Tag: Draft props

2020 NFL Draft: Will Denzel Mims or Tee Higgins be drafted first?

Assessing 2020 NFL Draft odds centered around which of these wide receivers will be picked first in Round 2: Denzel Mims or Tee Higgins.

The 2020 NFL Draft resumes Friday night at 7 p.m. ET for Rounds 2 and 3. Several players who many believed would be first-round picks are still on the board.

Many wide receivers have been selected and many more will be, but for some draft action, BetMGM has some head-to-head lines for some Day 2 action. Who will get drafted first?

Here we analyze the matchup between Baylor WR Denzel Mims and Clemson WR Tee Higgins and what is the best bet between the two.

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Denzel Mims vs. Tee Higgins head-to-head odds and best bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 5:15 p.m. ET.

Which receiver will be drafted first? Here are the lines.

Denzel Mims: -170

Tee Higgins: +140

Mims, at 6-3 and 215 pounds, caught 66 passes for 1,020 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Higgins, who is one inch taller and listed at the same weight, caught 59 passes for 1,167 yards and 13 touchdowns.

Mims is the faster player, having run the 40-yard dash at the NFL combine in 4.38 seconds. Higgins ran it in 4.54 seconds at his pro day.

Mock drafts consistently projected Mims to be selected first, but many had both going in the first round.

Friday morning, a report came out saying that the Cincinnati Bengals, who pick first in Round 2 on Friday, are considering Mims for that selection.

With similar size and production, NFL teams often will make speed the deciding factor. For that reason, THE BEST BET IS MIMS (-170).

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NFL Draft: Which position will the Indianapolis Colts draft first?

Assessing 2020 NFL Draft odds centered around which position the Indianapolis Colts will draft first.

The Indianapolis Colts have been movers and shakers this offseason ahead of the 2020 NFL Draft. One of the major moves they made was trading the 13th overall pick to the San Francisco 49ers for DeForest Buckner, which makes their No. 34 overall selection on Day 2 their first pick of the draft. Let’s handicap BetMGM’s odds of which position the Colts will be drafting with their first pick:

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Colts draft first? Odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 3:15 p.m. ET.

POSITION ODDS
Wide receiver +140
Defensive lineman +500
Quarterback +500
Safety +700
Running back +900
Offensive lineman +900
Cornerback +1000
Linebacker +1200
Tight End +2500
Kicker/punter/long snapper +15000

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Colts draft first? Best bets

Defensive lineman (+500)

Despite the Colts acquiring Buckner this offseason, the value of +500 for Indianapolis to draft a defensive lineman with their first draft pick is too enticing.

The addition of Buckner alone probably won’t lead to a major swing in defensive line performance. In 2019, they were 21st in QB pressure percentage, and, according to Football Outsiders, they were 15th in adjusted line yards and 21st in adjusted sack rate.

Also, defensive linemen didn’t get much love on the first night of the NFL draft, leaving a whole bunch on draft gurus’ best available lists. Only four were drafted in the first round and two of them are technically EDGE rushers that can be used as outside linebackers in 3-4 schemes.

DraftWire editor Luke Easterling’s best available players for Day 2 include defensive line prospects A.J. Epenesa, Yetur Gross-Matos and Ross Blacklock. These guys have first-round talent but are still available and should make it tough for the Colts to pass up on adding depth to a weak spot on their roster.

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Safety (+700)

No safety was drafted in the first round last night (the first time that’s happened since 2016, (even though Ha Ha Clinton-Dix has since been converted to a safety), leaving top-graded prospects Xavier McKinney and Grant Delpit available. But, why do the Colts really need a safety?

First, their pass defense was bad last year. The Colts allowed the 10th-most passing yards and ninth-most passing touchdowns while ranking 26th in opposing quarterbacks’ QB rating. They were second-to-last in opposing quarterbacks’ completion percentage.

Second, they addressed cornerback early in the 2019 NFL Draft by selecting Rock Ya-Sin 34th overall and by signing free agent Xavier Rhodes this offseason. Malik Hooker has been a starting safety for the Colts since they drafted him 15th overall in 2017 and has never lived up to his potential.

Hooker hasn’t played all 16 games in any of his first three seasons and was downright awful last season. Pro Football Focus graded him 37th out of 87 safeties. Furthermore, Hooker gave up the most yards per target in the NFL, 76% of targeted throws were completed against him and quarterbacks had a 123.7 QB rating when targeting Hooker.

Safety is a position the Colts should address, and with the best safety prospects still on the board, gimme +700 Indy will take a safety at No. 37.

Quarterback (+500)

The elephant in the Colts’ quarterback room is that neither Philip Rivers nor Jacoby Brissett is a long-term answer as the franchise quarterback. Rivers was inked to a one-year, $25 million deal this offseason and will turn 39 this season. Brissett signed a two-year deal last offseason after Andrew Luck‘s abrupt retirement and didn’t exactly wow people with his 2019 performance.

I love the value of this prop given the Colts’ circumstances, however, I only LEAN toward +500 Indy takes a quarterback first because there are too many good prospects at positions of need and the remaining quarterbacks—Jalen Hurts, Jacob Eason and Jake Fromm—should be available for the Colts’ next pick at No. 44 or in the following rounds.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Draft: Which position will the Los Angeles Rams draft first?

Assessing the 2020 NFL Draft odds and looking at which position the Los Angeles Rams will look to draft with their first pick.

The 2020 NFL Draft began Thursday night with the first round. The Los Angeles Rams did not have a pick in the first round and will make their first player selection in the second round Friday, April 24. They currently hold the 52nd overall pick in the draft. Here, we give you the odds and the best bet for the Rams and their first draft pick based on the odds at BetMGM.

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NFL Draft: Position of LA Rams first drafted player

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Offense: -110

Defense: -110

The Rams have many needs. Some of their biggest needs entering the 2020 NFL Draft are on the offensive line, linebacker, wide receiver and running back.

Based on the best players available for the second round of the draft, the positions that appear to have the best talent are at receiver, running back and the defensive line.

Only one running back has been selected so far in the whole draft and with the Rams cutting ties with Todd Gurley this offseason, it might be their main focus on Day 2 of the draft.

The best bet for the Rams is to pick OFFENSE (-110).

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NFL Draft: Which position will the New England Patriots draft first?

Assessing 2020 NFL Draft odds centered which position the New England Patriots will draft first.

The New England Patriots once again traded out of the first round of the NFL draft when they dealt the 23rd overall pick to the Los Angeles Chargers Thursday in exchange for picks No. 37 and 71. As Bill Belichick gets set to make the fifth overall selection of the second round Friday, April 24, we look at BetMGM‘s odds for which position the Patriots will be looking to draft.

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Patriots draft first? Odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 12:30 p.m. ET.

POSITION ODDS
Defensive lineman +400
Tight end +400
Linebacker +500
Quarterback +500
Wide receiver +500
Safety +600
Offensive lineman +700
Cornerback +1000
Running back +5000
Kicker/punter/long snapper +25000

2020 NFL Draft: Which position will the Patriots draft first? Best bets

Tight end (+400)

Future Hall of Fame TE Rob Gronkowski came out of retirement this week only to be traded to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for a reunion with QB Tom Brady. It was blatantly evident how much Gronk’s absence hurt the 2019 Patriots. Veteran TE Ben Watson led the team’s positional group with 173 yards on 17 receptions without a touchdown.

While Brady has moved on, Belichick and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels‘ system has hinged on having elite tight end play. Notre Dame TE Cole Kmet had emerged as a first-round hopeful in the days leading up to the first round, but he remains on the board. Florida Atlantic’s Harrison Bryant and Dayton‘s Adam Trautman round out the top remaining options at the position as Day 2 picks.

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Quarterback (+500)

The Patriots’ offseason quarterback competition is set be staged between veteran journeyman and former Patriots QB Brian Hoyer and 2019 fourth-round pick Jarrett Stidham. Stidham attempted just four passes with two completions for 14 yards and an interception.

It still seems odd for the Pats to be caught flat-footed with Brady’s departure after the days of grooming Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett, among others. It’s tough to envision the Patriots ever going into full-on tank mode with Belichick still at the helm, so they’re apt to do what they can to address the most important position as they reset for years to come.

Jacob Eason, Jake Fromm and Jalen Hurts represent three viable options who could be brought in to learn from Hoyer (and to a lesser extent, Stidham) before taking over either late in 2020 or in 2021.

Wide receiver (+500)

Veteran Julian Edelman remains the Patriots’ top option in the passing game. N’Keal Harry, the Patriots’ 2019 first-round pick, was unimpressive as a rookie last season, finishing with just 105 yards and two touchdowns over seven games. Veteran Mohamed Sanu accomplished little following a mid-season trade with the Atlanta Falcons.

Targeting a top remaining rookie such as Michael Pittman, Tee Higgins or Laviska Shenault Jr. could go a long way in luring one of the top remaining free-agent QBs in Cam Newton or Jameis Winston to town on a one-year deal.

If the Pats are serious about riding with Hoyer and Stidham, then a true No. 1 option may be all the more important.

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2020 NFL Draft: 10 best prop bets to make

Analyzing betting odds centered around the 2020 NFL Draft, and looking at the 10 best prop bets to make.

The 2020 NFL Draft begins Thursday and we break it down with a look at the 10 best prop bets for the NFL draft.

1. QB Tua Tagovailoa draft position: Over 5.5 (+110), Under 5.5 (-136)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, April 20 at 10 a.m. ET.

The Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers have been connected to Tagovailoa. They have the fifth and sixth overall picks, respectively.

This bet comes down to whether you believe the Chargers want him. If they do, they will trade up.

Teams targeting their franchise quarterback often must trade up if they don’t have the No. 1 overall pick. The Arizona Cardinals, Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens traded up in 2018. The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans did in 2017. The Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles did in 2016.

The best bet here is UNDER and at -136 there is still some value.

2. QB Justin Herbert draft position: Over 5.5 (-110), Under 5.5 (-110)

With both the Over and Under set evenly, it is worth going either way. Again, it comes down to the Chargers and whether they feel they must draft a quarterback. If the Dolphins go with Tagovailoa, the Chargers could go with Herbert, however, they have a greater need at offensive tackle. You can go either way with this bet but the Chargers also have interest in QB Jalen Hurts later in the draft. I’m taking the OVER (-110).

3. DT Derrick Brown draft position: Over 8.5 (+110), Under (-136)

While many consider him a lock for the top 10, most commonly mocked to the Carolina Panthers with the seventh pick, defensive linemen who test below average athletically and don’t have a history of big production in the passing games often slip. With teams potentially trading up to target offensive linemen, Brown could slip out of the top 10. Go for the value here and take the OVER (+110).

4. Total Alabama players drafted in 1st round: Over 5.5 (+110), Under (-130)

Five Crimson Tide players are locks — QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jerry Jeudy, WR Henry Ruggs III, OL Jedrick Wills and S Xavier McKinney. The wild cards are pass rusher Terrell Lewis and CB Trevon Diggs. Both play premium positions. Only one of them has to get selected to hit the over. Go with the value and take the OVER (+110).

5. Exact outcome of first 3 draft picks

The favorite is Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Jeff Okudah at +115. History says teams will trade up for a quarterback. Go with one of two scenarios. Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Justin Herbert at +340 or Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Tua Tagovailoa at +360

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6. In which round will RB Jonathan Taylor be drafted? Round 1 (+275), Rounds 2-7 (-358)

There is no need to even consider him going undrafted, even though the odds are +10000. Considering his size, production and his testing at the combine, he will go in the first round. Take ROUND 1 (+275).

7. Which team will draft WR Henry Ruggs III?

The favorites are the Denver Broncos at +280 but a recent report suggests they will move up to target Jerry Jeudy. The safest pick would be the San Francisco 49ers at +425 but I have my eyes on a big payout. The Philadelphia Eagles are looking to move up and San Francisco could take a defensive lineman to replace DeForest Buckner. I’m betting on the EAGLES (+1500).

8. First running back drafted

The favorite is D’Andre Swift at -182. Considering his production, size and combine testing numbers, Jonathan Taylor (+200) is where the value is.

9. First offensive lineman drafted

The favorite is Jedrick Wills at -130. Next is Tristan Wirfs at +110. The New York Giants have mostly been connected to Wirfs until recently and Wills appears to be the pick. Go with the recent trend with WILLS (-130).

10. Josh Jones draft position: Over 27.5 (-110), Under 27.5 (-110)

With even odds either way, consider the premium nature of the offensive tackle position. Jones could go in the late teens. He has been connected to the Miami Dolphins who have the 18th and 26th picks. Take the UNDER (-110).

Want action on the 2020 NFL Draft? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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