The Indiana Hoosiers (8-4) and Tennessee Volunteers (7-5) meet in Thursday’s Gator Bowl in Jacksonville, Fla., at TIAA Bank Field for a 7 p.m. ET kickoff (on ESPN). We analyze the Indiana-Tennessee odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Indiana-Tennessee: Three things you need to know
- This tilt in Jacksonville features two evenly matched third-tier power-5 teams. Statistically, Indiana carries in the better offense (32.6 PPG, 6.1 YPP), and Tennessee brings the better defense (21.7 PPG, 5.0 YPP). The Hoosiers have become mostly relevant in the blue-chip Big Ten East, and the Volunteers are a former powerhouse with some upswing momentum.
- The Vols are getting credit for a win streak – Tennessee comes in having won five in a row – but the credit is perhaps too watered down. The string of foes (South Carolina, UAB, Kentucky, Missouri, Vanderbilt) doesn’t jump off the page, but in a couple of the games UT was statistically dominant without a scoreboard match. An offense that averages 5.8 YPP was over 7.0 in three of those wins. The 5.0-YPP Vols defense was better than that mark in all five wins.
- Various computer rankings tab Mississippi State and Kentucky as top-50 teams. Tennessee’s ability to not only hang tough with MSU and UK (as with Indiana hanging with Michigan State and Penn State) but defeat them is compelling when assembling some comps for the Vols and Hoosiers. Tennessee has the more talented roster, but it isn’t yet ready for power-5 primetime. However, they are perhaps a touchdown more ready than the Hoosiers.
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Indiana-Tennessee: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Tennessee 27, Indiana 24
Moneyline (ML)
PASS on Tennessee (-121) in favor of the multi-point win at a better price. Indiana is +100.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Tennessee returns a profit of $8.26.
Against the Spread (ATS)
This is an intriguing matchup and should be an entertaining watch. It sets up as a profitable one, too. Back TENNESSEE -1.5 (-110).
The Vols’ pass defense can contain the high-octane Hoosiers just enough. A bigger, more veteran and more talented Tennessee two-deep can provide enough game control and efficiency to prevail and take a six-game win streak into 2020 … and be overvalued in a half-dozen early games.
Over/Under (O/U)
The cross talents of each team make for a tough read on any sort of projectable game flow. A couple market and analytic signals point to an OVER 52.5, but that market may already be a bit overripe. Line-watch, and look for 50.5 as a trigger.
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