Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (79-66) and Washington Nationals (64-80) wrap up a quick 2-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 7-5

The Braves are tied for the final Wild Card spot in the National League with the division rival Philadelphia Phillies, 4 games clear of the Chicago Cubs with 17 regular-season games to go.

If not for the Nationals, the Braves would be in much better shape. They’ve dropped 7 of 12 meetings this season against Washington. In fact, Atlanta is just 24-21 inside the division while going just 39-35 on the road.

Atlanta paddled Washington 12-0 in Tuesday’s series opener as a light favorite (-134) while taking care of the Over (7.5) all on its own. Despite the Over, the Under is 8-2 across the past 10 games.

For Washington, it is just 3-7 in the past 10 games while dropping 4 in a row at home. The Over is on a 3-0 run, but the Under still has a 12-7 advantage in the past 19 outings dating back to Aug. 20.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Fried (9-8, 3.35 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP (1 CG).

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-5, 3.19 ERA, 87 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 9 HR, 1.08 WHIP, .197 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 32 BB, 87 K in 15 starts (1 CG)
  • Career vs. Nationals: 8-4, 3.83 ERA (87 IP, 37 ER), 3 HR, 1.33 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 18 appearances (17 starts)

Irvin (9-12, 4.28 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 166 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-4 road setback vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-8, 4.83 ERA, 63 1/3 IP, 34 ER, 10 HR, 1.29 WHIP, .270 OBA, 15 BB, 53 K in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 1 HR, 1.40 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts

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Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Nationals +148 (bet $100 to win $148)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-102) | Nationals +1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-176) are a little on the expensive side, but they’re not priced out of line if you’re a little bit of a conservative bettor. Be careful, though, as Atlanta has inexplicably struggled against the Nationals (+148) this season.

Atlanta appears to have solved its offensive woes with a 12-run breakout Tuesday after averaging just 2.6 runs per game in the previous 9 outings. It should have more success behind the southpaw Fried.

The Nationals (+148) have dropped 3 straight starts by Irvin while going just 2-5 in his previous 7 outings.

Run line/Against the spread

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (-102) at near even-money laying the run and a half. While Atlanta has managed 10 victories in the past 17 outings since Aug. 24, 9 of those wins have been by 2 or more runs. So, if you like Atlanta to win, you should like it to cash on the run line, especially against the very erratic Irvin.

While the Nationals +1.5 (-118) have been a thorn in the side of Atlanta, they’ve made to go just 3-5 in the past 8 outings as an underdog on the run line.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-122) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over has cashed in each of the previous 3 outings for the Nationals, and the total has gone high in 3 straight meetings with the Braves in the nation’s capital, too.

For the Braves, the total has gone low at an 8-2 clip in the past 10 outings. However, the Over is 5-3 in the past 8 games on the road.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (27-34) welcome the Atlanta Braves (34-25) to Nationals Park Thursday for the 1st game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 3-1

The Nationals beat the Braves in 3 out of 4 games on the road from May 27-30, each as a sizable underdog and covering in 3 of them.

Washington was swept in its last series by the New York Mets, which wrapped up with a 9-1 Mets victory Wednesday. The Nationals have lost 5 of their last 6 and have lost 4 straight at home.  They are 36-25 against the spread (ATS) and sit 3rd in the NL East.

The Braves split a series with the Boston Red Sox, losing 9-0 on Wednesday. Atlanta has won 3 of its last 5 games, covering in each victory. It sits 2nd in the NL East and is 29-29 ATS.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Lopez (3-2, 1.73 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 4-2 home win over the Oakland A’s Thursday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-2, 2.49 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 19 H, 1 HR, 6 BB, 22 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (4 IP, 6 ER), 2.25 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 1 start

Parker (4-3, 3.60 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 50 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 2.41 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 3 HR, 2 BB, 18 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.79 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 1 start

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Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -186 (bet $186 to win $100) | Nationals +156 (bet $100 to win $156)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves are strong favorites here with Lopez on the mound, but they are too pricey to take on the moneyline at -186, especially having struggled against the Nationals in late May.

Avoid the home side’s plus-money odds as well and take them on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-110).

While Lopez has been a solid option for Atlanta, Parker has been just as good as home, having allowed just 5 ER through 3 starts. Washington is 2-1 straight up and 3-0 ATS in those starts, having allowed a combined 10 runs in those 3 games.

The Nationals have covered in Parker’s last 3 starts. Atlanta has failed to cover in 4 of its last 7 games. It is 1-2 ATS in Lopez’s last 3 starts as well. Considering those trends, back NATIONALS +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Braves have gone under in 4 of their last 6 games and have scored 4 or fewer in 4 as well. Atlanta has gone Under in 7 of Lopez’s last 8 starts and is 21-35-2 O/U on the season.

The Nationals have gone 4-4-1 O/U in their last 9 and are 27-31-3 O/U on the season. Given how consistently the Braves have gone Under with Lopez on the mound and the quality of pitching on both sides, back UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (97-55) and Washington Nationals (68-85) begin a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 4-2

Atlanta has lost 5 of its last 6 games allowing nearly 9 runs per game over this stretch. They come to the nation’s capital for the 1st time since April 2 and will play the Nationals 7 times over the last 10 games of the season. The Braves have already clinched the N.L. East.

The Nationals have won 2 of the 1st 3 games of their 7-game homestand. Their series victory over the Chicago White Sox was their 1st at home since Aug. 20. Washington is 33-44 at Nationals Park this season.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Fried (7-1, 2.64 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-6 road victory at the Philadelphia Phillies on Sept. 12
  • 2023 road stats: 5-0, 1.74 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 8 ER), .219 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. Nationals: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 7-2 road win March 30

Irvin (3-6, 4.34 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 118 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 6 K in a 5-3 loss at the Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-4, 4.10 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 38 ER), .241 OBA in 16 starts
  • Has never faced the Braves as a starter

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Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:51 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+105) | Nationals +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves will win this game but I’m not going to bet 2 1/2 units to win back 1. That’s just never a good bet anyway you slice it.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -2.5 (+105).

You don’t see the -2.5 run line very often when it comes to MLB games. I don’t mind taking the extra run in this matchup.

Fried has been stellar on the road this season. And since 2021, he is 5-2 with a 4.14 ERA against the Nationals. In Atlanta’s 4 wins over Washington this season, they have won by multiple runs in 3 of them.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (+100).

I love that you are getting plus odds on this bet. In their 7 meetings this season, the total runs scored has been 9 or less in 6 of them.

The Nationals have also been under this total in 5 of their last 6 games.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals open their season’s with a Thursday matchup at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First of 13 meetings in 2023; Braves won 2022 season series 14-5 and outscored the Nationals by 49 runs in the 19 games.

The Braves were 101-61 last year, winning the NL East. Their season came to an end in the NL Divisional Series, where they lost 3-1 to the eventual NL Champion Philadelphia Phillies.

Washington finished 2022 with a MLB-worst 55-107 record, their worst mark since 1976 when they were still the Montreal Expos.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Fried went 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA last year. He had a 1.014 WHIP, 1.55 BB/9 and 8.26 K/9 in 185.1 IP.

  • Went 2-2 in his 4 starts in March/April games last year, posting a 3.00 ERA through 24 IP
  • In away games last year he was 6-3 in his 12 starts with a 2.55 ERA and 0.876 WHIP

Corbin went 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA last year. He had a 1.697 WHIP, 2.89 BB/9 and 7.55 K/9 in 152.2 IP.

  • Went 0-4 in his 5 March/April starts last season, clocking a 8.69 ERA in 19.2 IP
  • In home games last year he was 4-8 in his 16 starts, with a 5.17 ERA and 1.523 WHIP

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+105) | Nationals +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

AVOID. 

The Braves (-250) should be able to pick up a win against the worst team in baseball last year. The line here is not as lopsided as I thought it might be but it is still too risky for this bet, the risk here is not worth the reward.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BRAVES -2.5 (+105).

The Braves won 7 of the last 10 meetings and 5 of those 7 wins came by 2 or more runs, making this a fairly safe bet when the line was -1.5. But 2.5 is something diifferent. Still, the Braves big bats should be able to take advantage of a poor Washington bullpen that underperformed in spring training, but go lightly.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-114).

The Over is the safest bet for this game as 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams went Over 7.5 total runs, and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Over is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Washington.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (97-58) and Washington Nationals (53-101) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta leads 14-4; the Braves are 28-9 over their last 37 games against the Nationals

In a tight series played in Atlanta last week (Monday-Wednesday), the Braves took 2-of-3 games from the Nationals. However, Atlanta has left no room for doubt so far in this set in D.C. The Braves have thus far dealt the Nationals losses by scores of 8-0 and 8-2. Atlanta has scored 24 runs over its last 3 games and 30 over its last 4.

Washington’s offense has slid the other way of late. The Nationals have gone 2-7 while scoring 19 runs in their last 9 games. Washington is just 3-16 since Sept. 6.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Jake Odorizzi vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Odorizzi (5-6, 4.61 ERA) has logged a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 97 2/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Allowed 8 runs in his last start and owns a 6.27 ERA over his last 7 turns
  • Gets beaten up more than most starters in his 3rd time around the order (.881 OPS allowed career, .984 OPS allowed in 2022), so he is typically held to shorter starts
  • Only 1 of his last 8 starts has gone 6 IP

Gray (7-10, 5.17 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 6.57 ERA at home
  • Has yielded 4 ER or more in 4 straight starts
  • Has had success against Atlanta, clocking a 2.25 ERA over 16 IP through 2021 and 2022

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-130) | Nationals +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 4

Money line

Atlanta has been getting a lot of clutch hits of late and is likely a tad overrated on offense. The Braves are a potential fade team in the near future, but not Wednesday against this Washington club. AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

With a likable Over, PASS on trying to get by with a Washington plus play.

Over/Under

There is a fade lean to the pitching for a 3rd straight day at Nationals Park.

With the way the Braves have been hitting, they can do much of the heavy lifting here.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (96-58) and Washington Nationals (53-100) continue a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta leads 13-4; the Braves are 27-9 over their last 36 games against the Nationals

In a tight series played in Atlanta last week (Monday-Wednesday), the Braves took 2-of-3 games from the Nationals. However, Atlanta left no doubt Monday as it clobbered its host 8-0. The Braves have scored 16 runs over their last 2 games and 22 over their last 3.

Washington’s offense has slid the other way of late. The Nationals have gone 2-6 while scoring 17 runs in their last 8 games and are 3-15 since Sept. 6.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Kyle Muller vs. RHP Paolo Espino

Muller (1-1, 10.57 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 8.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 7 2/3 IP.

  • Being recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett where he has notched a 3.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 134 2/3 IP
  • Owns a 5.28 ERA over 44 1/3 IP at the Major League level in his career
  • Has scuffled over his last 3 Triple-A starts, allowing 12 ER in 16 IP

Espino (0-7, 4.17 ERA) has appeared in 40 games this season (17 as a starter). He owns a 1.32 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 108 IP.

  • Last outing was as a starter and came against these same Braves Wednesday: 4 IP, 2 R (1 ER)
  • Has logged a 4.94 ERA as a starter and a 2.21 mark as a relief pitcher

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Nationals +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-130) | Nationals +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 4

Money line

Take the Nationals if the price reaches +225 — there would be value there. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

With a likable Over, PASS on trying to get by with a Washington plus play.

Over/Under

For a second straight day at Nationals Park, there is a general, all-the-way-around lean against the pitching. The Nats didn’t help on Monday, and the Over 8.5 did not cash.

The lean is worth sticking to, though. Now we add the southpaw Muller, and Atlanta pummels lefty pitching (.785 OPS).

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (95-58) and Washington Nationals (53-99) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta leads 12-4; the Braves are 26-9 over their last 35 games against the Nationals

The Braves are coming off a 2-2 split at the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. Atlanta is 20-10 over its last 30 games but is just 6-8 over its last 14 on the road. In a tight series played in Atlanta last week (Monday-Wednesday), the Braves took 2-of-3 games from the Nationals.

The Nationals are just 5-12 since Sept. 6. Washington scored 6 runs in a Sunday win over the Miami Marlins. That comes after a 6-game stretch that saw the Nats score just 1.83 runs per game.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Cory Abbott

Elder (1-3, 3.38 ERA) has appeared in 8 games and made 7 starts. He owns a 1.33 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 40 IP.

  • Has yielded just 2 ER over his last 18 2/3 IP, which includes allowing 1 ER over 5 2/3 IP against the Nats Wednesday
  • Has pitched most of this season at Triple-A, where he has logged a 4.46 ERA over 105 IP

Abbott (0-3, 4.85 ERA) owns a 1.39 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 39 IP over 14 games (7 starts).

  • Allowed 4 runs in as many innings at the Braves last Monday
  • Owns a 3.27 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at home

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 4

Money line

Washington is a profitable 9-12 this season when tabbed as a +230-or-worse underdog, but it’s a bit short of that mark as of publication. With the way the Nats played Atlanta last week, the home side is worth a line watch here.

Take the Nationals if the price reaches +245, there would be value there.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

With a likable Over, PASS on trying to get by with a Washington plus play.

Over/Under

Both starting pitchers have logged some favorable batting averages on balls in play, and that has their surface ERAs artificially tamped down a bit. Both bullpens could also use an off day.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (55-37) continue their series against the Washington Nationals (30-62) Saturday with the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta leads 9-2.

Atlanta has won 6 of its last 8 games, including 5 contests against the Nats over the last 8 days. They’ve pulled within 2 games of the NL East-leading New York Mets after going 20-10 over their last 30 contests. Atlanta has really taken care of business within the division with a 21-13 record.

The Nationals have lost 9 games in a row and you have to wonder if manager Dave Martinez’s seat is heating up. They’re just 7-23 over their last 30 games. OF Juan Soto, a .292 career hitter, is having a down season with a .247 average, 19 homers and 42 RBI. It’s no coincidence he’s on pace for 140 walks with little protection around him in the lineup.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Paolo Espino

Fried (9-3, 2.56 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 112 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled with a 4.90 ERA in 2 starts against the Nationals this season
  • Is a road warrior with a 2.27 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 6 road starts vs. a 2.72 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 12 home starts.
  • Current Nats are hitting .252 in 183 plate appearances off him.

Espino (0-2, 3.42 ERA) makes his 7th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 52 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 6.43 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in 2 appearances (1 start) against the Braves this season
  • A little better at home with a 3.28 ERA vs. a 3.54 ERA on the road.

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+102) | Nationals +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Nationals 3

Money line

Atlanta is too expensive on the ML, but they are just in range for the first half. Fried’s struggles against Washington this year are a little worrisome, especially in the second-to-last game before the All-Star break. So stick to a HALF UNIT on the BRAVES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Nats really haven’t been blown out that often despite how often they lose. Four of their last 9 losses have been by 1 run. They’re 8-15 in 1-run games. As mentioned, Fried has struggled against Washington, so NATIONALS +2.5 (-125) is a solid wager at home.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these sides in Washington. However, the Under has cashed in the last 4 for Washington against a left-handed pitcher. The Under has cashed in Fried’s last 5 starts with a total between 7 and 8.5. The Braves, for as good of an offense as they are, are 2-8 O/U the last 10 games. This feels like an UNDER 8.5 (+105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (30-61) will host the Atlanta Braves (54-37) Friday for the 2nd of their 4-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park will be at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 8-2 after winning Thursday and have outscored the Nationals 71-41 this season.

The Braves’ 5-4 victory Thursday night was their 7th consecutive win over Washington. They bounced back after dropping 2 of 3 to the Mets in their previous series.

The Nationals have now lost 7 games in a row and 14 of their last 15. They have the 9th-best team batting average (.249) in the league, but they’ve scored the 4th-fewest runs (350).

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Ian Anderson vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Anderson (7-5, 4.98 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 86 2/3 IP.

  • The Braves are 11-6 in his 17 starts, winning his last 2 outings over the Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals.
  • He’s just 1-2 in his last 4 starts, allowing 14 ER in 16 1/3 IP.

Corbin (4-11, 5.70 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP.

  • Corbin has allowed 4 runs or fewer in each of his last 4 starts, but the Nationals are just 1-3 in those games.
  • In his last outing Saturday against the Braves, he allowed 4 runs and 8 hits in 6 innings in a 4-3 loss.

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-108) | Nationals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 3

Money line

The money line is a little bit cheaper Friday than it was Thursday, mostly because of the pitching matchup being less lopsided. At -175, the Braves are still a little expensive, but they’re worth including in a parlay, given their 8-2 record and 7 straight wins over the Nationals.

But alone, I would PASS on the Braves ML.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Braves barely failed to cover the spread Thursday, going into the 9th inning with a 5-3 lead. Nationals 3B Maikel Franco clubbed a solo shot over RP Kenley Jansen to make the finals score 5-4.

I’m going back to the well with the BRAVES -1.5 (-108) to cover the spread Friday against a struggling Nationals team.

Over/Under

The total went Under Thursday after the line was set at 9.5 – just barely. The Braves don’t have their ace on the mound, but Corbin offers a bit more Friday than Anibal Sanchez did on Thursday.

Bet the UNDER 9.5 (-115) again in this one.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (53-37) and Washington Nationals (30-60) will square off once again Thursday in the 1st of a 4-game set to close out the first half of the season. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET from Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 7-2 after sweeping the Nationals last weekend. Atlanta has outscored Washington 66-37 in the 9 games.

The Braves have been on a hot streak, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. They haven’t lost back-to-back games since June 17-18, going 16-8 since then. They’ve closed the gap on the Mets in the NL East, sitting just 2.5 games behind.

The Nationals are trending in the opposite direction and are tied for the worst record in baseball with the Oakland Athletics. They’ve lost 6 in a row and have won only 1 of their last 13 games.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Kyle Wright vs. RHP Anibal Sanchez

Wright (10-4, 2.97 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 103 IP.

  • The Braves have won the last 4 starts by Wright, who has allowed 8 runs in 23 1/3 innings during that stretch.
  • Last start: Won 4-3 Saturday vs. Nationals with 7 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 2 BB and 5 K.

Sanchez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start since 2020.

  • Sat out the entire 2021 season and has been out this year with a cervical nerve impingement.
  • In 2020, he went 4-5 with a 6.62 ERA.

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-130) | Nationals +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 3

Money line

The Braves absolutely should win this game against a pitcher who hasn’t taken the mound in nearly 2 years. Sanchez probably won’t pitch very deep into the game, but the Braves are red hot and the Nationals, well, are not.

But I’m not going to bet on the money line at -210. It’s just too juiced unless you’re including it in a parlay. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Even against the spread, the Braves’ line is juiced a bit at -130. You could wait and see if it comes down a little, but even at -130, I like the BRAVES -1.5 (-130) to win and cover.

They’re only 44-46 ATS this season, but it’s way better than the Nationals’ 39-51 mark, which is 2nd-worst in the league.

Over/Under

The UNDER 9.5 (-125) is the obvious play, but once again that line is expensive. The Braves are winning but they’re not knocking the cover off the ball by any means, scoring 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 5 games. They should break that trend Thursday, but the Nationals aren’t going to put up many runs against Wright.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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