Tag: Buffalo Bills betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills Week 14 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) visit the Buffalo Bills (9-3) for the Week 14 Sunday Night Football game at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Steelers-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Steelers at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Bills -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Steelers +1.5 (-110) | Bills -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Steelers at Bills: Game notes

  • The Steelers are coming off their first loss of the season, suffering a surprising 23-17 upset at home by the Washington Football Team Monday in Week 13. Pittsburgh, which was a 6-point favorite, led 14-3 at the half and 17-10 early in the fourth quarter before, but Washington rallied and kicked the go-ahead field goal with 2:07 left. The Steelers really struggled on the ground, finishing with just 21 rushing yards on 14 carries.
  • The Bills, who lead the Miami Dolphins (8-4) by one game atop the AFC East, have won two in a row and five of six. In Week 13, QB Josh Allen threw for 375 yards and a career-tying four TDs in an impressive 34-24 victory vs. the San Francisco 49ers in the Monday Night Football game. The 49ers were the home team – and 1.5-point favorites – but the game was played in Glendale, Ariz., due to COVID-19 protocol rules in Santa Clara County, Calif.
  • With its first loss, Pittsburgh now has the same record as the Kansas City Chiefs. The Steelers, however, hold the tiebreaker for the AFC’s No. 1 seed because of a better win percentage in conference games (with 4 weeks to go).
  • Pittsburgh holds a two-game lead over the Cleveland Browns (9-3) in the AFC North. The two will meet in Cleveland in their regular-season finale in Week 17.
  • The Bills went into Pittsburgh last season and claimed a 17-10 victory in Week 15 as 1-point dogs. It was a memorable trip for the Bills as it was their 10th win of the season and they clinched a playoff berth. They outscored the Steelers 10-0 in the final quarter and Allen finished with a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown.
  • The Steelers are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. the Bills, and they had won 6 straight in the series before last year’s loss.

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Steelers 8-4 | Bills 7-5
  • O/U: Steelers 4-6-2 | Bills 8-3-1

Steelers at Bills: Key injuries

Steelers

  • CB Joe Haden (concussion) out
  • LB Robert Spillane (knee) out
  • LB Vince Williams (COVID-19) out

Steelers at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 34, Steelers 23

Money line (?)

The Bills (-135) have definitely been playing better than the Steelers (+115) as of late, and I’m calling for a Buffalo win here. However, instead of laying the -135 juice, I’ll lay the points with the spread below. PASS.

Against the spread (?)

BUFFALO -1.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The home team will take care of business against a Steelers squad that is struggling.

Over/Under (?)

Back the OVER 45.5 (-115). Both teams have averaged 27.8 points per game this season. While Pittsburgh has to figure some offensive issues out, Buffalo has averaged 33.8 PPG in its last four games. The Over should hit early in the fourth quarter if not sooner.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 19-16-1 / 7-7-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 160-120-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 78-47-1

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Buffalo Bills vs. San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Buffalo Bills vs. San Francisco 49ers Week 13 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The primetime Week 13 Monday Night Football matchup features the Buffalo Bills (8-3) and San Francisco 49ers (5-6). Below, we preview the Bills-49ers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

For the Bills, it is a road game, but it is not in Santa Clara, Calif., where the 49ers normally play. Because Santa Clara health protocols will not allow sports to be played there, the 49ers are in Arizona. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. at State Farm Stadium in Glendale.

Bills vs. 49ers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | 49ers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills +1 (-115) | 49ers -1 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Bills vs. 49ers: Game notes

  • Buffalo already lost this season at State Farm Stadium to the Arizona Cardinals on a last-second Hail Mary.
  • The Bills have won four of their last five games, the only loss being in Arizona.
  • San Francisco is 1-4 as the home team.
  • 49ers QB Nick Mullens is 2-3 as a starter this year. He has 1,642 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and 7 interceptions in seven total games.
  • Bills QB Josh Allen has completed 68.8% of his passes this season for 3,028 yards, 22 touchdowns and 8 interceptions.

Bills vs. 49ers: Key injuries

49ers

  • CB Emmanuel Moseley (hamstring) questionable
  • CB K’Waun Williams (ankle) out

Bills vs. 49ers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 27, 49ers 23

Money line (?)

This is a true tossup with the line, so there is value on both sides. The 49ers are coming off a big win last week over the Los Angeles Rams and are threatening to get back into the playoff race; however, the Bills have been on a roll, losing only once in their last five games.

The Niners have had to move all their operations to Arizona so they are not completely settled in. That will show in the game. Take the BILLS (-105).

Against the spread (?)

With a one-point spread, the only way to go is with the winner you take on the money line. Otherwise, you’re predicting a tie (virtually impossible) or negating the money line bet.

The San Francisco defense is solid, allowing only 315.2 yards per game and 23.1 points per game, but Buffalo’s offense is explosive. The Bills have five games of scoring at least 30 points and seven of at least 27. In Mullens’ five starts for the Niners, they have scored 20 points only twice. Take the BILLS +1 (-115).

Over/Under (?)

The Bills are 7-3-1 O/U, while the Niners are 5-6 O/U. Three of the Bills’ last four games hit the Over. Both teams should score roughly their season average (27.2 for the Bills, 23.7 for the 49ers) and should go Over the projected total. Take OVER 47.5 (-105).

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills Week 12 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Chargers (3-7) travel across the country Sunday to play the Buffalo Bills (7-3) in a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Bills Stadium. Below, we preview the Chargers-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Chargers at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chargers +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Bills -234 (bet $234 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Chargers +4.5 (-110) | Bills -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

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Chargers at Bills: Game notes

  • The Chargers broke a 3-game losing streak last week by taking down the New York Jets 34-28 at home but couldn’t cover the spread as 8.5-point favorites. Rookie QB Justin Herbert was masterful against the Jets, as he went 37-for-49 for 366 passing yards and 3 touchdowns, no picks and a 116.5 quarterback rating.
  • Despite having just two wins as a starter, Herbert has all but locked up the Offensive Rookie of the Year award now that Cincinnati Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending knee injury.
  • The Bills went into its bye in Week 11 on a down note after losing to the Arizona Cardinals 32-30 thanks to a Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins Hail Mary (aka Hail Murray) with 2 seconds remaining.
  • Bills QB Josh Allen is having a career year. He’s top-10 in completion percentage, touchdown passes, quarterback rating, QBR and yards per attempt.

Chargers at Bills: Key injuries

Chargers

  • RB Kalen Ballege (ankle, calf) questionable
  • DE Melvin Ingram III (knee) out/IR
  • DE Uchenna Nwosu (shoulder, chest) out
  • CB Casey Hayward Jr. (groin) out

Bills

  • G Cody Ford (knee) out/IR
  • WR John Browns (ankle) out/IR

Chargers at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 34, Chargers 21

Money line (?)

Buffalo is 3-0 straight up when coming out of a bye under head coach Sean McDermott. The Bills are 6-1 as favorites and the Chargers are 0-5 as underdogs.

Despite all this, PASS ON THE MONEY LINE. The only way I’d bet the Bills’ money line is if I parlayed it with other favorites to get the payout to be a little closer to even- or plus-money.

Against the spread (?)

The absences of Ingram and Hayward gives me little to no confidence in the Chargers’ defense. Sharp Football Stats says Buffalo’s pass game has the highest success rate in the league and Los Angeles’ pass defense is below-average in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Also, the Chargers are 28th in opponent’s points per play and 23rd in sack rate.

Regardless of how Buffalo’s defense has looked so far this season, McDermott is a defensive whiz. Herbert has looked great but he’s due a bad game and I expect McDermott with extra prep time, and a defense that shouldn’t be this bad, to force Herbert into making costly mistakes.

GIMME BILLS -4.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (?)

I only lean OVER 51.5 (-115) because 88% of the money wagered and 96% of the bets are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. It’s hard to believe that much of the market is going to cash a bet against the house.

Chargers RB Austin Ekeler is expected to return from injury and Herbert has started to find his rhythm with Pro Bowl WR Keenan Allen. Plus, these teams usually find themselves in shootouts as their combined Over/Under record is 14-5-1 O/U.

Officially, I lean to the Over for a quarter-unit.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals Week 10 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Buffalo Bills (7-2) seek to win their fourth straight game and travel to take on the Arizona Cardinals (5-3) in Week 10. Kickoff is at 4:05 p.m. ET at State Farm Stadium. Below, we preview the Bills-Cardinals betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Cardinals: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills +2.5 (-110) | Cardinals -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Cardinals: Game notes

  • Cardinals QB Kyler Murray threw for 283 yards and 3 touchdowns in a 34-31 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 9. He ran for 106 yards and a score.
  • Bills QB Josh Allen had 415 passing yards and 3 touchdown passes in a 44-34 victory over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 9.
  • The Cardinals have the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 422.0 yards per game and are sixth in the league in scoring at 29.3 points per game.
  • The Cardinals have the best point differential in the NFC at plus-54, while the Bills are plus-9.
  • Arizona has the seventh-best third-down defense in the league, allowing opponents to convert 37.6% of their attempts. The Bills are third in the league in third-down offense, converting 50.5% of the time.

Bills at Cardinals: Key injuries

Bills

  • S Micah Hyde (ankle) questionable
  • CB Tre’Davious White (ankle) questionable
  • G Cody Ford (ankle) questionable

Cardinals

  • RB Kenyan Drake (ankle) questionable
  • DL Jordan Phillips (hamstring) questionable
  • CB Dre Kirkpatrick (thigh) questionable
  • S Budda Baker (groin) questionable

Bills at Cardinals: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Cardinals 37, Bills 33

Money line (?)

This is a tough game to gauge. Both teams can put up points. Both teams move the ball well; however, Arizona’s defense has been a little better this season. Both units are expected to be at full strength. Buffalo has had equal success at home and on the road this season, losing one game each; Arizona is only 2-2 at home.

Picking a difference, which quarterback should a bettor trust more — Murray or Allen? Murray gets the nod, as he is less likely to turn the ball over. Take the CARDINALS (-134).

Against the spread (?)

Arizona has covered the spread in its wins and failed to do so in its three losses. Buffalo is 4-5 this season against the spread. They are 1-1 ATS as underdogs. Since we like the Cardinals to win straight up and they have not picked up a win without a cover, take the CARDINALS -2.5 (-110).

Over/Under (?)

The Cardinals did not have a game go Over the total in their first six games. Their last two have, though. Buffalo is 6-2-1 O/U and both teams have offenses that are humming. This is a lock. Take OVER 56.5 (-110).

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Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills Week 9 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Seattle Seahawks (6-1) play the Buffalo Bills (6-2) in a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Bills Stadium in Week 9. Below, we preview the Seahawks-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Seahawks at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Seahawks -167 (bet $167 to win $100) | Bills +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Seahawks -3 (-115) | Bills +3 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

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Seahawks at Bills: Game notes

  • Seattle effectively ended the NFC West rival San Francisco 49ers’ 2020 season by beating them 37-27 in Week 8. The win kept Seattle atop its division and the ‘Hawks moved to 5-2 against the spread on the year.
  • The Bills also won a pivotal division game in Week 8, beating the New England Patriots 24-21. They failed to cover the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
  • Bills QB Josh Allen had a 122.7 QB Rating and 70.9 completion percentage with 12 touchdowns and one interception through the first four games this year. In the past four games, Allen has come back down to earth with a 79.2 QB Rating and 62.8 completion percentage with four touchdowns to four interceptions.

Seahawks at Bills: Key injuries

Seahawks

  • RB Chris Carson (foot) out
  • RB Carlos Hyde (hamstring) out
  • OG Mike Iupati (back) out
  • CB Shaquill Griffin  (groin) out
  • DE Benson Mayowa (ankle) out
  • S Ugo Amadi (hamstring) out

Bills

  • TE Dawson Knox (calf) questionable
  • OT Cody Ford (knee) questionable
  • DT Vernon Butler (groin) questionable
  • LB Matt Milano (pectoral) out
  • C Mitch Morse (concussion) out
  • CB Josh Norman (hamstring) out
  • RB T.J. Yeldon (back) out
  • RB Taiwan Jones (hamstring) out
  • DE Darryl Johnson (knee) questionable

Seahawks at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Seattle 31, Buffalo 20

Money line (?)

The SEAHAWKS (-167) gameplay on defense is seemingly to make teams one dimensional by using Pro Bowl LBs Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright to neutralize the ground game. Seattle is comfortable keeping its linebackers out there when the offense shows passing formations because they are awesome and head coach Pete Carroll wants to force teams to be accurate against his secondary.

This strategy has helped Seattle keep opponents to the lowest rushing play percentage in the NFL against them. Plus, the Seahawks hold opponents to the fifth-lowest yards per carry average.

How this hurts the Bills (+140) is they have the 25th-ranked rushing offense DVOA, according to Football Outsiders, and are 21st in yards per carry. Consequently, Seattle will most likely take away Buffalo’s weak run game and force QB Josh Allen to beat them. Allen isn’t playing nearly as well as when the Bills were 4-0.

I only LEAN SEATTLE (-167) because I’d prefer to put such a pricey money line in a parlay, but the Seahawks win in this spot enough times to play this money line.

Against the spread (?)

HAMMER SEAHAWKS -3 (-115). Seattle has won 11 consecutive games when playing in the 1 p.m ET window on the East Coast; it is also 9-1-1 ATS in those games. QB Russell Wilson and his receiving corps should have a big day against a Buffalo secondary 22nd in pass defense DVOA and 23rd in opponent’s completion percentage.

Over/Under (?)

My handicap for Seahawks-Bills is on the cusp of the 54.5-total so I can only LEAN UNDER 54.5 (-106). I like Seattle to be in firm control of this game early in the second half but I am worried about the Bills putting up garbage time points against a Seahawks secondary that still hasn’t found its footing in 2020.

Offseason trade acquisition, SS Jamal Adams, is set to return from injury and he’ll strengthen Seattle’s pass defense. Look for Seattle to control the tempo and force some bad Buffalo offense; just be wary of the backdoor Over.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills Week 8 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (2-4) are heading to Western New York this weekend to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-2). The Patriots are in desperate need of a win after losing three straight, and another loss would push the Bills further ahead in the AFC East. The game is slated for 1 p.m. ET from Bills Stadium. Below, we preview the Patriots-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Bills betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots +180 (bet $100, win $180) | Bills -213 (bet $213, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +4 (-110) | Bills -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 40.5 (O: -115, U: -106)

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Patriots at Bills game notes

  • The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, while the Bills are 0-3 ATS in their last three.
  • The total has gone Over in five of the Bills’ seven games this season, but it has gone Under in each of the Patriots’ last three games.
  • The Patriots are 9-1 straight up against the Bills in their last 10 meetings, including a 6-3-1 ATS record.
  • New England ranks 29th in scoring and 23rd in yards per play. Buffalo is only 20th in scoring but averages 5.9 yards per play to rank 11th in NFL.
  • The Patriots defense has had the third-fewest plays run against it of any team in the NFL and ranks 12th in scoring defense.

Patriots at Bills key injuries

Patriots

  • WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) questionable
  • WR Julian Edelman (knee) out
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable

Bills

  • OT Cody Ford (knee) questionable
  • S Micah Hyde (concussion) questionable
  • CB Josh Norman (hamstring) questionable
  • DL Quinton Jefferson (knee) questionable

Patriots at Bills: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Bills 24, Patriots 17

Money line (?)

QB Josh Allen and the Bills offense have cooled off after a red-hot start. They’ve lost two of their last three badly to the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs and barely beat the New York Jets in Week 7. The Bills are still the better team and New England is struggling even more than Buffalo. It’s hard to feel overly confident in this game, but I’m taking the BILLS (-213) in this pivotal AFC East tilt.

Against the spread (?)

The spread is set at 4 points in favor of the Bills at home. That was to be expected, especially after seeing how poorly the Patriots have played in their last three games. QB Cam Newton is struggling mightily, to the point where he was benched in favor of Jarrett Stidham against the San Francisco 49ers last week.

Take the BILLS -4 (-110) to win by at least 5 points.

Over/Under (?)

The Over/Under is set lower at only 40.5 points, which is partly because of how good these defenses are and partly due to the likelihood of rain and high winds impacting the game. Throwing the ball will be a challenge in 20-plus mph winds, which favors the Bills offense. It’ll be close to the projected total, but I’m going with the OVER 40.5 (-115).

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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