Tag: Giants Pirates odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The San Francisco Giants (24-26) and Pittsburgh Pirates (23-27) wrap a 3-game series Thursday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2

The first 2 games of this series both went 10 innings with the Giants rallying for a 9-5 victory as +108 underdogs Wednesday, a day after the Pirates rallied for a 7-6 win as +119 dogs in Tuesday’s opener. Thanks to the late drama, the Over cashed in both games.

The Pirates are vying for a 2nd consecutive series win, something they haven’t done since winning the first 3 series of the season against the Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles from March 28-April 7.

The Over is 5-2 in the past 7 games for Pittsburgh, and this series has been in stark contrast to the 3-game set at Oracle Park from April 26-28, when these teams cashed the Under in all 3 outings.

The Giants have won 5 of the past 6 games, while cashing the Over at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 outings. The total has gone high in 9 of the past 13 games for San Francisco, too.

Giants at Pirates projected starters

RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Black (0-1, 7.71 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.97 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 2 K in 10-5 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Friday
• Last (only) road start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 4 K in 6-1 setback at Philadelphia Phillies May 6

Skenes (1-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 16.2 K/9 in 10 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 11 K (100 pitches) in 9-3 victory at Chicago Cubs Friday
• Last (only) home start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 7 K in 10-9 win vs. Cubs May 11

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Giants at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:26 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +134 (bet $100 to win $134) | Pirates -158 (bet $158 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-162) | Pirates -1.5 (+134)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Giants 2

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-158) are worth a look as moderate favorites behind their new ace Skenes.

The rookie right-hander out of LSU was tearing up Triple-A and has carried things over through 2 starts in the majors. He baffled the Cubs in 6 hitless innings last time out at Wrigley Field. This will be his 1st outing against another team besides Chicago, so it will be interesting to see how he handles the Giants (+134). But if his first 2 career starts are any indication, he’ll be just fine.

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES -1.5 (+134) is worth playing lightly if you’re a little less conservative, and you like to roll the dice. Obviously, don’t play both the run line and the moneyline for full units each as we’re not looking to double dip. I could see divvying up 1½ units between the 2 options.

There is a bit of risk on the RL play as 3 of the past 4 wins for Pittsburgh have been by just a single run. Of course, the lone exception was a 9-3 win at Wrigley Field in Skenes’ last start.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look, but be careful. Skenes is likely to toss up plenty of donuts, but the Giants are expected to use Black, who has been very giving. As mentioned, the Over cashed in the first 2 games of this series, too, so there’s that.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The San Francisco Giants (23-26) and Pittsburgh Pirates (23-26) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at PNC Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Giants snapped a 4-game winning streak Tuesday with a 7-6 loss in 10 innings against Pittsburgh while failing to cash as -129 road favorites. San Francisco led 6-2 after 8 innings but allowed 4 runs in the bottom of the 9th and the game-winning run in the 10th. LHP Erik Miller was credited with the loss.

Pittsburgh has won back-to-back games after taking down San Francisco Tuesday and cashing as a +119 home underdog. Pirates 2B Nick Gonzalez walked it off in the 10th with a run-scoring single.

Giants at Pirates projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Jared Jones

Snell (0-3, 11.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.97 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

• Has been out since April 19 (adductor strain)
• Has allowed 15 ER and 2 HR this season while striking out 12 and walking 5

Jones (3-4, 2.89 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 53 innings.

• Pirates are 4-5 in his starts, including 2-1 in his last 3
• Has allowed 3 or fewer ER in each start
• Has allowed 17 ER and 9 HR while striking out 63 and walking 7

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Giants at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-225) | Pirates -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-120).

The Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 while allowing 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. They face Snell who struggled mightily before his injury and is seeing his 1st action in over a month.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

The Giants have scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games and hit the Over in 6 of their last 8. Pittsburgh has scored 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games and also hit the Over in 6 of its last 10. While Jones has been outstanding for the Pirates on the mound this season, expect the game to surpass the low total of 7.5 runs.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The San Francisco Giants (23-25) and Pittsburgh Pirates (22-26) meet Tuesday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

San Francisco beat the Colorado Rockies 4-1 Sunday, covering as a -209 home favorite Sunday. The Rockies opened with a run in the 1st, but that was it and the Giants plated 3 in the 5th and 1 in the 6th en route to the win. The Giants have won 4 consecutive games and have scored at least 10 runs in 2 of their last 3 wins.

Pittsburgh escaped with a 3-2 win at the Chicago Cubs Sunday, covering as a +115 underdog. RHP Mitch Keller picked up the win, pitching 6 innings of 2-run ball on 2 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s. 2B Nick Gonzales‘ 2-run single gave the Bucs a 3-1 lead in the top of the 5th and 3 Pirates relievers shut down the Cubs the final 3 innings after Chicago cut the deficit to 3-2 in the 6th. Pittsburgh took 3 of 4 at Wrigley, only losing Saturday.

Giants at Pirates projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. LHP Martin Perez

Webb (4-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 59 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home victory vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
• Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts; last faced Bucs in 2022

Perez (1-3, 4.86 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 50 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 9 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 10-2 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday
• Career vs. Giants: 1-1, 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 11 H, 3 BB, 14 K across 3 starts
• 2024 vs. Giants: 1 road start, no-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 Pirates win in 10 innings April 27 — game was tied 1-1 after 9

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Giants at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Pirates +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

LEAN GIANTS (-136).

San Francisco has won 4 straight games and is 6-2 in its last 8 overall. The Giants are also 5-1 in their last 6 matchups vs. the Pirates, including 3-0 in the last 3 games in Pittsburgh.

This is only a lean because the Giants are just 8-15 on the road this season and because both teams have been similarly hot recently.

Run line/Against the spread

While the moneyline lean is with the Giants, consider backing Pittsburgh +1.5 (-150) as I’m predicting a 1-run game.

Expect a tightly contested contest. The Pirates are 3-1 in their last 4 games and are a very similar team to the Giants in terms of overall record.

Pittsburgh is 27-21 ATS this season and is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-118).

The Over has hit in 2 of San Francisco’s last 3 overall and is 6-4 in its last 10 games. For Pittsburgh, the Over is 6-3-1 in its last 10 and is 2-0-1 in its last 3 home games.

The Over also hit in 2 of the 3 head-to-head meetings in Pittsburgh just last month.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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