Tag: Hawks Pistons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Atlanta Hawks (36-36) head to the Motor City Wednesday to play the Detroit Pistons (19-53) at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta has alternated between winning and losing the last five games — 3-2 straight up (SU) and 2-3 against the spread (ATS) — with the most recent being a 117-111 road victory at the New York Knicks Tuesday.

Detroit has lost 6 of its last 7 games (5-2 ATS) including two straight at the Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday (113-109) and the tanking Portland Trail Blazers Monday (119-115).

These teams are tied 1-1 SU and ATS in their head-to-head series this season and the total is 1-1 Over/Under as well.

Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Hawks -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Pistons +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
• Against the spread: Hawks -5.5 (-107) | Pistons +5.5 (-115)
• Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks (not yet submitted)

• PF John Collins (foot) out

Pistons

• PG Hamidou Diallo (sprain) out

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Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pistons 117, Hawks 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the PISTONS (+175)  with the plan of hitting their spread harder because Detroit’s victory over the Hawks (-220) March 7 wasn’t a fluke. In fact, the Pistons outperformed the Hawks in three of the “four factors” and they tied in the fourth.

Furthermore, Atlanta should be a bigger favorite considering Hawks PG All-Star Trae Young put on a virtuoso performance at Madison Square Garden Tuesday and the Pistons lost to a terrible Trail Blazers squad.

Also, Young has struggled in his four visits to Detroit, averaging just 18.3 points on 32.8% field goal shooting (25.7% from behind the arc) with 8.8 assists to 5.5 turnovers in those four games.

Again, the sharper wager is Detroit’s spread but I’ll SPRINKLE  on the PISTONS (+175).

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the PISTONS +5.5 (-115)  heavier than or instead of their ML since this is an awful spot for the Hawks -5.5 (-107) and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Detroit.

For instance, the Hawks are 4-9 ATS in the second of a back-to-back with a minus-2.6 ATS margin, 5-8 ATS as road favorites and 0-6 ATS in their last six games versus teams with a losing record. Also, the Pistons are 17-12-1 ATS as home underdogs and 9-5 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs.

On top of that, this is a Pros versus Joe’s scenario in the betting market. Nearly 60% of the cash is on the Pistons but more than 85% of the bets placed are on the Hawks, according to Pregame.com.

Since sharps wager more money than the public, the cash column is seen as the sharp side of the betting market.

The PISTONS PLUS THE POINTS  is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 227.5 (-112)  but we’d be getting the worst of the number since the Hawks-Pistons game opened with a 224.5-point total (per Pregame.com).

Atlanta is 8-5 O/U in the second of a back-to-back, Detroit is 10-6 O/U when playing with a rest advantage and these teams have a combined 37-22 O/U versus teams with a losing record.

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The Atlanta Hawks (31-32) visit Little Caesars Arena Monday to take on the Detroit Pistons (17-47). Tip is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Hawks have alternated covering and not covering the spread over their last 6 games, having gone 5-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10. Atlanta is 28-35 ATS on the season.

The Hawks have struggled this season, sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference. They’re led by G Trae Young, who averages 28 points and 9.3 assists per game.

As for the Pistons, while they sit 14th in the East, they’re 33-31 ATS on the season and are 15-12 ATS as a home underdog.

Detroit has been on fire recently, covering 7 straight games and winning 5 of them outright. The Pistons are led by F Jerami Grant, who is scoring 19.0 points per game.

Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Hawks -350 (bet $350  to win $100) | Pistons +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
• Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -7.5 (-108) | Pistons +7.5 (-112)
• Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

• G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) questionable

Pistons

• G Hamidou Diallo (non-Covid illness) questionable

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Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 119, Pistons 113

Money line

PASS.

I wouldn’t bet Atlanta -350. That’s far too pricey for a road team as inconsistent as the Hawks. Atlanta is just 12-19 straight up on the road. I’d lean towards the points for value in this matchup.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” on the PISTONS +7.5 (-112).

The Pistons have been covering at too high of a rate to bet against. Having covered 7 straight and having been profitable as a home underdog this season makes this the better side of the spread.

Also, No. 1 overall pick G Cade Cunningham is starting to figure it out, averaging 20.4 points, 8.0 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game over his last 7 performances.

Atlanta has not been a good covering team when road favorites either, just 4-7 ATS in that scenario. The Hawks are just 6-8 ATS since Jan. 31, so this recent stretch of hot-and-cold performances has been their rhythm as of late.

Taking on a team that covers at a high rate while the road isn’t a situation that’ll bode well for Atlanta. Considering Detroit has the worst net rating in the league, I only lean to them despite this being a favorable position.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 227.5 (-110).

This is my favorite bet in the game.

The Hawks sit 2nd in offensive rating with the Pistons 25th in defensive rating. Also, the Young-Capela pick and roll should give Detroit fits as starting C Isaiah Stewart stands just 6-foot-8.

Atlanta is No. 1 in turnover rate and No. 7 in true shooting percentage, both of which will bode well for the Over, especially against a team that ranks in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.

Both teams also sit in the top 20 in pace as well with the Pistons 15th and Hawks 18th on the season. The Hawks are 35-28 O/U this season and 7-3 O/U over their last 10.

Detroit is 5-3-2 O/U over its last 10 and has gone over 110 in 3 of its last 4 games. The Pistons have proven they can hang around offensively, and they’ll have to do just that against Atlanta.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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