Dallas Mavericks betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 15

Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (21-20) stop by the American Airlines Center Wednesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the Dallas Mavericks (25-19). Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has lost three of its past four games – 2-2 against the spread (ATS) – including most recently at the Miami Heat 104-99 as a 4-point road underdog Monday. The Raptors are 22-19 ATS and 23-18 Over/Under (O/U).

Dallas is on fire this month, winning eight of nine games in January (6-3 ATS), including three straight. The Mavs are second in net rating this month and 23-21 ATS and 13-30-1 O/U this season.

The Mavs (-4.5) beat the Raptors 103-95 in Toronto in their first meeting this season on Oct. 23.

Raptors at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mavericks -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread: Raptors +3.5 (-107) | Mavericks -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 207.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Raptors at Mavericks key injuries

Raptors

SG Gary Trent Jr. (ankle) questionable

Mavericks

SF Reggie Bullock (knee) probable
PF Maxi Kleber (knee) probable

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Raptors at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 103, Mavericks 100

Money line

SPRINKLE on the RAPTORS (+135) for a small wager if at all because Toronto’s spread is the sharper play.

The Raptors have depth, length and size at the wing to frustrate Mavs’ Luka Doncic. Though Doncic is on the ball all the time, he is a 6-foot-7 point guard so Toronto cannot stick 6-1 PG Fred VanVleet on him.

Luckily for Toronto, it has strong defensive small forwards in OG Anunoby and Scottie Barnes to throw at Luka, freeing up VanVleet’s bandwidth for the offense.

Raptors head coach Nick Nurse is known for employing several different defensive schemes throughout a game. Toronto’s zone defense could be very effective against a Dallas team that ranks 25th in 3-point percentage.

Again, the plan is to hit Toronto’s spread harder, but I’m OK with a SPRINKLE on the RAPTORS (+135).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the RAPTORS +3.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of their money line because this is a better spot for Toronto.

The Raptors are 10-7 ATS as road underdogs with a plus-4.2 ATS margin (ranked fourth). The Mavs are just 10-11 ATS at home. Plus, Dallas has struggled in cross-conference games, going 4-10 ATS against Eastern Conference foes.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 207.5 (-107) for a quarter-unit wager since both teams rank in the bottom four in pace and top four in offensive-turnover rate.

The bottom line is there’s going to be a ton of slow, methodical possessions and a lot of half-court basketball.

Nearly 70% of the action is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, but the Under is 4-1 in the last five Raptors-Mavericks meetings. Not only do we have a “fade the market” angle, but it corresponds with a head-to-head trend.

I only “LEAN” to the UNDER 207.5 (-107) because both teams have shooters that can light it up from behind the arc and this total is low.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-28) travel to American Airlines Center Monday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (24-19). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Thunder might not have a good record, sitting 14th in the Western Conference, but they cover at the second-highest rate in the NBA with a 27-14-1 ATS record. The Thunder are led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander‘s 22.4 points per game.

They battle another strong backcourt in Dallas with potential MVP Luka Doncic. The Mavericks are also among the 13 teams covering at over a 50% rate at 23-20 ATS. The Mavs have covered six of their last seven games.

Thunder at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Mavericks -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +11.5 (-115) | Mavericks -11.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Thunder at Mavericks key injuries

Thunder

G Kenrich Williams (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None

Thunder at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 106, Thunder 101

Money line

PASS on the money line. I like the Mavericks at home but there is no value to bet them at -900. If anything, the Thunder at +570 have some, yet marginal, value.

Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +11.5 (-115).

The Thunder may not win games, but they compete, and that’s why they’ve been a covering machine. OKC is 13-7 ATS as a road underdog.

The Mavericks have the league’s second-best turnover rate, and while the Thunder don’t create many turnovers they still have a defensive rating in the top half of the league. The Thunder should be able to impact Doncic’s style of play with sizeable defensive-minded guard Lu Dort.

Oklahoma City’s weak point defensively is in their interior defense, but that’s not where the Mavs offense thrives. Dallas ranks 28th in points in the paint. Considering the premier defense the Thunder have, I expect them to be able to limit the Dallas offense and hold the game within single digits.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 209.5 (-107).

I don’t love Unders this low, but the Mavericks play at the second-slowest pace in the NBA.

They should dictate the pace and are just 4-15-1 O/U at home. The Thunder, on the other hand, rank dead last in true shooting percentage and have struggled to score efficiently.

Given that both teams have a defensive rating in the top half of the league, a defensive-minded game with few points should be what we see Monday evening.

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Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Magic (8-35) and Dallas Mavericks (23-19) each are on the second night of a back-to-back and face each other for the first time all season. Tip-off for their game tonight is 9:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Below, we look at the Magic vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Magic have the worst record in the NBA this season with only eight total wins. They did, though, snap a 10-game losing streak Friday night with a 116-109 road win over the Charlotte Hornets.

Meanwhile, the Mavericks ended the Memphis Grizzlies’ 11-game winning streak with a 112-85 win on the road Friday night. The Mavericks have won seven of their last eight games.

Magic at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Magic +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Mavericks -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Magic +11.5 (-120) | Mavericks -11.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Magic at Mavericks key injuries

Magic

F Wendell Carter Jr. (ankle) out
C Mo Bamba (toe) questionable

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out

Magic at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 106, Magic 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. The only bet worth taking is the Magic because of the potential payout, but they have won consecutive games only once all year. They are 6-20 and facing one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Don’t count on them winning.

As for betting the Mavs, I like them to win, but it isn’t worth betting more than six times what you can win.

Against the spread

Orlando has performed relatively well against the spread this season. They are 20-23 ATS this season overall. They have covered the spread in three straight games and five out of seven. They have beaten the spread four of the last six games they were underdogs by at least 10 points.

Dallas is 22-20 ATS this season and has not covered a double-digit spread this season as favorites.

Take the MAGIC +11.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Six of the Magic’s last nine games have gone Over the projected total.

Only one of the last nine games for the Mavs has gone Over the projected total. They have allowed only 94 points per game over their last nine.

Taker UNDER 209.5 (-112).

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (14-14) travel to Target Center Sunday to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-15). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks at Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game having won 2 of their last 4. They’re just 2-5 this season without Luka Doncic, and they’ll be down far more than just him Sunday.

The Mavs have been unprofitable to bet on this season, just 13-15 against the spread. The Wolves aren’t much better at 14-15. Minnesota will be without phenom Anthony Edwards in this one.

They’ll still be solid favorites as the far healthier side. The Wolves are just 4-6 ATS this season as home favorites.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Timberwolves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -3.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Reggie Bullock (health and safety protocols) out
G Luka Doncic (ankle) out

Timberwolves

G Anthony Edwards (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Mavericks 103

Money line

PASS on the money line. The Wolves are riding high after a solid home win over the Lakers. At -150, I would rather look toward the points to find value on the healthier side.

Against the spread

BET on the TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-107) as the Mavericks haven’t been able to find much offense without Doncic.

Bullock is also out, a player that typically helps create without their star. The Wolves have the 8th-best defensive rating, so they should be able to tame Tim Hardaway Jr.

With the marginally worse record, the Wolves have the better net rating of the two teams, suggesting they’re a touch better than their sub-.500 record indicates.

The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding rate while the Mavericks are just 14th in defensive rebounding rate. I’ll take the more aggressive, healthier side in this one.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 213.5 (-108) as the better of the two sides. The Wolves have been a competent scoring team without Doncic, having topped 103 points in their last three games.

Jalen Brunson has stepped up nicely to command the offense. Similarly, the Wolves have big-time shot makers and have scored 110 or more points in 3 straight games.

The Over is the better play here.

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (12-13) travel to Paycom Center Sunday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-17). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game continuing their three-game road trip, having lost in Indianapolis to the Pacers Friday. They lost by 13.

In this one though, they’ll be without superstar G Luka Doncic. Dallas has been the third-worst team ATS this season, sitting at just 10-15 ATS. However, they’re 3-1 ATS as road favorites.

As for the Thunder, they’re 15-10 ATS this season and 6-4 ATS as home underdogs, the sixth-best record in the league under those circumstances. The Thunder are led by star G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Mavericks at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:23 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Thunder +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -4.5 (-110) | Thunder +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) out

Thunder

None.

Mavericks at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 99, Thunder 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. While I like the Thunder to keep it close, I don’t think their money line at +155 is worth putting any type of unit on.

Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +4.5 (-110) as SGA will be the best player on the court, and they’ve been a covering machine so far this season.

While the Thunder rank dead last in terms of efficiency, they are 17th in turnover rate, so they don’t necessarily turn the ball over much.

With the Mavericks not being a great rebounding team and the Thunder able to get shots up and not give the ball away, the OKC should be able to get points on the board.

Without Doncic, the Mavs will have to rely upon Tim Hardaway Jr. and Jalen Bruson. I’m not ready to tell people to put money on those two leading the way. I’d rather back SGA and company at home.

The Mavs have lost all four games without Doncic this season, all losses coming by more than 5 points.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 206.5 (-107) as the Mavs play a different style of basketball without Doncic, and it’s significantly more inefficient.

In three of the four games the Mavs have played without Doncic, they’ve failed to top 100 points. The offense just doesn’t have that go-to option with him on the bench.

Couple that with the Thunder being the worst team in the league in terms of true shooting percentage, and I’d side with fewer points in this one.

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-7) meet the Los Angeles Clippers (10-7) Tuesday at Staples Center for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Dallas is wrapping up its second straight two-game miniseries and has lost three straight road games. The Mavs dropped back-to-back games at the Phoenix Suns last week and lost at the Clippers 97-91 Sunday. Dallas is 7-9 ATS and 5-10-1 O/U with the 21st-ranked net rating.

The Clippers are 4-3 overall and 3-4 ATS over the past two weeks with the latest being the 97-91 victory over Dallas Sunday. L.A.’s defense ranks second in efficiency, sixth in effective field goal shooting and first in FT/FGA rate. The Clippers are 9-8 ATS and 7-10 O/U with the sixth-best net rating.

L.A. beat Dallas in their first meeting of the season, and the Clippers won their best-of-seven Western Conference first-round playoff series vs. the Mavs last year despite losing the first two games at home.

Mavericks at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Clippers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Clippers -4.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Mavericks at Clippers key injuries

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (oblique) probable
PG Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable

Clippers

PF Marcus Morris (knee) probable
PF Nicolas Batum (health and safety protocols) out
SF Kawhi Leonard (knee) out

Mavericks at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 104, Mavericks 97

Money line

PASS because I only “lean” towards L.A. covering this game and don’t like the Clippers (-200) enough to risk double my potential profit for an outright victory. That said, the Clippers have been awesome at home this season, and the Mavs have struggled thus far on the road.

For instance, L.A. is 8-3 at home with the eighth-best efficiency differential and the second-best defensive efficiency (according to CleaningTheGlass.com). While Dallas is 3-6 on the road with the 21st-ranked efficiency differential and a minus-4.7 spread differential.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the CLIPPERS -5.5 (-108) because they have one of the best defenses in the league and match up very well against Dallas’s offense.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs attempt the eighth-highest volume of mid-range field goals and the ninth-highest volume of 3-pointers. But, the Clippers are 10th in defensive field goal shooting vs. mid-range jumpers and 12th in defensive 3-point percentage.

Furthermore, Dallas runs its offense through the post at the third-highest frequency but L.A. has the fifth-best defensive efficiency vs. post-up offense.

On top of that, the Clippers are getting back an above-average defensive wing in Morris, who is a body that L.A. can throw in front of Luka, should he return Tuesday.

Also, there could be value in fading the Mavs if Luka returns because Luka’s on-off net efficiency grades in the 13th percentile at minus-14 points per 100 possessions (CleaningTheGlass.com). And Luka could be an even bigger anchor to Dallas’s net efficiency if plays at less than 100% health.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 209.5 (-108) for 1 unit because L.A.’s defense should make it hard on Dallas to execute offensively. In addition, the Mavericks do a good job defending what the Clippers do frequently.

For example, L.A. plays the sixth-highest frequency of isolation offense and gets out in transition at the sixth-highest rate.

But, Dallas’s transition defense is seventh in efficiency, and the Mavs have the ninth-best defensive efficiency vs. isolation offense.

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-6) travel to Staples Center Sunday to take on the Los Angeles Clippers (9-7). Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks at Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Set to have back-to-back games against each other, the Clippers will host the Mavs two straight games, the second being Tuesday. That said, the Mavs could be without Luka Doncic, which doesn’t seem baked into the spread yet.

With that in mind, I’d likely wait until the MVP candidate’s status is announced before betting if you’d like to wager on Dallas. The Mavericks are 7-8 against the spread and 5-9-1 on the over/under. Doncic missed the team’s last two games, losing to Phoenix both times.

As for LA, they’ll continue to be without Kawhi Leonard, which has forced Paul George to step up. He has been playing at an MVP-caliber level as well, averaging 26.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game this season.

They could become a greater favorite if Doncic is ruled out. However, despite its two losses, Dallas has played well without out their best player on the court.

Mavericks at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Clippers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +2.5 (-108) | Clippers -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Mavericks at Clippers key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee) questionable
F Maxi Kleber (oblique) questionable

Clippers

F Kawhi Leonard (knee) out
F Marcus Morris Sr. (knee) out

Mavericks at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 108, Mavericks 103

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Mavericks are too talented of a team to bet the Clippers at -140, especially considering news of a potential Doncic absence could spike this well into the -200s.

Even without the guard, the Mavs have talent by the name of Jalen Brunson, Kristaps Porzingis and Tim Hardaway Jr., making -140 not a great bet. At the same time, without knowing his status, the +115, which seems to assume Doncic will play, isn’t worth it either.

Against the spread

BET on the CLIPPERS -2.5 (-112). This is especially good value if Doncic misses as they lost to the Suns by 7 and 8 without their best player on the court.

The Clippers may not have the best record in the West, but they do rank 7th in net rating.

The Mavericks are down to 22, meaning they play extremely inconsistent for a team that’s 9-6. For example, even the 9-8 Trail Blazers have a positive net rating. Both their offense and defense are below average this season.

The Clippers, a team who has the second-best defensive rating, should limit the Mavs easy opportunities, especially considering they also rank atop the league in opponents free throw rate. The Mavs rank 7th in three-point attempts per game.

They rely on their three. The Clippers hold the 7th best opponents effective field goal rate. Overall, this will be a matchup of a short-handed Mavs against a lethal defense.

I’m going with the team that has proven to be more consistent this season and backing them with ease. I’d get this spread now before a potential Doncic announcement pushes it to around 6 or 7.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 213.5 (-108).

The Clippers strength is their defense, and that may limit what Dallas wants to do offensively. As noted, the Clippers have the league’s lowest opponents free-throw rate. Getting to the line won’t be easy.

That said, while the Clippers may play at the sixth-fastest pace in the NBA, the Mavericks rank 22nd in pace. They certainly don’t run at the same level and that’s regardless of if Doncic plays or not.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-5) face the Phoenix Suns (11-3) at Footprint Center for the second time in three nights Friday. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Suns defeated the Mavericks 105-98 Wednesday night for their 10th consecutive victory. Dallas led by five points entering the final quarter before the Suns outscored them 37-25 in that frame. G Devin Booker led the Suns with 24 points and C Deandre Ayton added 19 points and 13 boards.

The Mavs were without G Luka Doncic Wednesday and were led by G Tim Hardaway’s 22 points while C Kristaps Porzingis added 21 and 8 boards. The Mavericks had won two straight, and five of six, games before the loss to the Suns.

Mavericks at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Suns -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +7.5 (-115) | Suns -7.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle, knee) doubtful
F Maxi Kleber (oblique) out

Suns

C Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
F Dario Saric (knee) out

Mavericks at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 115, Mavericks 100

Money line

The money line is priced such that the only way it is worth betting is to expect the Mavericks to come away with an outright win.

The Mavericks have not lost consecutive games all season. In fact, they have not lost two consecutive regular-season games since April 16 and 18 last season.

However, two games in a row against the same team often has one close game and one game that goes a little sideways. The Mavs had their close game without Doncic Wednesday.

I don’t think they have an upset in them without Doncic again Friday. PASS on the money line.

Against the spread

The Mavs had their close game — they were in the lead much of the game before the Suns caught fire in the fourth quarter. The Mavs covered the 8-point spread by 1 point.

It was the third time in their last four games that the Mavs covered the spread while the Suns failed to cover in a win for the second straight game. Phoenix is 7-3 ATS during its 10 game win streak.

With Doncic likely out for the second straight game and the Suns basically at full health, and with the fourth quarter going the way it did in the last game, I expect that more from the start.

Take the SUNS -7.5 (-107).

Over/Under

Wednesday’s game stayed Under the projected total.

It was the fourth straight game for the Suns, and the fifth game out of six, that went Under.

It was the first time in four games the Mavs had a game stay Under the projected total.

I expect some offensive carryover from the fourth quarter, when the teams combined for 62 points.

Take OVER 211.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-4) face the Phoenix Suns (10-3) on the road for the first two consecutive games. Wednesday’s game tips off at 10 p.m. ET at Footprint Center. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks lead the Southwest Division, having won five of their last six games. They are coming off a 111-101 home win over the Denver Nuggets. Their offensive attack is led by G Luka Doncic who averages 24.9 points, 8.3 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game. However, he will miss this game with sprains in his knee and ankle. They are 3-3 on the road.

The Suns have won nine straight games. They have the league’s No. 4 offense, averaging 111.0 points per game and, over their last three games, are only allowing 93.0 points per game. C Deandre Ayton returned to the lineup Monday after missing five straight games with a leg contusion.

Mavericks at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Suns -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +7.5 (-110) | Suns -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle, knee) out
F Max Kleber (oblique) out

Suns

C Frank Kaminsky (knee) questionable
F Dario Saric (knee) out

Mavericks at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 113, Mavericks 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. It is priced the way it is because of the injury to Doncic. This would otherwise be a great matchup of two teams seemingly well on their way to the playoffs. However, a full-strength Suns unit is expected to take care of business tonight against a Mavericks team missing its best player and the focal point of their offense.

Against the spread

The Suns are 8-5 ATS on the season overall. They did not cover the spread in their win Monday but did in their previous seven games. They are 4-3 ATS at home.

The Mavericks are 5-8 ATS this season. They have not won or covered the spread this season in any game in which they were underdogs.

Take the SUNS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Despite the Suns having the No. 2 scoring offense in the league, the Under has hit in four of their last five games because of their defense. They have allowed an average of 93.0 points in their last three games.

The Mavs had their last three games go Over the projected total, but they are only 4-7-2 O/U this season. And without Doncic, they won’t have the firepower to keep up with G Devin Booker and G Chris Paul.

Take UNDER 215.5 (-107).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (8-4) hosts the Denver Nuggets (9-4) Monday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at American Airlines Center. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Denver has won five straight games, three of which were against playoff teams from last season. The Nuggets hammered the Portland Trail Blazers last night 124-95 as 5.5-point home favorites. Denver is 7-6 ATS and 3-10 O/U with the fourth-best net rating (plus-5.6).

Dallas has won four of its past five games with the latest being a 123-109 victory at the San Antonio Spurs as 2.5-point road favorites.

The Mavs’ offense is all on Luka Doncic‘s shoulders. Doncic has the highest usage rate in the Association and the third-highest assist rate. Dallas is 4-8 ATS and 3-8-1 O/U with the 21st-ranked net rating (minus-1.8).

The Nuggets destroyed the Mavs 106-75 in their first meeting this season, Oct. 29. Denver outscored Dallas 50-22 in paint points and held the Mavs to just 29.5% field goal shooting.

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +4.5 (-105) | Mavericks -4.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries

Nuggets

SG Will Barton (back) doubtful
SF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (oblique) out

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 104, Mavericks 99

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the NUGGETS (+160) for a tiny wager because I “like” Denver getting points in this spot and will “sprinkle” on the underdog’s money line. Furthermore, the Mavs have gotten stomped in the few times they’ve played a good team this season.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, which removes garbage time from its stat tracking, Dallas has an NBA-worst minus-24.3 net points per 100 possessions vs. teams in the top-10 of net efficiency.

That said, Denver’s spread is a much wiser wager so if it’s either or go with the Nuggets plus the points.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the NUGGETS +4.5 (-105) heavier than or instead of Denver’s money line. Each team has only played three games vs. opponents in the top-10 of net efficiency.

But, Denver has a plus-10.7 spread differential (ranked second) in those games and Dallas has a minus-15.3 spread differential (ranked 29th), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, more than 85% of the cash wagered is on the Mavericks (according to Pregame.com), which has steamed them up from a 4-point favorite on the opener to the current number. Typically, a contrarian mindset is a profitable foundation for successfully betting on sports.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-112) because more money is on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over (according to Pregame.com). Generally, it’s wise to follow the money in sports betting especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

Also, the Mavs just don’t score easy buckets. Dallas scores the fourth-fewest points off of turnovers, second-chance points and fastbreak points per game and the second-fewest paint points per game.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-112) because the probable absence of Barton hurts Denver’s defense more so than its offense. CleaningTheGlass.com grades Barton in the 97th percentile of on/off rating for wings.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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