San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (15-20) and Philadelphia Phillies (24-11) wrap up a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-0

The Giants have lost 3 games in a row after falling 5-4 against Philadelphia Sunday and failing to cash as -102 road favorites. Giants 2B Thairo Estrada hit a 2-run HR in the 7th inning, while 3 total SF players had at least 1 RBI. RHP Logan Webb allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings and picked up the loss.

Philadelphia has won 5 games in a row after Sunday’s victory while cashing as a -106 home favorite. Phillies 1B Bryce Harper led the offensive effort with a 3-run homer, while 3 different Philadelphia players had at least 1 RBI. RHP Taijuan Walker allowed 3 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings and picked up the win.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Black makes his MLB debut. The Scranton native, who is ranked as the Giants’ No. 7 prospect by MLB Pipeline, fills the opening left by LHP Blake Snell (adductor).

  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Sacramento: 2-1, 1.01 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.90 WHIP in 6 starts
  • 2024 away stats with Triple-A Sacramento: 0-1, 3.52 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.44 WHIP in 2 starts

Wheeler (3-3, 1.91 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.

  • Phillies are 3-4 in his starts, including 3-0 in his last 3
  • Has allowed 9 ER and 3 HR while striking out 52 and walking 12

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Phillies -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-120) | Phillies -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Giants 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Phillies’ (-200) run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 10 games while allowing 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 10. They have scored 23 runs in this series against the Giants and allowed just 10. Six of their last 9 wins have come by 2 or more runs, which will again be the case Monday against a rookie pitcher.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

While Black is unproven for the Giants, Wheeler has only allowed 9 earned runs in 7 starts for the Phillies, including just 1 total in his last 3. The Giants have scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 10 games, while the Phillies have scored 4 or fewer in 2 of their last 4.

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