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Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou odds for their heavyweight exhibition fight with picks and predictions.

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In a 10-round heavyweight bout, WBC champion Tyson Fury will meet former UFC heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou at Boulevard Hall in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The preliminary fights begin at 2 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 5 p.m. ET. The card will be televised on ESPN+ Pay-per-view. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Fury vs. Ngannou odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Fury (33-0-1, 24 KOs) | Ngannou (0-0 — making pro boxing debut)

Fury takes on Ngannou in this 10-round exhibition in the “Battle of the Baddest” in Saudi Arabia. This will be his first fight since dropping Derek Chisora in a 10th-round TKO at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Dec. 3, 2022. Before that, he stopped Dillian Whyte in a 6th round TKO, and each of his past 4 fights have ended via KO/TKO, including 2 straight against Deontay Wilder in Las Vegas.

The 35-year-old Fury, a.k.a. “The Gypsy King”, has an 85-inch reach, and 72.73% of his pro bouts. He already has a scheduled fight signed and scheduled with Oleksander Usyk sometime around the holidays.

For Ngannou, the former UFC heavyweight champion, he is making his long-anticipated debut in the boxing ring. He recorded 5 KO/TKO victories in his final 6 UFC fights, but facing a champion in the boxing ring in his debut will likely be too much.

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Fury vs. Ngannou odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Fury -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100) | Ngannou +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Draw +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Over/Under rounds: Over 4.5 (-156) | Under 4.5 (+122)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +540 | No -950)

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Fury vs. Ngannou picks and predictions

Fight result (3-way line or moneyline)

Betting Fury (-2000) straight up is just not an option.

Instead, consider the method of victory. Playing FURY BY DECISION OR TECHNICAL DECISION (+580) gives you a chance to nearly multiply your initial wager by 6 times. That’s a much better risk, and if Ngannou (+1100) can hang in there, that’s a strong payday.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? (+540) gives you a chance to also nearly multiply up by 5 1/2 times.

Fury is going to be careful in this fight. He cannot afford to eat a lot of fists, potentially suffering an injury heading into, frankly, a more important and real heavyweight title fight with Usyk. He is making a fistful of dollars in this bout, and he’ll give Ngannou a chance at fighting a real fighter. But we’ll get a watered down fight, with a lot of clutching and grabbing, and not a lot of big blows.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis odds for their bridgerweight championship fight with picks and predictions.

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In a 6-round bridgerweight bout, social media sensation Logan Paul will meet Dillon Danis at Manchester Arena Saturday in Manchester, U.K. The preliminary fights begin at 2 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 5 p.m. ET. The card will be televised on DAZN. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Paul vs. Danis odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Paul (0-1-0) | Danis (0-0 — making pro boxing debut)

Paul makes his way back into the boxing ring for the 1st time since losing to KSI in 2021 in his pro debut. He has dabbled in boxing and professional wrestling, but he hasn’t been nearly as successful of an athlete as his brother Jake Paul. He did go the distance in an exhibition fight against Floyd Mayweather Jr., so there is some athletic skill.

Danis is a mixed martial artist who competed briefly in Bellator. He also won gold and silver medals at the Pan Jiu-Jitsu No-Gi Championships, so he knows his way around the mat.

Danis has been more famous to casual fans for running his mouth, angering Logan Paul with a social media peppering of his fiancé Nina Agdal. Paul has credited Danis for his tremendous trolling ability on social media, and vowed to embarrass him in the ring.

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Paul vs. Danis odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:29 a.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Paul -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Danis +390 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Over/Under rounds: Off the board
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +154 | No -200)

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Paul vs. Danis picks and predictions

Fight result (3-way line or moneyline)

Paul (-450) will get it done in the ring in this bridgerweight bout, but it’s not wise to risk 4½ times the potential return on the 3-way line.

Instead, considering “round group betting.” In fact, I can see Danis (+390) hanging around for a while, even though this is his boxing debut. It isn’t like Paul is super experienced in the ring, either.

Taking LOGAN PAUL TO WIN ROUND 4-6 (+250) will more than double up your initial return if it comes through. I don’t see this fight going the distance.

Over/Under (O/U)

With the O/U for rounds off the board, I’m focusing on “will the fight go the distance?”

NO (-200) is a little too expensive for my liking, but I don’t expect the judges needing to get involved. Danis has crushed Paul — and his fiancé — via social media leading up to the bout, putting on tremendous theatre to ratchet up interest in the fight from casual fans.

This won’t be a boring fight, and the paid customers will get what they want in the form of an earlier exit for Danis.

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KSI vs. Tommy Fury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s KSI vs. Tommy Fury odds for their cruiserweight bout with picks and predictions.

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In a 6-round cruiserweight bout, social media influencer KSI will go up against Tommy Fury at Manchester Arena on Saturday in Manchester, U.K. The preliminary fights begin at 2 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 5 p.m. ET. The card will be televised on DAZN. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the KSI vs. Fury odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: KSI (1-0-0) | Fury (9-0-0, 4 KOs)

KSI, the English influencer, rapper and entrepreneur, is also known was Olajide William Olatunji. The 30-year-old has one fight under his belt, taking care of Logan Paul back on Nov. 9, 2019 in a split-decision victory at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles in the pro debut for both fighters.

Fury has rattled off 9 straight victories to begin his pro boxing career. While the first 8 victories cannot be ignored, the big splash by Fury was a surprising split-decision victory over Jake Paul in Diriyah Arena in Saudi Arabia back in late February. Both fighters had a point deducted for fouls in that bout, and Fury was knocked down in Round 8, but he rebounded for the win.

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KSI vs. Fury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:34 p.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): KSI +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Fury -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Draw +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)
Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -154 | Under +120)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -106 | No -122)

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KSI vs. Fury picks and predictions

Fight result (3-way line or moneyline)

Fury (-320) will cost 3.2 times the potential return. That’s way too much risk for not enough reward. However, Fury, the brother of WBC heavyweight champ Tyson Fury, is the much more polished fighter in this bout.

KSI (+300) has fought just once, and he did score a nice win over Logan Paul, but he has mostly fought tomato cans in exhibitions. This is a giant step up in competition, and one the influencer will not enjoy.

Still, it’s not wise to risk more than 3 times the potential return on Fury.

Instead, let’s get more specific. Looking at method of victory, playing FURY BY DECISION OR TECHNICAL DECISION (+182) is the best bet. He isn’t going to knock out KSI. This bout is just 6 rounds, which isn’t enough time for Fury to wear the rapper and influencer down .

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-154) is worth the extra juice, although backing YES on FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-106) is a much more affordable option.

KSI went the distance in his only previous pro bout against Paul in 2019. For Fury, he has 9 victories in his pro career, with just 4 finishes via KO/TKO.

This is a 6-round bout, and we’re unlikely to get a big, devastating blow in such a small window.

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Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds for their super middleweight championship fight with picks and predictions.

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In a 12-round super middleweight championship bout, Canelo Alvarez puts his belts on the line Saturday against Jermell Charlo at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The preliminary fights begin at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 8 p.m. ET. The main event will take place at approximately 11:15 p.m. ET, and it will be televised on Showtime Pay-per-view. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Canelo vs. Charlo odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Canelo (59-2-2, 39 KOs) | Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs)

Canelo will defend his undisputed super middleweight title for the 3rd time. He became the undisputed champ in the division in Nov. 2021 against Caleb Plant at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. He stepped up to light heavyweight in May 2022 and was topped by Dmitrii Bivol in an attempt to become a 2-division champ.

Canelo eased by Gennadiy Golovkin in Sept. 2022 to retain his belt and then underwent wrist surgery. He returned in May and topped John Ryder in his native Mexico, also via unanimous decision.

Canelo normally trains at sea level at home in San Diego, but he elected to hold camp near Lake Tahoe at altitude.

Charlo is the current undisputed Super Welterweight title holder. As such, this is the first time 2 undisputed champs have met in the 4-belt era.

The challenger fought against Brian Carlos Castano in July 2021, and the fighters ended in a split-decision draw. In the rematch, Charlo picked up a 10th-round knockout in mid-May 2022. He moves up 2 weight classes to battle the champ.

Canelo vs. Charlo odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Canelo -480 (bet $480 to win $100) | Charlo +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
Over/Under: 10.5 rounds (Over -330 | Under +235)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +186)

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Canelo vs. Charlo picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Canelo (-480) will cost nearly 5 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk, and not enough reward. Despite fighting at his usual weight, and Charlo moving up 2 divisions, you just can’t play Alvarez straight up.

Let’s get a little more specific. The past 3 fights for Canelo — including his flirtation with the light heavyweight division — have gone the distance. And 6 of his past 7 bouts have ended up going the distance, too.

METHOD OF VICTORY: CANELO POINTS OR DECISION (-125) is a much more affordable and reasonable play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-250): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return if you do not want to declare a winner. That’s way too expensive.

You also cannot go with Over 10.5 Rounds (-330), which will costs more than 3 times your potential return.

For an added value, play TO BE KNOCKED DOWN: JERMELL CHARLO (+184), as that particular prop pays nearly 2 times your potential return. Canelo should be able to land at least 1 thunderous blow to send Charlo to the canvas.

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds for their boxing match in Dallas, with expert picks and predictions.

In a 10-round catchweight bout Saturday, Jake Paul and Nate Diaz meet at American Airlines Arena in Dallas. The prelims begin at 6:15 p.m. ET, with the main event scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The ring walks for Paul-Diaz are set for approximately 11:15 p.m. ET (DAZN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Paul vs. Diaz odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Paul (6-1-0, 4 KOs) | Diaz (0-0-0, boxing debut)

Paul heads to the ring looking to bounce back after losing by split-decision in Saudi Arabia against Tommy Fury in late February. The social media influencer headed into his boxing career with gimmick fights against Ali Eson Gib and former NBA player Nate Robinson. They were entertaining, but overall, Paul boxing seemed like a joke.

That all changed when he stopped former UFC fighter Ben Askren in April 2021 in Atlanta, winning by way of TKO. Four months later, he defeated another former UFC fighter in Tyron Woodley with a split-decision victory in Cleveland, Paul’s hometown. He then won a rematch in December 2021, knocking out Woodley in the 6th round in Tampa.

Paul also stopped Anderson Silva via unanimous decision in Glendale, Ariz., in October 2022 before losing to Fury in a close fight.

Diaz, the former UFC champion, makes his boxing debut. The 38-year-old has mostly fought at 155 pounds in his career, but this will be a catchweight bout at 185 pounds. Both Diaz and Paul have a reach of 76 inches.

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Paul -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Diaz +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Draw +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400)
How many rounds: 8 or more -140 | Less than 8 +100
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -200)

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz picks and predictions

Fight result (or moneyline)

Paul (-400) will cost 4 times the potential return. That’s just too expensive for not enough reward.

I expect Paul to get the job done as the most special thing about Diaz (+333) in his UFC career was his ability to wrestle and submit opponents. In fact, he was 14-1 via that method of victory in 35 pro bouts, but that’s not part of boxing. He has been knocked out twice, however, and Paul packs a devastating punch.

I’d look to the “round group betting 1” instead for better value. PAUL IN ROUNDS 6-10 (+188) is a much better play for a chance to nearly double up.

In addition, I’d take a chance on OVER 1.5 (+138) OFFICIAL RECORDED KNOCKDOWNS. Paul could catch Diaz early, but it won’t be a fight ender. Paul will likely win behind a knockout, but it won’t be on the 1st knockdown — expect more than one knockdown in this match.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-200): Fight to go full 10 rounds is just too expensive. Instead, focus on the round group betting mentioned above.

Consider betting LESS THAN 9 ROUNDS (-140), which is a much better value, but I like the plus-money way more.

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Terence Crawford vs. Errol Spence Jr. odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Terence Crawford vs. Errol Spence Jr. odds for their undisputed welterweight title bout, with expert picks and predictions.

In a 12-round welterweight championship bout Saturday, Terence Crawford and Errol Spence Jr. meet at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main card is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET, with the main event ring walks set for approximately 11 p.m. ET (Showtime PPV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Crawford vs. Spence Jr. odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Crawford (39-0-0, 30 KOs) | Spence Jr. (28-0-0, 22 KOs)

Crawford puts his WBO welterweight title on the line against Spence Jr., who has his WBA (Super), WBC, IBF and The Ring welterweight straps up for grabs.

Crawford snagged the WBO welterweight belt from Jeff Horn in June 2018, and he defended it against Jose Benavidez Jr., Amir Khan, Egidijus Kavaliauskas, Kell Brook, Shawn Porter and David Avanesyan. Not only has he won all of those title defenses, but he has 8 straight KO/TKO victories.

Crawford holds a 2-inch reach advantage, while Spence Jr. is 18 inches taller, and he is 2 years younger. Spence Jr, a.k.a. “The Truth”, has won 78.57% of his bouts by KO/TKO, while Crawford has won via KO/TKO in 76.92% of his contests.

Spence Jr. snapped up the IBF World Welterweight Championship with an 11th-round KO/TKO against Brook in May 2017, and he defended that belt with a win over Lamont Peterson in Brooklyn in Jan. 2018. He added the WBC belt to his collected, edging Mikey Garcia via unanimous decision, and he grabbed the WBA super world welterweight belt in April 2022 by stopping Yordenis Ugas by TKO last time out.

Crawford vs. Spence Jr. odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Crawford -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Spence Jr. +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Over/Under: 11 rounds (Over -225 | Under +175)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -190 | No +138)

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Crawford vs. Spence Jr. picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The atmosphere is going to be electric, and one of these fighters will be walking away with the undisputed title. I like SPENCE JR. (+120) to get it done in a slight upset.

Fight fans might see a bit of a slow start to this one, and the pace will irritate people initially. But it’s a marathon, not a sprint, and we’ll get some big-time haymakers exchanged in the middle-to-late rounds. Spence is a little more aggressive, while Crawford is more tactical and calculating.

I like Spence to do more to wow the judges, and taking SPENCE JR. ON POINTS (+260) is certainly worth a roll of the dice to multiply your initial wager by more than 2 1/2 times.

Over/Under (O/U)

Since I like Spence Jr. to win in a decision, playing YES (-190): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is the way to go. While that’s a little too expensive for my liking, if you want a little action, and do not wish to declare a winner, that’s the conservative play.

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Franchon Crews Dezurn vs. Savannah Marshall odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s women’s title fight odds of Franchon Crews Dezurn vs Savannah Marshall, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 10-round undisputed super middleweight title fight, Franchon Crews Dezurn faces Savannah Marshall Saturday at AO Arena in Manchester, England. The main fight card is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN+), with the main event scheduled for approximately 4 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Jonas vs. Wyatt odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Crews Dezurn (8-1-0, 2 KOs) | Marshall (12-1-0, 10 KOs)

Crews Dezurn — “The Heavy Hitting Diva” — brings a 72-inch reach to this bout, while Marshall enters with a 71½-inch reach. The 36-year-old Crews Dezurn has managed just 2 knockouts in 9 career fights, while “The Silent Assassin” Marshall has 10 knockouts in her 13 fights.

Crews Dezurn picked up a unanimous-decision win over Elin Cederroos at Madison Square Garden in late April 2022, picking up the undisputed middleweight straps. This will be her 1st defense of that undisputed title in Marshall’s native U.K.

Marshall hasn’t fought since suffering her 1st pro career loss to Claressa Shields by unanimous-decision in mid-October at O2 Arena in Greenwich, England.

Crews Dezurn vs. Marshall odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:18 a.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Crews Dezurn +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Draw +1280 (bet $100 to win $1,280) | Marshall -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -460 | No +310)

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Crews Dezurn vs. Marshall picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The 32-year-old Briton Marshall (-350) will cost 3½ times the potential return. That’s simply too risky for not enough value. Instead, you’ll need to get a little more creative, and look to the “method of victory.”

MARSHALL ON POINTS OR DECISION (-210) is still a bit too expensive for my liking, but it’s worth playing, especially if you want to play a potential parlay with the Natasha Jonas vs. Kandi Wyatt fight, which is earlier on the Manchester card.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-460): Fight to go the distance? will cost 4.6 times the potential return, also too risky for not enough reward. Even as part of a multi-part parlay, including this prop just sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

AVOID and focus on the “method of victory” option mentioned above.

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Natasha Jonas vs. Kandi Wyatt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s women’s title fight odds between Natasha Jonas and Kandi Wyatt, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 10-round women’s welterweight fight for the vacant IBF title, Natasha Jonas faces Kandi Wyatt Saturday at AO Arena in Manchester, England. The main fight card is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN+), with the main event scheduled for approximately 4 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Jonas vs. Wyatt odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Jonas (13-2-1, 8 KOs) | Wyatt (11-4-0, 3 KOs)

Jonas drops down to 147 pounds for a shot at the vacant IBF welterweight title. She already owns the IBF, WBC and WBO world super welterweight straps after posting a unanimous-decision (UD) win over Marie Eve Dicaire last time out at this same venue in mid-November 2022.

The victory was her second consecutive UD victory and 4th win in a row. She defeated Patricia Berghult by UD in September 2022, Chris Namus by TKO in February 2022 and Vaida Masiokaite on points in November 2021. Jonas’ last loss was a UD setback to Katie Taylor — at 134½ pounds — in May 2021.

The Canadian Wyatt suffered 3 straight losses against Kali Reis, Alma Ibarra and Jessica McCaskill from November 2020 to December 2021. But she snapped that skid in her last fight with a split-decision win over Kirstie Bavington in March. Now, she faces the quick turnaround as an overwhelming underdog.

Jonas vs. Wyatt odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 a.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Jonas -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Draw +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Wyatt +680 (bet $100 to win $680)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +120 | No -154)

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Jonas vs. Wyatt picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Backing the heavy favorite Jonas (-1000) is not wise as betting on the 39-year-old veteran will cost 10 times the potential return.

Instead, play Jonas in the “method of victory” section. Eight of her 13 victories are via KO/TKO, and this one should be no exception.

BETTING JONAS BY KO/TKO (-120) is not priced out of line, and is the best value in terms of method.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-154): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is the way to go, playing it in concert with Jonas by KO/TKO.

While Jonas went the distance in her 2 most recent fights, the Dicaire fight was a much higher profile opponent. Wyatt is fighting on short rest, and is the heavy underdog. Jonas will show why she is so heavily favored.

In addition, look to the “alternative group round betting 2” section, wagering on a couple of blocks.

TAKE JONAS TO WIN IN ROUND 5-6 (+600) and JONAS TO WIN IN ROUND 7-8 (+450). Sure, you’ll lose one of the ends if Jonas wins in Rounds 5-8, but if she wins via stoppage in one of these rounds, you’ll be well ahead.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Carlos Adames vs. Julian Williams odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s title fight odds of Carlos Adames vs. Julian Williams, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBC middleweight title fight, Carlos Adames faces Julian Williams Saturday at The Armory in Minneapolis. The main fight card is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Showtime/Paramount+), with the main event scheduled for approximately 10:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Adames vs. Williams odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Adames has picked up 4 consecutive victories, including 3 KO/TKO wins, since a unanimous-decision setback to Patrick Teixeira back in November 2019. The lone fight to go the distance was a majority-decision win against Sergiy Derevyanchenko in Los Angeles in December 2021.

Adames has just a half-inch reach advantage over his counterpart, but he is also an inch taller, and 4 years younger. The Dominican fighter has recorded a 73.91% knockout rate in his 23 career professional bouts, and the hard puncher will likely be looking to get started quickly in this one.

Williams enters ranked 25th in the world, so he is fortunate to have a crack at the strap. He had a unanimous-decision win over Rolando Wenceslao Mansilla at this very same venue last time out in early November, but Adames represents a giant step up in competition.

In addition, prior to the win in his last fight, Williams lost by split-decision to Vladimir Hernandez, and he also suffered a disappointing 5th-round TKO loss to Jeison Rosario at Liacouras Center in Philadelphia in mid-January 2020.

Adames vs. Williams odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Adames -470 (bet $470 to win $100) | Williams +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Draw +1280 (bet $100 to win $1,280)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +235 | No -330)

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Adames vs. Williams picks and predictions

Records: Adames (22-1-0, 17 KOs) | Williams (28-3-1, 16 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Adames (-470) is quite a bit expensive, costing nearly 5 times the potential return. That’s not a recommended play, even folding him into a multiple-end parlay.

I expect the heavy favorite will have the expected easy run to victory. The best play, albeit still on the expensive side, is playing ADAMES BY KO/TKO (-195) in the method of victory. As mentioned above, 73.91% of his fights have ended with a knockout victory, so it’s a very good chance to happen again.

Over/Under (O/U)

In addition, playing No (-330): Will the fight go the distance? is another foolish bet. It’s a good possibility we get a knockout, but you can’t risk 3.3 times the potential return.

Instead, let’s look to round block betting. In fact, I like ADAMES TO WIN IN ROUND 7-9 (+260) or ADAMES TO WIN IN ROUND 10-12 (+650). If you play this, you’ll obviously lose one end, but if Adames wins in Round 7-12, you will cash.

If you’re more conservative, simply go with ADAMES TO WIN IN ROUND 7-12 (+150) for a chance to multiply your initial bet by 1½ times.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Joshua Franco vs. Kazuto Ioka odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s title fight odds of Joshua Franco vs. Kazuto Ioka, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBA super flyweight title fight, Joshua Franco faces Kazuto Ioka Saturday at Ota-City General Gymnasium in Tokyo, Japan. While the main fight card is scheduled for Saturday night in Tokyo, it will start 7 a.m. ET with the main event scheduled for approximately 9 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Franco vs. Ioka odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

These 2 fighters fought to a majority draw on New Year’s Eve at this same venue. One judge had Franco winning 115-113, while the other 2 judges scored it 114-114.

Franco has had some interesting fights lately. He had a no contest in the “bubble” at MGM Grand in Las Vegas against Andrew Moloney in November 2020 in a fight which was also a rematch. He topped Moloney via unanimous decision in late June 2020.

Franco bounced back from the no contest in the trilogy fight with a unanimous-decision win against Moloney in the rematch at Hard Rock Hotel & Casino in Tulsa in mid-August 2021. Franco hopes the rematch luck is on his side again Saturday.

Ioka had won 6 straight fights, all in his native Japan, since losing by split-decision to Donnie Nietes in Macau on New Year’s Eve 2018. He avenged that loss with a unanimous-decision win over Nietes prior to the last fight with Franco. Nietes, too, hopes for rematch success.

Franco vs. Ioka odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Fight result (3-way line): Franco -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Ioka +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Tie +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Over/Under: 11 rounds (11 or more -500 | Under +333)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -400 | No +275)

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Franco vs. Ioka picks and predictions

Records: Franco (18-1-3, 8 KOs) | Ioka (29-2-1, 15 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

At even money, IOKA (+100) is the play in his native Japan. He was on the short end of the majority draw last time out, but he’ll bounce back with a win here.

Ioka has tremendous punching power, which will be on full display, perhaps with a little extra motivation in front of a pro-Ioka crowd. He’ll also have a chip on his shoulder from not being scored ahead by any of the 3 judges last time.

The main concern is that Franco (-110) has a 2.5-inch reach advantage, so Ioka will have to be careful not to step into a big punch.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is no sense playing Yes (-400): Will the fight go the distance? as this will cost 4 times the potential return. Eleven round or more (-500) is even more costly.

Instead, focus on IOKA ON POINTS (+160) in a full-distance fight. Whether you like Ioka, or if you disagree with me and intend to play Franco, definitely go to the “Round Group Betting” section and take either fighter on points. There is very little chance we get a knockout.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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