The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-40) and Miami Marlins (43-33) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set Friday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Marlins lead 1-0
The Pirates lost 6-4 as +149 underdogs in the series opener on Thursday. Pittsburgh has lost 10 straight contests and is 4th in the NL Central, 5 1/2 games behind the division-leading Cincinnati Reds.
The Marlins closed as -163 favorites in Thursday’s win. Miami has won 18 of its last 25 games and is 6 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East.
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Pirates at Marlins projected starters
RHP Luis L. Ortiz vs. LHP Jesús Luzardo
Ortiz (1-3, 4.30 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 37 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-2 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Sunday
- Has a 4.24 ERA in June across 4 starts
- First career start vs. Marlins
Luzardo (6-5, 4.09 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 83 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win at Washington Nationals Sunday
- Has a 5.24 ERA in June across 4 starts
- First career start vs. Pirates
Pirates at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Marlins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Marlins -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pirates at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Pirates 2
Moneyline
The Marlins (-190) should hand Pittsburgh its 11th straight loss, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when Miami should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Miami has won 4 straight games vs. teams with a losing record and its last 4 wins have all been by multiple runs. Pittsburgh has lost its last 5 games vs. left-handed starters and 15 of its last 17 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
BET MARLINS -1.5 (+110).
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Over/Under
Pittsburgh is 28th in runs per game over the last 3 contests (2.33) and the Under has hit in 4 of its last 5 matchups. The Under is also 6-2 in Miami’s last 8 games after scoring 5 or more runs in its previous contest.
BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).
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