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The San Francisco Giants (65-61) and Philadelphia Phillies (69-57) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 3-2
Philadelphia won 4-3 as a -135 home favorite Tuesday. San Francisco led 3-2 heading into the bottom of the 9th when SS Trea Turner hit a walk-off 2-run RBI single with the bases loaded.
The Phillies have now won back-to-back games, sitting at 5-5 in their last 10 and 36-24 at home. San Francisco has now lost back-to-back games and is 3-7 in its last 10. The Giants are 30-33 on the road this season.
Giants at Phillies projected starters
RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen
Cobb (6-5, 3.75 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 127 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-0 road loss Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 1-1. 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 15 H, 11 BB, 17 K in 4 starts
Lorenzen (7-8, 3.57 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4
BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 126 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 1 K in an 8-7 road loss Friday vs. Washington Nationals
- Career vs. San Francisco: 0-1, 8.22 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 23 H, 7 BB, 10 K in 8 appearances (2 starts)
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Giants at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:26 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 2, Giants 1
Moneyline
LEAN PHILLIES (-135).
The Phillies are hotter than the Giants and hold the pitching advantage. The Phillies have been very good at home this year and are 4-1 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts.
This is only a lean because the Giants are 7-3 in the last 10 vs. Philly and will be fighting to avoid being swept in this series.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Giants to put up a fight here to avoid being swept, but at +1.5 (-190) the line is far too risky. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).
The Under is 6-4 in San Francisco’s last 10 and 2-1 in Philadelphia’s last 3. The Under is also 3-2 in Cobb’s last 5 starts and 4-1 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts. This is only a lean because the Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 Giants-Phillies matchups.
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