ESPN SP+ predicts the final score of every Big Ten Week 2 game

ESPN SP+ predicts the final score of every Big Ten Week 2 game

Week 2 of the college football season is upon us.

Week 1 around the Big Ten saw something unique for the opening week of the season: several big-time in-conference matchups.

Penn State went on the road and upset Wisconsin, Ohio State took care of Minnesota, Michigan State ran over Northwestern and Iowa blew out Indiana.

Related: Final game grades, report card for Wisconsin vs. Penn State

Week 2 is full out out-of-conference matchups for Big Ten teams. For most part, the opponent will not present much of a test on the field. But for the Iowa Hawkeyes, their game against No. 9 Iowa State is one of their biggest of the season.

ESPN SP+ predicts the final score of every college football game each week. Here is what the metric thinks will happen this weekend with every Big Ten matchup:

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How to watch: Week two Big Ten matchups

Since the Badgers game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers this Saturday has been canceled because of a rise in positive COVID-19 cases amon..

Since the Badgers game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers this Saturday has been canceled because of a rise in positive COVID-19 cases among Wisconsin players and staff, many Wisconsin fans will have some free time to be able to watch other games around the Big Ten.

Related: How Wisconsin canceling the Nebraska game affects the rest of the season

There will be several exciting matchups around the Big Ten for Wisconsin fans to keep an eye on, especially the game between the number third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes and the 18th-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions. An exciting Friday night matchup will be played tonight as well, as Tanner Morgan and the Minnesota Golden Gophers will look to get their season back on track against the Maryland Terrapins.

Both matchups could have huge implications on the Big Ten Championship game, and who Wisconsin could potentially be playing in it.

A Nebraska radio station had an awful theory about why Saturday’s game was canceled

If you haven’t heard by now, the Wisconsin Badgers’ game this weekend against the Nebraska Cornhuskers has been canceled due to…

If you haven’t heard by now, the Wisconsin Badgers’ game this weekend against the Nebraska Cornhuskers has been canceled due to rising COVID-19 numbers within the Badger football program.

The game, per Big Ten rules this year, will be a “no contest” and will not affect either teams’ place in the standings.

Related: How Wisconsin canceling the Nebraska game affects the rest of the season

Those who have paid attention to the Big Ten since August know the saga that the Nebraska football program has become–calling for the conference to reinstate the season, players suing the conference, the Big Ten then giving them a gauntlet of a schedule after reinstating the season and now this.

Now, anybody with any understanding of COVID-19, the Big Ten rules, Barry Alvarez and Paul Chryst as competitors and the Wisconsin football program as a whole would see Saturday’s cancelation and understand that nobody within the program wanted this to happen.

Some people down in Nebraska, though, don’t see that as the case.

HuskerSports, the Twitter account for a prominent radio station covering the Cornhuskers, tweeted a poll last night that they have since deleted.

The question: If the roles were reversed and the Huskers had 6 players and 6 staff members sitting out with positive tests, would the game be played Saturday?

When I saw the poll around 8:30 p.m. the results were 70 percent “yes” and 30 percent “no.”

So, in simple words: the station and those who follow it believe this is just another instance of the Big Ten being “out to get them” since they would’ve played the Graham Mertz-less Badgers.

That, ladies and gentlemen, is a comical take.

Yes, maybe the Big Ten gave Nebraska games against Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State in the first four weeks of the season as a result of their parents suing the conference (and I don’t even believe that to be the case). But to actually believe that the game was canceled because Wisconsin didn’t want to play or the Big Ten didn’t want to see Nebraska succeed? That is a take that lacks any understanding of reality.

And, furthermore, to think that Barry Alvarez, one of the most competitive people in the conference, would find a way to cancel a game because his top three quarterbacks were out? It honestly might be one of the dumbest things I’ve ever read.

If the Badgers were healthy and had no risk of spreading or contracting the virus, the game would be played. That, unfortunately, is not the case.

Related: Opinion: The eight-game, eight-week schedule was never going to work

Here were some of the best responses last night to the station and its fans who don’t understand what a COVID-19 outbreak means to the chances of playing a game:

To make things even better, the Cornhuskers even tried to schedule a game for Saturday against Chattanooga that, obviously, ended up getting shut down by the conference.

I don’t think I have any more words to say about this, but I’ll close with the comment that HuskerSports deleting their tweet was a sound move. Maybe they realized the insanity of the question they were trying to ask.

How many players and staff members need to test positive for COVID-19 for Saturday’s game to be canceled?

Since the Wisconsin Badgers’ 45-7 victory over the Illinois Fighting Illini on Friday thanks to a 248-yard, 5-touchdown performance…

Since the Wisconsin Badgers’ 45-7 victory over the Illinois Fighting Illini on Friday thanks to a 248-yard, 5-touchdown performance from redshirt freshman quarterback Graham Mertz the talk hasn’t been about the team and their impressive performance. It’s been about Mertz and third-string quarterback Chase Wolf testing positive for COVID-19, and what it means for the team moving forward.

As outlined a few days ago, Mertz and Wolf will now miss at least 21 days of football activity, that including the team’s contests against Nebraska, Purdue and Michigan.

Related: Who is Danny Vanden Boom, the Badgers’ likely Week 2 starter?

For news on Mertz’s recent confirmed positive test, Chase Wolf’s status and the rest of the program’s test results stay tuned to BadgersWire throughout the week.

What needs to be discussed now, though, is how many more confirmed positive tests are needed for Saturday’s game at Nebraska to be cancelled.

From the Big Ten COVID-19 protocol, the program will need either >5% of tests to be positive or >7.5% of the population to test positive in order for the game to be cancelled.

There are 113 players on the roster and another 33 coaches and staff, so the math boils down to 11 positives in the 146-person population needed for the 7.5% threshold to be met.

The test postivity clause in the protocol is a bit harder to break down, as we don’t know the exact testing regimen. So it’s possible that players and coaches are tested more than once each day, possible that once a player or staff member is confirmed to be positive they don’t receive another test for a few days, or possible that it’s a direct 1:1 ratio of players and tests-per-day.

Because it’s evaluated based on a rolling 7-day period and because we don’t know how many tests are adminstered each day, it’s challenging to directly predict how many positive tests are needed to reach the 5% test positivity threshold.

Again, Mertz and Wolf are the two reported positives at this point in the week. 11 coaches and staff isn’t that great of a number when you consider the constant exposure a football program sees, so it will be an interesting few days to say the least as the team continues to be tested while they prepare for their game on Saturday against Nebraska.

Wisconsin vs. Nebraska: Series history

The Wisconsin Badgers’ 45-7 victory over Illinois on Friday is now in the rear-view. Since it’s Monday, it’s time to look ahead to…

The Wisconsin Badgers’ 45-7 victory over Illinois on Friday is now in the rear-view. Since it’s Monday, it’s time to look ahead to Saturday’s contest and look at the series history between the two schools.

The Badgers’ upcoming opponent: the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Related: Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz tests positive for COVID-19

Since Nebraska joined the Big Ten back in 2011, there are only 10 total contests between the two schools.

The all-time series stands at 10-4 in favor of the Badgers, with Nebraska winning the first three contests back in the 1960s/70s and going 1-10 since.

Related: A look at the Big Ten testing protocol that will determine Graham Mertz’s situation

The last time the Cornhuskers defeated the Badgers the year was 2012. Wisconsin went on to defeat them 70-31 in the conference championship that year and have now won 7 straight since that 2012 regular-season loss.

Going through the series here are some other numbers to note:

  • In terms of all-time accomplishments the Badgers top Nebraska in one category: Bowl Game winning percentage
  • The Cornhuskers have more national championships, more Heisman winners, more conference championships, more wins, more weeks at AP No. 1, more first-round draft picks, more All-Americans and more
  • Wisconsin’s largest margin of victory in the series is 70-31 while Nebraska’s is 37-0

 

Stay tuned in to BadgersWire throughout the week as we preview the second game on the Badgers’ 2020 schedule.