The Atlanta Hawks (25-27) stop by American Airlines Center Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (30-23) at 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Atlanta has lost two of its past three games, but both losses were against a surging Toronto Raptors squad. Otherwise, the Hawks won seven straight games from Jan. 17-30 and beat a red-hot Phoenix Suns team 124-115 Thursday.
Dallas stopped a 2-game losing skid by upsetting the Philadelphia 76ers 107-98 at home Friday as a 1-point underdog. The Mavs are 4-3 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.
The Hawks destroyed the Mavs 113-87 in Atlanta in their first head-to-head meeting this season as 2.5-point favorites. The Under cashed with a 25.5-point cushion on the 225.5-point total.
Hawks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Hawks +1.5 (-107) | Mavericks -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Hawks at Mavericks key injuries
Hawks
- PF John Collins (heel) questionable
- PF Danilo Gallinari (hamstring) questionable
- SG Lou Williams (hamstring) questionable
Mavericks
- SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out
- PF Maxi Kleber (knee) questionable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
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Hawks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 113, Mavericks 109
Money line
Slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) for a small wager if at all, because I much prefer Atlanta’s spread.
The Hawks have been playing really well lately and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Atlanta has a plus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked third) and a plus-6.8 ATS margin (ranked first) over those 10 games, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
However, it’s only a slight “lean” to the HAWKS (+105) because they are 6-11 SU as road underdogs and the Mavericks are 14-4 SU as home favorites.
Against the spread
BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107) for 1 unit.
Atlanta’s spread has been hit by sharp money early after it opened as a 3-point favorite but is currently heading south. I think Dallas ultimately gets flooded with public money, but early on, the “wiseguys” are on Atlanta.
The Hawks typically perform well in this spot. Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings with the Mavs, and 6-1 ATS in the last seven visits to Dallas.
Furthermore, the Mavs have struggled to string together covers. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in the last six games following an outright victory.
Finally, Hawks head coach Nate McMillan’s decision to replace SG Bogdan Bogdanović with SG Kevin Huerter in the starting 5 when Bogdanović returned from an injury Jan. 26 has gotten the best out of both.
Huerter’s offensive rating goes from 91 off the bench to 115 as a starter, and Bogdanović actually averages two-plus points more per game as a reserve. When asked about his new bench role, Bogdanović said all he wants to do is help the team win.
There are positive vibes in Atlanta and the Hawks are finally starting to play like the team that made last season’s Eastern Conference Finals.
BET HAWKS +1.5 (-107).
Over/Under
PASS.
Both teams play at a 19th or slower pace, the last seven Hawks-Mavericks meetings are 2-5 O/U, and Dallas is 4-13-1 O/U as a home favorite.
However, the Mavs are 5-1 O/U in their last six games, and the Hawks are 3-1 O/U in their last four games.
Either way, I don’t have a strong enough graph on the total to make a wager.
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