Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (16-19) travel to Rose City Monday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-22). Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta ended a three-game losing skid – and an 0-3 against-the-spread run – with a 121-118 upset victory at the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday as a 2-point underdog.

Since Dec. 22, Atlanta is 2-4 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 3-3 Over/Under (O/U) with the 24th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-8.0 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Portland has lost four consecutive games (0-4 ATS) with the most recent being a 139-106 road loss at the Los Angeles Lakers Friday. The O/U is 2-2 in those games while the Trail Blazers feature the worst non-garbage time net rating at minus-23.4 points per 100 possessions.

These teams split their two-game series last regular season with the home team winning and covering both.

Hawks at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -5.5 (-108) | Trail Blazers +5.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Trail Blazers key injuries

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF John Collins (health and safety protocols) out
  • Gorgui Dieng (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Cam Reddish (ankle) probable

Trail Blazers

  • PG Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
  • SG C.J. McCollum (lung) out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (health and safety protocols) doubtful
  • Cody Zeller (health and safety protocols) doubtful

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Hawks at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 121, Trail Blazers 110

Money line

PASS because Atlanta (-220) should win this one handily but the price is too expensive for any NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Also, Atlanta has a bunch of players returning from the health and safety protocols so I’d like to wait and see before laying a big number on the Hawks to win outright.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HAWKS -5.5 (-108) because they’ve been bet by sharp money and the Trail Blazers are 0-3 ATS with a minus-10.3 scoring margin and a minus-5.7 ATS margin as home underdogs.

Atlanta opened as a 5-point favorite, but the market has steamed up the Hawks’ price since Portland is dealing with a myriad of injury issues itself.

The Trail Blazers could be without its top-two players by on/off net rating, Lillard and Nurkic (per CTG). Plus, Portland head coach Chauncey Billups and assistant head coach Scott Brooks are sidelined in COVID-19 health and safety protocols as well.

My two main concerns with the HAWKS -5.5 (-108) in this spot are the aforementioned returning pieces and Atlanta’s 7-11 ATS record on the road.

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-115) because neither team can play defense. Atlanta’s defensive effective field-goal shooting (eFG%) ranks 24th and Portland’s defensive eFG% is dead-last.

On top of that, the Hawks are averaging 118.7 points per game (PPG) over their last three games while the Trail Blazers are allowing an NBA’s worst 130.3 PPG in the last three games, and Atlanta is right behind them at 126.3 PPG.

The OVER 225.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (5-6) are in the Rose City Saturday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (7-5) at the Moda Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Trail Blazers NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Atlanta was smothered by the Jazz’s defense last night in a 116-92 loss in Utah. The Hawks shot 17.9% from behind the arc (5-of-28) and the Jazz completely took PG Trae Young out of the game. Young only scored 4 points on 1-of-11 shooting. On the other end of the floor, Utah shot 45.5% from deep (20-of-44) and outscored Atlanta 27-14 in transition points.

The Trail Blazers were demolished at home by the Indiana Pacers 111-87. Portland was just outclassed by an Indiana team that moved the ball better (29-16 in assists) and got easier looks (62-28 points in the paint). The major storyline following the game was Portland C Jusuf Nurkic exiting the game with a fractured wrist. Nurkic underwent surgery and will be out at least eight weeks.

These teams split the regular-season series 1-1 with the home team winning and covering both games. Before Atlanta’s victory over Portland in Feb. 2020, the Trail Blazers won and covered four straight against the Hawks.

Hawks at Trail Blazers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Trail Blazers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +4.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Trail Blazers: Key Injuries

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (lower leg) out
  • SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) out

Trail Blazers

  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out

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Hawks at Trail Blazers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 127, Trail Blazers 122

Money line (ML)

I lean HAWKS (+155) for a quarter-unit mostly because I’m going to take Atlanta plus the points, and I generally like to sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when taking them to cover. The value of the money line isn’t great, however, so feel free to pass and bet the spread instead.

Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll give Atlanta’s offense a pass for the no-show vs. Utah last night since the Jazz are an excellent defensive team and are ranked fourth in defensive rating. Portland’s defense can’t do to the Hawks what Utah’s did last night.

Also, Nurkic is by no means all-defense but he’s a heck of a lot better on D than his replacement C Enes Kanter. The Hawks put up 129 the last time they played the Trail Blazers. Nurkic didn’t play in that game either.

I just don’t know how Portland gets any stops. GIMME HAWKS +4.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

This ought to be a shootout. Portland guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum are balling out, and there’s no reason to think they won’t fill it up vs. Atlanta. In fact, one could argue Lillard and McCollum are going to ball even harder since they’ll get more usage with Nurkic out of the lineup.

The only argument for the Under is this will be Portland’s third game in four days so maybe they can’t score as many points on tired legs. Whatever. I’ll TAKE OVER 235.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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