Breaking down the best prop bets ahead of the NFC title game.
The Green Bay Packers will play the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday (6:40 p.m. ET, FOX) for the right to represent the NFC in Super Bowl LIV.
If you’re a bettor looking for the best prop bets to put your money on before kickoff, we’re here to help. FTW NFL analysts Steven Ruiz, Charles Curtis and Nick Schwartz made their picks on five Over/Unders for the AFC Championship game.
Weather forecast: Weather at Levi’s Stadium should be perfect for the NFC title game, and have zero impact on the game. The forecast calls for a high of 60 degrees, winds reaching 6 mph, and a 10 percent chance of precipitation, per the Weather Channel.
All betting information via BetMGM.
Aaron Rodgers passing yards total: Over/Under 237.5 (-112)
Steven: Over
The Packers run game did well in the first game between these teams, but Green Bay won’t stand a chance if they aren’t picking up big plays in the passing game. I think Matt LaFleur understands that and will put together a pass-heavy gameplan.
Charles: Over
I think the game script lends itself to Rodgers
needing to go to vintage Rodgers and throw a bunch.
Nick: Under
We’ve seen multiple times this season that even when Rodgers has a high number of attempts, it doesn’t often translate into major yardage days. Dating back to November, Rodgers has failed to hit 237 yards in six of nine starts, and the 49ers’ defense looked stellar last week.
Will Aaron Rodgers throw an interception? Yes (+130) No (-167)
Steven: Yes
I’m guessing the 49ers will take a big lead late and Rodgers will have to force some passes downfield. One of them will get picked off.
Charles: Yes
Yes. The Niners’ secondary is tough and Rodgers has tossed
an INT in two of his last three contests.
Nick: No
To be clear, I wouldn’t actually bet “no” at -167, but I also don’t believe Rodgers will be picked on Sunday. He’s only thrown four picks all year (the best mark in the league), after throwing just two in 2018.
Davante Adams receiving yards total: Over/Under 84.5 (-112)
Steven: Over
Adams should be a major part of the Packers’ gameplan. They should line him away from Richard Sherman and attack the 49ers’ right cornerback. That’s been a problem spot for San Francisco’s defense in recent weeks.
Charles: Over
If you’re betting on a big Rodgers game, then you’re betting a lot of his passes go to Adams even if he’s covered by Richard Sherman.
Nick: Under
Adams has been a bit of a feast or famine player in 2019, as his fantasy football owners can attest, and the 49ers have only allowed opposing receivers to break the 87-yard mark in six of their 17 games this season.
How many points will the Packers score? Over 19.5 (+105) Under 19.5 (-134)
Steven: Over
Green Bay managed only eight points in the first game, but LaFleur will have a better idea of how to attack the 49ers defense. The Packers offense will put up a better fight in this one.
Charles: Over
I don’t think they’ll be completely shut down by the Niners.
Nick: Over
This line is giving the 49ers’ defense a little too much credit, but I don’t think the Packers (who have scored 20 points in all but three games this season) will be over by much.
How many points will the Packers score in the first half? Over 7.5 (-106) Under 7.5 (-134)
Steven: Over
If they’re going to score more than 20, the Packers better score at least eight in the first half. LaFleur typically has a good opening script, which should get Green Bay on the board early.
Charles: Over
I think a nice, round 10 points seems about right to me.
Nick: Over
In the regular season, the Packers scored 34 percent of their total touchdowns in the first quarter – though they weren’t a great second quarter team, with just 52 percent of their touchdowns coming in the first half. Still, a touchdown and a field goal is all we need here.
How many points will the 49ers score? Over 26.5 (-139) Under 26.5 (+110)
Steven: Over
Kyle Shanahan vs. Mike Pettine? Yeah, that’s a mismatch. Shanahan’s offense will move the ball at will on the Green Bay defense.
Charles: Under
The Packers defense is underrated and could keep this one close enough to hit the under.
Nick: Under
The Packers only gave up 27 or more points in two of their 17 games this season, and they’ll presumably be shortening the game with a bunch of Aaron Jones rushes. Take the under.
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