The St. Louis Cardinals (27-38) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (30-35) to Busch Stadium Sunday. First pitch in the finale of the 3-game series is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
After a 5-game win streak, the Reds have cooled off and have won just 4 of their last 10 games and are 13-17 on the road this season. The Reds won Saturday 8-4 after losing 7-4 on Friday.
The Cardinals are 13-17 at home and have struggled immensely of late, losing 6 of their last 8 games. They are in last place in the NL Central.
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Reds at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Adam Wainwright
Greene (1-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 62 innings.
- Has been significantly better at limiting HRs this season, just 1.2 per 9 IO vs. 1.7 per 9 he allowed last season
- The Reds are just 3-9 with Greene starting this season
- Has allowed just 1 ER over his last 2 starts, pitching 6 innings in each
Wainwright (2-1, 5.97 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.
- The Cardinals are 3-3 with Wainwright on the mound this season
- Has given up at least 3 ER in 5 of 6 starts
Reds at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Cardinals 4
Moneyline
BET REDS (+115).
Greene has been starting to find his stride over his last few starts. Since baseball’s top prospect, SS Elly De La Cruz, joined the lineup the Reds have been averaging 5 runs per game.
As for the Cardinals, this is a position they have performed poorly in. St. Louis is 9-13 as a home favorite this season, and with the struggling, aging Wainwright, backing the road side makes sense.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The odds for both sides of the run line don’t pose much value. The Reds are too pricey to be backed at +1.5 (-175), and the Cardinals, having lost Saturday, aren’t playing well enough to make their -1.5 (+145) good value.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).
The Reds are 37-28 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games. While Greene has pitched better as of late, he has allowed 4 ER in 3 of his last 6 starts.
The Cardinals have gone Over in 2 straight games. They are 18-11-1 O/U at home this season. Back the OVER 8.5 (-120).
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