Mavericks Thunder odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in Game 5 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Wednesday. The series is tied 2-2. Tip-off from Paycom Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder won 100-96 as 1.5-point underdogs in Game 4 Monday with the Under (215.5) easily hitting. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 34 points for Oklahoma City, which came back from a 14-point, 2nd-half deficit.

Mavericks F P.J. Washington (21 points) scored 20 or more for a 3rd straight game, while G Luka Doncic had just 18, his lowest scoring output of this postseason.

The winning team has covered each game this series, and the Under has gone 3-1.

Mavericks at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Thunder -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-110) | Thunder -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) probable

Thunder

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 105, Thunder 104

Moneyline

The MAVERICKS (+145) should bounce back in a pivotal Game 5 with the series tied. Dallas is coming off a franchise playoff-record 13-block performance in Game 4 and had a 92.3% win probability with 10:17 remaining in the 3rd quarter, according to ESPN Analytics.

Blowing a 14-point, 2nd-half lead while playing well defensively is somewhat unlucky, and Dallas shouldn’t be downgraded this drastically. The veteran Mavericks, led by Doncic and G Kyrie Irving, should perform better under pressure Wednesday than the young Thunder — the average age on Oklahoma City is 23.4 years old.

BET MAVERICKS (+145).

Against the spread

The Mavericks should cover +4.5 (-115), but the more profitable play in this spot is the ML at plus odds.

PASS. Bet Mavericks ML and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Mavericks defense was suffocating in Game 4, and a veteran team like Dallas likely won’t drop off that much on the road. While Doncic has lost a step due to injury, Iriving has emerged as a surprisingly good defender and should lead this Mavericks defense to a 3rd straight impressive performance.

BET UNDER 213.5 (-115).

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder battle in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Thursday. The Thunder lead the series 1-0. Tip-off from Paycom Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 117-95 loss against Oklahoma City Tuesday while failing to cover as a 4-point road underdog.

G Luka Doncic scored a game-high 36 points while grabbing 15 rebounds and dishing out 18 assists for a triple-double, while C Dereck Lively II (20 points and 16 rebounds) added a double-double. The Mavericks shot 44.8% from the field in the loss.

The Thunder have won 10 games in a row after Tuesday’s dominant victory. F Jalen Williams scored a team-high 23 points, while 8 different Thunder players, including each starter, scored in double digits. Oklahoma City shot 44% from the field in the win.

Mavericks at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Thunder -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Thunder -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee) probable

Thunder

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 109, Mavericks 101

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Thunder (-200), who have won 10 straight games, at this price.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-115).

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 8 of its last 10 games, all as the favorite, including each of its last 4 and 6 of its last 7 at home. Dallas has failed to cover the spread in 2 of its last 4 games and 5 of its last 9, including 2 of its last 3 as an underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 218.5 (-110).

Dallas and Oklahoma City have each hit the Under in 7 of the last 10 games. The Mavs have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 road games and scored 101 or fewer points in 6 of their last 9, while the Thunder have hit the Under in each of their last 3 and held opponents to 107 or fewer in 9 straight.

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder welcome the Dallas Mavericks to Paycom Center for Game 1 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Tuesday. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Thunder won 3-1

The Thunder swept the New Orleans Pelicans in the 1st round, beating them 97-89 in Game 4 April 29 after closing as 4.5-point favorites. The top-seeded Thunder covered the last 3 games in the series, closing as favorites in each. They went 1-3 O/U as well.

The Thunder ended the regular season 46-36 against the spread (ATS) and are 28-15 ATS at home on the season, including the playoffs.

The Mavericks’ 1st-round series ended in 6 games as they beat the 4th-seeded LA Clippers 114-101 Friday as 8.5-point home favorites. Dallas closed as a favorite in 5 of the 6 games, going 3-2 ATS when laying points and 1-0 ATS as an underdog.

The Mavs were 48-34 ATS on the season and are 29-15 ATS on the road, the best record in the NBA.

Mavericks at Thunder odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Thunder -158 (bet $158 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +3.5 (-110) | Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 218 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee) probable

Thunder

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 110, Mavericks 104

Moneyline

PASS.

There is some value in taking a moneyline option, but 5 of the Mavs’ 6 first-round games ended outside of 3 points. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -3.5 (-110).

The Thunder and Mavs play a similar style of basketball. They both sit top 10 in turnover rate and top 10 in pace. They both sit bottom 10 in offensive rebounding rate. However, the Thunder rank 3rd in offensive rating, while the Mavs sit 8th, and the Thunder sit 3th in defensive rating, whereas Dallas is 18th.

OKC has been strong at home and is 38-27 ATS as a favorite this season. It has covered in 7 of its last 8 games. It should have a major size advantage as well. While Dallas was 4-2 ATS in its 1st-round series, it is 4-4 ATS in its last 8 and played a Clippers team without one of its best players for most of the series in F Kawhi Leonard.

Expect the Thunder to be primed and ready to bring the battle to Dallas after an extended rest. Take THUNDER -3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 218 (-110).

The Mavs went 3-3 O/U in their 6-game 1st-round series and are 3-6 O/U in their last 9 games. The Thunder went 1-3 O/U in their 1st-round series, while they are 2-6 O/U in their last 8.

In the playoffs, defense has picked up, and the Thunder topped 106 just once in the 1st round despite ranking 3rd in pace among playoff teams. OKC scored sub-100 in 2 of 4 1st-round games yet did that just 3 times all season long. The Mavs went under 102 in 3 of 6 1st-round games.

Considering this total and how each team faired in the 1st round, back UNDER 218 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (12-13) travel to Paycom Center Sunday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-17). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game continuing their three-game road trip, having lost in Indianapolis to the Pacers Friday. They lost by 13.

In this one though, they’ll be without superstar G Luka Doncic. Dallas has been the third-worst team ATS this season, sitting at just 10-15 ATS. However, they’re 3-1 ATS as road favorites.

As for the Thunder, they’re 15-10 ATS this season and 6-4 ATS as home underdogs, the sixth-best record in the league under those circumstances. The Thunder are led by star G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Mavericks at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:23 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Thunder +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -4.5 (-110) | Thunder +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) out

Thunder

None.

Mavericks at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 99, Thunder 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. While I like the Thunder to keep it close, I don’t think their money line at +155 is worth putting any type of unit on.

Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +4.5 (-110) as SGA will be the best player on the court, and they’ve been a covering machine so far this season.

While the Thunder rank dead last in terms of efficiency, they are 17th in turnover rate, so they don’t necessarily turn the ball over much.

With the Mavericks not being a great rebounding team and the Thunder able to get shots up and not give the ball away, the OKC should be able to get points on the board.

Without Doncic, the Mavs will have to rely upon Tim Hardaway Jr. and Jalen Bruson. I’m not ready to tell people to put money on those two leading the way. I’d rather back SGA and company at home.

The Mavs have lost all four games without Doncic this season, all losses coming by more than 5 points.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 206.5 (-107) as the Mavs play a different style of basketball without Doncic, and it’s significantly more inefficient.

In three of the four games the Mavs have played without Doncic, they’ve failed to top 100 points. The offense just doesn’t have that go-to option with him on the bench.

Couple that with the Thunder being the worst team in the league in terms of true shooting percentage, and I’d side with fewer points in this one.

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (23-21) continue their road trip Monday night against the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-26). Tip-off is at 8:10 p.m. ET at the Chesapeake Energy Arena. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Thunder odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas plays the second game of a five-game road trip and after losing its last two games. It is the first time since Feb. 1 the Mavericks have had consecutive losses. They currently are eighth in the Western Conference and have a fairly strong hold on a play-in series berth.

The Mavs are four games out of sixth place, which does not have to participate in a play-in series, and three games ahead of 11th place, which would put them out of the play-in series completely.

The Thunder lost the first two games of their four-game homestand. They are 2.5 games out of 10th place in the West and a play-in series for the postseason. Since Feb. 19, Oklahoma City has not won or lost more than two consecutive games. The Thunder have the fifth-worst home record at 8-14.

Mavericks at Thunder: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Thunder +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -9.5 (-110) | Thunder +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Thunder: Key injuries

Mavericks

C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
SG JJ Redick (heel) out

Thunder

SF Darius Bazley (shoulder) out
SG Luguentz Dort (concussion) out
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (foot) out
PF Mike Muscala (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Thunder: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 110, Thunder 99

Money line (ML)

The Thunder will be without their three top scorers in Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley and Dort. Their lack of success at home this season makes them a bad bet in this game and the Mavericks have been great at bouncing back after losses.

You could bet the Mavericks (-450) for a sure chalky play but there is no value. A better play is to look to the spread and at the total for your wager.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Despite the Thunder’s overall 19-26 record, they have performed relatively well against the spread. They are 23-21-1 ATS, although they failed to cover in their last two losses and are 8-13-1 ATS at home.

Playing as the underdog is nothing new. Oklahoma City has not been favored in a game since February 21. Dallas is 20-24 ATS this season but 12-11 ATS on the road.

Take the MAVERICKS -9.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Mavericks have the league’s sixth-lowest Over percentage at 43.2%. Six of their last eight games have gone Under the total and four of the last six for the Thunder have also gone Under.

Take UNDER 216.5 POINTS (-110).

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Also see:

Horford shut down sooner than planned (Thunder Wire)
Small-market execs concerned about ‘buyout market’ (Hoops Hype)

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