Oakland Raiders -2.5 over NEW YORK JETS

Speaking of not overthinking things, welcome to the Raiders versus the Jets! The Raiders are currently sitting at 6-4 with a legitimate shot at the AFC playoffs. The Jets do not have said legitimate shot at the playoffs.

New York is playing better now that Sam Darnold is performing up to expectations. Of course, those wins came over the Giants and Redskins who are not only the dregs of the NFC East but the dregs of the NFL as a whole right now. Let’s not get too excited about Gang Green coming off two wins against very bad teams.

The Raiders have been competitive in almost every game — even when they were blown out by the Packers in Green Bay. They have an identity and at this point in the season, that’s important. Derek Carr is playing well. Josh Jacobs is in-line for Offensive Rookie of the Year — although Kyler Murray might win it — and the Raiders defense is improving. Don’t overthink it.