Baylor Bears betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Baylor vs. St. John’s odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baylor vs. St. John’s odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 15 Baylor Bears (3-1) and the No. 21 St. John’s Red Storm (4-0) meet Thursday at Baha Mar Convention Center in Nassau, Bahamas. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Baylor vs. St. John’s odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Bears have bounced back from a 101-63 spanking from Gonzaga in the opener, coming nowhere near a cover as 6-point underdogs in Spokane. Baylor has won and covered 3 in a row, including a neutral-floor victory over the No. 24 Arkansas Razorbacks. The Over has cashed in the past 2 games, and 3 of 4 outings this season.

The Red Storm have won all 4 games, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS). That includes an impressive 85-71 victory Sunday over the New Mexico Lobos as a 7-point favorite while the Under (163) cashed. St. John’s has scored 85 or more points in 3 of 4 outings.

This is the first non-conference tournament for St. John’s in the Bahamas since 2016. The Red Storm lost all 3 meetings in the Battle 4 Atlantic Tournament in 2016 under then coach Chris Mullin.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

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Baylor vs. St. John’s odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 5:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Baylor -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | St. John’s +116 (bet $100 to $116)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor -2.5 (-110) | St. John’s +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor vs. St. John’s picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 83, St. John’s 74

Moneyline

BAYLOR (-140) isn’t super costly if you’re a little more on the conservative side and you’d rather not fiddle around with the points.

While the win for St. John’s (+116) last time out against UNM was impressive, the Lobos are still an unranked foe. The Red Storm have yet to face a major opponent or challenge.

Against the spread

Play BAYLOR -2.5 (-110) laying the little bit of points if you’re a more traditional bettor, unless, of course, you feel the Bears are going to win, but only by 1 or 2 points.

St. John’s +2.5 (-110) has yet to face a ranked team, but it has still allowed 71 or more points in the past 2 games, splitting against the spread. While St. John’s is expecting 400 fans to make the trip to give the Red Storm a boost, you have to back the better team.

Over/Under

OVER 152.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly in this, but don’t get carried away.

The Under has cashed in the past 2 games for St. John’s after cashing high in the first 2 outings.

Baylor has hit triple digits on offense in the past 2 games, while the Over is on a 3-1 run this season.

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Tarleton State at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tarleton State at Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 14 Baylor Bears (2-1) welcome the Tarleton State Texans (1-3) to Foster Pavilion Sunday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Tarleton State vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Baylor is No. 14 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll. The Bears opened the season on Nov. 4 with a 101-63 neutral-court loss to the No. 5 Gonzaga Bulldogs, closing as a 6-point underdog. They are coming off a 104-67 win over Sam Houston St. Tuesday, covering as a 16-point home favorite. Baylor is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and 1-0 ATS at home. It is led by F Norchad Omier, who averages 16 points per game (PPG).

Tarleton State picked up its first win Thursday 88-57 over the Tabor College Bluejays in a game that didn’t feature a spread. In the game before the Texans lost 72-52 to the Florida State Seminoles as a 17.5-point road underdog. The Texans are 0-3 ATS and 0-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog. They are led by G Bubu Benjamin, who is averaging 16.5 PPG.

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Tarleton State at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Tarleton State +29.5 (-110) | Baylor -29.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

FanDuel Sportsbook lists a ML of:

Tarleton State +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
Baylor -50000 (bet $50,000 to win $100)

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Tarleton State at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 83, Tarleton State 50

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to consider the moneyline here. Baylor is far too expensive of a favorite and the Texans have struggled too much to think they can pull off the upset.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -29.5 (-110).

Baylor has dominated weaker opponents, throttling Sam Houston St. by 37 points in its last matchup. It is 1-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite and 1-0 ATS at home. The Bears’ efficiency should help it pull away. Both its top scorers shoot at least 50% from the field.

Tarleton State has losses against the SMU Mustangs and Florida State, dropping those games by 34 and 20 points. Baylor will be its strongest opponent yet, and it failed to cover in both those games prior. Considering those trends, take BAYLOR -29.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 143.5 (-110).

The Texans are 2-1 O/U and averaged 57 PPG against SMU and FSU. Assuming they put up that number, Baylor needs to get to around 90.

The Bears, in their lone game as a double-digit favorite, put up 104 points on Sam Houston St. They have an electric and fast-paced offense. Expect a high-scoring game and take OVER 143.5 (-110).

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Sam Houston at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Sam Houston at Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Sam Houston Bearkats (1-1) and Baylor Bears (1-1) tangle in a Tuesday intrastate match-up in Waco, Texas. Tip-off at Foster Pavilion will be 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Sam Houston vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Sam Houston lost its season lid-lifter 91-75 to the Nevada Wolf Pack on Nov. 4 and then bounced back with a Saturday triumph at Tarleton State. The Bearkats defeated the Texans 91-62 to cover a 5.5-point spread. SHU drained 14-of-26 (53.8%) from 3-point range in a road game that hit the over 144.5.

Baylor, which is No. 14 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, also lost a Nov. 4 season opener (101-63 at No. 5 Gonzaga) and then rebounded with a Saturday victory over No. 21 Arkansas. The Bears clocked a 72-67 neutral-site (Dallas) win over the Razorbacks. BU had 5 players score in double figures, and the Bears were tagged with just 8 turnovers

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Sam Houston at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Sam Houston +825 (bet $100 to win $825) | Baylor -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sam Houston +15.5 (-110) | Baylor -15.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Sam Houston at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 83, Sam Houston 69

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Against the spread

Sam Houston finished last season on a hot streak. The Bearkats went 15-4 after the first of the year. They return a decent number of minutes from a squad that shot 37.7% from distance over those last 19 games.

Baylor should file the win in a drop in class after a tough first week against 2 ranked teams, but look for 3s, decent defense, and tempo to keep SHU closer than how the line lays things out.

TAKE SAM HOUSTON +15.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Last season, the Over went 5-1 in 6 lined Baylor games in November. The Over went 7-1 in SHU’s first 8 lined games last season.

With the expectation of some turnover churn and distance shooting having some extra impact, the OVER 148.5 (-105) is a solid play in this one.

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Baylor vs. Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor vs. Arkansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 8 Baylor Bears (0-1) battle the No. 16 Arkansas Razorbacks (1-0) in a neutral-court battle at American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Baylor vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Baylor is No. 8, and Arkansas is No. 16, in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll.

The Bears faced the No. 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs in Spokane, Wash., Monday and lost 101-63, closing as a 6-point underdog. They were blitzed out of the gate, taking a 19-point deficit into the half. They ended the game shooting just 3-of-21 from deep, which should be improved upon Saturday. Baylor was led by F Norchad Omier, who tallied 15 points. Duke transfer G Jeremy Roach will be a player to keep an eye on as well. The Bears were just 4-5 on the road last season.

The Razorbacks got a makeover this offseason, adding Kentucky long-time head coach John Calipari and numerous of his players from Lexington. Arkansas is starting 3 players that were at Kentucky last season. It throttled Lipscomb 76-60 Wednesday, closing as a 16-point home favorite. The Razorbacks also struggled heavily from keep, shooting just 21% from downtown. They were led by G Boogie Fland, who notched a team-high 17 points.

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Baylor vs. Arkansas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Baylor -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Arkansas +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor -3.5 (-115) | Arkansas +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor vs. Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 78, Arkansas 72

Moneyline

PASS.

The only playable option on the moneyline is Arkansas, but considering it hasn’t proven itself and has a roster that hasn’t competed at a high level yet this season and has many new pieces, avoid that option.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -3.5 (-115).

The Bears have a transfer star in Roach, the No. 5 overall recruit in the 2024 recruiting class and numerous returning players that they can lean on. They disappointed in a road opener against one of the best teams in the country, but the talent is still there, many of which have played with each other before. Baylor shot 14% from deep, and that should improve as four players shot multiple triples and didn’t see one go through.

The Razorbacks struggled from deep against a weaker opponent and had 12 turnovers and just six offensive rebounds. While they won by 16, it wasn’t an overly impressive performance from Calipari’s new roster. The Cats underperformed when the lights were the brightest under Calipari last season.

Expect a bounce-back game from the Bears and take BAYLOR -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 155.5 (-110).

Neither team showed in their respective season-opening game that they can shoot efficiency from deep, and both teams had ample turnovers as well. The Razorbacks are 0-1 O/U, and the Bears are only 1-0 O/U because their defense gave up 101 points.

Gonzaga shot 57% from the field and 42% from deep, and the Razorbacks likely won’t be able to hit that numbers. Considering the inefficiency for both sides to open the season, expect a lower scoring game and back UNDER 155.5 (-110).

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Baylor at Gonzaga odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baylor at Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 8th-ranked Baylor Bears and the 7th-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs meet at Spokane Arena Monday in the regular-season opener for both teams. Tip-off is scheduled for 11:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Baylor vs. Gonzaga odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Bears and Bulldogs meet in a top-10 matchup in what is easily the headliner of opening night.

Both teams are expected to make deep runs in March, and each have national championship aspirations. In fact, Gonzaga is tied for the 4th-shortest odds to win it all at +1700, while Baylor sits at +3000.

Baylor’s hopes are bolstered by the addition of G Jeremy Roach, who comes over from Duke to give coach Scott Drew an experienced point man. Drew also landed shooting guard V.J. Edgecombe, who will pair with Roach to do great things.

Shocker, but Gonzaga is picked unanimously to win the West Coast Conference (WCC). Gonzaga added G Michael Ajayi, a transfer from Pepperdine, and G Khalif Battle from Arkansas. Those 2 will join the likes of G Ryan Nembhard, G Nolan Hickman, F Graham Ike, F Ben Gregg and F Braden Huff to give the Zags a lot of experience and depth.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Baylor at Gonzaga odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Baylor +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Gonzaga -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +4.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Gonzaga picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 84, Baylor 77

Moneyline

Gonzaga (-205) will cost you more than twice your potential return, and that’s just a little too expensive for a standalone wager. If you were to toss Gonzaga into a multi-leg parlay, that is certainly OK, as long as it is more than 4 or 5 teams.

AVOID.

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Against the spread

GONZAGA -4.5 (-115) is a strong play at home in this titanic early-season clash.

While Baylor +4.5 (-105) certainly has some nice pieces, it may take it a while to develop cohesiveness with a lot of talented, yet very new, parts. Gonzaga has to fold in just a handful of guys, while it can rely on its returning, talented veterans to get off on the right foot from the jump.

Over/Under

OVER 157.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Both of these teams have talented backcourts, and we could see some nice end-to-end action. That’s what we’re banking on in this late-night marquee battle. Don’t be surprised if we see scores of both of these teams in the 80s.

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TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The TCU Horned Frogs (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) take on the Baylor Bears (4-4, 2-3) at McLane Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

TCU edged Texas Tech last week 35-34, failing to cover as 4.5-point favorites. They were down 34-21 midway through the fourth quarter, but they scored the final 14 points to seal the deal. QB Josh Hoover had 344 passing yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs. They have won 2 straight.

Baylor also won its second in a row with a 38-28 victory over Oklahoma State. The Bears covered as 7-point favorites. RB Dawson Pendergrass flashed on the ground, rushing 6 times for 142 yards and a TD. QB Sawyer Robertson was 11-for-19 for 222 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

TCU at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): TCU +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Baylor -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): TCU +3 (-105) | Baylor -3 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 30, Baylor 27

Moneyline

TCU has taken 4 straight matchups and 8 of 9. Last year’s contest was a 42-17 thrashing at TCU. Hoover threw for 412 yards and 2 TDs while rushing for another.

The Frogs are 3-1 on the road, and the Bears are 3-1 at home. TCU has signature wins over Utah as 3.5-point dogs and Kansas as 1-point dogs.

The Frogs have won 3 of 4, and Baylor really doesn’t have much of a resume. They also have better continuity with Hoover under center, and he ransacked the Bears last season. Due to such, I’ll take the value with TEXAS CHRISTIAN +130.

Against the spread

Since we’re taking the value on the ML, I’ll forego the spread here.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both of these teams are 5-3 O/U. Baylor’s last 3 at home have hit the Over. Meanwhile, the Over is 4-2 in TCU’s last 6 games. We haven’t had a total this large in this matchup since it went Over 65 in 2016. The Over is 0-1-2 in the last 4 meetings, and I feel it’s a little too lofty Saturday.

Take the UNDER 63.5 (-110).

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Baylor at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Iowa State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baylor Bears (2-3, 0-2 Big 12) visit the Iowa State Cyclones (4-0, 1-0) Saturday. Kick from Jack Trice Stadium is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Baylor vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Baylor has lost back-to-back games after falling 34-28 against BYU last week and failing to cover as a 3-point home favorite. QB Sawyer Robertson went 27-of-48 for 324 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions with his top receiver, WR Josh Cameron, hauling in 7 receptions for 125 yards and 2 TDs.

Iowa State enters Saturday undefeated after taking down Houston 20-0 and covering as a 16-point road favorite. QB Rocco Becht went 17-of-28 for 153 yards and a TD while RB Abu Sama III carried the ball 11 times for 101 yards and a TD.

Iowa State is No. 16 in the US LBM Coaches Poll.

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Baylor at Iowa State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Baylor +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Iowa State -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +11.5 (-110) | Iowa State -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Baylor at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 31, Baylor 17

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Iowa State (-450), who is undefeated and playing at home.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -11.5 (-110).

Iowa State has allowed 7 points or fewer in 3 of its 4 games this season and has covered the spread in each of its last 3 weeks. Its defense will play a key factor in not only winning but covering as Baylor has demonstrated an ability to score the ball this season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 44.5 (-115).

Iowa State has hit the Over in 2 of its last 3 weeks while scoring at least 20 points in each game this season. Baylor has hit the Over in back-to-back weeks while scoring 28 or more points in 4 of its 5 games. With the Cyclones’ strong defense, their offense will need to carry a majority of the load, which is possible with a lower-than-usual total.

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BYU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s BYU at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 22 BYU Cougars (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) have their 1st conference road game on Saturday, facing the Baylor Bears (2-2, 0-1). Kickoff is at noon ET from McLane Stadium (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the BYU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

BYU has started the season strong and had a huge upset win at home last weekend, beating the No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats 38-9 as 7.5-point underdogs. They have allowed 12.8 points per game so far this season to rank 18th nationally.

Baylor is coming off a 38-31 overtime loss to the Colorado Buffaloes. The Bears failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, although they had a touchdown lead until Colorado tied the score at the end of regulation with a Hail Mary pass.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

BYU at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 9:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): BYU +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Baylor -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): BYU +3.5 (-115) | Baylor -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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BYU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

BYU 27, Baylor 24

Moneyline

BYU’s defense has been tremendous so far. Allowing only 12.8 points per game and 269 yards per game, they forced 3 turnovers against Kansas State leading to the blowout upset win despite allowing 228 rushing yards in the game.

The Cougars have also scored 34 or more in 3 of their 4 games this season.

Baylor’s only game against a ranked opponent was a 23-12 road loss to the No. 10 Utah Utes.

BET BYU (+140).

Against the spread

BYU is 4-0 ATS this season and have won all 4 games outright. Baylor is 3-1 ATS and 2-0 ATS in games in which they are favored.

But expecting a BYU straight-up win as underdogs for plus odds, there is no need to bet the spread here.

PASS.

Over/Under

Baylor has had 2 games surpass 46 total points, including last week’s 38-31 loss. BYU has only had 1 game not reach 47 total points.

BET OVER 46.5 (-115).

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Baylor at Colorado odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Colorado odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baylor Bears (2-1) and Colorado Buffaloes (2-1) clash Saturday at Folsom Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Baylor vs. Colorado odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Baylor rebounded from a loss in Utah with a 31-3 grounding of the Air Force Falcons last week. They covered as 17-point favorites to improve to 3-0 ATS. QB Sawyer Robertson was 18-for-24 for 248 yards, 0 TDs and 0 INTs. He did put one into pay dirt with his legs, though. He was in the lineup for Dequan Finn, who was out with an injury.

After a shaky 1st 2 weeks, the Buffs rammed Colorado State 28-9, covering as 7.5-point favorites. QB Shedeur Sanders had a monstrous game, going 36-for-49 for 310 yards, 4 scores and 0 INTs. WR Travis Hunter balled out with 13 catches on 14 targets for 100 yards and 2 TDs. It was their 1st cover of the season as they have quieted some of the negative noise polluting the airwaves thus far.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Baylor at Colorado odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at Friday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Baylor +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Colorado -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread: Baylor +1.5 (-105) | Colorado -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Colorado picks and predictions

Prediction

Colorado 28, Baylor 20

Moneyline

These teams haven’t met since 2010 when Baylor won in Colorado’s building 31-25. This will be Baylor’s 2nd road game of the season, and they haven’t won in their last 10 meetings with Big 12 teams.

I like Colorado to defend its home field here, but the spread makes more sense. If you want to play a prop, Travis Hunter Anytime Touchdown is too expensive at -150, but I would play it in a parlay. He has 5 TDs through 3 games.

PASS.

Against the spread

Taking COLORADO -1.5 (-115) makes the most sense here as you’re saving 10 cents to lay 1 1/2 points. Baylor has some questions at QB with the potential to run both guys out there. And after a large amount of media scrutiny following 2 road games, I look for the Buffs to make a statement at home.

Over/Under

One thing could creep into the list of x-factors Saturday, and that’s the 80% likelihood of rain beginning late in the 1st half. I could see Colorado air it out early and often with this in mind before changing gears to focus on the run. This is the smallest total for Colorado this season, and bettors are hammering the Over at 84% Friday.

The rain forecast can change, but if it stays true to what is projected, this one is going Under. Take the UNDER 51.5 (-110).

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Air Force at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Air Force at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baylor Bears (1-1) welcome the Air Force Falcons (1-1) to McLane Stadium Saturday for a prime-time showdown. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Air Force vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bears throttled the Tarleton State Texans 45-3 to open their season in Week 1 action, covering as a 35-point favorite. Baylor then went on the road and lost 23-12 to the No. 12 Utah Utes, covering as a 14.5-point favorite. The Bears are led by QB Dequan Finn, who has completed 23 of 43 attempts for 307 yards and 3 TDs.

Air Force, which has been notorious for having a strong run game, is only averaging 154 rushing yards per game. The Falcons beat the Merrimack Warriors 21-6 in Week 1, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite, and then lost 17-7 to San Jose State last week as a 3-point home favorite. They are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and 0-2 Over/Under. Air Force QB John Busha has just a 38.2% completion percentage through 2 games.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Air Force at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:56 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Air Force +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Baylor -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +16.5 (-110) | Baylor -16.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Air Force at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 30, Air Force 13

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. Baylor is far too expensive to take on the moneyline. Avoid this play.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -16.5 (-110).

Air Force’s offense just won’t be good enough to keep pace here. The Falcons, typically a dominant rushing team, don’t have a single player who has topped 100 rushing yards in 2 games.

Air Force is 0-2 ATS and has failed to cover each spread by more than 10 points. The Bears haven’t been great, entering the half down 23-3 before Utah’s star QB was sidelined, but are still 2-0 ATS. The Bears beat up on Tarleton State and can separate themselves from weaker opponents.

Back BEARS -16.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 41.5 (-110).

Air Force is going to want to run the ball, and Baylor couldn’t stop Utah on the ground in Week 2 action, allowing its opponent 170 rushing yards. The Falcons should be able to move the ball more and contribute to the total.

Similarly, the Bears will get a much softer defense than Utah and should be able to score frequently, ending with 45 in their Week 1 win. This is a low total considering both Baylor’s first 2 games had a total of 53.5 or greater.

Take OVER 41.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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