and go to BetMGM for the most updated odds.
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The Post Game checks out odds for top contenders at the 2021 Open Championship.
U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm is the favorite for the 2021 Open Championship at Royal St. George’s. But history might not be on Rahm’s side. No golfer has won the U.S. and the British in the same year since Tiger Woods in 2000. And before that, you’ll have to dig through the record books to 1982 when Tom Watson pulled off this parlay.
If it’s any consolation to Rahm, the other two major champions from this year don’t have nearly quite the same bright outlook. Masters champ Hideki Matsuyama withdrew after testing positive for COVID-19, and PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson doesn’t even crack the top three dozen players on the board for the Open at +8000. Check BetMGM for the most updated odds.
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Check out the best matchups and prop bet predictions for the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
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The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links in California will carry on this week without amateurs and without Golfweek/Sagarin‘s No. 2 golfer Dustin Johnson. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
The Pro-Am portion of the event was scrapped amid the COVID-19 pandemic; Johnson withdrew Monday following a win in Saudi Arabia. The tournament will be held on two courses – Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course – instead of the usual three and the cut will be made after 36 holes instead of 54 without amateurs attending.
Johnson was just one of several golfers to withdraw Monday. Their absence swings open the door for yet another long-shot winner at Pebble Beach.
This is the top bet of the week with plus-money on Molinari coming off back-to-back top-10 finishes at The American Express (T-8) and Farmers Insurance Open (T-10). Despite entering at just No. 92 in the Golfweek rankings, the 2018 Open Champion is still one of the best players in this suddenly depleted field.
Spieth stole headlines with a resurgent performance last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but he’s still wildly erratic off-the-tee and hadn’t had a top-10 finish since the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge prior to last week. Fade the public pick.
Si Woo Kim vs. Kevin Streelman (-110)
Kim, the American Express champion, missed the cut at the FIO and finished T-50 in Phoenix in his two follow-up starts. Streelman was the solo runner-up in this event last year with an average of 2.19 Strokes Gained: Approach per round. He tied for 22nd last week with another strong iron performance.
The 2020 champion of Pebble Beach tied for 11th at the Sony Open in Hawaii before a T-47 at The American Express and a missed cut in Phoenix back on the mainland. He had similar form early last year and entered this event at just 229th in the Official World Golf Ranking.
Better than a 10-1 payout for the defending champ with the pre-tournament betting favorite and top-ranked golfer already out of the field is great value.
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Top 10: Akshay Bhatia (+2500)
Bhatia has just one top-10 finish in 11 career PGA Tour events, but he’s in a good spot for a breakthrough performance in this lackluster field. He’s strong on approach to the green and has a solid short game. Those are key stats this week at the shorter courses.
Top European: Francesco Molinari (+450)
We like Molinari in a tournament head-to-head against the overvalued Spieth and this is essentially a second head-to-head between Molinari and Paul Casey (+250). Casey has been playing great golf, but he comes off a three-event swing to open his 2021 calendar that has seen him go from California to Dubai to Saudi Arabia and now back to California.
Fade the travel schedule and take the rested Molinari.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Barracuda Championship with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
The 2020 Barracuda Championship serves as the alternate event to this week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and returns to Montreaux Golf & Country Club in Truckee, Calif. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds, and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets for the Barracuda Championship.
Note: This tournament uses Modified Stableford scoring. Collin Morikawa and Andrew Putnam won in 2019 and 2018, respectively, with 47 points.
Noren, a 10-time winner on the European Tour, fell just shy of his first PGA Tour victory at last week’s 3M Open. He went 5-under par in his final round but finished T-3 at minus-16 and three shots back of champion Michael Thompson.
He gained 1.71 strokes putting per round over the tournament, according to Data Golf, but was also steady on approach, off-the-tee and from tee-to-green. He was able to move to 98th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings with the performance and will try again for his first victory against an even weaker field.
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Matthias Schwab (+2800)
Schwab tied for 32nd last week at minus-10 despite losing a dreadful 1.70 strokes putting per round on the putting surfaces. He led the field with 2.76 SG: Tee-to-Green per round and was second with 2.05 SG: Approach. Bank on the more repeatable swings and get him at a number much higher than he should have against this competition.
Munoz tied for 48th in a strong field amid difficult conditions at the Memorial Tournament before taking last week off. He had previously missed three straight cuts following a T-28 showing at the RBC Heritage. His victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier in the 2019-20 season was in a field more comparable to what he’ll face this week.
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Bronson Burgoon (+8000)
Burgoon finished alone in fifth last year at minus-13 despite losing 0.44 strokes per round on the greens. He averaged 2.50 SG: Tee-to-Green over the tournament. He missed three consecutive cuts before finishing T-61 at the Workday Charity Open and T-41 last week and finally seems to be trending in the right direction.
2020 Barracuda Championship Betting Picks – Long shots
Robby Shelton (+10000)
Shelton’s price is a mystery after he fired a Sunday round of 7-under to finish T-3 at minus-16 in a stronger field last week. He averaged 2.66 SG: Tee-to-Green per round, 1.42 SG: Approach and 1.13 SG: Off-the-Tee. He’s one of the top values on the board in an open competition.
Sahith Theegala (+15000)
We’re going back to Theegala yet again to try to capitalize on his high odds and college pedigree in a weaker field. He has begun his professional career with three straight missed cuts but will look to follow suit of Morikawa (2019 Barracuda Championship) and Viktor Hovland (2020 Puerto Rico Open) as top college golfers to get their first wins in these alternate events.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
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The 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational serves as the final tune-up for the PGA Championship, and the top six golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings head to TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets to win the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
The 78-man field includes 2019 champion Brooks Koepka, plus the reigning winners of the Memorial Tournament (Jon Rahm) and the 3M Open (Michael Thompson).
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 1
Hatton has been on a tear since winning the European Tour’s Turkish Airlines Open near the end of 2019. He picked up his first PGA Tour win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March and has come out of the break with a T-3 at the RBC Heritage and a T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He tied for sixth at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier this season, as well.
The 12th-ranked golfer in the world ranks second on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach; fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green; fifth in Par 4 Performance; and first in SG: Putting.
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Collin Morikawa (+2800)
Morikawa followed up his victory at the Workday Charity Open at Muirfield Village Golf Club with a T-48 result in the more challenging Memorial Tournament the following week. He won last year’s Barracuda Championship as the alternate field event to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational but has now been invited to the bigger stage with two PGA Tour wins under his belt.
He’s eighth in the field by the Golfweek rankings and ninth by the odds to win at BetMGM.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 2
Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer was in strong form out of the break prior to a T-58 finish at the Memorial. He’s in the top 25 on Tour in SG: Approach, SG: Tee-to-Green; and Par 4 Performance.
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Sungjae Im (+9000)
Im, the winner of The Honda Classic, has been in poor form since a T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He missed the cut at the RBC Heritage and the Memorial while finishing outside the top 50 in his three other events.
He’s coming off a rare one-week break and has much higher odds than we’ve seen for much of the last two years.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Long shots
Max Homa (+12500)
Homa ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in last week’s field in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach, according to Data Golf. He lost a woeful 2.31 strokes per round putting but was still able to finish T-3. He’ll face much stiffer competition this week, but his odds remain ripe for the picking.
Mackenzie Hughes (+15000)
Hughes has a T-3 at the Travelers Championship and a T-6 at the Memorial as his best results in five events since returning to play. He has been much better in SG: Putting and SG: Around-the-Green than in approach and from tee-to-green, but his flat stick is absolutely worth backing at this high of a number.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., hosts the 2020 3M Open with the opening round Thursday. Matthew Wolff tries to defend his 2019 victory in the inaugural event against the weakest field we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. As a result, there’s plenty of betting value beyond the top names of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Tommy Fleetwood. Below, we look at the best prop bets for the 3M Open, including matchups, placings and first-round leader picks.
Johnson and Koepka are the first and fourth betting favorites at +1000 and +1600, respectively. They’re the class of a weaker field, but there’s no value in betting them outright in what’s likely their final preparations for the PGA Championship.
Johnson missed the cut last week at plus-16 after opening 80-80 in the tough conditions at Muirfield Village Golf Club. He’ll bounce back on a much easier course following his weekend off.
Tony Finau (-125) vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Finau collapsed last week at the Memorial Tournament as Jon Rahm went on to win by three strokes over Ryan Palmer and Finau finished eighth. Finau will recover in easier scoring conditions and against a weaker field as Fleetwood makes his first appearance since The Players Championship was canceled.
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2020 3M Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Ryan Armour (+1600)
Armour finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished at minus-15 and minus-16 in his two top results and should have little trouble lighting up TPC Twin Cities.
Top 10: Bernd Wiesberger (+850)
The golf betting community missed on Wiesberger last week, as he missed the cut at plus-7. Typically playing only majors and World Golf Championship events while dominating the European Tour, the 3M Open will feature one of the easiest courses and weakest fields of any PGA Tour event he has played.
Top British/Irish: Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Fleetwood doesn’t hold much value at +1500 to win the first tournament he has played in four months. He is +100 to be the top English player, but his odds rise with only Russell Knox (+900) and Seamus Power (+1600) being added as competition.
Top player from the rest of the world: Emiliano Grillo (+1400)
Grillo is priced sixth in this group led by South African Erik Van Rooyen at +600. Grillo missed the cut last week while losing 2.46 strokes per round putting, but he gained 0.88 strokes off-the-tee. The latter is the much more important statistic at TPC Twin Cities, and he’ll be able to contend without needing to worry as much about the flat stick.
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2020 3M Open: First-round leader bet
Derek Ernst (+17500)
Ernst, a former PGA Tour winner, returns to a PGA Tour event for the first time since a T-52 finish at the Puerto Rico Open in February. He has dominated the Korn Ferry Tour of late with three straight finishes of T-12 or better and looks to carry his top form to the next level.
Lucas Glover (+4500)
Glover finished T-7 last year at minus-16 after firing a Sunday round of 62. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events since returning to play, as he has been one of the most consistent in the strong fields. He’s ready to break through against softer competition.
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Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.
The 2020 3M Open will see Matthew Wolff try to defend his 2019 victory at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., against Tommy Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and the rest of a rather lackluster field. Fleetwood makes his first appearance since the midseason pause and is the top-ranked player in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities
Ventura tied for 21st at the Rocket Mortgage Classic amid a strong stretch of play on the Korn Ferry Tour which included a T-8 finish at the TPC San Antonio Challenge at the Canyons. He should be able to earn a quality finish in a soft field this week.
29. Charley Hoffman (+7000)
Hoffman picked up a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open but didn’t play in the Memorial Tournament. He missed the cut in this event last year but lost a woeful 1.71 strokes per round putting, according to Data Golf.
28. Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert was off last week following his breakout fourth-place finish at the Workday Charity Open. He relied heavily on his putter in that performance but also managed to gain 0.92 strokes per round on approach.
27. Derek Ernst (+30000)
Like Ventura, Ernst is on a heater on the KFT and looks to take the next step in a soft field on the PGA Tour. He tied for fifth at the TPC San Antonio Championship at the Oaks following a T-12 at the Canyons. He won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2013 but made the cut in just three PGA Tour events since the beginning of 2019.
26. Emiliano Grillo (+10000)
Grillo’s struggles with the flat stick won’t be as much of a concern at TPC Twin Cities with a much stronger emphasis on the driver and approach game. He tied for third on a similar course for the Puerto Rico Open in February.
25. Roger Sloan (+20000)
Sloan finished T-15 here last year while gaining 1.22 strokes per round tee-to-green. He tied for 27th at the Workday Charity Open for his best result since play resumed.
24. Wyndham Clark (+9000)
Clark tied for fifth last year while leading the field in Driving Distance at 327.9 yards and gaining 1.33 strokes tee-to-green. His missed cut at the Memorial last week doesn’t carry much weight with easier conditions and a weakened field on hand this week.
23. Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 23rd in 2019 in a neutral putting performance. He has two missed cuts since play resumed with a T-49 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T-48 last week.
22. Matthias Schwab (+8000)
Schwab missed the cut last week in his first PGA Tour event since the WGC-Mexico Championship. He previously tied for 21st at the European Tour’s Qatar Masters and can certainly compete in fields like these.
21. Ryan Armour (+8000)
Armour is 47th on Tour this season in Birdie or Better Percentage. He finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday.
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20. Brian Harman (+5000)
Harman is tied for the 14th-best odds to win this event despite entering off of three straight missed cuts. He tied for seventh last year with just 0.85 SG: Putting per round.
19. Carlos Ortiz (+6600)
Ortiz finished T-5 in 2019 with 2.32 SG: Tee-to-Green and 1.29 SG: Approach per round. He has made the cut in three of five events since play returned.
18. Rafa Cabrera Bello (+7000)
Cabrera Bello has just two made cuts in five events since the midseason suspension was lifted. He has slipped all the way to 139th in the Golfweek rankings but will benefit from the weaker competition.
17. Dylan Frittelli (+6600)
Frittelli’s best result since play returned was a T-8 at the RBC Heritage. He missed his next two cuts but tied for 22nd last week. He’s tied for 34th on Tour this season in Par 5 Performance and will be able to take advantage of the easier holes here.
16. Harris English (+3300)
English is the second-best player in attendance by the Golfweek rankings at No. 19 in the world. He finished T-17 at the RBC Heritage and T-13 last week.
15. Sepp Straka (+6600)
Straka finished 61st at plus-11 last week, but he had done no worse than 10-under in his previous three events in which he made the cut. He can go low over four rounds and should easily make the cut in this field.
14. Max Homa (+6600)
Homa missed the weekend in each of his last three events, but he gained 1.28 strokes around the greens and 1.63 strokes tee-to-green at the 2019 3M Open before withdrawing during the third round.
13. Sam Burns (+4500)
Burns’ T-7 here last year was one of his best results of 2019 and he returns with three straight made cuts in tougher fields.
12. Bubba Watson (+3300)
Watson has more than enough distance for this course and should take advantage of the weaker field in a tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship.
11. Luke List (+4000)
List averaged 1.21 SG: Off-the-Tee and 1.75 SG: Tee-to-Green last week. Normally held back by his putter, he’ll benefit from the easier putting surfaces of TPC Twin Cities.
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10. Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Koepka is running out of time to correct the issues with his driver and short game ahead of the PGA Championship. The fact he’s still playing in a tournament like this just two weeks out is at least a sign he’s trying to fix the problems.
9. Will Gordon (+7000)
Gordon followed up his surprising T-3 result at the Travelers with a missed cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic but returns after two weeks off. His long game is well suited for this course.
8. Doc Redman (+5000)
Redman missed the cut last year with a horrendous performance from tee-to-green, but he returns while averaging 0.76 SG: T2G in 2020. He came out of the break with four straight weekend appearances before a missed cut last week.
7. Erik Van Rooyen (+3300)
Rooyen shares the eighth-best odds to win the tournament. He’s tied for 20th on Tour this season with 0.539 SG: Approach. He’ll face one of the weaker PGA Tour fields he has played against.
6. Tommy Fleetwood (+1400)
Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance by the Golfweek rankings but will play for the first time since The Players Championship was canceled after the opening round. He’s 10th on Tour while averaging 0.610 SG: Off-the-Tee through 10 measured rounds.
5. Matthew Wolff (+2500)
The defending champ has the sixth-best odds to win. He was the runner-up at the RMC in a similar-caliber field.
4. Paul Casey (+2200)
Casey has had a disappointing return to golf with a T-32 at the Travelers and a missed cut last week. He still enters the week 25th in the Golfweek rankings as the fourth-best golfer in the field.
3. Dustin Johnson (+900)
Johnson, the winner of the Travelers Championship, missed the cut at plus-16 last week while losing 3.12 SG: Putting per round. He enters as the betting favorite following his weekend of rest.
2. Lucas Glover (+3300)
Glover has been one of the best and most consistent golfers since play resumed. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events. He’s 26th in SG: Approach and 36th in Birdie or Better Percentage on Tour this season.
1. Tony Finau (+1200)
Finau suffered a Sunday collapse with a final round of 78 last week to finish in eighth place. The weaker field and softer conditions will allow for a quality bounce-back performance.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
Matthew Wolff looks to defend his 2019 title at this week’s 3M Open – which begins Thursday – at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. He’ll face a much weaker field than what was in attendance for Jon Rahm’s victory at last week’s Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our picks and best bets for the 2020 3M Open.
Glover shares the seventh-best odds to win the 3M Open following a T-38 finish last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club in more difficult conditions and against a much stronger field. He tied for seventh in this event last year and has made the cut in each of his five events since the PGA Tour returned to play following the midseason pause.
He’s 26th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach and 36th in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Birdies or Better Percentage.
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Erik Van Rooyen (+4500)
Van Rooyen finished T-22 last week. He tied for 21st at the RBC Heritage but missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Rocket Mortgage Classic.
He averaged 2.08 Strokes Gained: Approach and 2.19 SG: Tee-to-Green last week, according to Data Golf. The 30-year-old South African is still looking for his first win on the PGA Tour but will play against a weaker field than what’s usually at the tournaments in which he plays.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 2
Max Homa (+6600)
Homa has missed the cut in three straight events and four of his last five since play returned. He withdrew during the third round last year after making the cut at 5-under par. He’s 38th on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee and 49th in SG: Approach this season.
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Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 48th at plus-8 last week with a final round of 77. He was T-23 in this event last year at 13-under while averaging 1.50 SG: Tee-to-Green per round. He’ll be looking for his first top-10 result in his 10th event this year, but he had five top 10s in 30 events last year. His last win came at the 2018 RSM Classic in a more similar field than what we’ve seen lately.
2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Long shots
Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert took last week off following his breakout fourth-place finish in the Workday Charity Open. He gained 0.92 strokes on approach and 1.44 from tee-to-green per round at Muirfield Village and his odds remain high following the week away.
Sahith Theegala (+25000)
Theegala has his highest odds since turning pro after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. The former top amateur will play in his weakest field and has his best chance for success.
Wolff won here in 2019 as a +12500 long shot in his third start as a pro.
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