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The Miami Marlins (44-75) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (69-49) Tuesday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 4-3
The Marlins snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 7-6 win over the San Diego Padres Sunday as +177 home underdogs. 3B Jake Burger and RF Jesus Sanchez each had 2 RBIs, while SP Max Meyer allowed 4 ER in 6 1/3 innings to pick up the win.
The Phillies have lost 3 games in a row after falling 12-5 against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday and failing to cash as -125 road favorites. 3B Alex Bohm led the way on offense with 2 RBIs, and LHP Cristopher Sanchez allowed 7 ER in 4 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.
Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Valente Bellozo vs. RHP Taijuan Walker
Bellozo (1-1, 3.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 20 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-4 home victory against Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
- Never faced Phillies before
Walker (3-3, 5.60 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 53 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 5-4 loss against Diamondbacks June 21
- Career vs. Marlins: 6-2, 3.26 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 72 H, 21 BB, 76 K in 12 starts — last outing in May
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Marlins at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on the Phillies’ moneyline Tuesday.
Run line/Against the spread
BET MARLINS -1.5 (-140).
The Phillies have what it takes to win Tuesday in their 1st game back home in 10 games, but with Walker returning to make his 1st start since June and Bellozo coming off a scoreless 6 innings, the Marlins will keep it close. Miami has scored 7 or more runs in back-to-back games, while Philadelphia has scored 2 or fewer in 2 of its last 3.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
While the Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in back-to-back games, they had scored 4 or fewer in 6 of the previous 8. Philadelphia has scored 2 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 3 games while allowing 4 or fewer in 5 of its last 8. Expect a pitchers’ duel that will lead to the Under hitting Tuesday.
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