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The San Francisco Giants (70-66) and the San Diego Padres (64-73) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 5-4
The Giants are looking for the split of the 4-game set after dropping the past 2 games at Petco Park. The Padres have outscored the Giants 13-4 in the 2 victories after San Francisco won 7-2 in the series opener Thursday.
San Francisco is still 5-3 across the past 8 games overall, with the Under cashing in 4 of the past 6 games. However, the Over is 4-2 in the previous 6 road games for the Giants.
San Diego halted a 3-game losing streak with the victories in the previous 2 outings. Still, the Padres are a dismal 3-6 in the past 9 games overall. The Over is 6-2-1 during the 9-game span, with the Padres pitching staff yielding 5 or more runs in 6 of the contests.
Giants at Padres projected starters
RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Seth Lugo
Cobb (7-5, 3.57 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 141 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 6-1 home win vs. Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 2-3, 4.98 ERA (72 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 11 HR, 1.53 WHIP, .302 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 starts
Lugo (5-6, 3.67 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 115 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 road loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
- 2023 home splits: 3-4, 3.15 ERA (52 IP, 24 ER), 6 HR, 1.27 WHIP, .262 OBA in 10 starts
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Giants at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Giants at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Giants 3
The PADRES (-140) are a decent play in the series finale. While Cobb has been solid for the Giants, and he is coming off a complete-game victory last time out, his splits on the road have been less than stellar. The veteran has a 2.09 ERA in 69 IP in 11 home starts while posting a dismal 4.98 ERA across 72 1/3 IP in 14 road assignments.
Run line/Against the spread
The GIANTS +1.5 (-175) are a little on the pricey side, but if you want some insurance, they’re not priced out of line.
The Giants are 6-5 in the past 11 games as underdogs on the run line, winning 4 of the games outright.
Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-105) is the lean.
The Under is 4-2 in the past 6 games overall for the Giants, while cashing at a 7-3-1 clip in the previous 11 starts by Cobb.
However, for the Padres, it’s been about the Over lately, going 6-2-1 in the past 9 games overall, which is the reason for this being just a lean. The Under is 4-2-1 in the past 7 starts for Lugo.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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