Dallas Mavericks odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (25-27) stop by American Airlines Center Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (30-23) at 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta has lost two of its past three games, but both losses were against a surging Toronto Raptors squad. Otherwise, the Hawks won seven straight games from Jan. 17-30 and beat a red-hot Phoenix Suns team 124-115 Thursday.

Dallas stopped a 2-game losing skid by upsetting the Philadelphia 76ers 107-98 at home Friday as a 1-point underdog. The Mavs are 4-3 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

The Hawks destroyed the Mavs 113-87 in Atlanta in their first head-to-head meeting this season as 2.5-point favorites. The Under cashed with a 25.5-point cushion on the 225.5-point total.

Hawks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread: Hawks +1.5 (-107) | Mavericks -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Mavericks key injuries

Hawks

PF John Collins (heel) questionable
PF Danilo Gallinari (hamstring) questionable
SG Lou Williams (hamstring) questionable

Mavericks

SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out
PF Maxi Kleber (knee) questionable
C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

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Hawks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 113, Mavericks 109

Money line

Slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) for a small wager if at all, because I much prefer Atlanta’s spread.

The Hawks have been playing really well lately and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Atlanta has a plus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked third) and a plus-6.8 ATS margin (ranked first) over those 10 games, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

However, it’s only a slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) because they are 6-11 SU as road underdogs and the Mavericks are 14-4 SU as home favorites.

Against the spread

BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107) for 1 unit.

Atlanta’s spread has been hit by sharp money early after it opened as a 3-point favorite but is currently heading south. I think Dallas ultimately gets flooded with public money, but early on, the “wiseguys” are on Atlanta.

The Hawks typically perform well in this spot. Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings with the Mavs, and 6-1 ATS in the last seven visits to Dallas.

Furthermore, the Mavs have struggled to string together covers. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in the last six games following an outright victory.

Finally, Hawks head coach Nate McMillan’s decision to replace SG Bogdan Bogdanović with SG Kevin Huerter in the starting 5 when Bogdanović returned from an injury Jan. 26 has gotten the best out of both.

Huerter’s offensive rating goes from 91 off the bench to 115 as a starter, and Bogdanović actually averages two-plus points more per game as a reserve. When asked about his new bench role, Bogdanović said all he wants to do is help the team win.

There are positive vibes in Atlanta and the Hawks are finally starting to play like the team that made last season’s Eastern Conference Finals.

BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS.

Both teams play at a 19th or slower pace, the last seven Hawks-Mavericks meetings are 2-5 O/U, and Dallas is 4-13-1 O/U as a home favorite.

However, the Mavs are 5-1 O/U in their last six games, and the Hawks are 3-1 O/U in their last four games.

Either way, I don’t have a strong enough graph on the total to make a wager.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) host the Philadelphia 76ers (31-20) Friday at American Airlines Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Philly had a 5-game winning streak snapped Tuesday in a 106-103 upset at home versus the Washington Wizards as a 9.5-point favorite. The Sixers are 5-2 straight up (SU) but just 3-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last two weeks.

Dallas lost back-to-back games at the Orlando Magic (110-108 Sunday) and to the Oklahoma City Thunder (120-114 in overtime Wednesday). The Mavs are 3-3 SU/ATS since Jan. 23.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 4 breakdown

76ers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +100 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mavericks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread: 76ers +1.5 (-110) | Mavericks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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76ers at Mavericks key injuries

76ers

SG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
SG Furkan Korkmaz (knee) out

Mavericks

C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

76ers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 107, Mavericks 101

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the 76ers (+100) only because I prefer Philly getting 1.5 points. Obviously, I don’t hate betting the Sixers outright, I just always take the points as a rule.

Against the spread

BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Both teams run a lot of half-court offense, but Philly has better offensive and defensive points per play in half-court sets, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Both teams occupy the same space on the floor, but the Sixers are far more efficient. Each attempts a top-10 volume of mid-range field goals, but Philly has the best defensive field-goal percentage versus mid-range shots.

On top of that, Dallas failed to score 100 points in both 76ers-Mavericks meetings last season and Philly has done a terrific job defending Dallas PG Luka Doncic throughout his career.

In four career games against the Sixers, Luka is averaging 21.0 points on just 51.7% true shooting (.375/.292/.744) with a minus-7 net rating. In fact, Philly is 3-0 SU versus Dallas in meetings between its big in C Joel Embiid and Doncic.

Plus, this is a better spot for the Sixers, who are an NBA-best 9-4 ATS as road underdogs with a plus-3.3 ATS margin.

Finally, since the oddsmakers are projecting a single-possession affair, this would be a game to fade Dallas, which is 9-14 SU in “clutch” situations with the worst net rating in the NBA (minus-34.5). “Clutch” is defined by a game within a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining.

BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 210.5 (-115) since there’s notable “reverse line movement” heading south of the total and a couple of location-based O/U trends for each team.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the action is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from the 212.5-point opening number.

Lastly, the Sixers are 3-10 O/U as road underdogs with a minus-7.9 total margin, and the Mavs are 4-13-1 O/U as home favorites with a minus-3.6 total margin.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (27-20) drop by Chase Center Tuesday to play the Golden State Warriors (34-13) at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas bounced back from a loss to the Phoenix Suns Thursday to crush the Memphis Grizzlies 104-91 as a 4-point home favorite Sunday. The Mavs are 5-1 straight-up (SU) over their last six games.

Golden State has won back-to-back games over the Houston Rockets Friday and the Utah Jazz Sunday. However, the Warriors are 4-4 SU over the last two weeks.

The Mavs upset the Warriors 99-82 as 4.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season Jan. 5 on the night of former Mavs great Dirk Nowitzki’s jersey retirement ceremony.

It was Dallas’s third straight victory over Golden State and the seventh in their last eight meetings. The Mavericks are 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games versus the Warriors.

Mavericks at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Warriors -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-110) | Warriors -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Warriors key injuries

Mavericks

None.

Warriors

SG Klay Thompson (knee) questionable
PF Draymond Green (back) out
SF Andre Iguodala (hip) out
C James Wiseman (knee) out

Mavericks at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 105, Warriors 101

Money line

SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+130) because Dallas plus the points and is the sharper play so we should be hitting that harder.

However, Mavs All-Star G Luka Doncic has played very well versus the Warriors, while Golden State’s G Steph Curry is playing against a sneaky good Mavericks defense and has been terrible this month.

Luka is averaging 28.4 points per game (PPG) on 63.7% true shooting (.485/.434/.763) with 7.7 rebounds, 7.7 assists and a plus-12 net rating in his 11 career games against the Warriors.

On the other hand, Curry is averaging 20.8 PPG on 50.0% true shooting (.359/.299/.885) and a minus-5 net rating in 11 games in Jan.

Dallas is also first in non-garbage time defensive rating this month, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Another reason I like the Mavericks in this spot is that they have been red-hot in Jan. Dallas is 10-2 SU, second in adjusted net rating and first in ATS margin at plus-5.6 in Jan.

On top of that, the Warriors have been underperforming expectations this month, especially considering Klay returned Jan. 9. Golden State is 7-6 SU, 13th in adjusted net rating and 24th in ATS margin at minus-3.0 in Jan.

Klay hasn’t really brought much to the table yet and the Warriors are missing two core pieces in Iguodala and Green.

Klay has a minus-0.9 adjusted on/off net rating in 126 minutes played but Iguodala has a plus-3.1 and Green has a plus-3.9 adjusted on/off net rating, per CTG.

The bottom line is the Warriors aren’t the Warriors currently and Dallas is clicking on all cylinders. Again, only SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+130) with the plan of betting more on their spread.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of their money line.

Golden State is just 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine games, Dallas is 7-3 ATS on the road versus teams above-.500 and, again, has the best ATS margin in Jan.

For the record, the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-110) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 211.5 (-115) for a small wager, if at all, because the Warriors are 7-16-2 O/U at home with a minus-8.7 total margin and the Mavs are 9-13-1 O/U with a minus-5.3 total margin on the road.

That said, both teams obviously have a lot of firepower and the Over has cashed in 10 of the past 13 Mavericks-Warriors meetings.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Two red-hot teams face off as the Dallas Mavericks (26-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (32-16) Sunday. The tip-off at American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past five games with the most recent being a 122-118 victory over the Denver Nuggets Friday as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

Dallas had its four-game winning streak snapped after losing to the Phoenix Suns 109-101 Thursday. The Mavs are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

The Mavs are 2-1 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies this season and have won the last two meetings.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Grizzlies 103

Money line

PASS because the Grizzlies (+145) are too feisty to lay it with the Mavericks (-180) even though I’d much prefer Dallas outright than its spread.

This money line is way too expensive given Memphis’s 10-6 SU record as a road underdog but Dallas is 12-3 SU as a home favorite.

Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) are missing several key players and Dallas matches up well with Memphis. The Mavs don’t turn the ball over and do a good job grabbing defensive boards.

For instance, Dallas is third in adjusted offensive turnover rate and second in adjusted defensive rebounding rate. While Memphis is fifth in adjusted defensive turnover rate and second in adjusted offensive rebounding rate.

The bottom line is a lot of the Grizzlies’ points are scored by creating points off turnovers and crashing the offensive glass, which won’t be available versus the Mavs.

Furthermore, Brooks, Bane, Jones and Clarke have a combined plus-16.1 adjusted on/off net rating. Brooks and Bane can create their own shots and are good on-ball defenders. Jones point guards the second-unit for Memphis and Clarke’s length and athleticism would help for defending Luka Doncic.

Finally, Luka is 4-1 SU in five career games versus Memphis’s Ja Morant and Dallas bounces back well from losses (13-6 ATS with a plus-6.7 ATS margin).

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 218.5 (-112) for a half-unit because Dallas is 2-12-1 O/U as a home favorite, the Grizzlies-Mavericks is 2-5 O/U in the last seven meetings and the presumed sharp money is on the Under.

According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash is on the Under but a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Over.

This is what’s considered a Pros vs. Joe’s game since the money column in the betting splits typically represents “sharp money” while the tickets column represents the public.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (10-10) stop by American Airlines Center Monday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the Dallas Mavericks (10-8). Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Cleveland snapped its five-game losing skid Saturday with a 105-92 home victory over the Orlando Magic. The Cavs are 13-7 ATS and 7-13 O/U with the 16th-best net rating (plus-0.5).

Dallas has lost four of its past five games (3-2 ATS), which includes a 120-114 loss at home Saturday to the Washington Wizards. The Mavs are 8-10 ATS and 7-10-1 O/U with the 22nd-ranked net rating (minus-1.6).

The Mavs have a six-game winning streak over the Cavs (5-0-1 ATS) and the Over cashed in four of those contests.

Cavaliers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Cavaliers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mavericks -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +6.5 (-110) | Mavericks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Cavaliers at Mavericks key injuries

Cavaliers

SF Cedi Osman (back) questionable

Mavericks

PG Jalen Brunson (foot) probable
C Willie Cauley-Stein (illness) questionable

Cavaliers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 108, Cavaliers 105

Money line

PASS on the Cavaliers (+220) since I only “lean” to Cleveland plus the points and don’t see enough value on the underdog to sprinkle on the money line.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the CAVALIERS +6.5 (-110) because Cleveland has a higher net rating, plays very well as a road underdog and there’s “reverse line movement” in Cleveland’s direction.

For instance, the Cavs are 6-2-1 ATS as a road underdog with a plus-8.4 ATS margin whereas the Mavs have the fourth-worst cover rate as a home favorite since the beginning of last year at 13-21 ATS with a minus-4.3 ATS margin.

Furthermore, Dallas opened as a 7-point favorite, and despite getting a vast majority of the action, the Mavs’ spread has been lowered to the current price.

On top of that, Cleveland matches up well stylistically vs. Dallas. The Cavs attempt the fourth-highest volume of shots at the rim and the Mavs are 26th in defensive field goal percentage vs. attempts at the rim, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, Luka Doncic plays the sixth-highest frequency of isolation offense and Cleveland’s defense ranks seventh in efficiency vs. isolation offense. Plus I think it’s easier for Cleveland’s perimeter defense to stay in front of a slow-paced Dallas offense since the Cavs have a lot of size in their frontcourt.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 210.5 (-107) for a tiny wager if at all because the market has steamed the Cavaliers-Mavericks total up from the 205.5-point lookahead number.

This line movement is puzzling because both teams have a below-average offensive rating and are bottom-seven in pace. Yet the total has increased?

I’d be more into betting the Over if we weren’t late to the party. My favorite play is Cleveland plus the points, but there’s value in OVER 210.5 (-107).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (10-7) host the Washington Wizards (12-7) Saturday at the American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Washington broke out of a two-game minislump by holding off the Oklahoma City Thunder in a 101-99 win Friday as 6.5-point road favorites. The Wizards are 10-9 ATS and 6-13 O/U with the 14th-best net rating (plus-0.7).

Dallas snapped a three-game losing skid its last time out by upsetting the Los Angeles Clippers 112-104 in overtime as 2.5-point road underdogs. The Mavs are 8-9 ATS and 6-10-1 O/U with the 22nd-ranked net rating (minus-1.2).

The Mavs beat the Wizards in both regular-season meetings last year but Washington covered the second in a thrilling 125-124 road loss. Either side of the total hit in the two Wizards-Mavericks meetings last season.

Wizards at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Mavericks -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +6.5 (-102) | Mavericks -6.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Wizards at Mavericks key injuries

Wizards

C Thomas Bryant (knee) out
PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out

Mavericks

PG Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable

Wizards at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Wizards 107, Mavericks 103

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+250) for a tiny wager if at all because I like Washington getting points in this spot and that’s a really chunky payout considering how many edges the Wizards have.

For example, Dallas generates the second-highest rate of field goals out of the post, eighth-most catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and ninth-most off-the-dribble 3-pointers, according to ShotQuality.com.

But, Washington’s defense is ninth in efficiency vs. offense out of the post. Also, the Wizards are fifth in shot quality allowed vs. catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and fourth vs. off-the-dribble 3-pointers, according to ShotQuality.com.

On top of that, Washington gets the fourth-most looks at the rim and Dallas has the sixth-worst shot quality allowed of attempts at the rim (ShotQuality.com).

In addition, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Wizards attempt the eighth-highest volume of short-mid-range shots and the Mavs have the 24th-ranked defensive field goal percentage vs. field goals in that area of the floor.

Finally, both rank in the top-5 of shot attempts generated through half-court offense but Washington’s defense is sixth in shot quality allowed vs. half-court offense and Dallas’s defense ranks 26th (ShotQuality.com).

The far wiser play is Washington plus the points but I see enough value here to SPRINKLE ON WIZARDS (+250).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +6.5 (-102) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line based on the aforementioned logic and some market-based rational.

What I mean is there’s been a “sharp line move” in Washington’s direction and the Wizards are more likely to execute their offense than the Mavs.

For instance, according to Pregame.com, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game at the time of publishing. More money is on the Wizards but more bets have been placed on the Mavs. Oddsmakers reacted by lowering Dallas from a 7.5-point favorite on the opener to the current price.

Again, if it’s an “either/or” situation then definitely BET WIZARDS +6.5 (-102) instead of Washington straight-up.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 212.5 (-112) because a vast majority of the market is hammering the Over in this contest yet both teams prefer to play half-court basketball while playing at a bottom-10 pace.

So there are two angles in favor of betting the UNDER 212.5 (-112) but that’s all I really got so I’ll only “LEAN” towards a lower-scoring Wizards-Mavericks showdown.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-21) travel in-state to play the Houston Rockets (13-37) Wednesday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has won five in a row and seven of its past nine games (7-2 against the spread) including a 111-103 victory over the first-place Utah Jazz Monday without PF Kristaps Porzingis as 5.5-point home underdogs.

The Rockets enter on a five-game losing streak and have dropped 27 of their last 29 games (6-23 ATS). Houston lost 133-130 to the Phoenix Suns Monday as 14-point home underdogs to cover its second game in the last four.

A couple of weeks before Houston’s epic 20-game losing streak, the Rockets dominated the Mavs 133-108 to even the season series. However, four of Houston’s starters won’t be in today’s game, and Porzingis is probable to return tonight.

Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Rockets +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -10.5 (-110) | Rockets +10.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Rockets: Key injuries

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (wrist) probable
PF Maxi Kleber (lower leg) questionable
PG Trey Burke (calf) questionable
C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
SG J.J. Redick (heel) out

Rockets

SG Avery Bradley (knee) probable
PG John Wall (knee) probable
SG Eric Gordon (groin) out
SF David Nwaba (wrist) out
SF Danuel House (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Rockets 109

Money line (ML)

PASS because Dallas should win this game easily, but the Mavericks (-550) is far too expensive given the randomness of the NBA regular season.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Dallas is percolating right now and rounding into form as the season progresses, but the Mavs are just 2-8 ATS at home against teams with a losing record.

Also, according to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the money is on Dallas to cover but bookmakers have moved the line down from the 11-point opener, which is a red flag.

Granted, the market hasn’t adjusted to Houston’s terribleness (16-34 ATS this season), but the Rockets have covered or been with a few possessions of covering in their last seven games.

“LEAN” to the ROCKETS +10.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because betting on Houston this season would have destroyed your bankroll.

Over/Under (O/U)

Luka Dončić has been terrific post-All-Star break and is averaging 29.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists per game in the first two Mavericks-Rockets meetings this season.

Also, if the Rockets are going to cover this game, they’ll most likely need to execute offensively. Luka’s numbers are almost a lock, and Houston’s offense put up 130 points against an awesome Phoenix Suns defense Monday.

BET OVER 222.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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