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The San Francisco Giants (65-59) and Philadelphia Phillies (67-57) meet Monday to kickoff a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 3-0
San Francisco won 4-3 as a +191 road underdog to avoid the 3-0 sweep Sunday vs. the Atlanta Braves. PH Joc Pederson was walked with the bases loaded in the 9th inning to score PH Michael Conforto the game-winner. The win ended a 3-game losing streak for the Giants, who are 3-7 in their last 10 and 30-31 on the road.
The Phillies lost 4-3 as -223 road favorites in Sunday’s series finale vs. the Washington Nationals, losing the series 2-1. Philly trailed 4-0 heading into the top of the 9th, but scored 3 runs in that inning to give the Nationals a scare. Philadelphia is 5-5 in its last 10 overall and 34-34 at home this season.
Giants at Phillies projected starters
LHP Scott Alexander vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Alexander (6-2, 4.06 ERA) makes his 45th appearances and 7th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 37 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K in a 4-0 road loss Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-0, 3.24 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8 relief appearances
Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 153 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 9-4 road win Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Career vs. San Francisco: 2-2. 7.85 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 6 starts
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Giants at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 7, Giants 6
Moneyline
PASS.
This is a bad moneyline to risk money on for either team. The Giants have dominated the Phillies as of late, but the Phillies have been stellar at home. The run line and Over/Under plays are both safer bets and better value.
Run line/Against the spread
BET GIANTS +1.5 (-145).
The Giants have won the last 6-straight games vs. Philadelphia and are 9-1 against them in the last 10 meetings. I like the Phillies to win here, but you should feel comfortable betting on the Giants to cover even if they lose, as they carry so much momentum vs. Philadelphia headed into this matchup.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 matchups and 3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 4 games overall. The Over is also 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts overall and 2-1 in his last 3 starts vs. the Phillies.
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