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The Philadelphia Phillies (74-61) and the Milwaukee Brewers (76-59) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies at Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-1
The Phillies were on the short end of a 7-5 score against the Brewers for the 2nd consecutive evening. Philadelphia has now dropped 3 straight games by exactly 2 runs apiece. The Over (9.5) connected Saturday, and is now on a 5-0 run for the Phils.
After a power outage in Chicago earlier in the week, as Milwaukee managed just 2 total runs in the final 2 games, the Brew Crew has managed 14 total runs in the first 2 games of this series. The Over is 2-0 in the series after the Under was 3-0 in the previous series.
Phillies at Brewers projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Wade Miley
Suarez (2-6, 3.88 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 8 K in a 3-0 home loss vs. the Minnesota Twins
- 2023 road splits: 2-3, 2.76 ERA (49 IP, 15 ER), 2 HR, 1.41 WHIP, .290 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
Miley (7-3, 3.17 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 93 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 6-2 road win vs. the Chicago Cubs Monday
- 2023 home splits: 4-1, 3.31 ERA (49 IP, 18 ER), 7 HR, 1.18 WHIP, .242 OBA in 9 starts
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Phillies at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Phillies at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Phillies 3
The BREWERS (-105) are a solid play as short ‘dogs at home in the series finale. Milwaukee has won 8 consecutive games at home since Aug. 8, while going 12-3 in the past 15 outings at American Family Field.
The Phillies (-115) have dropped 3 games in a row, and the pitching has been the biggest culprit. Philadelphia pitching has coughed up 7 or more runs (7.8 RPG) across the last 4 outings.
Run line/Against the spread
The BREWERS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance, and you have a sneaking suspicion the Phillies -1.5 (+140) will be able to salvage the series finale after getting outscored 14-10 in the first 2 games.
Milwaukee has covered 10 straight as an underdog on the run line since Aug. 17, including 8 outright wins.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-110) is a decent play in this southpaw battle between Suarez and Miley.
While on the surface, it doesn’t look like a great pitching matchup, the stats say otherwise. Miley has a solid 3.31 ERA at home across 49 IP in 9 starts, while Suarez has a stellar 2.76 ERA in 49 IP across 8 road outings away from the bandbox that is Citizens Bank Park.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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