Atlanta Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 3

Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (5-6) are set to take on the Atlanta Hawks (7-4) Thursday at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBATV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers defeated the Phoenix Suns 100-88 Monday to cover as 1.5-point underdogs at home. Philadelphia was on a 2-game losing skid before beating Phoenix, so it was a much-needed victory as they try to get above .500.

The Hawks are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back after losing to the Utah Jazz 125-119 Wednesday, failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. Atlanta had a 3-game win streak going before the loss, with double-digit wins over the Milwaukee Bucks (117-98, Monday) and the New York Knicks (112-99, Nov. 2).

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76ers at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Hawks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +1.5 (-115) | Hawks -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Hawks key injuries

76ers

G James Harden (foot) out

Hawks

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 115, 76ers 109

Moneyline

I’ll take HAWKS (-117) at home even though it could be a close game. Atlanta is on a back-to-back, but they’ll be playing at home for the 2nd straight day and the Hawks will be looking to bounce back following a loss to the Jazz.

Against the spread

HAWKS -1.5 (-108) makes sense considering that I have Atlanta winning Thursday. The Hawks should be able to win by at least 1 basket in a game where the 76ers will still be without Harden, who was playing well before he got injured.

The Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record, dating back to last season. Meanwhile, the 76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings against the Hawks in Atlanta.

Over/Under

OVER 222.5 (-110) is where I’m leaning with the current trends for both teams. While Philadelphia plays at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA, Atlanta plays at the 7th-fastest pace.

The 76ers have hit the Over in each of their last 5 games following a straight-up win. The Hawks have hit the Over in 7 of their last 9 games overall.

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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (4-3) take on the New York Knicks (3-3) Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks are on a 2-game losing skid with losses to the Milwaukee Bucks Saturday (123-115) and Toronto Raptors Monday (139-109). G Trae Young has terrorized the Knicks in his last 9 games against them, averaging 34.8 points per game in that span, including a 45-point performance in his last outing in New York.

The Knicks are also on a 2-game losing skid after falling to the Cleveland Cavaliers 121-108 Sunday, failing to cover as 3.5-point road underdogs. New York has won all 3 of its home games thus far, however, those games were against the Detroit Pistons, the Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets.

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Hawks at Knicks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Knicks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2 (-108) | Knicks -2 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hawks at Knicks key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
F Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) questionable

Knicks

G Quentin Grimes (foot) questionable
F Cam Reddish (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 119, Knicks 114

Moneyline

Give me the HAWKS (+105) on the road looking to end a 2-game losing skid. Once again, New York is undefeated at home this season, but the teams it’s beaten have a combined record of 6-17.

Against the spread

Considering that I took Atlanta to win outright, HAWKS +2 (-108) is where I’m going in this game. The trio of Young, G Dejounte Murray, and F John Collins should have plenty of success against the Knicks.

Over/Under

OVER 232.5 (-108) is the ideal wager in this game despite the Under being 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in New York. The Hawks have hit the Over in each of their last 5 games overall.

Meanwhile, the Knicks have hit the Over in 5 of their first 6 games this season.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (3-1) will take on the Detroit Pistons (1-4) Friday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks defeated the Pistons 118-113 in their last game on Wednesday, failing to cover as 7.5-point favorites on the road. G Trae Young had his best scoring output of the season with 35 points, 6 assists and 3 rebounds.

The Pistons have been a fun team to watch to begin the season, but they’ve lost 4 straight games after winning their season opener against the Orlando Magic. Detroit has gotten plenty of contributions from F Bojan Bogdanovic, who leads the team with 23.2 points per game on 53.3% shooting from the field.

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Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Pistons +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -5.5 (-115) | Pistons +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out

Pistons

F Marvin Bagley III (knee) out
G Alec Burks (foot) out
G Jaden Ivey (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 120, Pistons 116

Moneyline

Go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game unless you’re confident in the Pistons being able to win at home against the Hawks. I wouldn’t recommend taking Atlanta straight up given the minimal return you’ll receive if the Hawks win.

Against the spread

PISTONS +5.5 (-105) is an enticing wager as Detroit has kept it close against Atlanta when playing at home in recent matchups. If the Pistons can get solid production from Bogdanovic and G Cade Cunningham, they should be able to keep it within two 3-pointers on Friday.

The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games against the Pistons. Atlanta is also 1-4 ATS in its last 5 meetings overall with Detroit.

Over/Under

Wednesday’s matchup between the Hawks and the Pistons reached 231 total points to hit the over of 229. The projected total has come down for some reason, which is why I’m siding with OVER 227.5 (-110).

The Pistons have hit the Over in each of their last 4 home games and 8 of their last 9 games overall. The Over is also 17-8 in the last 25 meetings between Atlanta and Detroit.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (2-1) take on the Detroit Pistons (1-3) Wednesday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks are coming off a surprising 126-109 home loss to the Charlotte Hornets Sunday despite being 10-point favorites. It’s been a solid start for newly-acquired G Dejounte Murray as he’s notched 19.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, 8.3 assists and 3.3 steals per game on 46% shooting from the field.

The Pistons are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back after losing 120-99 at the Washington Wizards Tuesday, failing to cover as 6-point underdogs. F Bojan Bogdanovic is leading Detroit in scoring with 20.8 points on 51.9% shooting to begin the season.

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Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -7.5 (-112) | Pistons +7.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
F Justin Holiday (non-COVID illness) questionable

Pistons

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 123, Pistons 109

Moneyline

PASS on the moneyline in this game with the Hawks being heavy favorites over the Pistons on the road. Taking Atlanta (-300) isn’t worth the risk considering the low return you’ll receive if the Hawks win.

Against the spread

I’ll take HAWKS -7.5 (-112) with the Pistons playing a back-to-back after losing at the Wizards Tuesday. I’m expecting big games from Murray and G Trae Young with Atlanta having 2 days of rest since its last game.

The Pistons are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss by 10 or more points.

Over/Under

Even with Detroit having the 5th-worst offensive rating in the NBA, OVER 230.5 (-115) is an enticing bet. The Pistons also have the 4th-worst defensive rating in the league, which should lead to the Hawks scoring points in bunches, and both teams are top 11 in pace this season.

The Over has hit in each of the last 4 games for Atlanta against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Meanwhile, Detroit has hit the Over in 7 of its last 8 games overall.

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Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (17-23) head to South Beach Friday for the second game of their home-and-away, back-to-back with the Miami Heat (26-15). Tip-off at the FTX Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Heat, who were 2.5-point underdogs, clobbered the Hawks 115-91 in Atlanta in the opener of their back-to-back Wednesday.

Miami outshot Atlanta from everywhere on the floor and won three of the “four factors” as the Heat outscored the Hawks in three of the four quarters.

Atlanta is 1-4 straight up (SU), 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and 2-3 Over/Under (O/U) with the third-worst net rating at minus-9.7 in January.

Miami is 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS and 4-1 O/U with the sixth-best net rating at plus-8.5 this month.

Hawks at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Heat -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +4.5 (-105) | Heat -4.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Heat key injuries

Hawks

C Clint Capela (ankle) out
SG Kevin Huerter (foot) questionable

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable

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Hawks at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 118, Hawks 107

Money line

PASS. Even though I think the Heat win handily, Miami (-200) is too expensive for any NBA regular-season, money line favorite, especially one playing against a team that just went to the conference finals last season.

Against the spread

BET the HEAT -4.5 (-120) for 1 unit because I see this one playing out the same way as Wednesday’s Hawks-Heat meeting in Atlanta.

Click here for my analysis of that first game. The only change between the two meetings may be the possible return of Miami’s Butler, who is playing at an All-NBA level.

Atlanta struggles on the glass, on the interior and in pick-and-roll action without Capela in the lineup. Miami outrebound Atlanta 54-37 Wednesday and outscored the Hawks in the paint 46-30.

Miami beats up on bad defenses and Atlanta has the third-worst adjusted defensive rating.

The Hawks have been terrible on the road this season. Atlanta is 9-13 overall on the road (8-14 ATS) with the 19th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-3.4, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

BET the HEAT -4.5 (-120).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-115) for a one-third unit if at all, because Miami’s point spread is my favorite wager in this game.

The Heat are 9-7 O/U at home, while the Hawks are 12-10 O/U on the road. Miami’s offense should torch Atlanta’s defense from deep.

The Heat have the second-best 3-point percentage and the Hawks are 21st in defensive 3-point percentage. If Atlanta can shoot a little better than it did Wednesday, then this Over will cash.

My prediction isn’t far off the projected total, so GO LITE on OVER 220.5 (-115) if you bet it.

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Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (25-15) head to the Big Peach Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (17-22) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is the sixth and final game of Miami’s road trip; it’s 3-2 straight-up (SU) and 4-1 ATS through the first five games. The Heat have won their last two games against the Phoenix Suns Jan. 5 and the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday.

Miami has the sixth-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-7.8 points per 100 possessions and the fifth-best spread differential at a plus-6.7 ATS margin over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta just wrapped up its own six-game road trip, finishing 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 2-4 O/U. The Hawks have the fourth-worst non-garbage time net rating at minus-8.6 points per 100 possessions and the second-worst spread differential at a minus-8.0 ATS margin in the last 14 days (per CTG).

Heat at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Heat +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Hawks -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-107) | Hawks -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Hawks key injuries

Heat

SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) out
C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
C Dewayne Dedmon (knee) questionable

Hawks

C Clint Capela (ankle) doubtful
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) questionable
SG Cam Reddish (ankle) questionable

Heat at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 117, Hawks 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the HEAT (+135) with the plan of betting more on Miami’s spread because the Hawks struggle against good teams and don’t sleep on the importance of Capela’s possible absence.

Miami and Atlanta’s seasons are trending in opposite directions. The Heat are stacking wins and ranked third in the East despite missing several key contributors throughout the season.

On the other hand, the Hawks are 12th in the East and there are rumors PF John Collins is unhappy with his role in Atlanta. There’s even talk about possibly trading Collins for Philadelphia 76ers PG Ben Simmons.

Atlanta is 5-9 SU versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating with a minus-2.5 points per 100 possessions (CTG) and is 2-4 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record.

Capela’s rim runs on pick-and-roll action and offensive rebounding tenacity greatly help Atlanta’s offense.

He grades in the 77th percentile of bigs in adjusted on/off net rating and 92nd percentile in adjusted on/off offensive rebounding rate, per CTG, and when he missed the Hawks’ previous game versus the Clippers and they were outrebounded 47-39 (13-6 in offensive rebounds).

L.A. has the fourth-worst rebounding rate in the NBA whereas Miami has the fourth-best rebounding rate. Capela’s potential absence may loom large.

The Heat also tear up bad defenses. Miami is 11-3 SU versus teams in the bottom 10 of adjusted defensive rating with plus-8.1 points per 100 possessions (ranked seventh, per CTG).

Only SPRINKLE on the HEAT (+135) because Miami’s spread is the sharper play.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the HEAT +3.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of their money line because Atlanta has lost ATS in its last nine home games and Miami is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.

The HEAT +3.5 (-107) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because the Heat have gone Over the total in six consecutive games and the Hawks have gone Over in five of their last seven contests.

Plus both teams allow opponents to chuck 3-pointers and each rank in the top-five of 3-point shooting percentage.

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Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (16-19) travel to Rose City Monday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-22). Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta ended a three-game losing skid – and an 0-3 against-the-spread run – with a 121-118 upset victory at the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday as a 2-point underdog.

Since Dec. 22, Atlanta is 2-4 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 3-3 Over/Under (O/U) with the 24th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-8.0 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Portland has lost four consecutive games (0-4 ATS) with the most recent being a 139-106 road loss at the Los Angeles Lakers Friday. The O/U is 2-2 in those games while the Trail Blazers feature the worst non-garbage time net rating at minus-23.4 points per 100 possessions.

These teams split their two-game series last regular season with the home team winning and covering both.

Hawks at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -5.5 (-108) | Trail Blazers +5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Trail Blazers key injuries

Hawks

SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (health and safety protocols) out
PF John Collins (health and safety protocols) out
C Gorgui Dieng (health and safety protocols) out
SF Cam Reddish (ankle) probable

Trail Blazers

PG Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
SG C.J. McCollum (lung) out
C Jusuf Nurkic (health and safety protocols) doubtful
C Cody Zeller (health and safety protocols) doubtful

Hawks at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 121, Trail Blazers 110

Money line

PASS because Atlanta (-220) should win this one handily but the price is too expensive for any NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Also, Atlanta has a bunch of players returning from the health and safety protocols so I’d like to wait and see before laying a big number on the Hawks to win outright.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HAWKS -5.5 (-108) because they’ve been bet by sharp money and the Trail Blazers are 0-3 ATS with a minus-10.3 scoring margin and a minus-5.7 ATS margin as home underdogs.

Atlanta opened as a 5-point favorite, but the market has steamed up the Hawks’ price since Portland is dealing with a myriad of injury issues itself.

The Trail Blazers could be without its top-two players by on/off net rating, Lillard and Nurkic (per CTG). Plus, Portland head coach Chauncey Billups and assistant head coach Scott Brooks are sidelined in COVID-19 health and safety protocols as well.

My two main concerns with the HAWKS -5.5 (-108) in this spot are the aforementioned returning pieces and Atlanta’s 7-11 ATS record on the road.

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-115) because neither team can play defense. Atlanta’s defensive effective field-goal shooting (eFG%) ranks 24th and Portland’s defensive eFG% is dead-last.

On top of that, the Hawks are averaging 118.7 points per game (PPG) over their last three games while the Trail Blazers are allowing an NBA’s worst 130.3 PPG in the last three games, and Atlanta is right behind them at 126.3 PPG.

The OVER 225.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (15-18) meet the Chicago Bulls (21-10) in the second of their back-to-back Wednesday at the United Center. The tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Bulls odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago handled Atlanta in the first of their two-game series 130-118 Monday, easily covering as 3.5-point road favorites.

Bulls’ wings DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine combined for 65 points on 25-of-42 shooting and 19 assists in the win. It was Hawks’ point guard Trae Young‘s first game back after missing three games with COVID. Young put up 29 points on 8-of-23 shooting with 9 assists.

Chicago has won four straight games and covered in three of those four wins while Atlanta has lost four of its past five games with a 1-4 ATS record over that span.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 29 breakdown

Hawks at Bulls odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Bulls -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +7.5 (-107) | Bulls -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Bulls key injuries

Hawks

PF John Collins (health and safety protocols) out
SG Kevin Huerter (health and safety protocols) out
SF Danilo Gallinari (health and safety protocols) out
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (health and safety protocols) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

SF Derrick Jones Jr. (hamstring) questionable
PG Lonzo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
C Tony Bradley (health and safety protocols) out
SG Alex Caruso (foot) out

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Hawks at Bulls odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bulls 115, Hawks 111

Money line

PASS because Chicago still has a decisive advantage given Atlanta’s injury report, but the Bulls (-380) is far too expensive for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HAWKS +7.5 (-107) for a half-unit because of the zig-zag theory mostly. Essentially, it’s tough to beat the same team in consecutive games in the NBA and it’s almost profitable to automatically bet against the team that just won the previous contest.

Also, Atlanta was randomly hit by sharp money as the Hawks changed 8.5-point to 7.5-point underdogs while I was writing this. A majority of the money is still on the Bulls, according to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, but the line is moving towards Atlanta.

Maybe there’ll be breaking news about one of Atlanta’s players clearing the health and safety protocols or perhaps the “wise guys” just like the Hawks in this spot.

Either way, I can only “LEAN” to the HAWKS -7.5 (-107) because of the situation whereas I’m actually higher on the Bulls long-term. This just feels like a good spot to fade the public.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-115) because there’s been a sharp line move towards the Over as the look-ahead total for Hawks-Bulls was 220.5 but has been steamed up.

More importantly, the assigned officiating crew for this game has a combined 39-33 O/U record. That matters because both teams’ leading scorers like to get to the charity stripe, and if these refs generally officiate more Overs then perhaps there’ll be more free-throw attempts in this game.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-115) since we are getting the worst of the number.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Bulls (20-10) visit the Big Peach Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (15-17) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Bulls vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago is a winner of three games in a row with the latest being a 113-105 victory over the Indiana Pacers as a 4.5-point home favorite Sunday.

The Bulls are 3-0 straight-up (SU), 2-1 ATS and 2-1 O/U over the past two weeks with the second-best net rating (plus-10.4 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG). Several Chicago games have been postponed recently due to complications surrounding COVID.

Atlanta got blown out 101-87 by the Knicks in New York on Christmas to lose for the third time in its last four games.

The Hawks are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 1-4 O/U in the last 14 days with the 25th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-7.3 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

Bulls at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

Money line: Bulls -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Hawks +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread (ATS): Bulls -5.5 (-112) | Hawks +5.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Bulls at Hawks key injuries

Bulls (not officially submitted)

PG Lonzo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
C Tony Bradley (health and safety protocols) out
SG Alex Caruso (foot) out
SF Derrick Jones Jr. (hamstring) questionable

Hawks

PG Trae Young (health and safety protocols) out
PF John Collins (health and safety protocols) out
SG Kevin Huerter (health and safety protocols) out
SF Danilo Gallinari (health and safety protocols) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (health and safety protocols) out

Bulls at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bulls 109, Hawks 94

Money line

PASS since Chicago should win this game going away but the -230 tag is a little too far out of my price range for a money line favorite in this spot.

Chicago is 6-2 SU as a road favorite and 3-2 SU on the second of a back-to-back. While Atlanta is 0-1 SU as a home underdog and 2-6 SU when playing with a rest advantage.

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the BULLS -5.5 (-112) because the Hawks are without three starters including Trae and Collins whereas Chicago has its two leading scorers active for this game.

Trae grades in the 92nd percentile of point guards in on/off net rating (plus-11.8 points per 100 possessions) and Collins in the 95th percentile of forwards (plus-14.4 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

Bulls’ leading scorer F DeMar DeRozan balled out in his two games against Atlanta last season and there’s no reason that shouldn’t continue Monday. DeRozan put up 29.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game with a plus-13 net rating in his two games against Atlanta last season.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 207.5 (-107) because there’s reverse line movement towards the Under. Roughly 90% of the action at the time of publishing is on the Over according to Pregame.com, but the total has been lowered from the 208.5-point opener.

Both teams also play at a below-average pace and the two Bulls that get Chicago out into transition (Caruso and Ball) will be sidelined as per the NBA’s health and safety protocols. Plus the Under is 3-0 for the Hawks since Trae has been sidelined with COVID.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) travel to Madison Square Garden Christmas for a noon ET tip-off with the New York Knicks (14-18). Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Knicks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

New York has alternated between winning and losing over the past five games with the most recent being a 124-117 loss to the Washington Wizards as 3-point home favorites.

Over the past two weeks, the Knicks are 2-5 straight-up (SU), 2-5 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the 17th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-0.7 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta broke its two-game losing slump by upsetting the 76ers in Philadelphia 98-86 as 11-point road underdogs.

The Hawks are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 2-4 O/U in the last 14 days with the 22nd-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-5.4 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

This is the rematch of last season’s first-round Eastern Conference best-of-seven playoff series when the Hawks beat the Knicks 4-1. New York won the first meeting this season 99-90 (Nov. 27) as 8-point road underdogs.

Hawks at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Knicks -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +6.5 (-107) | Knicks -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Hawks at Knicks key injuries

Hawks

PG Trae Young (health and safety protocols) doubtful
C Clint Capela (health and safety protocols) out
SF Danilo Gallinari (health and safety protocols) out
PG Lou Williams (health and safety protocols) out
SG Kevin Huerter (health and safety protocols) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Knicks

SF RJ Barrett (health and safety protocols) questionable
SG Immanuel Quickley (health and safety protocols) questionable
PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out
C Nerlens Noel (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 109, Hawks 99

Money line

PASS even though New York is clearly the right side here because the Knicks (-300) is out of my price range.

Both teams are down key pieces but Atlanta is a shell of itself due to a COVID outbreak. The Hawks are missing plus-25.2 points per 100 possessions due to the absences of Trae, Huerter and Capela, according to CTG.

Atlanta overperformed expectations Thursday vs. the Sixers by covering as 11-point underdogs. But, I don’t give the Hawks much of a shot in this game since Christmas is the biggest primetime spot of the season, and the Knicks need this game like blood.

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the KNICKS -6.5 (-107).

New York is eighth in 3-point percentage at 36.1%. Atlanta is 18-60 overall since the beginning of last season when allowing opponents to shoot 36.0% or better from behind the arc. And 50 of those losses by at least 7 points.

Furthermore, the Knicks have been hit by sharp money as this game has been steamed up from New York laying 3.5 points Wednesday up to the current price. So, we are getting the worst of the number but I still think there’s value in the KNICKS -6.5 (-115).

Also, I like fading public underdogs, which the Hawks have become. According to the Yahoo! Sports App, Atlanta’s spread is getting 58% of the wagers but New York laying the points is getting 62% of the cash, at the time of publishing.

My explanation behind that is the public has recency bias based on the Hawks’ upset over the Sixers and the Knicks’ disappointing loss to a Bradley Beal-less Wizards Thursday.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 209.5 (-115) for a half-unit because we are also getting the worst of this number, but I feel better about New York laying the points than the Under. The Hawks-Knicks total was sitting at 215.5 early Christmas Eve and has been lowered significantly.

That said, Atlanta ranks 20th in pace, and New York ranks 26th and the Hawks get out in transition a lot less when Trae, Capela and Huerter are off the floor. Not only that, but the Knicks have the 20th-ranked non-garbage time offensive efficiency at home this season.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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