Alabama-Mississippi State odds: Can ‘Bama bounce back?

Previewing the Alabama at Mississippi State college football matchup, with college football betting odds, picks and best bets

The Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1, 5-1 SEC) take their show on the road following their first loss of the season when they play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5, 2-4) at noon ET Saturday at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss.

Alabama at Mississippi State: preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Alabama has been a 20+ point favorite over the Bulldogs five times since 2008. Alabama was won all five games and covered the spread in four of them.
  • Mississippi State is 1-4 straight up and against the spread in its last five games.
  • Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against SEC teams.
  • Mississippi State has lost the last 11 games vs. Alabama.
  • Alabama’s defense has struggled in recent weeks and is now 30th in the country in yards allowed, giving up 204 passing yards and 132 rushing yards a game.

Alabama at Mississippi State: Key injuries

The biggest question being asked this week is whether Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa will play. The word out of Tuscaloosa is that he will, but Nick Saban may have a quick hook for him after the QB looked far from 100 percent against LSU last weekend.

Alabama at Mississippi State: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, Nov. 14 at 1 p.m.

Prediction

Alabama 49, Mississippi State 17

Moneyline (?)

As expected, Alabama remains a huge moneyline favorite to win straight up (-1000), while Mississippi State is getting a big number on its side of the line (+625). Typically in games such as this, most gamblers won’t jump on either side because of the lack of return for Alabama and the unlikeliness Mississippi State can hang with the Crimson Tide for 60 minutes.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Alabama to win would return a profit of $1.

Against the Spread (?)

The line has fluctuated by 17½ and 21½ on different betting sites, but the point is expected to be at 20 when game time arrives. (ALABAMA would be laying 20 likely at -115 and Mississippi State getting 20 at -105.) This is a statement game for an Alabama team that is currently outside the top four in the College Football Playoff rankings. ‘Bama needs to finish strong to keep any hope of climbing back into one of those four spots.

LAY THE POINTS.

Over/Under (?)

The Bulldogs have one of the worst defenses in the SEC, having given up 56 points to Auburn and 49 points to Texas A&M this season. With an over/under of 60.5 (-106 for the over, -115 on the under), the likelihood of Alabama hitting 50 or more points by itself is probable, with Mississippi State likely to score when the starters are pulled in the second half. TAKE THE OVER.

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Wisconsin, not Ohio State, is Nebraska’s main Big Ten roadblock

A reminder about the brief period of Big Ten history connecting the Wisconsin Badgers and the Nebraska Cornhuskers

It is not breaking news to note that the Wisconsin Badgers, not the Ohio State Buckeyes (or Penn State Nittany Lions, or Michigan Wolverines), represent the foremost roadblock to progress for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. As the latest Wisconsin-Nebraska game approaches this Saturday, it is worth offering a reminder that the Badgers are more responsible for holding back the Huskers than anyone else in the Big Ten Conference.

Wisconsin holds the distinction of being the only team to play — and beat — Nebraska in a Big Ten Championship Game. Before the divisions were realigned, the Badgers and Huskers played in the 2012 game. A Wisconsin blowout not only prevented Bo Pelini from giving Nebraska its first (only) conference championship of the 21st century; it humiliated Pelini and left a lasting mark which, in the course of time, helped usher him out of Lincoln.

Yes, Pelini’s lack of people skills — an abrasive manner which rubbed people the wrong way — led to his exit from Nebraska, but if he had been winning conference titles, Pelini’s lack of tact and decorum probably would have been tolerated to a much bigger degree. When Nebraska and Wisconsin moved into the same division, the Big Ten West, Wisconsin hounded Nebraska and remained the foremost obstacle for the Huskers on their path to Big Ten glory.

Nebraska has beaten Wisconsin only once since the Huskers joined the Big Ten at the start of this decade. Nebraska has never beaten the Badgers since the formation of the current Big Ten West. We can point out that if Nebraska ever does win the Big Ten West, Ohio State will probably be looming in the Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis. Yet, it seems rather silly to center Ohio State in this discussion when Wisconsin has been extremely effective in barring Nebraska from Indianapolis. The Badgers haven’t needed Ohio State’s help, thank you very much. UW has made sure that Nebraska has remained without a conference title this century.

If Scott Frost wants to improve his program, he has to beat the team which will stare down his Cornhuskers on Saturday. The latest Wisconsin-Nebraska game is a time to remind ourselves which school stands squarely in Nebraska’s path on the road to revival.

Jamison Crowder is better off now, and he’ll likely let the Redskins know it

Crowder will make his return to Washington after leaving in free agency last year, and he’s liable to let the Redskins know what they lost.

The Washington Redskins are likely to feel a bit of a sting this weekend when they face the New York Jets, but it will be of their own doing.

For the first time since letting him go into free agency this past year, wide receiver Jamison Crowder will be returning to FedEx Field, where he spent the first four years of his career. Now, in New York, Crowder has found a new home, a new quarterback, and new life to his game.

Through the first 10 weeks of the season, Crowder has developed into the top pass-catcher for the Jets, and he’s started to find a rhythm with QB Sam Darnold at long last after the projected franchise-quarterback missed the first part of the season with an illness. So far this year, Crowder has 42 catches for over 480 yards and two touchdowns. It’s pretty clear that he is better off in the green and white, rather than the burgundy and gold.

Though Washington has seen rookie receiver Terry McLaurin shine in his place, it’s always a tough site to watch one of your few successful draft picks walk, and find a suitable home so quickly. On Sunday when the two teams meet, it wouldn’t be a shock to see Crowder put up some big numbers out of the slot, as Washington struggles to defend that position.

Whether they admit it or not, the Redskins undervalued Crowder in his four years with the team, and he’s liable to let that be known on Sunday.

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Louisville vs. NC State Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Louisville vs. NC State fearless prediction and game preview.

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Louisville vs. NC State fearless prediction and game preview.


Louisville vs. NC State Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
Network: ACC Network

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Louisville (5-4) vs. NC State (4-5) Game Preview

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Why Louisville Will Win

A bowl game is right there for the taking.

After all of the issues and all of the problems of last year, the Cardinals have three more shots – after losing last week at Miami – to get that sixth win. Syracuse should be the backstop next week, but NC State is there to take down.

This isn’t the Wolfpack team of recent seasons. There’s no consistent offense, the passing game isn’t working, and the D isn’t coming up with enough big plays. State is dead last in the nation in takeaways with just five.

On the other side, Micale Cunningham is turning it loose. The Cardinals got rocked by Clemson and Miami over the last few weeks, but he’s averaging close to 12 yards per pass for an offense that’s always pushing and always attacking. NC State’s secondary has allowed 295 yards or more in five of the lat six games.

The Cardinal offense is humming, but …

“Go to the bank!” Today’s top pick of the day just released

Why NC State Will Win

The offensive line is going to be in for a long day.

For all of NC State’s problems, its pass rush continues to be incredible and it’s able to camp out in opposing backfields on a regular basis.

Louisville is dead last in the ACC in tackles for loss allowed, getting jumped on by the ACC defenses that can crank up the consistent pressure. State isn’t forcing takeaways off of all the plays behind the line, but it’ll be annoying enough to bother Cunningham and stall the Cardinal ground game.

Offensively, this has to be the game for freshman QB Devin Leary to break out a bit. He hasn’t been accurate, he’s been struggling to keep up the pace, and the O has gone nowhere so far, but the Louisville pass defense gives up plays in chunks. The Pack have to keep pushing the ball down the field and take its shots.

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What’s Going To Happen

The Louisville offense will be too much for the Pack.

The State offense simply isn’t working well enough without any one thing it can rely on, but it’s still going to move the ball a bit to keep up in what will be an interesting game for both sides.

The Cardinals will get the big scoring drive in a few key spots in the second half, and NC State won’t.

Want a 2nd opinion on who to bet in the Louisville vs. NC State game? Click here to get WinnersAndWhiners.com’s predictions on the side, total, first half, and exotic bets! All Free!


Louisville vs. NC State Prediction, Line

Louisville 31, NC State 24
Bet on UofL vs. NC St with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Louisville -3.5, o/u: 55.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Get Tickets For This Game

Must See Rating: 2.5

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Jadeveon Clowney’s arrival game came at the perfect time for Seahawks

Jadeveon Clowney was adapting to a new system through his first nine games with Seattle. But on Monday, he unleashed hell on the 49ers.

Anyone who watches football at anything more than a cursory level knows that the quarterback sack is an incomplete and misleading statistic when it comes to determining the effect of a pass-rusher. While it’s nice to have a guy who can get to the quarterback, it’s even better to have a guy who provides consistent pressure at a level that can destroy the intentions of offensive coordinators on a week-to-week basis. There are also those plays in which an edge-rusher will affect an offense in ways that open things up for teammates — plays that don’t show up on a stat sheet but make a difference on the field.

So, when we look at the season totals for Seahawks defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, there’s the traditional way, which is to say that he’s been a disappointment with just three sacks in 489 snaps. A wider view, after you add his nine quarterback hits and 32 quarterback hurries, shows 44 total pressures. The even wider view is to posit that when the Seahawks traded for Clowney on Aug. 31, they had to transition him from the “spinner” role he played with the Texans to a more traditional edge or LEO role that has been a staple in Pete Carroll’s defense.

“It’s just different,” Clowney said in his first press conference after the trade. “I get to get back in there going vertical, not dropping. Just really putting my head down and grinding. When you’re going forward, you don’t think about it a lot. That’s the best thing about this defense is you’ve got guys behind you that can make all plays and guys up front just getting moving and get going and cause havoc. That’s what I like about this.”

When the trade happened, I outlined what Clowney was to Houston, and what he could be to Seattle. Through the first nine weeks of Seattle’s season, Clowney had come close to a bunch of sacks; missing them by that much as he transitioned to Carroll’s ideology and the specific mechanics of his system.

“I thought he was penetrating and causing problems and making tackles,” Carroll said after the Seahawks suffered a 30-16 loss to the Ravens in Week 7. “He had a game where he had a chance to make a lot of tackles. I don’t know what his numbers wound up being, but he’s playing really hard.”

In that game, Clowney had four quarterback hurries but no sacks, so it was a continuation of both the transition and the frustration involved in any such transition. The tape showed that Clowney certainly wasn’t a bust, but his breakout game hadn’t yet happened.

In Seattle’s 27-24 win over the previously undefeated 49ers, it most certainly did. Coming into that game, Seattle’s defense had put up just 14 sacks, with 17 quarterback hits and 107 quarterback hurries. If any defense was due for an explosion of meaningful quarterback pressures, it was this one. And against San Francisco, Seattle amassed five sacks, four quarterback hits, and 14 quarterback hurries. All was once again right in Carroll’s world, in which meaningful quarterback disruption is a non-negotiable factor.

Clowney was absolutely the star of the show, with one sack, all four of Seattle’s quarterback hits, and six of the team’s 14 hurries.

“He’s been active since we started,” Carroll said after the game. “I think he understands where to take advantage of the scheme more so now, about where we send him. We move him a lot and do a lot of things with him to try to get him in the spaces. He knows better how to use that to make the most of it. He’s an exciting football player. He can do so much stuff and sometimes, he does the wrong … he takes the wrong (gap), because he just hasn’t been with us enough. But he is maximizing more so, and that’s why I would like to think he had a big night tonight.”

No argument here, and as much as the stats tell a positive story, they don’t tell the whole story. On at least two occasions, Clowney affected 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo enough for other Seattle defenders to swoop in for their own sacks. Let’s see what the tape shows.

Jadeveon Clowney’s arrival game came at the perfect time for Seahawks

Through his first nine games for the Seahawks, Jadeveon Clowney was adapting to a new system. Monday night, he unleashed hell on the 49ers.

Anyone who watches football at anything more than a cursory level knows that the quarterback sack is an incomplete and misleading statistic when it comes to determining the effect of a pass-rusher. While it’s nice to have a guy who can get to the quarterback, it’s even better to have a guy who provides consistent pressure at a level that can destroy the intentions of offensive coordinators on a week-to-week basis. There are also those plays in which an edge-rusher will affect an offense in ways that open things up for teammates — plays that don’t show up on a stat sheet but make a difference on the field.

So, when we look at the season totals for Seahawks defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, there’s the traditional way, which is to say that he’s been a disappointment with just three sacks in 489 snaps. A wider view, after you add his nine quarterback hits and 32 quarterback hurries, shows 44 total pressures. The even wider view is to posit that when the Seahawks traded for Clowney on Aug. 31, they had to transition him from the “spinner” role he played with the Texans to a more traditional edge or LEO role that has been a staple in Pete Carroll’s defense.

“It’s just different,” Clowney said in his first press conference after the trade. “I get to get back in there going vertical, not dropping. Just really putting my head down and grinding. When you’re going forward, you don’t think about it a lot. That’s the best thing about this defense is you’ve got guys behind you that can make all plays and guys up front just getting moving and get going and cause havoc. That’s what I like about this.”

When the trade happened, I outlined what Clowney was to Houston, and what he could be to Seattle. Through the first nine weeks of Seattle’s season, Clowney had come close to a bunch of sacks; missing them by that much as he transitioned to Carroll’s ideology and the specific mechanics of his system.

“I thought he was penetrating and causing problems and making tackles,” Carroll said after the Seahawks suffered a 30-16 loss to the Ravens in Week 7. “He had a game where he had a chance to make a lot of tackles. I don’t know what his numbers wound up being, but he’s playing really hard.”

In that game, Clowney had four quarterback hurries but no sacks, so it was a continuation of both the transition and the frustration involved in any such transition. The tape showed that Clowney certainly wasn’t a bust, but his breakout game hadn’t yet happened.

In Seattle’s 27-24 win over the previously undefeated 49ers, it most certainly did. Coming into that game, Seattle’s defense had put up just 14 sacks, with 17 quarterback hits and 107 quarterback hurries. If any defense was due for an explosion of meaningful quarterback pressures, it was this one. And against San Francisco, Seattle amassed five sacks, four quarterback hits, and 14 quarterback hurries. All was once again right in Carroll’s world, in which meaningful quarterback disruption is a non-negotiable factor.

Clowney was absolutely the star of the show, with one sack, all four of Seattle’s quarterback hits, and six of the team’s 14 hurries.

“He’s been active since we started,” Carroll said after the game. “I think he understands where to take advantage of the scheme more so now, about where we send him — we move him a lot and do a lot of things with him to try to get him in the spaces. He knows better how to use that to make the most of it. He’s an exciting football player. He can do so much stuff and sometimes, he does the wrong… he takes the wrong (gap) because he just hasn’t been with us enough. But he is maximizing more so and that’s why I would like to think he had a big night tonight.”

No argument here, and as much as the stats tell a positive story, they don’t tell the whole story. On at least two occasions, Clowney affected 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo enough for other Seattle defenders to swoop in for their own sacks. Let’s see what the tape shows.

Seahawks tied for 2nd-most players on the injured reserve

The Seattle Seahawks are no stranger to the injury bug. They’re still finding ways to win despite having one of the highest injury totals.

Injuries, like in any sport, are a part of the game of football. Some injuries can derail seasons and others can, unfortunately, end careers. The Seattle Seahawks are no stranger to the injury bug, but they aren’t letting it impact them this year.

Heading into their bye week, the Seahawks are tied with the Texans, Jaguars, and Broncos with 13 players on the injured reserve. That is good for the second total, behind only the Falcons. Of that group, Seattle surpasses only the Falcons in terms of money on the IR.

The teams at the top of the list, at least financially, lost their starting quarterbacks. The Seahawks find themselves near the top in both categories because of the sheer quantity of players on the IR – although they have been fortunate that the impact felt by many of those losses has been minimal. As such, the team’s record is 8-2, and they just dethroned the last undefeated team in the league.

One of the biggest contributors to Seattle’s cap money tied to the IR is tight end Ed Dickson, who is expected to be activated soon. His return will be a big help on the field, which only adds to the potential of this team down the stretch.

Even though the Seahawks haven’t lost a player like Ben Roethlisberger or Cam Newton, they are still stinging from the losses of starting center Justin Britt and tight end Will Dissly.

Hopefully, the “big money” injury (a la Russell Wilson or Tyler Lockett) isn’t on the horizon and the team can continue to heal.

On the other end of the bye week, the Seahawks will be taking on the  Eagles, likely with the help of Dickson.

A healthy Dickson not only lowers the amount of money tied up on the injured reserve, but it also gives Seattle more depth at a key area of need for the rest of the season.

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QBE Shootout adds Bubba Watson, Ian Poulter, Kevin Kisner; reveals 2019 teams

The QBE Shootout added a former champion, a two-time major winner, and one of the contenders for a Presidents Cup captain’s pick in completing its field Tuesday. Ian Poulter, who won the 2010 tournament with Dustin Johnson, plus two-time Masters …

The QBE Shootout added a former champion, a two-time major winner, and one of the contenders for a Presidents Cup captain’s pick in completing its field Tuesday.

Ian Poulter, who won the 2010 tournament with Dustin Johnson, plus two-time Masters champion Bubba Watson and Kevin Kisner were among the 10 announced to the field by tournament host Greg Norman for the tournament, which is Dec. 11-15 at Tiburón Golf Club at the Ritz-Carlton Golf Resort.

“We are pleased to round out the field with such a quality group of players and equally thrilled with the compelling teams we’ve been able to put together,” Norman said in a release. “These dynamic duos comprised of young guns, recent Tour winners and established veterans are sure to create an exciting three-days of competition.”

The 24-person field features nine players whom won during this past season and a total of 80 career PGA Tour and LPGA victories as well as eight of the top 50 players in the world. There are also eight first-time participants in the annual event.

Kisner, who won the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, was listed by many as a possibility to be one of Tiger Woods’ captain’s picks for the Presidents Cup.

Also competing are: 2019 Valero Texas Open winner Corey Conners; reigning Zurich Classic of New Orleans champion Ryan Palmer; former Australian PGA Championship winner Harold Varner III; Kevin Chappell, who earlier this fall became the 10th player in PGA Tour history to shoot 59; six-time PGA Tour winner Charley Hoffman; four-time Tour winner and two-time Shootout champion Sean O’Hair, and six-time Tour winner Rory Sabbatini.

This year’s QBE Shootout will also feature nine new teams competing for the $3.5 million purse. The three returning teams are defending champions Brian Harman and Patton Kizzire as defending champions, Billy Horschel and Brandt Snedeker who played in 2018, and the return of the team of Graeme McDowell and Poulter, who were paired together in 2008.

Lexi Thompson will be playing for the fourth straight year, and this time will be paired with O’Hair, who won the QBE Shootout with two different partners, Steve Stricker and Kenny Perry. Thompson played with Bryson DeChambeau her first year, and Tony Finau the past two.

Shootout rookies Viktor Hovland and Matthew Wolff also are paired together.

Finau, Patrick Reed, and Gary Woodland, all of whom have played in the Shootout multiple times, were three of Woods’ captain’s picks announced last week. Woods picked himself for the fourth selection.

Friday’s first round will be broadcast live by Golf Channel from noon to 2 p.m. and on Golf Channel Digital from 2-4 p.m. Over the weekend, the final two rounds will be live on Golf Channel from noon to 4 p.m., both Saturday and Sunday.

The QBE Shootout will once again feature a scramble format during the first round, a modified alternate shot format on Saturday, and a final-round four-ball on Sunday.

 

Patrick Mahomes is Chiefs’ nominee for 2019 Art Rooney Sportsmanship Award

Patrick Mahomes was selected to represent the Kansas City Chiefs as their nominee for the sixth annual iteration of the award.

The Kansas City Chiefs have selected quarterback Patrick Mahomes to represent their franchise as a nominee for the Art Rooney Sportsmanship Award.

The NFL announced nominees from all 32 teams for the sixth annual award on Thursday. You can view the rest of the nominees in the official press release online. This award was created in 2014 to honor late Steelers founder Art Rooney. It seeks to recognize players throughout the NFL who exemplify the utmost sportsmanship and respect for the game on the field with their peers.

The process from here on out is simple: Eight finalists will be determined by a panel of former NFL players consisting of Warrick Dunn, Karl Mecklenburg, Leonard Wheeler and Curtis Martin. From those eight finalists, each NFL locker room will coordinate and submit a consensus vote of their choice for a winner. The finalists will also be listed for voting on the Pro Bowl ballots. The catch is that teams cannot vote for their own players, so this is truly representative of what the entire league thinks of each player.

The winner will be announced during the NFL Honors ceremony ahead of Super Bowl LIV. The previous winners are: Saints QB Drew Brees (2018), Panthers LB Luke Kuechly (2017), Colts RB Frank Gore (2016), Raiders CB Charles Woodson (2015) and Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald (2014).

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