Tag: Boxing odds lines picks predictions best bets

Regis Prograis vs. Danielito Zorrilla odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s title fight odds of Regis Prograis vs. Danielito Zorrilla, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBC junior welterweight title fight, Regis Prograis faces Danielito Zorrilla Saturday at Smoothie King Arena in New Orleans. The main fight card is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (DAZN), with the main event scheduled for approximately 11:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Prograis vs. Zorrilla odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Prograis returns to the ring for the first time since Nov. 26, 2022 when he knocked out Jose Zepeda in the 11th round at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. Before that, he had a pair of 6th-round TKOs against Tyrone McKenna and Ivan Redkach.

Previously, he was expected to face Liam Paro, but the latter was forced out due to injury, entering Zorrilla.

Prograis has had 4 consecutive KO/TKO wins since a majority-decision setback against Josh Taylor at O2 Arena in the United Kingdom in Oct. 2019. With a win, Prograis could potentially set up a rematch with Teofimo Lopez Jr. for the WBO title, after the latter topped Taylor last weekend.

Zorrilla rebounded with a 1st-round TKO of Aristides Quintero to get his swagged back after falling via unanimous decision against Arnold Barboza Jr. in mid-July 2022 in a fight for the WBO inter-continental super lightweight belt.

Prograis vs. Zorrilla odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Prograis -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100) | Zorrilla +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • Over/Under: 9 rounds (Over +100 | Under -135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +300 | No -450)

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Prograis vs. Zorrilla picks and predictions

Records: Prograis (28-1-0, 24 KOs) | Zorrilla (17-1-0, 13 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Prograis (-1600), the prodigal son of New Orleans, returns to his hometown to headline at Smoothie King Arena for the first time in his career. The fighter, displaced by Hurricane Katrina, is hopeful of putting his hometown further back on the athletic map.

The 34-year-old southpaw enters this fight with a 67-inch reach, while Zorrilla (+700) has a 3-inch advantage in that department. However, Prograis has plenty of experience, and he will have the hometown crowd behind him.

The NOLA native will likely make quick work of the challenger, coming in on short notice. However, you cannot risk 16 times your potential return. There is just too much risk for not enough reward.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Prograis will win, barring a major disaster, but how soon?

I think the sweet spot, and the books seem to agree, that Round Group Betting focusing on PROGRAIS WIN IN ROUND 5-8 (+160) is the way to go.

There is no value playing No (-450): Will the fight go the distance? However, if you want to go with LESS THAN 9 ROUNDS (-135), for a little more wiggle room, that’s certainly a sensible way to go, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Josh Taylor vs. Teofimo Lopez Jr. odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s junior welterweight title bout odds of Josh Taylor vs. Teofimo Lopez Jr., with expert boxing picks, predictions.

In a 12-round undisputed junior welterweight title fight, Josh Taylor faces Teofimo Lopez Jr. Saturday in the Hulu Theatre at Madison Square Garden. The main fight card is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+), with the main event scheduled for approximately 10 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Taylor vs. Lopez odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Taylor was once the undisputed champ at 140 pounds, but he gave up his 3 belts for a rematch shot at rival Jack Catterall. He topped Catterall by split decision at The SSE Hydro in Glasgow in his native Scotland. It was considered a controversial decision, and he could have quieted critics with the rematch. It never materialized, and now he’ll get Lopez instead.

Lopez stopped Vasiliy Lomachenko in Oct. 2020 to become the unified lightweight champion. However, he lost his belts to George Kambosos Jr. in a split-decision setback, and he didn’t look good or prepared in that fight.

Since the loss in Nov. 2021 to Kambosos, Lopez has dropped a pair of tomato cans, Pedro Campa and Sandro Martin, with the latter fight also at MSG.

Taylor vs. Lopez Jr. odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Taylor -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Lopez +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under: 11 rounds (Over -200 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +110)

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Taylor vs. Lopez Jr. picks and predictions

Records: Taylor (19-0-0, 13 KOs) | Lopez Jr. (18-1-0, 13 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Taylor (-200) enters this fight as the hungrier fighter. He relinquished his 3 belts for a shot at Catterall, and he was hosed. Taylor will enter this fight with a chip on his shoulder.

As far as Lopez Jr. (+160) is concerned, there isn’t a lot of worry about his skills. He is a puncher, and still just 25 years old. He gives up an inch of reach to Taylor, but that’s not the concern, either. The book on Lopez is that there is a lot of negative noise, both inside of his own head, as well as from his camp. The belief is that the mental side negates the physical side, and is a big reason he was done in by Kambosos, when he looked ill-prepared.

I want to take a chance on Lopez, fighting in 1 of the 5 boroughs, near his birthplace of Brooklyn. But I don’t like the negativity surrounding Lopez, and it sounds like he is believing a lot of his own hype. Taylor is the guy who will get it done, however, risking more than 2 times your return isn’t attractive.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

I like TAYLOR BY UNANIMOUS DECISION (+260) for a much better value, multiplying your initial wager by more than 2 1/2 times.

If you don’t want to declare a winner, but simply want a little action, taking YES (-150): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is not priced out of line, either.

If you want insurance in the event of a late knockout, going 11 Rounds or More (-200) is just a little too expensive, and really, a single round is not great insurance or wiggle room.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cherneka Johnson vs. Ellie Scotney odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s women’s super bantamweight title bout odds of Cherneka Johnson vs Ellie Scotney, with expert boxing picks, predictions.

In a 10-round women’s IBF super bantamweight title fight, Cherneka Johnson meets Ellie Scotney Saturday at Wembley Arena in London. The main fight card is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (DAZN), with the main event scheduled for approximately 4 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Johnson vs. Scotney odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Johnson looks to successfully defend her IBF super bantamweight title for the 2nd time. She picked up a unanimous-decision win against Susie Ramadan last time out at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia. This will be Johnson’s first fight outside of her native Australia, in fact.

She has bounced back with a pair of decision wins since dropping a split-decision fight at Bendigo Stadium against Shannon O’Connell in March 2021.

Scotney has won 6 straight fights since making her professional debut, including an unanimous-decision victory over Mary Romero last time out in Oct. 2022. She is the EBU European Super Bantamweight title.

The 25-year-old gets a crack at the IBF title belt, but she has just 50 rounds under her professional belt. Johnson has racked up 81 rounds in her career, while registering 6 KO wins, or a 37.5% knockout rate.

Johnson vs. Scotney odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Johnson +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Scotney -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 9 rounds (Over -650 | Under +400)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -500 | No +333)

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Johnson vs. Scotney picks and predictions

Records: Johnson (15-1-0, 6 KOs) | Scotney (6-0-0, 0 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

JOHNSON (+350) is worth a roll of the dice for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 3 1/2 times.

The champ suffered a nasty head injury in her last fight against Ramadan last time, but she was able to win via unanimous decision.

Johnson has a little more punching power, and if she is able to rack up some impressive shots to wow the judges, she could tip the scales in her favor. This fight is more than likely to go the distance, as 10 of her 16 pro bouts have needed the judges to determine a winner, while Scotney has gone the distance all 6 times.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-500): Fight to go the distance? would cost you 5 times your potential return, which is just too expensive for not enough reward.

AVOID, although this fight is more than likely to need the scorecards of the judges.

I actually see a lot of value playing JOHNSON ON POINTS (+700), too. The defending champ could really help you increase your bankroll.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Sunny Edwards vs. Andres Campos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s IBF world flyweight title bout odds of Sunny Edwards vs. Andres Campos, with expert boxing picks, predictions.

In a 12-round IBF world flyweight title fight, Sunny Edwards meets Andres Campos Saturday at Wembley Arena in London. The main fight card is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (DAZN), with the main event scheduled for approximately 5 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Edwards vs. Campos odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Edwards puts his unbeaten record and IBF world flyweight belt on the line at Wembley Arena in London in what will arguably be his most exposure as a professional.

He has 8 consecutive unanimous decision victories since his most-recent knockout of Pedro Matos, also at Wembley back in April 2019.

Campos is also unbeaten, posting 4 knockout victories with 15 wins as a professional. He posted a TKO win in the 4th round over Carlos Ruben Dario Ruiz last time out Jan. 21 in his native Chile at the Gimnasio Club Mexico in Santiago. This will be Campos’ 1st fight in Europe and just his 2nd off the South American continent.

Edwards vs. Campos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Edwards -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Campos +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
  • Over/Under: 11 rounds (Over -800 | Under +450)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -700 | No +400)

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Edwards vs. Campos picks and predictions

Records: Edwards (19-0-0, 4 KOs) | Campos (15-0-0, 4 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Edwards (-2500) would be way too costly to play straight up, costing you 25 times your potential return. In other words, you must risk $100 for just $4 won. That’s clearly unacceptable and way too much risk.

Even Edwards On Points (-600) will cost you 6 times your potential return. The best play is hoping the stage will be too big for Campos (+800), and Edwards can catch him with a big shot to end this fight early.

EDWARDS BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (+500) is worth playing lightly for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 5 times.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-700): Fight to go the distance? will cost 7 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

Instead, if you like Edwards to win by a knockout, playing NO (+400): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is also a solid play for a chance to quadruple up.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Claressa Shields vs. Maricela Cornejo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s women’s middleweight title bout odds of Claressa Shields vs. Maricela Cornejo, with expert boxing picks, predictions.

In a 10-round undisputed women’s middleweight title fight, Claressa Shields meets Maricela Cornejo Saturday at the Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. The main fight card is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (DAZN), with the main event scheduled for approximately 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Shields vs. Cornejo odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

The undisputed champ Shields was originally expected to face Hanna Gabriels in this bout. However, the Costa Rican fighter tested positive for a banned substance called clostebol, which is a testosterone derivative. It’s a shame, too, as that was a highly anticipated bout, since Shields and Gabriels fought in 2017 at the Masonic Temple in Detroit, and Gabriels is the only fighter to knock Shields down in a fight.

As a result, Cornejo, the No. 1-ranked WBC, WBO and IBF middleweight contender, steps in.

Shields has won her past 9 fights by unanimous decision, including the win over Gabriels. Her last TKO came against Nikki Adler at the MGM Grand Detroit back on Aug. 4, 2017.

The one thing Cornejo has going for her is a 4-inch reach advantage over Shields. Cornejo, a.k.a. “La Diva”, also stands 2 inches taller than her counterpart.

Cornejo has won 3 straight fights since back-to-back losses via unanimous decision against Franchon Crews Dezurn and Alma Ibarra. This will be her first fight on United States soil since Sept. 25, 2021, a unanimous-decision win over Miranda Barber at the Sports Arena at Pico Rivera in Whittier, Calif.

Shields vs. Cornejo odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:47 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Shields -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Cornejo +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)
  • Over/Under: 9 rounds (Over -400 | Under +275)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -350 | No +240)

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Shields vs. Cornejo picks and predictions

Records: Shields (13-0-0, 2 KOs) | Cornejo (16-5-0, 6 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Shields (-1500) has wowed the judges with her tremendous technical skill, but she isn’t much for the knockout. It has been nearly 6 calendar years since Shields knocked out Adler at the MGM Grand Detroit.

There is no value to laying 15 times your potential return on Shields. Even playing SHIELDS ON POINTS (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, but that’s the least-expensive option on the board.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-350): Fight to go the distance? means risking 3 1/2 times your potential return, so there is no value in playing that. In addition, 9 Rounds or More (-400) is even more expensive.

AVOID, even though it’s almost a certainty for this fight to be decided by the judges. Shields wows with her punches, but she just hasn’t had a history of finishes.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Katie Taylor vs. Chantelle Cameron odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s junior super lightweight title bout with Katie Taylor and Chantelle Camerson, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 10-round junior super lightweight title fight, Katie Taylor meets Chantelle Cameron Saturday at 3Arena in Dublin, Ireland. The main fight card is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (DAZN PPV), with the main event scheduled for approximately 5 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Taylor vs. Cameron odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Taylor puts her IBF, WBA, WBC and WBO World Lightweight titles on the line. Last time out, she stopped Karen Elizabeth Carabajal via unanimous decision.

Taylor has ended up going the distance in each of her past 9 fights since a TKO victory at the Liacouras Center in Philadelphia against Rose Valante in March 2019. The judges have been needed in 11 of her past 12 bouts, too.

Cameron posted an impressive unanimous decision win over Jessica McCaskill at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi in early November. She has gone the distance in 3 straight bouts, and 6 of the previous 7 outings. The lone exception was a 5th-round knockout against Melissa Hernandez at the Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas on May 29, 2021.

Taylor vs. Cameron odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Taylor -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Cameron +138 (bet $100 to win $138)
  • Over/Under: 9 rounds (Over -800 | Under +450)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -600 | No +350)

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Taylor vs. Cameron picks and predictions

Records: Taylor 22-0-0 (6 KOs) | Cameron (17-0, 8 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Taylor (-190) is actually a little too expensive for my liking on the 2-way line, although she is right under my personal moneyline limit on the 3-way line. Play TAYLOR (-175) for the win on the 3-way to save a little.

In addition, since both of these fighters have ended up going the distance quite frequently lately, and there is very little chance of a stoppage, look to TAYLOR ON POINTS (-135) for the Method of Victory.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing Yes (-600): Fight to go the distance? is quite expensive, costing you 6 times your potential return. While it’s a near certainty this fight goes the distance, you can’t risk 6 times your potential return.

AVOID, and stick with the 3-way line bet and the Method of Victory wager.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Devin Haney vs. Vasyl Lomachenko odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s lightweight title bout odds between Devin Haney and Vasyl Lomachenko, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 12-round undisputed lightweight title fight, Devin Haney meets Vasyl Lomachenko Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The main fight card is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+ PPV), with the main event scheduled for approximately 11 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Haney vs. Lomachenko odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Haney, a.k.a. “The Dream”, enters the ring with the physical advantages. Not only is he an inch taller, but he holds a 5 1/2-inch reach advantage that he can use to keep Lomachenko at a distance, picking and choosing his spots for offense.

Haney is coming off a pair of unanimous-decision wins over George Kambosos Jr. in Australia. He has ended up going the distance in each of his past 7 bouts dating back to May 25, 2019, a 7th-round knockout against Antonio Moran at the MGM National Harbor in suburban Washington, D.C.

Lomachenko has picked up 3 straight victories since getting dropped by Teofimo Lopez in The Bubble at MGM Grand in Las Vegas in Oct. 2020. He topped Jamaine Ortiz in an unanimous decision at Madison Square Garden last time out in late October.

Haney vs. Lomachenko odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Haney -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Lomachenko +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Over/Under: 11 rounds (Over -450 | Under +300)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -400 | No +275)

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Haney vs. Lomachenko picks and predictions

Records: Haney (29-0-0, 15 KOs) | Lomachenko (17-2-0, 11 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Haney (-275) is a little too expensive on the 2-way line, costing nearly 3 times your potential return. Even on the 3-way line, Haney (-250) is just too expensive, so you’ll have to PASS, and get a little creative instead.

Well, not too creative. Haney hasn’t been getting the finishes lately, and Lomachenko (+200) is a veteran who will fight a smart fight. Instead, playing HANEY BY UNANIMOUS DECISION (+100) at even money is a good opportunity, and isn’t nearly as risky as choosing either split decision or majority decision.

If you don’t want to specify the decision type, HANEY ON POINTS (-150) isn’t priced out of line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-400): Fight to go the distance? will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

AVOID, even though it’s a near certainty this fight is decided on points. There is just no value playing such a high moneyline.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Canelo Alvarez vs. John Ryder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Canelo Alvarez vs. John Ryder odds for their super middleweight title bout, with expert picks and predictions.

In a 12-round super middleweight title fight, Canelo Alvarez meets John Ryder Saturday at Estadio Akron in Zapopan, Jalisco, Mexico. The main fight card is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (DAZN PPV), with the main event scheduled for approximately 11 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Canelo vs. Ryder odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Canelo will fight on his native Mexican soil for the first time since Nov. 26, 2011, when he won in a 5th-Round TKO against Kermit Cintron at Monumental Plaza de Toros in Mexico City.

After having his lunch handed to him at the light heavyweight division against Dmitrii Bivol at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on May 7, 2022, Canelo was back in the super middleweight division for a payday against Gennady Golovkin last time out Sept. 17. He eased by GGG in a unanimous-decision win.

Ryder, a.k.a. “The Gorilla”, doesn’t figure to offer much resistance against Canelo in his native land. Ryder does have 4 straight wins since a unanimous-decision setback against Callum Smith in Liverpool in Nov. 2019. But wins over tomato cans like Mike Guy, Jozef Jurko, Daniel Jacobs and Zach Parker don’t exactly move the needle. He will be overwhelmed, and underprepared, against a quality opponent like Canelo.

Canelo vs. Ryder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (3-way line): Canelo Alvarez -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100) | John Ryder +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Draw +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
  • Over/Under: 10 rounds (Over -140 | Under +100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +240 | No -350)

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Canelo vs. Ryder picks and predictions

Records: Canelo (58-2-2, 39 KOs) | Ryder (32-5-0, 18 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Canelo (-1600) will have more talent, and easily more fans backing him in Mexico. However, you cannot risk 16 times your potential return, as there is just no value betting such heavy favorites. Over the long term it’s a foolish betting strategy.

Instead, focus on group betting. CANELO IN ROUNDS 5-8 (+200) can help you double up your initial wager, and it’s a much more sound investment.

I like Canelo to get the win via knockout, too, but at -275 for a KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ, that’s just too rich for my blood.

Over/Under (O/U)

Look to LESS THAN 10 ROUNDS (-140) for the bout length, as Canelo isn’t going to waste time with Ryder. This isn’t going to Round 11 or longer, and it certainly won’t be decided by the judges.

In addition, I kinda like the OVER 2.5 (+250) FOR OFFICIAL RECORDED KNOCKDOWNS. The final knockdown will be when Ryder is KO’d, but we should see a couple before the final blow, too. It’s a little risky, but worth a shot for a chance to multiply your wager by 2.5 times.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Gervonta Davis vs. Ryan Garcia odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Saturday’s Gervonta Davis vs. Ryan Garcia catch-weight title bout, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a 12-round non-title catch weight fight, Gervonta Davis meets Ryan Garcia Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main fight card is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Showtime PPV), with the main event scheduled for approximately 12 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Davis vs. Garcia odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Both fighters made weight for this titanic fight in Las Vegas. “Tank” Davis comes in with 28 career bouts, with 26 of those fights resulting in knockout victories. That’s a 92.86% conversion rate for the southpaw from Baltimore.

Garcia steps into the ring possessing a 2.5-inch reach advantage, which he’ll try to use to keep Davis at arm’s length. The 24-year-old California has been equally impressive when it comes to knockouts, with 19 of his 23 career bouts results in KOs, good for an 82.61% conversion rate.

Garcia won via knockout in the 6th round last time out against Javier Fortuna in Los Angeles, and that followed up a rare unanimous-decision win against Emmanuel Tagoe on San Antonio in April 2022.

Davis dropped Hector Luis Garcia with a 9th-round TKO at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C., and he has a pair of knockout wins since his last distance fight.

Davis vs. Garcia odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gervonta Davis -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Ryan Garcia +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +1600 (bet $100 to win $1600)
  • Over/Under: 10 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -275)

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Davis vs. Garcia picks and predictions

Records: Davis (28-0-0, 26 KOs) | Garcia (23-0-0, 19 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

I think Davis (-250) is the more polished and dangerous fighter, but you can’t risk 2 1/2 times your potential return. That’s just not enough reward, and way too much risk.

Instead, look to the Method of Victory. With his history, Davis by KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ (-140) looks like the play, but I actually like DAVIS ON POINTS (+500). Garcia is smart, and holds a 2 1/2-inch reach advantage, which I think will keep him out of trouble. He’ll be able to keep Davis at somewhat of a decision. I just like the potential of 2 unbeaten fighters going all the way, as we’ve never seen either falter before.

Over/Under (O/U)

If you don’t want to declare a winner, but still want good action on the fight, playing YES (+200): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth a look for the chance to double up. Regardless of who wins the fight, if there is no knockout or early stoppage, you win.

If you’re a little less adventurous, playing 8 OR MORE ROUNDS (-150) for the bout length isn’t a bad play, and gives you some wiggle room in the event of a knockout in Rounds 9 and beyond.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Shakur Stevenson vs. Shuichiro Yoshino odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Saturday’s Shakur Stevenson vs. Shuichiro Yoshino lightweight bout, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBC lightweight title eliminator, Shakur Stevenson meets Shuichiro Yoshino Saturday at the Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. The main fight card is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+), with the main event scheduled for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stevenson vs. Yoshino odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Stevenson was stripped of his WBC and WBO World Super Featherweight titles after missing weight last time out against Robson Conceicao Sept. 23, 2022 at this very same venue.

Stevenson won the bout by unanimous decision, but only Conceicao was eligible to win the title. In that fight, Stevenson had a point deducted in the 9th round for unsportsmanlike conduct, but yet he still prevailed.

The 31-year-old Yoshino picked up a 6th-round knockout win over Masayoshi Nakatani at Saitama Super Arena last time out Nov. 1, 2022. This will be Yoshino’s 1st fight outside of his home nation of Japan.

Stevenson vs. Yoshino odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Shakur Stevenson -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Shuichiro Yoshino +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
  • Over/Under: 11 rounds (Over -275 | Under +200)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +175)

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Stevenson vs. Yoshino picks and predictions

Records: Stevenson (19-0-0, 9 KOs) | Yoshino (16-0-0, 12 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

You can’t back Stevenson (-2500) straight up on the 2-way line, as that’s a risk of 25 times your potential return, or a profit of just $4 for every $100 risked. That’s an insanely expensive wager, and just not a good long-term betting strategy.

Instead, looking to Method of Victory, STEVENSON ON POINTS (-225) is the better play, although it is still quite a bit on the pricey side.

Over/Under (O/U)

As far as the Over/Under is concerned, I am expecting this to go the distance. You can’t play Over 11 Rounds (-275), or the fight to go the distance (-250), as that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

The best play on the board might be STEVENSON BY UNANIMOUS DECISION (-175) on the final judgment, as he is on a mission after the embarrassing stripping of his 2 titles last time out, and the lights will be too bright for Yoshino in his 1st-ever fight not on Japanese soil.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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