Tag: Baltimore Orioles betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (49-25) and Houston Astros (35-40) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 3-3

The Orioles have won 4 of 5, including 2 straight, and are 10-3 in their last 13 games. After losing the series opener against the Yankees to start their current 6-game road trip, they won the final two, including a 17-5 victory Thursday to pick up the series win.

The Astros won the final 2 games of their road series against the Chicago White Sox, taking the finale 5-3 Thursday. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Orioles at Astros projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. RHP Jake Bloss

Rodriguez (8-2, 3.20 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 70 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home victory over Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 straight outings and 6 of his last 7 starts

Bloss makes his MLB debut. The 22-year-old was selected in the 3rd round out of Georgetown in 2023.

  • 2024 stats with Double-A Corpus Christi: 3-1, 1.61 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Last start with Double-A Corpus Christi: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-0 victory at San Antonio Missions Saturday

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Astros +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+100) | Astros +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Astros 2

Moneyline

The Orioles (-165) are 24-11 on the road this season, and the Astros are only 19-19 at home. Baltimore is 9-3 when Rodriguez pitches and 3-0 in his starts in June. It has not allowed more than 2 runs in his starts in June.

The Astros are 8-21 against teams with winning records and have a rookie making his MLB debut on the mound.

Expect a Baltimore win, but you get better odds on the run line than the moneyline.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

All 9 of the Orioles’ wins with Rodriguez starting have been by 2 or more runs. Of their last 22 wins, 21 have been by more than 1 run. They are a league-best 24-11 ATS on the road.

The Astros are 17-21 ATS at home. Six of their last 8 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The Astros’ last 4 games, 8 of their last 9, and 11 of their last 13 have not reached 9 total runs.

Six of the Orioles’ last 10 games have had 8 or fewer total runs.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (48-25) and New York Yankees (51-25) meet in a Thursday matinee at Yankee Stadium as they close out a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch is slated for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-2

Baltimore dropped Tuesday’s game 4-2, but rebounded with a 7-6 triumph in 10 innings Wednesday. The O’s are 3-1 over their last 4 games and 9-3 over their last 12.

New York has lost 3 of its last 4. Its offense, mostly dormant in Wednesday’s game until late, has produced a mere .647 OPS over those 4 contests.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP Luis Gil

Irvin (6-3, 3.03 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 6-3 loss vs. Atlanta Braves last Thursday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 8.31 ERA (13 IP, 12 ER), 15 H, 6 BB, 11 K in 3 appearances (2 starts)
  • Threw a season-high 100 pitches in his last start

Gil (9-1, 2.03 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 80 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 8-1 win at Boston Red Sox Friday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12  IP, 0 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 2 starts
  • Threw 6 1/3 innings at Baltimore May 1; 2 H, 0 R, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K
  • Owns a 1.14 ERA on a .430 OPS allowed across 9 starts in May-June

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Baltimore is 8-3 over its last 11 games against the Yankees.

New York’s offense is swung around to lesser platoon splits against left-handers (.707 OPS) and the status of OF Aaron Judge (day-to-day with a hand injury) chips away at the Yankees side of this ledger.

Gil has benefited from a .194 batting average on balls in play and, like Irvin, is coming off a season-high pitch count in his last. But Gil is younger and figurers top be monitored for usage creep as the season rolls into its mid-section. Ding the New York side of this mound match-up just a tad.

Though with minimal edge, BALTIMORE (+125) is the leverage side of Thursday’s game.

Run line/Against the spread

No value here. AVOID.

Over/Under

The last 9 Baltimore-New York games at Yankee Stadium have produced 6 Overs. And the Over has gone 13-6 in the Yankees’ last 19 contests.

Both starters have some surface numbers aided by generous rates in the luck factors like BABIP and home run/fly ball rates. Neither bullpen is in particularly good shape in the potential-fatigue department (and Baltimore’s pen has some nice recent numbers that don’t stand up to analytic scrutiny).

The weather for Thursday’s game will be warm, and an outward breeze blowing out to left field is likely. With these 2 clubs ranked 1-2 in scoring, back the OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (47-25) and New York Yankees (51-24) continue their key AL East series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-2

The Orioles had a 4-game road winning streak snapped in a 4-2 loss in Tuesday’s series opener. They went 0-for-5 with runners in scoring position and were held scoreless until RF Anthony Santander hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 9th.

The Yankees snapped a 2-game skid with Tuesday’s triumph. They are looking to get back at Baltimore after a lackluster 1-3 performance at Camden Yards April 29-May 2.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cade Povich vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Povich (0-1, 4.76 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 11 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves last Wednesday
  • 24-year-old rookie who made his Major League debut June 6; has never faced the Yankees

Cole is making his season debut after being shut down with elbow inflammation during spring training. The reigning AL Cy Young Award winner and 6-time all-star logged a 2.63 ERA in 33 starts last season.

  • Allowed just 2 runs (1 ER) on 6 hits in 12 1/3 rehab innings from June 4-14; struck out 19 batters without issuing a walk
  • Career vs. Orioles: 5-3, 2.55 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 59 H, 14 BB, 93 K in 12 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

New York is 14-5 in its last 19 and 7-2 across its last 9 at home. In a grind of a schedule with losses against Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies and Yanks, the Orioles are just 2-3 over their last 5.

Peg the home team as being just a sliver of a lean in this spot with a rookie hurler going against a veteran making an injury-delayed June debut. A shaved-down partial-unit play would be the best way to limit exposure on a YANKEES (-172) play. That tag is available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Run line/Against the spread

The Under is a lean, and middling this play — taking New York outright and Baltimore plus the cushion — is tempting. But these 2 clubs do not engage in a lot of 1-run games, and again this mound match-up does not warrant too much deliberation. Save those fights for the games with more ammo on either side.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last 9 games when lined as an underdog and is 4-1 across the last 5 Orioles-Yankees games played in the Bronx.

The New York offense is much more dangerous against right-handed pitchers, and Povich has done well to limit hard contact through his 1st few starts. And he may be facing a Yankee lineup sans OF Aaron Judge, who was hit in the hand by a pitch Tuesday.

How much Cole gives New York is a question mark, but if the veteran righty was part of a low score delivered to the bullpens it would not be a major surprise.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (47-24) and New York Yankees (50-24) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-1

Baltimore beat the Philadelphia Phillies 8-3 Sunday, covering as a -135 home favorite with the Over (7) hitting. The Orioles took 2 of 3 vs. the Phillies — winning 6-2 as -175 faves Saturday — and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

New York lost 9-3 as a 135 road favorite to the Boston Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball with the Over (9.5) cashing. After taking Friday’s series opener 8-1 as -147 favorites, the Yankees lost Saturday (8-4 as -177 faves) and Sunday to lose 2 of 3 to their AL East rivals. New York is 5-5 in its last 10 games.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Albert Suarez vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Suarez (3-0, 1.61 ERA) makes his 8th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 44 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-0 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves June 11
  • Never faced Yankees before; pitched in 54 career games

Cortes (3-5, 3.59 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 4-3 loss at Kansas City Royals Thursday
  • 2024 vs. Orioles: 1 start, loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 setback on road April 30
  • Career vs. Orioles: 4-1, 2.45 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 across 8 starts and 2 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +124 (bet $100 to win $124) | Yankees -146 (bet $146 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-166) | Yankees -1.5 (+138)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (+124).

Baltimore is 4-0 in its last 4 road games and 10-2 in its last 12 road games, while New York is 1-2 in its last 3 at home. The Orioles are 7-2 in the last 9 head-to-head contests vs. New York, and are 4-2 in their last 6 games at Yankee Stadium.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles +1.5 (-166) should cover here as underdogs, but the -166 juice isn’t worth the risk and backing Baltimore on the moneyline is much safer.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

The O/U is 2-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 3 games, and is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road outings. For the Yankees, the Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10, and 4-2 in their last 6 at home.

Baltimore is the 2nd-best Over team in the majors at 36-26-9 — the Detroit Tigers are No. 1 at 40-28-3. New York’s O/U this season is 35-36.

The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Baltimore-New York matchups in New York with the non-Over being a Push on a O/U line of 9.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (46-24) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (47-23) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the finale of their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Phillies opened the series with a 5-3 win Friday, but lost the 2nd game 6-2 Saturday as Orioles RF Anthony Santander was the star of the show, ending the game with 2 HRs and 4 RBIs.

Philadelphia has lost 3 of its last 4 games and has failed to cover in each loss. The Phillies are still 9-5 straight up (SU) over their last 14 games, and have been a strong road side with a 20-13 away record. Philadelphia is 39-31 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Orioles are 7-2 over their last 9 games and have covered in each victory. They are the 2nd-best covering team in the MLB with a 32-27 ATS record. Baltimore has also been among the best at home with a 24-14 record at Oriole Park.

Phillies at Orioles projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Wheeler (8-3, 2.16 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 87 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-1 road win over the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-1, 2.83 ERA (35 IP, 11 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 3 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Burnes (7-2, 2.08 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 86 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-2 road win over Tampa Bay Rays Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-1, 1.70 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 4 HR, 9.3 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 0.55 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Orioles -1.5 (+172)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Orioles 2

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (+110).

The Phillies have been the best team in the MLB following a loss. They are 17-5 on the season and will have their ace on the mound Sunday. The Phillies have won 6 of Wheeler’s last 8 starts, and he has allowed more than 2 ER in 3 of 14 starts.

Philadelphia is 7-5 SU as an underdog. While the Orioles have been strong at home on the season, they have lost 2 of their last 3 and have tallied 3 or fewer runs in 2 of those 3 as well.

Expect a bounce-back game for Philadelphia and take PHILLIES (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no great value here, and the play for either side should be on the moneyline. The Orioles are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Phillies are far too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (-110).

The Orioles are 2-3-3 O/U in their last 8 games and have allowed a total of 4 runs in Burnes’ last 3 starts.

The Phillies are 3-7-1 O/U in their last 11 games and have gone Under in 5 straight games in which Wheeler has started. They have allowed a combined 7 runs in those.

Both teams have their aces on the mound, so expect strong pitching performances. Back UNDER 7 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (45-24) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (47-22) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0

The Phillies took down the Orioles 5-3 in an 11-inning game Friday. That snapped a 2-game losing streak for Philadelphia. It has lost 3 of its last 5 yet is still 9-4 straight up over its last 13. The Phillies have the best home record in MLB and are the 3rd-best road team at 19-12. They are 39-30 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Orioles have lost 2 in a row yet have won 6 of their last 8. They have seen their offense stall over the last few games, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 straight. Baltimore is 23-14 at home this season and 5-3 over its last 8 at Oriole Park. The Orioles are the 2nd-best team ATS in MLB with a 41-27 record.

Phillies at Orioles projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Walker (3-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 43 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-5 home loss to New York Mets Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-1, 5.89 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 3 HR, 5.9 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 4-1, 2.54 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 9 starts

Rodriguez (7-2, 3.27 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 63 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-2 road win over Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-1, 2.12 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 4 HR, 10.6 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Has never faced Philadelphia before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+116)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Phillies at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Orioles (-178) have the better pitcher taking the mound and should use that to come out on top. At -178, they aren’t worth the moneyline play though.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+116).

The Phillies have lost 3 straight games in which Walker has started and are 0-3 ATS in those. They are 2-2 ATS as road underdogs, while the Orioles are 17-16 ATS as home favorites.

The Orioles have won 2 straight in which Rodriguez has started and both of those were by at least 5 runs. They are 3-1 ATS in his last 4 starts and have covered in 6 of their last 8 games. Rodriguez has also been far better at home with a sub-2.20 ERA.

Expect another strong performance, and take ORIOLES -1.5 (+116).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

The Orioles are 2-3-2 O/U in their last 7 games, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 straight and have allowed 2 or fewer in 5 of their last 7. They have allowed just 4 combined runs in Rodriguez’s last 2 starts.

The Phillies are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 games and have gone Under in Walker’s last 2 starts. They have allowed 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 9 as well. Couple it all together, and back UNDER 8.5 (-122).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (46-22) take on the Baltimore Orioles (45-23) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 2-1 last year

The Phils enter rivalry weekend after losing 2 of 3 at Fenway Park to the Boston Red Sox. They lost 9-3 Thursday as RHP Aaron Nola gave up 8 ER in 3 2/3 IP. DH Kyle Schwarber went 3-for-4 with 3 RBIs. He has his BA up to .249 after hitting .297 last month and .282 so far this month.

The O’s snapped a 6-game winning streak with a 6-3 loss to the Atlanta Braves Thursday night. The Orioles scored 3 in the 7th to pull within 1, but Atlanta polished them off with 2 in the 9th. The O’s and Phils are tied atop of baseball with 5.1 R/game.

Phillies at Orioles projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Suarez (10-1, 1.81 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has an MLB-best 0.85 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 79 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-2 home victory Saturday against New York Mets
  • 2 career starts vs. BAL: 0-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 11 K in 12 IP

Bradish (2-0, 2.62 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 34 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-0 victory Saturday at Toronto Blue Jays
  • 1 career start vs. Phillies: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K July 26

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Phillies at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline

I don’t trust Suarez here. Two starts ago, he left after 2 innings from taking a 106-mph liner off his pitching hand, and he allowed a season-high 8 hits to the lowly New York Mets the next time out.

So I like the Orioles here, but they’re a better bet on the RL.

Instead, I’m honing in on KYLE BRADISH OVER 5.5 K’S. For some reason, BetMGM has removed this prop as an option, but competing books have it at Over 5.5 (-110). If/when it returns, I’m good to take the Over even if it steams up to 6.5.

He has 6+ K’s in 5 of his last 6 GS, and his 12.8 K/9 is by far a career high. It’s not necessarily a fluke, either, because his K-rate has gone up each year. The Phils are 14th with 8.18 K’s/game.

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles’ last 18 wins have been by multiple runs. They’re this year’s version of the 2023 Los Angeles Dodgers where you’re better off betting the RL on them.

Take the ORIOLES -1.5 (+155).

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Over/Under

It’s expected to be a damp, 82-degree evening with an 8-mph gust blowing in from left-center. The Over is 3-6-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Phils are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10, and the Orioles are 4-4-2.

If this number swells to 7.5, take the Under. However, at an even 7, I do not like this total at all.

PASS.

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Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (35-30) and Baltimore Orioles (45-22) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 2-0

Baltimore beat Atlanta 4-2 Wednesday to take a 2-0 series lead while cashing as a -113 home favorite. RF Colton Cowser hit a go-ahead 2-run shot in the 8th to break the 2-2 tie. The Orioles have won each of their last 6 games.

RHP Joe Jimenez picked up the loss, allowing 2 ER on 3 hits and 0 walks with 2 K’s in 1 inning of relief. Atlanta has dropped each of its last 5 contests.

Braves at Orioles projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Lopez (3-2, 1.85 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 win at Washington Nationals Thursday
  • Career vs. Baltimore: 1-2, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 2 starts and 7 relief appearances

Irvin (6-2, 2.87 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 win at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 0-0, 10.62 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 2.26 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 5 relief appearances

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Braves at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Braves 2

Moneyline

LEAN ORIOLES (-115).

Baltimore is 6-0 in its last 6 games and 8-2 in its last 10, while Atlanta has lost 5 straight and is 3-7 in its last 10. The Orioles are also 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

This is only a lean because Atlanta is 4-3 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect Baltimore to cover here as a +1.5 (-190) underdog, but the line is not worth betting on at this price. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Under has hit in 3 consecutive home games for the Orioles. For Atlanta, the Under is 4-2 in its last 6 road games and 6-4 in its last 10 overall. The Under has also hit in 3 straight Atlanta-Baltimore matchups and is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (35-29) visit the Baltimore Orioles (44-22) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0.

The Braves have lost 4 games in a row after falling 4-0 against the Orioles Tuesday and failing to cover as -141 road favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna was the only Atlanta player to have multiple hits while LHP Max Fried allowed 4 ER in 5 innings to pick up the loss.

Baltimore has won 5 games in a row after Tuesday’s win while covering as a +123 home favorite. SS Jorge Mateo led the way on offense with a 3-run homer while RHP Albert Suarez allowed 0 ER in 5 1/3 innings to pick up the win.

Braves at Orioles projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenback vs. LHP Cade Povich

Schwellenbach (0-2, 8.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.38 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-0 loss at Boston Red Sox Wednesday.
  • In his first 2 games in the MLB, he has allowed 9 ER and 2 HR while walking 3 and striking out 9.

Povich (0-1, 10.13 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 6.75 BB/9 and 3.38 K/9 through 5 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-5 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday.
  • In 11 games in the minors this season, he went 5-1 with a 3.18 ER and a 1.11 WHIP.

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Braves at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Braves at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

LEAN ORIOLES (-125).

The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games including 5-0 in their last 5. They have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games while scoring 4 or more in each game during that span. The Braves are just 4-6 in their last 10 including 0-4 in their last 4 and 1-5 in their last 6 on the road. Wednesday will be a battle between 2 rookie starting pitchers with 3 games total experience combined.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

With both pitchers having an 8.30 ERA or above through their first few starts, going against 2 of the top offenses in the MLB, the Over has a strong chance of hitting. The Braves have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games while the Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 9.

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (40-22) and Tampa Bay Rays (31-32) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-1

Baltimore won 6-3 over the Rays in St. Petersburg Friday. Five of the Orioles’ 6 runs came on homers from 1B Ryan Mountcastle, RF Anthony Santander, and 2B Jordan Westburg. LHP Cole Irvin earned his 6th win (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 R, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K). RHP Craig Kimbrel picked up his 13th save of the season.

The Rays had their 3-game win streak snapped by the Orioles. Starting RHP Aaron Civale lost his 4th straight decision after allowing 4 ER on 7 hits in 5 innings. CF Jose Siri went 2-for-3 with a solo HR, 2 runs scored and a walk.

Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Bradish (1-0, 3.18 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 12.7 K/9 in 28 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 9-5 home victory over Rays June 1
  • 2024 road splits: 1-0, 1.06 ERA, 17 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 7 BB, 26 K in 3 starts

Bradley (1-3, 5.81 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 26 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 9-5 setback at Orioles June 1
  • 2024 home splits: 0-2, 3.00 ERA, 18 IP, 6 ER, 11 H, 5 BB, 23 K in 3 starts

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Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Rays +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+126) | Rays +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Rays 2

Moneyline.

PASS.

The Orioles (-136) should handle the Rays without much drama Saturday. As confident as I am, I’ll avoid paying the juice and put my wager on the Orioles’ run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+126).

We had this same pitching matchup in Baltimore June 1. Both pitchers struggled, but Bradley took the worse beating. The Rays have been better on the road than at home on the season, sitting 17-19 at Tropicana Field.

In Bradish’s 5 previous starts before Tampa, he had allowed only 5 total earned runs (25 2/3 IP). Tampa Bay is hitting .229 against righties with a record of 20-26 on the season.

Over/Under

PASS.

My lean is to the Over, but I don’t see an edge to officially make a recommendation. They are 3-3 against the Over in their last 6 head-to-head matchups.

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