[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Miami Marlins (73-69) and Philadelphia Phillies (78-63) wrap up their 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park Sunday. First pitch is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Fanduel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 5-5
The Marlins look to win their 3rd straight series on Sunday. Miami has won 7 of their last 9 games by outscoring their opponents 55-42. The Fish are 33-37 on the road this season.
The Phillies have struggled to get a win streak going, losing 5 of their last 9 games. The pitching has failed to keep them in ball games allowing more than 5 runs per game over this stretch. Philadelphia is 42-27 at home this season.
Marlins at Phillies projected starters
LHP Steven Okert vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Okert (3-1, 3.44 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 57th appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.
- Last appearance: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K in relief in 3-2 win at the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
- 2023 road stats: 2-1, 3.00 ERA (27 IP, 9 ER), .198 OBA in 28 appearances
Suarez (2-6, 3.91 ERA) will make his 19th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 victory at the Milwaukee Brewers on September 3
- 2023 vs. Marlins: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 1 HR, 6 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
- 2023 home stats: 0-3, 5.03 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 27 ER), .263 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Marlins at Philllies odds
Provided by Fanduel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-134) | Phillies -1.5 (+112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 5, Phillies 4
Moneyline
BET MARLINS (+160).
I think this game is closer than the odds would lead you to believe. The Marlins are playing more consistently than the Phillies and I believe they can win this game. I also love the +160 you are getting for a pretty even matchup on Sunday afternoon. Don’t bet the farm but go with a half unit.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I am not going to touch the run line. I don’t believe the Phillies cover and the -134 odds for the Marlins getting the 1 1/2 does not entice me either. I’ll just stick with the moneyline.
Over/Under
PASS.
My lean would be the under but I am not confident enough to take this bet. In their 10 meetings this season, these teams have gone Under this total in 7 of them.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]