Tag: Baylor Texas Tech odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Baylor at Texas Tech odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Texas Tech odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 11 Baylor Bears (22-8, 11-6 Big 12) and Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-9, 10-7) close out their regular seasons Saturday. Tip-off from United Supermarkets Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Baylor vs. Texas Tech odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Bears are No. 11 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. They have won 3 straight games and 5 of their last 7. They are coming off a push as 8-point favorites in a 93-85 home win over Texas Monday.

The Red Raiders have won 2 in a row. They beat Oklahoma State 75-58 on the road Tuesday as 2.5-point favorites.

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Baylor at Texas Tech odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Baylor +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Texas Tech -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +1.5 (-105) | Texas Tech -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Texas Tech picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 82, Baylor 77

Moneyline

In a Feb. 6 meeting, Baylor won 79-73 as a 6-point home favorite.

Texas Tech (-135) is 14-2 at home this season, and both of its losses have come in conference play. It has been favored in every home game this season.

Baylor is only 4-4 on the road and 1-4 as a road underdog.

You should like Texas Tech in this game, but you will get better odds with the spread since it is only 1.5 points.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Red Raiders are 7-9 ATS as home favorites, and they do have two 1-point home wins in conference play.

Baylor does not have a 1-point loss.

But if you like Texas Tech to win, you should like it to win by at least 2 points.

BET TEXAS TECH -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Feb. 6 meeting had 152 total points. The last 4 meetings have all had totals of more than 150 points.

Five of Baylor’s last 6 games have surpassed the projected total for this game.

The Red Raiders have scored 81 and 75 points in their last 2 games.

BET OVER 147.5 (-110).

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Baylor at Texas Tech odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baylor at Texas Tech odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 8 Baylor Bears (21-4, 9-3 Big 12) will travel to United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-6, 8-4) Wednesday. Below, we look at the Baylor vs. Texas Tech odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

After holding the No. 1 spot in the nation, Baylor has hit a rough patch in its schedule. Losing to Alabama, Oklahoma State, Kansas and Texas Tech in its last 10 games, the Bears have dropped to 8th in the country.

They’re 5-5 against the spread over their last 10, covering in 5 of 6 wins and failing to cover in each of their 4 losses. The Bears rank top 40 in points per game and opponents’ points per game.

They’re just 6-6 against the spread (ATS) in conference play. The Red Raiders are a league-best 10-2 ATS in conference play and are 17-8 ATS this season.

They have a perfect 15-0 straight-up record at home, making United Supermarkets Arena one of the toughest places in the nation to play. The Red Raiders allow the 17th-fewest points per game.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Baylor at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Texas Tech -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +1.5 (-107) | Texas Tech -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Baylor at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 69, Baylor 65

Money line

BET on TEXAS TECH -130.

The aforementioned numbers should say enough. The Red Raiders are terrific at home, taking down teams like Iowa State and Texas. They lost by 3 on the road in overtime to Kansas Jan. 24.

The Jayhawks destroyed Baylor by 24 earlier in the year. Baylor is coming off an impressive 17-point home win over Texas, so I would play the money line here as this should be a hard-fought battle.

The Red Raiders are 11-3 ATS as home favorite and are undefeated straight up. While Baylor is 6-2 on the road this season, it is just 3-3 ATS, which considering it’s just a 1.5-point spread, is useful in this situation.

Tech already beat a healthy Baylor team at the Ferrell Center, putting 6 players in double figures, winning by just 3. The Red Raiders have proven themselves and are absolutely dominant at home.

Back them in this battle.

Against the spread

PASS.

Baylor won’t back down from a challenge and did just put up 80 on a Longhorns team that ranks 3rd in opponents’ points per game. That said, I’ll take the more expensive money line odds.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 135.5 (-107).

Both teams are competent offensively, but they’re both better on the defensive end. That was on full effect in the first matchup that ended 65-62.

The Red Raiders shot over 50.9% from the field in that first battle. It’s more about the pace than anything, and the Red Raiders will likely look to not play in transition against the quick Baylor backcourt.

The Bears are 13-11-1 O/U this season but just 5-6-1 O/U in conference play. The Red Raiders are the opposite, posting a 12-13 O/U record yet 7-5 O/U in conference play.

It’s definitely just a lean, but I prefer the Under here.

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Baylor at Texas Tech odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 2 Baylor Bears (11-0 overall, 4-0 Big 12) head to Lubbock, Texas, for a Big 12 showdown with the No. 15 Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-3, 4-2) Saturday at United Supermarkets Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Baylor-Texas Tech college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Baylor at Texas Tech: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Texas Tech +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor -4.5 (-115) | Texas Tech +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor at Texas Tech: Three things to know

  1. Baylor has been one of the best bets in college basketball thus far: The Bears have a 9-2 ATS record with a plus-6.1-point ATS margin. In their last game, the Bears were down a point at halftime at TCU before blowing the Horned Frogs out 40-21 in the second half of a 67-49 victory Jan. 9.
  2. Texas Tech is riding high coming out of its sensational 79-77 road win against No. 4 Texas Wednesday as a 1-point underdog. Red Raiders junior transfer SG Mac McClung hit a game-winner with 3 seconds remaining as part of his game-high 22 points to beat the Longhorns. Prior to winning its last two games ATS, Texas Tech failed to cover in seven straight and are just 6-8 ATS on the season.
  3. The Bears beat the Red Raiders in both meetings last season but only covered in one, which was a 57-52 victory as 3.5-point road underdogs Jan. 7, 2020.

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Baylor at Texas Tech: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 74, Texas Tech 66

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE. Baylor (-225) is the right side here, but it’s bad ROI to lay more than two times your profit on a favorite that’s playing a ranked, conference rival.

Against the spread (ATS)

If there is a weakness in Baylor’s game, I have yet to find it. The Bears are third in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating, and while the Red Raiders are adept at getting to the foul line, their offense is pretty average.

In fact, Texas Tech is ranked 202nd in effective field-goal percentage and Baylor is eighth in eFG%. Texas Tech’s defense is its calling card, but Baylor’s offense is too dialed in at the moment.

GIMME BAYLOR -4.5 (-115) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

What gives me confidence in the OVER 138.5 (-110) is because this is the highest projected total for a Baylor-Texas Tech meeting since 2017 despite Baylor’s defensive tenacity and Texas Tech’s offensive mediocrity.

Three of the previous four Baylor-Texas Tech games have gone Over the total and BetMGM is trying to put this one high so bettors take the Under. I like the Over as much as the Baylor side in this game.

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