In a 12-round non-title catch weight fight, Gervonta Davis meets Ryan Garcia Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main fight card is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Showtime PPV), with the main event scheduled for approximately 12 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Davis vs. Garcia odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.
Both fighters made weight for this titanic fight in Las Vegas. “Tank” Davis comes in with 28 career bouts, with 26 of those fights resulting in knockout victories. That’s a 92.86% conversion rate for the southpaw from Baltimore.
Garcia steps into the ring possessing a 2.5-inch reach advantage, which he’ll try to use to keep Davis at arm’s length. The 24-year-old California has been equally impressive when it comes to knockouts, with 19 of his 23 career bouts results in KOs, good for an 82.61% conversion rate.
Garcia won via knockout in the 6th round last time out against Javier Fortuna in Los Angeles, and that followed up a rare unanimous-decision win against Emmanuel Tagoe on San Antonio in April 2022.
Davis dropped Hector Luis Garcia with a 9th-round TKO at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C., and he has a pair of knockout wins since his last distance fight.
Davis vs. Garcia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Gervonta Davis -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Ryan Garcia +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +1600 (bet $100 to win $1600)
- Over/Under: 10 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -275)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Davis vs. Garcia picks and predictions
Records: Davis (28-0-0, 26 KOs) | Garcia (23-0-0, 19 KOs)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
I think Davis (-250) is the more polished and dangerous fighter, but you can’t risk 2 1/2 times your potential return. That’s just not enough reward, and way too much risk.
Instead, look to the Method of Victory. With his history, Davis by KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ (-140) looks like the play, but I actually like DAVIS ON POINTS (+500). Garcia is smart, and holds a 2 1/2-inch reach advantage, which I think will keep him out of trouble. He’ll be able to keep Davis at somewhat of a decision. I just like the potential of 2 unbeaten fighters going all the way, as we’ve never seen either falter before.
Over/Under (O/U)
If you don’t want to declare a winner, but still want good action on the fight, playing YES (+200): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth a look for the chance to double up. Regardless of who wins the fight, if there is no knockout or early stoppage, you win.
If you’re a little less adventurous, playing 8 OR MORE ROUNDS (-150) for the bout length isn’t a bad play, and gives you some wiggle room in the event of a knockout in Rounds 9 and beyond.
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2676]