Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (4-7) play the 2nd outing in a 3-game road series against the Philadelphia Phillies (4-6) Tuesday. First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0. Phillies won the season series 12-7 in 2022.

The Marlins were slammed 15-3 in the series opener in Philadelphia on Monday. The Marlins have dropped 3 of the past 4 games overall and have cashed the Over in 3 of those outings, too. The 15 runs allowed were the most all season, but Miami has yielded 5 or more runs in 6 of the past 9 games.

The Phillies broke out the whooping stick Monday, easily producing the most runs they’ve had in a single game this season. Philadelphia had averaged just 2.9 runs per game (RPG) across the previous 8 games since posting 7 runs in the season opener March 30 in Texas.

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Marlins at Phillies projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Luzardo (1-0, 0.71 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 12 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 10 K across 7 IP in a no-decision against the Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • Yielded just 2 ER on 4 H and 2 BB with 9 K across 7 IP in a no-decision Sept. 6 in Philadelphia in his only start against the Phillies in 2022

Nola (0-1, 7.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

  • Coughed up 3 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 5 K across 6 IP in a loss on the road against the New York Yankees Wednesday
  • Posted a 1-0 record, 1.23 ERA and .179 opponent batting average (OBA) with 26 K across 22 IP in 3 starts vs. Miami in 2022

Marlins at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Phillies 5

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+135) were horrendous in Monday’s series opener, but Tuesday is a new day. Nola has been poor for the Phillies so far, and being back in the bandbox which is Citizens Bank Park won’t be super helpful to snapping the right-hander on track.

The Marlins are 8-3 in the past 11 games following a loss while the Phillies are 1-5 in the past 6 games after a win and 1-5 in the past 6 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARLINS +1.5 (-155) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance, and just can’t bring yourself to play the underdog straight up.

However, Miami is just 3-6 on the run line as an underdog so far this season so proceed with caution, but the Phillies are 1-3 on the run line as a favorite so far this season.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-110) is the lean in this battle in the City of Brotherly Love.

The Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games on the road for Miami and is 7-1 in Philadelphia’s past 8 games inside the NL East. The Over is also 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Phillies against teams with a losing overall record, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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