The Utah Jazz (32-11) host the Memphis Grizzlies (21-20) Friday at the Vivint Smart Home Arena for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Jazz odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Memphis has won three in a row and four of its last five games (4-1 ATS) including a 116-107 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 7-point road favorite.
Utah has also won three straight with two straight 25-plus-point blowouts against the Brooklyn Nets without their Big 3 Wednesday and at the Chicago Bulls Monday.
The Jazz won three of four meetings last regular season against the Grizzlies including three straight and were 3-1 ATS in those contests.
Grizzlies at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Grizzlies +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Jazz -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +9.5 (-110) | Jazz -9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Jazz: Key injuries
Grizzlies
- PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
Jazz
- Nothing affecting gambling odds.
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Grizzlies at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Jazz 118, Grizzlies 113
Money line (ML)
PASS with a lean toward Grizzlies (+350) because I like Memphis plus the points but the Jazz (-450) haven’t lost at home in 2021. That’s right, Utah has a 17-game home winning streak and I’m not fading that trend.
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Against the spread (ATS)
GIMME 1 unit on GRIZZLIES +9.5 (-110) for a few reasons.
First, the Jazz don’t force a lot of turnovers (dead-last in defensive turnover rate), are ranked 21st in offensive turnover percentage and, this month, Utah is 25th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.
The Grizzlies thrive off of turnovers: Memphis forces the 2nd-highest rate of turnovers and scores the most points off of turnovers per game.
Second, Grizzlies big Jonas Valančiūnas has outplayed Jazz big Rudy Gobert when they’ve gone head-to-head.
In 16 career meetings, Valančiūnas’ team is 11-5 overall and he’s shooting better from the floor and averaging 3.3 more points per game than Gobert.
Finally, let’s get on the same side as the House since that’s who usually wins in gambling.
According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the bets placed have been on the Jazz minus points yet bookmakers are making Utah cheaper, which tells me they want people to take the Jazz.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 228.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because both teams should have success on offense.
I’ve already outlined Memphis’s path to getting buckets while the Jazz are 4th in effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and the Grizzlies are 20th in defensive eFG%.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 MLB National League Betting Preview
- Hoops Hype rumors: Grizzlies | Jazz
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