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The Miami Marlins (72-68) and Philadelphia Phillies (77-62) meet Friday to kick off a pivotal 3-game set. First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 7:05 p.m.E.T. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 5-5
Miami is coming off a home series win, taking 2 out of 3 from the 1st-place Los Angeles Dodgers. The Marlins have won 6 of their last 7, including a 4-game sweep of the Washington Nationals. They’ll be coming into this series with a 4-game road win streak.
Philadelphia is also coming off a strong showing, taking the rubber match (as a -118 favorite) and series win in a 3-game set over the San Diego Padres. The Phillies have won 6 of their last 10, and 4 of their last 5 games started by Cristopher Sanchez.
Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Eury Perez vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Perez (5-4, 2.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.86 BB/9 and 10.87 K/9 in 78.2 innings.
- Coming off an up and down start against the Washington Nationals when he gave up 3 ER in 4.2 IP
- Miami has won 2 of the last 5 games he’s started
- First time facing Phillies in 2023
Sanchez (2-3, 3.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.44 BB/9 and 8.28 K/9 in 75 innings.
- Coming off a shaky start vs. the Los Angeles Angels: ND after giving up 5 runs (3 earned) in 4.2 IP
- Phillies have won 4 of his last 5 starts
- First start vs. Marlins in 2023
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Marlins at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:38 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Phillies -15 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline
Both teams are fighting for NL Wild Card spots, and each is coming in with some momentum. It’s a big tossup as to which streaky offense will show up. Too many question marks on both sides.
STAY AWAY.
Run line/Against the spread
Again, too many mixed signals here to feel comfortable on either side of the fence. On paper, the Marlins surely have the pitching advantage, and are bringing in relatively hot bats, but the Phillies generally find a way to win, specifically behind starter Sanchez.
AVOID
Over/Under
Although both offenses have looked good, especially as of late, look for this to have potential to be an under-the-radar pitching matchup. With the playoffs right around the corner, each offense will have to do the little things to push runs across. Although the Marlins have hit the Over total in their last 6 games, and the Phillies have done the same in 20 of their last 29, I’m going with the underrated pitching duel here.
BACK UNDER 9 (-110).
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