Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (56-86) and St. Louis Cardinals (84-59) open a 5-game series Friday. The contest at Busch Stadium is slated to begin at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 9-5

Cincinnati is coming off a 4-game home series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the Reds were swept while scoring just 8 total runs. Overall, Cincy has lost 6 games in a row and its pitchers own a 5.54 ERA over that stretch.

The Cardinals have hit their way to an 8-game lead in the NL Central by going 12-5 since Aug. 27. St. Louis has a solid .761 OPS over that stretch.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Chase Anderson vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Anderson (0-3, 9.00 ERA) has logged a 1.67 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 9 IP across 4 games (3 starts).

  • Has spent much of this season at Triple-A where he owns a 4.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP across 80 IP
  • Owns a 4.25 ERA across 194 career MLB games

Mikolas (11-11, 3.42 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 181 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 5.06 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Has registered a 2.23 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over his 13 starts at home in 2022

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Cardinals -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+102) | Cardinals -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Reds 3

Money line

AVOID.

The sizable juice here is obscuring the true odds — and any profit potential — on both sides.

Run line/Against the spread

Both sides tend to play in fewer 1-run games than average. The last 8 games of the season series — which have included 5 Cardinals wins — have been games decided by multiple runs.

With this game being the lead edge of a series that includes a Saturday doubleheader, middle relief could be hung out to dry in the interest of avoiding late-series bullpen fatigue. That’s a St. Louis edge in this one.

BACK THE CARDINALS -1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

Both clubs have some real-versus-expected batting numbers and quality-of-contact stats that point to both offenses being a bit too far over their skis. However, Mikolas has some indicators that swing the other way — toward a higher total — and Anderson is a small-sample-size question mark.

PASS.

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