The Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) take on the Atlanta Braves (62-41) Tuesday in the 1st game of a 2-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 5-5
The Phils have won 5 games in a row, and 6 of their last 7, but remain 10 games out in the NL East. On the plus side, OF Bryce Harper had the pins removed from his broken thumb and has begun to ramp up baseball activities. He could be back in a couple of weeks.
The Braves are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks but lost 2 of 3 in Philadelphia before that. The Braves are 3 1/2 games behind the New York Mets in the NL East and just acquired RHP Jake Odorizzi from the Houston Astros to help for the stretch run.
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Phillies at Braves projected starters
RHP Nick Nelson vs. RHP Spencer Strider
Nelson (3-1, 3.94 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 48 IP.
- Last pitched July 26 and threw 23 pitches. So this may be a 1-2-inning opening effort.
- Has a 5.12 ERA,1.50 WHIP and 11.2 K/9 on the road vs. 3.14 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 at home.
Strider (5-3, 2.91 ERA) makes his 12th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 13.4 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 6 K over 6 IP to beat the Phillies July 26 in his last start.
- Is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 14.3 K/9 across 39 IP at home.
Phillies at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:57 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillies +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Braves -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Phillies at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Phillies 3
Money line
Strider was a beast in July with 3 straight games of 8+ K’s. However, he has tapered off a bit in his last 2 starts. He struck out 6 Phillies in his last start, and I will take STRIDER UNDER 7.5 STRIKEOUTS (-130). I like the Braves to win, but we’re not touching the -240 ML. LEAN BRAVES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-155).
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Run line/Against the spread
Four of the Braves’ 5 victories against the Phillies have been by more than 1 run, and 9 of the 10 games this season between these teams have been decided by more than a run. So I’ll LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Over is 7-2-1 between these teams this year and there have been 9 runs or more scored in 7 of the 10 meetings. It’s 90 degrees in Atlanta with a 7.6-mph breeze to left-center field. With the Phillies going with a bullpen day, let’s LEAN OVER 8.5 (-107).
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