ESPN Matchup Predictor – Syndication Server

Auburn has 90% chance to beat South Carolina on Wednesday

The No. 12 Tigers are heavy favorites over the red-hot No. 11 Gamecocks in Wednesday’s matchup at Neville Arena.

The No. 12 South Carolina Gamecocks enter Wednesday’s game against No. 11 Auburn on a tear by winning seven straight games. Can the Tigers cool them off? ESPN believes so.

Ahead of Wednesday’s game at Neville Arena, ESPN’s matchup predictor forecasts Auburn to win big over the Gamecocks by giving them an 89.7% chance to get the job done.

The duel between the Tigers and Gamecocks is the best matchup in the SEC for the day according to ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, which gives the game a score of 78.7 on the matchup quality scale, and is the day’s fourth-best game. Tennessee’s trip to Arkansas is next in line with a matchup quality grade of 73.0 and is No. 7 overall.

Outside of points allowed, Auburn is better than South Carolina in every major statistical category. The Gamecocks allow 64 points per game while Auburn gives up 67.1. The Tigers score an average of 82.3 points per game compared to South Carolina’s 72.6 points scored per contest. Auburn has a higher field goal percentage, and leads the rebounding, assists, blocks, and steals categories also.

South Carolina is the worst team in the Power Five when it comes to tempo by earning an average of 62.7 possessions per game, which ranks No. 355 in the nation according to KenPom. Auburn, the nation’s No. 71 team in tempo, must find ways to control the game by forcing South Carolina to play at their speed. If they can do that, expect Auburn to lure in a great SEC win on Wednesday.

Auburn faces South Carolina on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. CT in Neville Arena. Click here to get the full preview of this pivotal SEC matchup.

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Auburn has 60% chance to beat Alabama on Wednesday

ESPN predicts Auburn to get revenge on rival Alabama Wednesday by winning a tight battle.

The No. 11 Auburn Tigers lost a tough game to its archrival, No. 16 Alabama, two weeks ago in Tuscaloosa. On Wednesday evening, the Tigers get their shot at revenge on their home floor.

Can they pull off the win? ESPN expects Auburn to do so in a close manner. The latest matchup prediction from ESPN points to Auburn as the victor by giving the Tigers a 60% chance to beat Alabama.

Alabama scores more points than Auburn per game, 89.9 points per game compared to Auburn’s 82.4 points per game. However, the Tigers allow opponents to score 10 fewer points per game than Alabama, 65.9 to 75.2. Both teams rebound 39 times a game, and create seven steals per game.

Alabama’s leading scorer averages five more points per game individually than Auburn’s. Alabama’s Mark Sears scores 20.1 points per game while Auburn’s [autotag]Johni Broome[/autotag] scores 15.7. In the last meeting, Broome outscored Sears, 25-22.

The Tigers and Crimson Tide face off Wednesday at 6 p.m. CT on ESPN2. Click here to get the full preview of the action.

Auburn has 98% chance to beat Vanderbilt on Wednesday

Can the No. 16 Tigers hop back into the win column on Wednesday in front of the home crowd?

The No. 16 Auburn Tigers are hoping to get back into the win column on Wednesday night to snap its current two-game losing skid.

The Tigers host Vanderbilt in a rematch of Jan. 17’s game at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville. Auburn won the game easily but has gone 1-2 since. Those two losses came on the road, which means that the Tigers are excited to get back in front of the home crowd at Neville Arena.

Can Auburn return to its comfortable place in the win column? ESPN analytics expects them to do so in a big fashion. Ahead of Wednesday’s game between the Tigers and Commodores, ESPN’s matchup predictor favors the Tigers by giving them a 98.2% chance to win.

Auburn owns a head-to-head battle with Vanderbilt already, but the advantages do not stop there. The Tigers score 82 points per game while Vanderbilt scores just 66, Auburn also allows 65.9 points per game while Vanderbilt allows opponents to score 72.1 points per game. Auburn averages three more rebounds and blocks per game and owns the assist category 17.8-9.7.

The Tigers and Commodores square off on Wednesday at 8 p.m. CT at Neville Arena.

Auburn has 36% chance to beat Alabama on Wednesday

ESPN predicts Alabama to cool off the red hot Auburn Tigers on Wednesday night in Tuscaloosa.

Alabama welcomes bitter rival, No. 6 Auburn, to Tuscaloosa on Wednesday in hopes of cooling off the red-hot Tigers.

Can the Crimson Tide snap the Tigers’ long winning streak? ESPN analytics favors Alabama to get the job done. Ahead of Wednesday’s matchup at Coleman Coliseum, ESPN’s matchup predictor forecasts Alabama to grab the victory by giving the Nate Oats’ squad a 63.6% chance to defeat Auburn.

Auburn has had the luxury of winning every category during its 11-game win streak. However, Wednesday’s game will provide a test as Alabama beats Auburn in several categories: points per game, field goal percentage, and rebounds. At the same time, Auburn holds advantages in points allowed per game, assists per game, and blocks per game.

Individually, Mark Sears leads the Tide in points scored with 19.8 per game and Grant Nelson is Alabama’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game. Auburn’s [autotag]Johni Broome[/autotag] is the team leader in points scored and rebounds per game with 15.3 and 8.4 respectively.

Auburn looks to continue its hot streak on Wednesday at Alabama. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. CT.

Auburn has 92% chance to beat Ole Miss on Saturday

ESPN highly favors Auburn in its upcoming top 25 battle with Ole Miss at Neville Arena.

Saturday’s matchup between No. 11 Auburn and No. 21 Ole Miss will be the Tigers’ first battle against a top-25 team since the season-opening contest with No. 9 Baylor.

The Tigers dropped that contest on Nov. 7, 88-82, to Baylor. Since then, Auburn has won 15 of their last 16 games and has won 10 games in a row. Ole Miss will for sure provide a challenge to the Tigers, can Auburn run past the Rebels on its home floor? ESPN expects that result to play out.

The latest ESPN matchup prediction of Auburn’s game with Ole Miss is a positive one, as it gives Auburn a 92% chance to earn the victory.

Auburn checks in at No. 6 in the latest ESPN Basketball Power Index rankings, while Ole Miss resides in the No. 81 spot. Both teams have strong strengths of record, as they are No. 2 and No. 3 in the SEC respectively. Both are 15-2 and are 2-1 against quality teams. However, ESPN analytics indicates that Auburn has had a tougher schedule to this point. Auburn holds the No. 97 hardest schedule according to ESPN, while Ole Miss owns the No. 138 toughest schedule.

Comparing Auburn and Ole Miss from an on-court performance prospective, the Tigers own advantages in points scored, points allowed, rebounds, and assists per game. The greatest gap is points scored per game, where Auburn scores 83.8 points per game compared to Ole Miss’ 77.8 points scored per game.

Auburn hosts Ole Miss on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. CT at Neville Arena. Click here to get the full preview.

Auburn has 92% chance to beat LSU on Saturday

In a game that features two 2-0 SEC teams, ESPN’s matchup predictor suggests that Auburn will prevail by a wide margin.

The No. 16 Auburn Tigers welcome LSU to Neville Arena for a battle of two teams who have begun the SEC slate with a 2-0 record. In a game that features two of the top teams in the conference, who has the best chance to remain unbeaten?

ESPN’s matchup predictor heavily favors Auburn in this matchup by giving them a 92.2% chance to take care of business against LSU.

Auburn enters the game with an eight-game win streak, winning every game by at least 11 points. Auburn was outrebounded in its most recent game, a 66-55 victory over Texas A&M, but managed to win the field goal percentage battle and had more production from their bench. LSU also owns a win over the Aggies, defeating them, 68-53 last Saturday.

Auburn is a better offensive team than LSU, averaging 83.5 points per game compared to LSU’s 76.2. Auburn also pulls down more rebounds per contest, and records six more assists per game. However, LSU has an advantage when it comes to creating turnovers. The Bayou Bengals average 10 steals per game while Auburn manages to force 7.1.

The battle of the Tigers is set to begin Saturday at 5 p.m. CT at Neville Arena in Auburn. SEC Network will broadcast the game live.

Auburn has a 95% chance to beat Penn on Tuesday

ESPN’s matchup predictor expects Auburn to cruise into SEC play with one last nonconference victory.

The Auburn Tigers host Penn for their nonconference finale on Tuesday, and ESPN expects the Tigers to cruise to victory.

According to the latest projection from ESPN, Auburn has a 95.5% chance to beat Penn on Tuesday, which would move their record to 11-2 before traveling to Arkansas on Saturday to open SEC play.

Auburn enters Tuesday’s game with every advantage over Penn. The Tigers score 84.6 points per game while Penn scores 78.1. Defensively, Auburn allows 66.6 points per game while Penn gives up 72.3. Auburn is ahead of Penn in rebounds per game, assists per game, blocks per game, and steals per game by a respectable margin. The smallest gap between the Tigers and Quakers is field goal percentage, where Auburn connects on 47% while Penn makes 46.6% of their shots from the field.

Comparing leading scorers, Auburn’s [autotag]Johni Broome[/autotag] scores 15.1 points per game with a field goal percentage of 53.8% while Penn’s Clark Slajchert scores 17.4 points while connecting on 48% of his attempts.

Penn has four players with a scoring average that reaches double-figures per game, which is a trend that Auburn is used to. However, those stats usually do not plague Auburn. Auburn’s last three opponents (USC, Alabama State, Chattanoonga) have had at least four double-digit scorers, and the Tigers have prevailed over each opponent by an average margin of 23.6 points.

Auburn hosts Penn on Tuesday night at Neville Arena. Tipoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. CT. Check out the full preview by clicking here.

ESPN FPI matchup predictor updates Ohio State’s chances of beating Michigan

Here’s where ESPN’s Matchup Predictor driven off of the FPI formulas project the chances of Ohio State beating Michigan on Saturday. #GoBucks.

Every week during the 2023 college football season, we’ve been keeping tabs on what ESPN’s FPI (Football Power Index) matchup predictor indicates about Ohio State football’s chances of winning each regular-season game. It has ebbed and flowed throughout the season, and had the Buckeyes as favorites in every game for most of the year.

However, as both OSU and Michigan continued to win, the odds of the Buckeyes beating the Wolverines shrank until the Maize and Blue were finally favored a few weeks ago. Now, with “The Game” on the doorstep, the matchup predictor has updated Ohio State’s chances of winning in Ann Arbor, and we’re here to update you on what the “worldwide leader’s” formula says.

We’ll start by recapping the schedule so far this season, where Ohio State lands in the top 10 of the ESPN FPI rankings, then update you on where the percentage chance of OSU winning has swung this week.

ESPN matchup predictor updates chances of Ohio State winning three remaining games

See if the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor still has Michigan favored to beat Ohio State on Nov. 25.

College football odds and metrics ebb and flow with the results on the field, and it’s no different with Ohio State football and the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor we like to check in on every week.

When the ESPN sauce was originally made with some Scarlet and Gray at the beginning of the season, it was a savory one with the Buckeyes enjoying the better chance of winning against every team on the schedule. As the season wore on, there’s one team that got closer and closer and finally overtook OSU, and we’re sure you know what team that involves.

Now, just a couple weeks ahead of playing Michigan, did things change at all? Ohio State only has games against Michigan State, Minnesota, and then the big one at the Big House, so what does ESPN think of those matchups after last week’s win at Rutgers?

Here’s how ESPN and its FPI Matchup Predictor see the percentage chances of winning each of the three remaining games on the Buckeyes schedule ahead of Week 11.

We’ll start by looking at the schedule and results so far, go through what the Matchup Predictor says about each game, then look at trends from last week to end it all.

Updated look at Oklahoma’s win probability for final three games according to ESPN Matchup Predictor

Can the Sooners rebound from their two-game losing streak? The ESPN Matchup Predictor still likes the Sooners a lot.

The next three opponents for the Oklahoma Sooners hold a unique distinction. They each hold the last win in the all-time series.

TCU and West Virginia beat the Sooners in 2022. BYU is one of the few teams in college football that the Sooners haven’t beaten. The Cougars are one of six current teams Oklahoma is winless against.

The six include Georgia (I know, don’t remind you), Ole Miss (2024 opponent), Indiana (thanks for Dasan McCullough), Illinois, Navy, and BYU.

The Sooners have a chance to right some wrongs over the final three games of the season if they can win out. Don’t let West Virginia, BYU, or TCU join the group of Big 12 teams that hold a win in the final matchup over the Sooners. Teams like Baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State.

At 7-2 with three games remaining, a 10-win season is within their grasp. Fighting to establish their identity matters as well. Going out on a high not in their final season in the Big 12 is a necessity.

Here’s how the ESPN Matchup Predictor sees the remainder of the Sooners’ schedule playing out.