Tag: Buffalo Bills betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears odds and lines: Bears tabbed as Saturday matinee favorite

Looking at Saturday’s Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears preseason game with NFL betting odds and lines.

The Buffalo Bills (1-0) will battle the Chicago Bears (1-0) in Week 2 of the NFL preseason. The Saturday kickoff at Soldier Field is slated for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bills at Bears odds and lines.

Buffalo defeated the Detroit Lions 16-15 in its preseason opener. QB Jake Fromm led an 11-play, 55-yard drive which resulted in a 44-yard Tyler Bass field goal with 1:23 remaining in the contest at Ford Field. The late score came after 12 straight Detroit points earlier in the final quarter.

Chicago rallied for a 20-13 victory over the Miami Dolphins in its opener. Rookie QB Justin Fields scored 1 TD with his legs and threw for another in leading the Bears to victory after trailing the game 13-0 until late in the second quarter. Fields finished 14-for-20 for 142 yards and added 5 carries for 33 yards.

Bills at Bears: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Bears -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: OTB at time of publishing
  • Total: 38.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Under -110 (bet $110 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats (regular season):

  • ATS: Bills 11-5 | Bears 8-8
  • O/U: Bills 10-5-1 | Bears 8-8

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The Bills at +160 have an implied 38.46% chance to win. This can also be expressed as fractional odds of 8/5 or decimal odds of 2.60. A $10 bet on the Bills money line would pay out $16 in profit if Buffalo wins outright.

The Bears (-200) have an implied 66.67% chance to beat the Bills. This can be expressed as 1/2 fractional odds or 1.50 decimal odds. A $10 bet on Chicago to win outright would return a profit of $5.

No spread (ATS) numbers have been released at the time of publishing. This is called Off the Board (OTB).

With the Over/Under set at 38.5 points, a total score of 39 points or more would be a win for the Over and 38 or fewer points would be a win for the Under. A $10 bet on the winning side of the Total currently would return a profit of $9.09.

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Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions preseason Week 1 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The Buffalo Bills are in the Motor City Friday night for their preseason opener against the Detroit Lions. Kickoff will be at 7 p.m. ET at Ford Field. Below, we look at the Bills at Lions odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Bills will take a more cautious approach to this game than the Lions. Buffalo is not expected to play the majority of its starters, including QB Josh Allen. Lions starters will play about a quarter, so this will be our first look at QB Jared Goff with his new team.

Buffalo is coming off a season in which it reached the AFC Championship Game, only to lose to the Kansas City Chiefs. Allen was a Pro Bowler and one of the best quarterbacks in football, getting rewarded with a massive extension this offseason.

The Lions are currently in a rebuild after trading away QB Matthew Stafford for Goff and draft picks. Expectations are low for Dan Campbell’s team in his first year as a head coach.

Bills at Lions odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Lions -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills +1.5 (-105) | Lions -1.5 (-115)
  • Total: 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Lions odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 17, Lions 14

Money line

The Bills aren’t going to play their primary starters, but it won’t just be backups on the field. Players who are battling for starting jobs could see some action, which will help Buffalo in this game.

Detroit is expected to be one of the worst teams in football and with this being Campbell’s first game, I’m not expecting a whole lot out of Goff and the Lions offense. Bet the BILLS (+100) at even money.

Against the spread

It’s hard to predict preseason games, especially the first preseason game of the year when most starters don’t play or stay on the field only for a brief time. The Bills have the better roster from top to bottom, with Detroit lacking talent even in its starting lineup.

Bet the BILLS +1.5 (-105) to cover the spread and even win outright on the road.

Over/Under

Preseason openers are typically low-scoring, with two of the first three games this year totaling 35 or fewer points. The Lions don’t have much in the way of an offense, and Buffalo’s backup quarterbacks leave a lot to be desired, led by QB Mitchell Trubisky.

Don’t expect many points to be put up on the board, especially with Buffalo’s defense looking strong on paper – even in the second unit. Bet the UNDER 36.5 (-110).

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Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions odds and lines: QB Jared Goff makes unofficial Lions debut

Looking at Friday’s Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions NFL preseason odds and lines.

The Buffalo Bills made it within one game of the Super Bowl last season and seek to unseat the two-time defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs. Their quest begins this week in their preseason opener against the Detroit Lions.

Meanwhile, the Lions will give QB Jared Goff his unofficial debut with the team. Goff was acquired from the Los Angeles Rams in the trade that sent QB Matthew Stafford to California.

This preseason opener for both teams will kick off Friday night at 7 p.m. ET at Ford Field in Detroit. Below, we look at the Bills at Lions odds and lines.

Bills at Lions: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Lions +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills -2.5, -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Lions +2.5, -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Total: 36.5, Over -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Under +100 (bet $100 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats:

  • ATS: Bills 12-7 | Lions 7-9
  • O/U: Bills 12-6-1 | Lions 10-6

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The Lions, at +110 odds, have an implied 46.72% chance of winning, or 11/10 fractional odds. If Detroit wins outright or loses by less than a field goal, a Lions +2.5 (-105) ATS bet wins.

The Bills (-130) have an implied 57.08% chance of beating the Lions, or 100/133 fractional odds. Buffalo must win by at least three points for a Bills -2.5 (-115) ATS ticket to cash.

There would need to be at least 37 points scored Friday for an OVER 36.5 (-125) ticket to cash, while a combined point total of 36 or fewer points is a win for the Under (+100).

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AFC Championship: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the AFC Championship between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs, with betting odds, lines, picks, tips and predictions.

The Buffalo Bills (15-3) and Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) lock horns in the AFC Championship Game Sunday. Kickoff is at 6:40 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we preview the Bills-Chiefs odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Chiefs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Chiefs -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills +3 (-105) | Chiefs -3 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Chiefs: Game notes

  • The Bills posted an emphatic 17-3 win over the Baltimore Ravens last week. It sets up a rematch of Week 6, a game the Chiefs won 26-17 in Buffalo as the Under (55) comfortably connected.
  • The Chiefs hung on for a 22-17 win over the Cleveland Browns in the AFC Divisional Round, as backup QB Chad Henne led the team to a late, crucial first down to get the Chiefs over the hump.
  • All eyes will be on QB Patrick Mahomes, as he progresses through the league’s concussion protocol. Mahomes has been taking all the reps in practice. All signs point to him being ready.
  • Kansas City ranked 16th in the regular season in total yards allowed per game at 358.3, and they were 14th in the NFL with 236.2 passing yards allowed per contest. The Chiefs ranked 21st against the run, allowing 122.1 yards per game on the ground. That’s not Buffalo’s strong suit, as the Bills ranked 20th in offensive rushing yards per game (107.7).
  • The Bills covered the spread in their final eight regular-season games, and they split the covers in each of their two playoff games.

Bills at Chiefs: Key injuries

Bills

  • WR Cole Beasley (knee) questionable
  • DT Vernon Butler (quadriceps) questionable
  • WR Gabriel Davis (ankle) questionable
  • WR Stefon Diggs (oblique) questionable

Chiefs

  • RB Le’Veon Bell (knee) questionable
  • CB Bashaud Breeland (concussion, shoulder) questionable
  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle, hip) questionable
  • CB Rashad Fenton (foot) questionable
  • LB Willie Gay (ankle) questionable
  • QB Patrick Mahomes (concussion, toe) questionable
  • WR Sammy Watkins (calf) questionable

Bills at Chiefs: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 30, Chiefs 27

Money line (?)

The BILLS (+145) are a good bet on the money line, as they’re playing exceptional football lately. Buffalo has rattled off eight straight wins, and 11 of its last 12.

Some in Bills Mafia would argue it should be 12 in a row, still angered by a crazy Hail Mary play in Arizona in Week 10 which resulted in a 32-30 loss.

Against the spread (?)

BILLS +3 (-105) is the play here. Yes, K.C. beat Buffalo by nine earlier this season, but the Bills are 9-1 ATS across their past 10 games.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs are just 1-8 ATS over their previous nine games, with each of their past eight straight-up wins all one-score games, including three by 3 or fewer points.

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 53.5 (-110) is the play in this AFC title game. Buffalo’s offense was high octane in the regular season, posting 396.4 total yards and 31.3 PPG, ranking second in the NFL in both categories. K.C. averaged 415.8 total yards and 303.4 passing yards per game to rank atop the NFL, while being rather middling on defense.

This has the potential to be a shootout.

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AFC Divisional Round: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills AFC Divisional Round betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Buffalo Bills (14-3) host the Baltimore Ravens (12-5) in the AFC Divisional Round Saturday night at Bills Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. ET as the second game of the day. Below, we preview the Ravens-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Ravens at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Ravens +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Bills -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Ravens +2.5 (-110) | Bills -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ravens at Bills: Game notes

  • The Bills entered the NFL playoffs on a six-game winning streak and survived a late scare to top the Indianapolis Colts 27-24 last week at Bills Stadium. QB Josh Allen threw for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception.
  • The Ravens hit the postseason on a five-game winning streak and dropped the AFC South champion Tennessee Titans 20-13 on the road in the AFC Wild Card Round.
  • QB Lamar Jackson got his first playoff win under his best while going 17-for-24 through the air for 179 yards and 1 interception with no TDs. He ran for a game-high 136 yards and a score on 16 attempts.
  • Jackson, born in Pompano Beach, Fla., and having gone to college at Louisville, spoke this week and said he hopes it doesn’t snow Saturday in Orchard Park, N.Y. The early weather forecast calls for temperatures just above freezing.
  • Allen and Jackson, the No. 7 and 32 picks, respectively, of the 2018 NFL Draft, have started against each other just once. The Ravens beat the Bills 24-17 in Buffalo in Week 14 of last season. Jackson threw for 145 yards and 3 TDs with 1 INT. Allen went 17-for-39 for 146 yards and a score.
  • The Bills were second in the NFL in ESPN’s Team Pass Rush Win Rate. The Ravens were seventh by the same measure. The teams were fourth and eighth, respectively, in Pass Block Win Rate. Jackson took 29 sacks in 15 regular-season games to Allen’s 26 in 16 games.
  • There are expected to be approximately 6,700 fans allowed in attendance at Bills Stadium.

Ravens at Bills: Key injuries

Ravens

  • OT D.J. Fluker (knee) questionable
  • LB Matthew Judon (illness) questionable
  • CB Marcus Peters (back) questionable

Bills

  • WR Cole Beasley (knee) questionable
  • WR Stefon Diggs (oblique) questionable
  • LB Tremaine Edmunds (hamstring) questionable
  • DT Ed Oliver (ankle) questionable

Ravens at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ravens 27, Bills 26

Money line (?)

Take the RAVENS (+115) as plus-money underdogs. The Bills’ loss of Moss to injury will have a big impact with RB Devin Singletary now the only viable option in the backfield. Baltimore eliminated Titans RB Derrick Henry from Tennessee’s gameplan in last week’s win.

These are two of the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL but a decisive advantage goes to the reigning MVP in Jackson. Baltimore also gets the edge defensively with just 5.9 yards allowed per pass attempt this season to rank second in the NFL.

Against the spread (?)

The 2.5-point line hasn’t moved since opening earlier in the week. Since we’re taking the RAVENS +2.5 (-110) for the outright upset, add the two points of insurance in what’s sure to be a tight-scoring game.

Over/Under (?)

Even though Jackson has spoken on his wishes for a snow-free night in Buffalo, the cold weather could force him to run more than pass, and that’s been a bad recipe for opposing teams over the last couple of seasons.

The Bills are 11-5-1 against the O/U and have scored at least 26 points in each of their last nine games. Take the OVER 49.5 (-115) on the second-lowest point projection of the weekend.

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NFL Wild Card: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Indianapolis Colts and Buffalo Bills NFL Wild Card betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Indianapolis Colts (11-5) and Buffalo Bills (13-3) lock horns in an AFC playoff game Saturday in NFL Wild Card Weekend at 1:05 p.m. ET at Bills Stadium. Below, we preview the Colts-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Colts at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Colts +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Bills -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Colts +6.5 (-105) | Bills -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Colts at Bills: Game notes

  • The Colts enter this game having won four of their past five games outright, but they’re 0-3 ATS since their most recent cover in Week 14 in Las Vegas. Indianapolis has also scored at least 24 points in each of its past eight games.
  • Indianapolis has racked up 378.1 total yards of offense per game to rank 10th in the NFL, and they’re 11th in both passing yards (253.3) and rushing yards (124.8) per contest. The Colts rank ninth with 28.2 PPG.
  • Defensively the Colts have been stout, allowing just 332.1 total yards per game to rank eighth in the NFL, and they’re second in rushing defense with 90.5 yards per game allowed. If teams have success against their D, it’s through the air, as they have allowed 241.6 passing yards per game to check in just 20th.
  • Buffalo scored a season-high 56 points in their 30-point win over Miami in Week 17, winning for the sixth straight game, while covering for the eighth consecutive outing. They have also won five straight at home and covered four in a row in Western New York.
  • The Bills’ offense has been on point, going for 396.4 total yards per game to rank second in the NFL. They’re also second in points scored, 31.3 PPG while averaging 288.8 passing yards per game to rank third in the league. If they have an Achilles heel, it’s their run game, which generated just 107.7 rushing yards per contest.

Colts at Bills: Key injuries

Colts

  • DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) questionable
  • CB Rock Ya-Sin (concussion) out

Bills

  • WR Cole Beasley (knee) questionable
  • WR Stefon Diggs (oblique) questionable

Colts at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 29, Colts 20

Money line (?)

Playing the Bills (-275) is not a good idea, risking nearly three times your potential return. Over the long haul, it’s a losing proposition to bet in that manner unless you plan to toss it into a multi-team parlay. Even then, it’s better to just bet against the spread. PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The BILLS -6.5 (-115) have been money at home, with their last non-cover coming in Week 8 against New England in a 24-21 win as four-point favorites, and their last outright loss coming in Week 10 against the Arizona Cardinals on the Hail Murray, 32-30.

Even without their throngs of fans at full throat, Bills Stadium has been a difficult place to play. They’ll have a limited amount of fans in the stands Saturday to help spur them on.

Over/Under (?)

These are a couple of high-flying offenses, and they should put on a show in the opening game of the 2020 NFL playoffs. However, the lean is to the UNDER 51.5 (-115).

In last season’s wild-card round the Under was a perfect 4-0, and the Under is hitting at a 75.8 percent clip (22-7-3) across the wild-card round in the past eight seasons. That’s good enough for me to keep banging Under plays.

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Prop Bet Payday: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills prop bets to bank on

Highlighting five NFL Wild Card prop bets to make as the Colts take on the Bills in the AFC Wild Card round Saturday.

The Buffalo Bills (13-3) are gearing up to host the Indianapolis Colts (11-5) Saturday afternoon at 1:05 p.m. ET to kick off the 2020 NFL playoffs.

Below, we focus on NFL Colts vs. Bills prop bets to consider for their AFC Wild Card Weekend matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

5 Colts-Bills prop bets to make in NFL Wild Card Weekend

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10 p.m. ET.

Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 25.5 yards rushing -155

Allen is one of the toughest quarterbacks in the NFL to get on the ground, consistently making plays with his legs. Typically, he uses his mobility to extend plays and make big throws downfield, but he also takes off plenty.

He rushed for at least 28 yards in half of his games this season, so he has a good chance to top 26 yards Saturday against the Colts. It could take just one long run for him to eclipse this total. Bank on the OVER.

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor OVER 77.5 yards rushing -105

Taylor has been on a tear as of late, rushing for an average of 123.5 yards per game in his last six games. What could prevent him from topping 77 yards rushing is the scoreboard.

If the Bills jump out to a big lead, it could cause the Colts to become more pass-happy and abandon the run. But if this one stays close, Taylor will get a heavy dose of carries. Look for him to get just enough action to hit at least that benchmark. Bank on the Over.

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Stefon Diggs to score TD and Bills to win +100

Diggs has been a stud this season, scoring eight touchdowns in 16 games played. While three of those came against the Patriots in Week 16, he’s scored at a consistent clip this year and he and Allen are clearly on the same page.

Pairing a Diggs touchdown with a Bills win feels like a good value at +100 because this is a game Buffalo should absolutely win.

Colts QB Philip Rivers OVER 36.5 passing attempts -110

This should be a high-scoring game and assuming the Colts are playing from behind, Rivers should be throwing a lot of passes. I like him to have over 36.5 pass attempts; he has 10 games with at least 33 attempts, including six with at least 36. The game script should lead to a high volume of throws by Rivers. Bet the Over.

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Bills to score OVER 14.5 points in 1st half +100

The Bills rank second in the NFL with an average of 16.6 points scored in the first half per game. Buffalo is averaging 47.3 points per game in their last three games, so the offense is really hitting its stride right now.

A hot start should put the Bills over 14 points in the first half, scoring on three possessions before halftime. Bet the Over.

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Week 17 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (10-5) visit the 2020 AFC East champion Buffalo Bills (12-3) Sunday of Week 17 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Bills -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins +3.5 (-115) | Bills -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Bills: Game notes

  • Miami, currently in the fifth spot of the AFC playoffs, needs a win to clinch a postseason berth OR a Baltimore Ravens loss (to the Cincinnati Bengals), a Cleveland Browns loss (home vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers) or an Indianapolis Colts loss (home vs. Jacksonville Jaguars).
  • Buffalo is currently the AFC’s No. 2 seed, which does not come with a bye this season. The Bills can’t catch the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1), but they would slip to No. 3 with a loss AND Steelers’ win.
  • The Dolphins, winners of two straight, are coming off a miraculous 26-25 victory at the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16. Trailing 25-23 with 19 seconds to go, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, while getting face masked, heaved the ball down the sideline to WR Mack Hollins for a 34-yard pass. The roughing-the-passer penalty moved the ball to the Las Vegas 26-yard line, where after an incomplete pass, PK Jason Sanders kicked a game-winning, 44-yard field goal with 1 second left.
  • Fitzpatrick tested positive for COVID-19 and won’t be available Sunday. The veteran QB hasn’t started since Week 12 and entered in relief of Tua Tagovailoa vs. Las Vegas.
  • The Bills enter on a five-game win streak beating the New England Patriots 38-9 on the road in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game. QB Josh Allen (320 passing yards, 4 TDs) and WR Stefon Diggs (145 receiving yards, 9 catches) hooked up for 3 touchdowns, and the Bills defense held the Patriots to 201 total yards.
  • Buffalo won at Miami 31-28 in Week 2. The Dolphins scored in the final minute for a back-door cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Allen led the Bills with a career-best 415 passing yards and 4 TDs.
  • Buffalo has won the last four vs. Miami but only covered twice.

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Dolphins 11-4 | Bills 10-5
  • O/U: Dolphins 6-9 | Bills 9-5-1

Dolphins at Bills: Key injuries

Dolphins

  • WR Jakeem Grant (ankle) questionable
  • G Solomon Kindley (knee, foot) questionable
  • DE Shaq Lawson (ankle) questionable
  • WR DeVante Parker (hamstring) questionable

Bills

  • WR Cole Beasley (knee) out

Dolphins at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 24, Dolphins 14

Money line (?)

The Bills are clicking on all cylinders, but I’ll PASS on the -160 price and opt to lay the points.

Against the spread (?)

BUFFALO -3.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bills are just more talented than the Dolphins. Miami has been playing well, but its last five wins have come against mediocre teams: Las Vegas, New England, the Cincinnati Bengals, the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Chargers.

The fact that snow is expected in Buffalo benefits the Bills. Miami doesn’t do snow. Buffalo’s Allen played college ball at Wyoming, so he’s done that, been there.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 42.5 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT PLAY. While the Bills have scored at least 30 points in three of their last four contests, the Dolphins lead the NFL in least points allowed at 18.8 per game. The snow forecast helps the Under, too.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020-21 NFL record / Strongest plays 26-25-2 / 12-11-1
2019-20 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 6-1 / 3-0
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Week 16 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The 2020 AFC East champion Buffalo Bills (11-3) visit the New England Patriots (6-8) in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game at 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Bills-Patriots betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Patriots +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills -7 (-110) | Patriots +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Special Monday Night Football Betting Promotion

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PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer! MI residents, BetMGM is coming to your state soon — register early for special promotion.

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Bills at Patriots: Game notes

  • The Bills, who enter on a 4-game win streak, clinched the AFC East title with a 48-19 rout at the Denver Broncos in Week 15. QB Josh Allen threw for 359 yards with 2 touchdowns and ran for 2 scores as Buffalo easily covered as a 6-point favorite. WR Stefon Diggs had a game-high 147 receiving yards (11 receptions) and WR Cole Beasley finished with 112 receiving yards (8 receptions).
  • While Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) locked up the AFC’s top seed, the Bills can claim the No. 2 seed with a win vs. the Patriots. Buffalo is a half-game back of the AFC North champion Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3) but own the tiebreaker thanks to a 26-15 home win vs. Pittsburgh in Week 14. The Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns (10-5) in Week 17 – with the Browns still fighting for one of the final playoff spots.
  • The Patriots, who enter on a 2-game skid, were eliminated from playoff contention after losing 22-12 at the Miami Dolphins as 1.5-point favorites in Week 15. At 6-8, the Patriots will finish at .500 or worse for the first time since 2000, the season after they drafted QB Tom Brady. Their NFL-record of 11 consecutive postseason appearances will come to an end, and they also fell one season shy of matching the Dallas Cowboys’ NFL record of 20 consecutive winning seasons.
  • Buffalo took the season’s first meeting vs. New England with a 24-21 Week 8 home victory, failing to cover as a 4-point favorite. The Patriots had a chance to tie or take the lead in the final minute, but QB Cam Newton fumbled and the Bills recovered at the Buffalo 13-yard line with 31 seconds left to seal it. Neither starting QB, Newton and Buffalo’s Josh Allen, threw a touchdown, but both had 1 rushing TD apiece as the Bills snapped a 7-game skid in the series vs. the Pats.

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Bills 9-5 | Patriots 6-8
  • O/U: Bills 9-4-1 | Patriots 4-10

Bills at Patriots: Key injuries

Bills

  • No major injuries

Patriots

  • C David Andrews (calf) questionable
  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (shoulder) questionable
  • DT Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
  • DT Byron Cowart (back) questionable
  • OL Jermaine Eluemunor (ankle) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • DT Lawrence Guy (shoulder) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle) questionable
  • OL Justin Herron (ankle) questionable
  • CB J.C. Jackson (knee) questionable
  • LB Anfernee Jennings (shoulder) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (neck) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DE John Simon (hamstring) questionable

Bills at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 28, Patriots 17

Money line (?)

PASS. The Bills will take this one, but their -350 price isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread (?)

BUFFALO -7 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bills are playing for the AFC’s second seed. The Patriots are out of the playoff race and have numerous injuries. If the line climbs above 7, this becomes a 1-unit play.

Over/Under (?)

Back the UNDER 46.5 (-110). The Patriots average 20.6 points per game to rank 27th in the league. Plus, their passing game ranks 30th at 185.4 yards per game. Unless the Bills put up 30 points, this should finish Under.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 25-25-1 / 11-11-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 173-145-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 85-59-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos Week 15 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Buffalo Bills (10-3) visit the Denver Broncos (5-8) Saturday for a 4:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Below, we preview the Bills-Broncos betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Broncos: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Broncos +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills -6 (-110) | Broncos +6 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Special Colorado Betting Promotion: Make any $1 bet on the Denver Broncos, GET $100 (in free bets) in your account. Regardless of how the Broncos do this week, you win! Place your legal, online sports bets in Colorado at BetMGM! Bet now!

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Bills at Broncos: Game notes

  • The Bills are coming off an impressive 26-15 victory on Sunday Night Football over the Pittsburgh Steelers. They won for the sixth time in seven outings while covering the spread for the fifth consecutive contest. The Bills are also averaging 30.8 points per game over their past six games, which is more than three points better than their overall season average of 27.6 PPG which ranks ninth in the NFL.
  • The Broncos won 32-27 in a road win over the Carolina Panthers last Sunday. It was their second-highest point total of the season. The Broncos have a respectable 2-2 record over their past four games, including a 20-13 win in Week 11 over the playoff-hopeful Miami Dolphins. Denver is also 3-1 ATS across its past four.
  • The Broncos defense has held them in most games, as they yield just 351.7 total yards per game to rank 16th. While that’s a bit mediocre, they’re ninth in the NFL against the pass, allowing just 220.7 yards per game.
  • A big reason for the lack of success for the Broncos is their inability to take care of the ball. They have forced just 11 takeaways while posting a league-high 21 interceptions with eight fumbles lost. That’s good for a dismal minus-18 turnover differential, which is eight worse than the next-worst teams.
  • On the flip side, the Bills have forced 21 turnovers with 19 miscues, good for a plus-2 turnover differential.

Bills at Broncos: Key injuries

Bills

  • S Jaquan Johnson (ankle) out
  • TE Lee Smith (knee) questionable

Broncos

  • OG Graham Glasgow (foot) questionable
  • RB Melvin Gordon III (shoulder) questionable
  • RB Phillip Lindsay (hip) questionable
  • S Trey Marshall (shin) questionable

Bills at Broncos: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 27, Broncos 16

Money line (?)

The Bills (-275) are going to win this game on the road, pushing past the Broncos, who are going nowhere. Risking nearly three times your potential return is not the way to go.

PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The BILLS -6 (-110) are an attractive play under a flat 7, especially on the road. Buffalo has won just two of its past four games on the road, although if you ask anyone in Bills Mafia, they’ll let you know they got jobbed against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10, a 32-30 loss on a Hail Murray … err, Hail Mary.

The Broncos have posted a 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS mark in six games at Mile High. While their Week 12 game against the Saints can be tossed out, as the NFL left them high and dry without a professional quarterback due to COVID-19 in the QB room, they’re still sub-.500 at home. This is a team which is making strides down the stretch, but they’re not in the same league as the Bills quite yet.

Over/Under (?)

UNDER 49.5 (-105) is the lean, as Buffalo’s defense last week finally looked like its 2019 version, which was championship caliber. The Bills have allowed 18.7 PPG across their past three outings, which is 6 points better than its overall season average of 24.7 PPG allowed.

They’ll force Broncos QB Drew Lock into his share of mistakes, and defense will rule the day in this one.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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