San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (13-13) take on the Colorado Rockies (6-18) Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Coors Field at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Colorado rocked the Padres 7-4 Tuesday. The Padres got out to a 4-1 lead in the 3rd and didn’t score again. OF Jackson Merrill went 2 for 3 Tuesday, and his .467 batting average (21 for 45) is the highest road mark in baseball. The Padres are tied for 9th with 4.8 R/game and are 10th with a 3.85 ERA. They are 7-5 on the road thus far.

2B Brendan Rodgers‘ lone hit was the difference Tuesday as it went for a grand slam. The Rockies have just 6 wins on the year, and 4 of them have come at home. Their 6-18 start has tied their worst start in their 32 years as a franchise.

Padres at Rockies projected starters

RHP Matt Waldron vs. TBD

Waldron (0-2, 4.74 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 over 19 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K Friday
  • Home/road career splits: 1-1, 3.04 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 5 road starts; 0-4, 5.61 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 in 7 home games (5 starts)
  • Has never faced Rockies before

The Rockies have yet to announce a starter for Wednesday.

  • Rockies are last in MLB with a 5.68 ERA and 1.66 WHIP
  • Rockies’ bullpen is 23rd in MLB with a 4.88 ERA and last with a 1.58 WHIP

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Padres at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockies +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Rockies 3

Moneyline

The Padres should rebound here as the Rockies could wind up going with a bullpen game. However, dropping -160 on a .500 team with an unknown on the hill isn’t a good use of funds.

Instead, let’s go with MATT WALDRON OVER 3.5 K’S (-135). He has 4+ K’s in 3 of 4 starts, and the Rockies are the 5th-easiest to whiff in baseball.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re projecting a multi-run win for San Diego here, but I don’t like betting -110 on it. Let’s stick with Waldron and take MATT WALDRON UNDER 16.5 OUTS (-135). He has never pitched in Coors Field. He relies on a 91-mph 4-seamer, a knuckleball, sinker, sweeper and cutter. That’s not the repertoire that you can control in the altitude. He also hasn’t pitched 5 2/3 in any of his starts this season.

Over/Under

This one can go either way, but I have trouble betting an Over 11 when Colorado is tied for 24th at 3.7 R/game. The first game of this series went Under, and Tuesday’s game would have pushed.

LEAN UNDER 11 (-105).

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